Wednesday 11/30/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
    PURCHASE
    Delta Downs - Race 5

    Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 5-6)($1 min.) /Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Pick 5 (.50 min.) (Races 5-9)


    Allowance • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 6:47P
    FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BASEBALL LOVER: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TOO MUCH BOURBON: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LION HEART LEGEND: Today is a sprint, horse i s a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HALF OURS N STORMY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    7
    BASEBALL LOVER
    2/1

    9/2
    6
    TOO MUCH BOURBON
    12/1

    6/1
    2
    LION HEART LEGEND
    10/1

    7/1
    9
    HALF OURS N STORMY
    5/1

    9/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    REECE'S PRIORITY
    1

    7/2
    Front-runner
    81

    73

    82.4

    56.8

    45.8
    7
    BASEBALL LOVER
    8

    2/1
    Front-runner
    89

    85

    74.0

    75.0

    70.5
    2
    LION HEART LEGEND
    2

    10/1
    Front-runner
    81

    71

    74.0

    69.6

    61.1
    3
    TOOL BOX
    3

    6/1
    Front-runner
    67

    70

    72.8

    54.6

    36.1
    1A
    SHARP CHARLIE
    6

    7/2
    Front-runner
    75

    75

    62.4

    55.4

    43.4
    4
    MY AMIGO CHARLIE
    4

    10/1
    Front-runner
    74

    71

    60.5

    54.8

    42.3
    8
    DIABLO CAT
    9

    8/1
    Front-runner
    72

    73

    57.0

    65.4

    54.4
    9
    HALF OURS N STORMY
    10

    5/1
    Stalker
    81

    65

    53.4

    69.8

    64.3
    6
    TOO MUCH BOURBON
    7

    12/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    84

    77

    54.6

    73.0

    65.5
    5
    GOTMY MO JO WORKIN
    5

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    69

    75

    72.6

    63.2

    47.7
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 3 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 70

      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 7 BET THE QUEEN 4/1

      # 2 DANZATALE 3/1

      # 9 AT THE HALF 8/1

      BET THE QUEEN is my choice. Looks formidable for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Could provide positive profits based on solid recent speed figures with an average of 62. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this filly a very good shot. DANZATALE - Will make a strong outing versus this lot. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. AT THE HALF - The trainer wheels this horse back soon to race again.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
        PURCHASE

        Bar

        Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,600 Class Rating: 68

        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

        #4 SOULSTONE (ML=5/1)


        SOULSTONE - My handicapping intuition tells me to watch out for this animal in this event

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SEARCH (ML=3/1), #1 CEETA (ML=7/2), #7 MS KAYS COWGIRL (ML=4/1),

        SEARCH - Hasn't been getting close at all lately. CEETA - Finished second in her most recent race with a quite unimpressive speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group. MS KAYS COWGIRL - Displayed clues of physical problems in the event on November 18th at Penn National.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
        Play #4 SOULSTONE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

        EXACTA WAGERS:
        Pass

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass

        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
          PURCHASE
          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 75

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500.


          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          The Walker Group Picks

          # 2 STILLWATER BROWN 3/1

          # 8 SYZSLAK 5/1

          # 6 THIRSTY KISS 4/1

          STILLWATER BROWN is my choice. Should keep the impressive string of finish positions intact this time out. Must be given consideration based on the quite good speed figure earned in the last competition. SYZSLAK - Will more than likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the race. I like Mawing on this gelding to give him a strong chance to hit the wire first. THIRSTY KISS - Must be considered based on the strong speed rating garnered in the last affair.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
            PURCHASE

            Bar

            Zia Park - Race #7 - Post: 2:42pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,500 Class Rating: 69

            Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

            #9 DOS REALES (ML=6/1)
            #7 ABSTRACT KAT (ML=5/1)
            #2 BOB'SALLWICKED (ML=12/1)


            DOS REALES - Valdez-Cabral has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half. Just missed hitting the board on September 15th at Albuquerque. With decent morning odds right here, he has my interest. A repeat of that latest race on September 15th where he earned a fig of 65 looks high enough to score in this event. ABSTRACT KAT - The rider and trainer combination here have a high win pct when they team up. Looking like a potential overlay right here in this race at morning odds of 5/1. Finished fifth in last race at Zia Park but was close at the finish. BOB'SALLWICKED - You always have to be on the prowl for revenue generating rider/handler combinations; we have one right here.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 C D POLDARC (ML=5/2), #5 SPINNING RED (ML=7/2), #1 CHIPPSTER (ML=6/1),

            C D POLDARC - Difficult to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does. SPINNING RED - I find it hard to wager on this less than sharp equine in today's event. Make him show you something in a short distance race before you bet on him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this mount will make a winning move today. That last speed figure was common when compared with today's class rating. CHIPPSTER - You always figure that this animal has a shot to win, but he falls short regularly. Should have at least hit the board in the last two months in a sprint race to be any kind of value at minimal odds in a sprint.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            Bet on #9 DOS REALES to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            Box [2,7,9]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Box [2,7,9] Total Cost: $6

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs
              PURCHASE

              11/30/22, TAM, Race 2, 12.59 ET
              11/30/22,TAM,2,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.)For Two Year Olds under International Medication Protocol. Horses entered to compete shall not be eligible to receive furosemide less than twenty-four (24) hours prior to post time for the race.
              . . . .
              Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
              Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
              100.0000 5 Move to Order 15/1 Morales P Barbazon III Lester J 25 28.00 2.08/$1
              099.5198 8 Love Foreverafter 9/2 Rojas C E Delgado Jorge 25 28.00 2.08/$1
              099.2437 4 General Robinson 12/1 Batista J A Delgado Jorge 33 24.24 1.82/$1
              098.5135 7 Water Fight 9/5 Rowland M Delacour Arnaud 25 28.00 2.08/$1
              098.2006 3 Ginettes On Fire(b+) 5/2 Jimenez M Delgado Jose H. SFEWL 77 38.96 1.54/$1
              096.1709 2 Super Caro 4/1 Allen. Jr. R D Dini Michael 33 24.24 1.82/$1
              095.2618 1 Full Time Strutin 20/1 Flores A Lorito Mario 33 24.24 1.82/$1
              094.6940 6 Chalcolithic 20/1 Fuentes M Paramo Martin C 33 24.24 1.82/$1
              Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
              Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4802
              [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Hong Kong Selections for Wednesday, November 30, 2022

                Paul Lally:

                R1: 2-12-11-5
                R2: 1-3-6-7
                R3: 1-4-6-3
                R4: 1-7-10-2
                R5: 9-1-6-8
                R6: 3-2-10-11
                R7: 6-3-8-9
                R8: 1-2-4-5

                Best Bet R8 N1 Tianchi Monster
                Longshot R7 N6 Astrologer
                Play R4 QQP 1-7-10

                Tom Wood:

                R1: 7-11-12-1
                R2: 6-3-7-9
                R3: 2-8-5-4
                R4: 1-7-12-2
                R5: 9-1-2-6
                R6: 3-2-11-10
                R7: 3-9-11-8
                R8: 2-1-10-5

                BEST: R5 N9 RATTAN KINGDOM (WIN)
                VALUE: R4 N1 FLYING SILVER (EW)
                PLAY: R6 FCT 3 < 2,10,11

                Nick Child:

                R1: 11-2-5-1
                R2: 7-9-4-3
                R3: 4-11-8-5
                R4: 8-7-2-4
                R5: 9-2-10-1
                R6: 3-2-9-4
                R7: 5-10-9-3
                R8: 2-1-5-6

                BEST BET: R8 N2 NEARLY FINE
                LONGSHOT BET: R7 N5 GRATEFUL HEART

                Mark McNamara:

                R1: 12.7.2.4
                R2: 7.6.11.9
                R3: 2.4.11.7
                R4: 8.7.2.6
                R5: 9.2.6.1
                R6: 3.2.10.9
                R7: 10.3.9.4
                R8: 5.2.8.11

                Best bet: R2 N7 Mr Fun
                Longshot: R1 N12 Tronic Mighty
                Play R2 q/qp 6.7.11
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Wednesday’s Horse Racing Tips: Haydock, November 30th
                  Stephen Harris Horse Racing Expert

                  Today’s Horse Racing Tips – November 30th

                  There are 5 meetings in Britain and Ireland on Wednesday, with Haydock and Ludlow likely to attract the bulk of the betting interest with two interesting jumps cards. All-weather fans have three fixtures to get studying, with Dundalk, Kempton and Lingfield keeping punters and Bookmakers busy throughout the afternoon and evening.

                  Today’s Daily Nap

                  Ballgrifincottage

                  Haydock 2:07 (UK time)

                  Dan Skelton has his team in blistering form at the moment, and this progressive novice is fancied to make a winning chasing debut at Haydock on Wednesday. He arrived last season with a tall reputation from the pointing field, and impressed when getting off the mark in testing ground at Lingfield in January. A cracking fourth in the Albert Bartlett at the Festival confirmed the impression that he was a very smart performer in the making, and a clean round of jumping under Harry Skelton should make him very hard to beat in this small field with conditions to suit..

                  Odds: NA
                  Today’s Value Angle

                  Saint Xavier

                  Haydock 3:07 (UK time)

                  Richard Hobson’s veteran 10-y-o is now extremely well handicapped on the pick of his form, and dropped a big hint he was on the way back with a staying-on fourth behind Magic Dancer at Cheltenham last time out. He will relish this step back up in trip under the excellent claimer Lily Pinchin, and a positive frontrunning ride should soon have plenty of these rivals out of their comfort zone.

                  Odds: NA

                  Odds are best odds available as at 2am November 30th 2022. Odds may now differ.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Today’s Free Mahoning Valley Race Course Winning Horse Picks [2022]
                    Horse racing handicapper Reggie Garrett

                    Free Mahoning Valley Picks for Wednesday, November 30th, 2022:

                    Post Time: 12:45 ET



                    Race 1: 1 Hard n’Sweet
                    Race 2: 3 Sweet Mobiltee
                    Race 3: 4 Precision Prado


                    The following 6 races are part of today’s Buckeye Pick 6
                    Race 4: 8 Wetzel
                    Race 5: 10 Oklahoma Joe
                    Race 6: 4 Lady Valentina
                    Race 7: 2 Perfectingtheview
                    Race 8: 8 Run Rocky
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Today’s Free Mountaineer Winning Horse Picks
                      Horse racing handicapper Reggie Garrett

                      Free Mountaineer Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 30th, 2022:

                      Post Time: 7:00 ET



                      Race 1: 5 Araya
                      Race 2: 5 Myrrh
                      Race 3: 4 Distorted Limits


                      The following five races are part of the Mountaineer Pick 5
                      Race 4: 4 Elusive Motion
                      Race 5: 1 Leading Indicator
                      Race 6: 8 Sweet Belen
                      Race 7: 6 Started With Stars
                      Race 8: 2 First Crowned
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Mike Wynn

                        [FONT=arial black][COLOR=#ff0000]Free Pick: CBB St Louis -19
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          Jim Feist

                          Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, November 30, 2022
                          NBA
                          533. Milwaukee Bucks -6 (4:40 PT / 7:40 ET)
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Razor Sharp

                            YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: SOUTHERN ILLINOIS -9 over Evansville
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Totals4U

                              Wednesday's Free Selection: Memphis Grizzlies/Minnesota Timberwolves over 232 1/2
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Roz Wins

                                ROZ FREE Selection WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 30, 2022

                                FREE
                                CBK
                                679. UNC Wilmington +1 (4:30 PT / 7:30 ET)
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