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7-Unit Play #533 Dallas -2.5-110 over Toronto (Saturday, November 26, 2022, 5:00 PM)
Take Dallas ATS as my top NBA pick for Saturday. This pick falls into one my top NBA systems and Dallas has held opponents to just 104.8 points per game against them over their last 5 games. Dallas has shot 36.8% as a team from beyond the arc on the road this season and 46.8% as a team overall on the road this season. Toronto has allowed 113.8 points per game over their last 5 games with opponents shooting 50.9% against them and opponents have also shot 38.2% against them from beyond the arc at home this season. Dallas is a hungry team coming into this game having dropped 2 straight games and 3 of their last 4 games overall and I do look for them to step up defensively on the road here today against a Toronto team that has struggled defensively over their last 5 games. Dallas is 4-0 in their last 4 games against Toronto and if it wasn't for a fourth-quarter letdown against Toronto on November 4 they would've won that game by double digits but were outscored by 14 in the 4th quarter and came a way with a one-point victory. Dallas is also healthy coming into this game and Toronto also had Siakam in that one-point loss at Dallas and he is definitely out for this game. Toronto also had Barnes who had 11 rebounds 11 points along with 10 assists in that one-point loss at Dallas and he is out for this game. Play Dallas ATS.
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