Today in the nfl ashley is using:
Browns +3.5
texans +14
bears +7.5 (bought up from +6.5)
browns / bucs over 42.5
niners -8.5
Browns +3.5
texans +14
bears +7.5 (bought up from +6.5)
browns / bucs over 42.5
niners -8.5
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 4% | [NFL] (251) Baltimore Ravens at (252) Jacksonville Jaguars Time: 1:00 PM EST |
1H Total Over 21.0 (-110) |
Analysis: The last meeting between these teams saw 54 points scored, 26 of them coming in the first half. I'm expecting this one to also get off to a quick start. Play: Balt/Jax Over 1st Half Line At Time Of Release: 21 Line Parameter: Good to 21 (over -125) Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 4% | [NFL] (251) Baltimore Ravens at (252) Jacksonville Jaguars Time: 1:00 PM EST |
Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0 (-110) |
Analysis: The Jaguars played the Chiefs tough last game and they won by seven in their last home game. They're healthier than the Ravens and I expect them to come ready to play. You might be surprised to hear that the Jags average more yards per game than the Ravens do. Yes, Baltimore is off an impressive defensive performance. That was against Carolina though and it should be noted that the Ravens are 0-5 ATS the past five times that they were held their previous opponent to 250 or fewer yards. In other words, one would be 5-0 if playing against them in that situation. I believe this will make six in a row and am grabbing the points. Play: JACKSONVILLE Line At Time Of Release: +4 Line Parameter: Good at +3 or better Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 3% | [NFL] (257) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (258) Cleveland Browns Time: 1:00 PM EST |
Cleveland Browns +3.5 (-120) |
Analysis: While I won with the Bucs in their last game, I feel this will be a good spot to go against them. They're off a game in Germany and they've got a big divisional game on deck. The Browns do have some injury issues and have had another frustrating season. That said, they've still got some very talented players and they're still battling hard every week. They nearly beat the Bills last game and they pounded the Bengals 32-13 the last time they played on this field. Coach Stefanski noted: “We're in search of a win any which way we can get it.” Don't be shocked when Cleveland's win comes at Tampa's expense. Play: CLEVELAND Line At Time Of Release: +3.5 (-120) Line Parameter: Good at +3 or better Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 3% | [NFL] (253) Denver Broncos at (254) Carolina Panthers Time: 1:00 PM EST |
Total Over 36.0 (-110) |
Analysis: Its true that these offenses have struggled and its also true that Denver can be stingy defensively. That's reflected in the number though as this is the lowest total on the board. For a game involving a pair of teams which are essentially playing for pride, I feel it'll prove to be too low. Prior to a low-scoring game against Baltimore last time out, Carolina had seen its previous three games all produce a minimum of 40 points. In fact, those three games averaged 58 points. While Denver's recent games have been falling below the total, two of the past three have still hit the 38-point mark. Wilson and the Broncos would love to have a breakout game on offense and the Panthers are going to be anxious to see what Darnold can do. Look for the final score to prove higher than many will be expecting. Play: Den/Car OVER Line At Time Of Release: 36 Line Parameter: Good at 37 or better |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 4% | [CBB] (767) Missouri State at (768) Oakland Time: 12:00 PM EST |
Oakland +9.0 (-110) |
Analysis: I don't believe the gap between these teams is as big as the pointspread suggests. The Bears lost a ton from last year. Playing their third game in three days and facing an up-tempo high-scoring Oakland team, I expect those losses to catch up with them. Play: OAKLAND Line At Time Of Release: +9 Line Parameter: Good at +8 or better Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 4% | [NBA] (577) Dallas Mavericks at (578) Milwaukee Bucks Time: 8:10 PM EST |
Total Under 215.5 (-110) |
Analysis: The Mavs have seen the ‘under’ go a lucrative 50-28 the past 2+ seasons, when listed in the underdog role. Off yesterday's game vs. the Raptors, note that they scored only 92 points (101-92 loss) the last time that they played the second of b2b games. That was a home game against defensively-challenged Houston, too. Now, they're on the road against a much stingier Milwaukee team. (The Bucks allow 105 ppg at home. The Rockets allow 116.2 ppg on the road.) Dallas is also capable of playing well defensively. Prior to an off game at Boston to start this trip, the Mavs had allowed 101 or fewer points in four straight games. I'm expecting points to prove hard to come by in this one. Play: UNDER bucks/mavs Line At Time Of Release: 215.5 Line Parameter: Good at 214 or better. Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 2% | [NFL] (273) Green Bay Packers at (274) Philadelphia Eagles Time: 8:20 PM EST |
1H Philadelphia Eagles -235 |
Analysis: After falling behind in their recent games, the Eagles are going to be highly motivated to get off to a faster start. While they'll always fight hard, the Packers remain banged-up across the board. I see Philly taking the lead into the locker-room. Play: EAGLES (1st Half ML) Line At Time Of Release: -235 Line Parameter: Good at -250 or better Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
Date | Expert | Rating | Game | Play |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 4% | [NHL] (85) Ottawa Senators at (86) Los Angeles Kings Time: 10:35 PM EST |
Los Angeles Kings -150 |
Analysis: Both teams won their last game. The Kings are in better current form though and bring more to the table. LA is now 6-4 its past 10 games. That includes victories over the likes of Edmonton, Minnesota and Florida. Ottawa, on the other hand, is 3-7 its past 10 games. A closer look at the three wins shows that they came against Buffalo, Philadelphia and Anaheim. Those are three of the weaker teams in the entire league. When facing better competition, the Sens stumble. The Kings, currently third in the Pacific, will be fighting for playoffs all season. They can't afford to squander a home game against the worst team from the Atlantic. They won't. Play: LA Line At Time Of Release: -150 Line Parameter: Good to -175 Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
Nov 27 | Ben Burns | 3% | [CBB] (721) Belmont at (722) Georgia State Time: 2:00 PM EST |
Belmont -125 |
Analysis: The well-coached Bruins will take care of business in this one. The Panthers, who have a new coach, lost a ton from last year. It'll be noticeable this afternoon. Belmont rolls. Play: BELMONT (ML) Line At Time Of Release: -125 Line Parameter: Good at -150 or better Line Notes: Shopping for the best line is strongly encouraged. Ideally, you will often get a better number than me. I recognize that not everyone has that option though. Therefore, I always select the “consensus” odds, a line which is widely available at the time of release. Yes, better numbers are regularly available to me. I don't want to build up my record on lines which may not be there for others though. Again, please do your best to shop for the best number. Your efforts will pay off in the long run. |
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Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line |
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