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Thursday 12/1/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 12-1-22
Mt. St. Mary's @ St. Peter's (7:00 PM EST) Play On: Mt. St. Mary's +3 1/2
The Mt St Mary's Mountaineers travel to St Peters to take on the Peacocks on Thursday night. Mt St Mary's is 3-4 SU overall this year while St Peters comes in with a 4-2 SU overall record on the season. Mt St Mary's is 5-2 ATS last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Mt St Mary's is 11-5 ATS last 16 road games against a team with a home winning percentage higher than .600. St Peters is 2-5-1 ATS last 8 home games against a team with a road winning percentage less than .400. We'll recommend a small play on Mt St Mary's tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
1* NCAAB - Creighton/Texas FREE Pick on Texas -6.5
Thursday's Free NCAAB Pick is on the Texas Longhorns as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Creighton Bluejays. This isn't so much that I think Creighton isn't any good. It's more I just think this Texas team is that good. I know the schedule hasn't been overly challenging, but the one decent team they played they destroyed. Beating Gonzaga 93-74. Not only is their offense lethal, but their defense is one of the best in the country. There's no easy shots to be had. I just think it's going to be tough for any team to keep it within single digits against them on their home floor. Bet Texas -6.5!
Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Vegas over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.
I think the case can be made that the wrong team is favored in this matchup as the Golden Knights continue their road trip in Pittsburgh on Thursday. Vegas has been a force on the road this season, going 10-2 and outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 goals. In stark contrast, the Penguins are just 4-5 at home and enter this contest on the heels of consecutive home defeats at the hands of the Maple Leafs and Hurricanes. This is a matchup the Knights have undoubtedly had circled after dropping both decisions against the Pens last season by a combined 10-5 score. Here, we'll note that Vegas is a perfect 8-0 against Eastern Conference opponents this season while Pittsburgh is just 15-20 when coming off four or five wins in its last six games over the last two seasons. Take Vegas.
I find this line short as my power ratings have Arizona being a double-digit favorite so I'm laying the points.
You can't help but be impressed with the Wildcats. They are averaging 97.5 points - best in the country - and also rank No. 1 in shooting percentage from the floor at 60.3 percent. The Wildcats won the Maui Invitational beating Cincinnati, San Diego State and Creighton. San Diego State and Creighton were ranked among the top 17 teams.
Utah hasn't been nearly as impressive. The Utes are 5-2 with a bad home loss to Sam Houston State and a neutral-floor defeat to Mississippi State.
The Utes will try to frustrate the Wildcats with their snail's pace. But Arizona can beat the Utes both inside and outside. I don't see Utah as a come-from-behind team so no back-door cover.
Arizona rolled past Utah in both meetings last season winning, 97-77, on the road and 82-64 at home.
Thursday's Free NCAAB Pick: Arizona/Utah OVER 154.5
I'll take my chances with the OVER 154.5 in Thursday's Pac-12 matchup between Arizona and Utah. I think the total here comes down to whether or not Utah can slow down this Wildcats offense. I don't think they will, which is why I think we are going to see at least 160 points in this game.
Arizona has one of the best offenses in the country. They are No. 1 in EFG% offense, No. 1 in pace and No. 3 in offensive adjusted efficiency. It's not just come against a cupcake schedule. They have played Cincinnati, San Diego St and Creighton. The Aztecs defense ranks 15th in Adj. Def. Eff. and they scored 87 on them. Creighton is 38th and they had 81 points on them. Utah ranks 56th in AdjDE.
The only real weakness of this Wildcats offense is they turn the ball over. Ranking No. 293 in offensive TO%. Utah's defense ranks 319th in defensive TO%. I think 85 points or more is likely with the pace they play at. Utah really has no choice but to play at their pace and this is a decent Utah offense going up against a slightly above average Arizona defense. I think they easily hit 70, especially playing at home. That right there gives us 155. Give me the OVER 154.5!
The Arizona Wildcats beat the Utah Utes by 20 on the road and by 18 at home last season. It should be more of the same here when they get together again in the first meeting of 2022. The Wildcats are 6-0 this season and scoring 97.5 PPG. Utah was held to 55 points in a 10-point home loss to Sam Houston State. Their five wins have all come against overmatched competition. They have played a soft schedule and already have two losses. Arizona has played a much stronger schedule with wins over Creighton, San Diego State and Cincinnati. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Give me Arizona.
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