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Wednesday 12/7/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.
The Capitals will undoubtedly draw plenty of support from bettors looking to fade the Flyers off a win and perhaps impressed by Washington's 3-2 victory over the streaking Oilers on Monday. I see value with a scrappy Philadelphia squad here, however, as it looks to wrap up this homestand with a 3-2 record. While the Flyers are just 6-8 on home ice this season, that's considerably better than the Capitals 4-11 road mark (outscored by 0.9 goals on average in those contests). I mentioned the Caps are coming off a victory in Edmonton on Monday and that's worth noting as they're a poor 10-19 in their last 29 games following a road win, outscored by 0.4 goals on average in that situation. Washington has taken the last two meetings in this series but that's its longest win streak over the last seven matchups between the two division rivals. Look for the Flyers to get their revenge here. Take Philadelphia.
Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Wednesday 12-7-22
LA Lakers @ Toronto (7:40 PM EST) Play On: Toronto -9
The Los Angeles Lakers travel to Toronto to take on the Raptors on Wednesday night. The LA Lakers is 10-13 SU overall this year while Toronto comes in with a 12-12 SU overall record on the season. The Lakers are 1-6 SU and ATS this year after a loss by 10 points or more. Lakers are 4-9 ATS last 13 games after an ATS loss. Lakers are 4-9 ATS last 13 games after a SU loss. Lakers are 2-5 ATS last 7 games when playing with no rest. Lakers are 0-7 ATS last 7 games after a SU loss of more than 10 points. Toronto is 4-1 ATS last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Toronto is 19-7 ATS last 26 meetings in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Mike Lundin's Pistons vs Pelicans NBA Free Pick
The Pistons are coming off an upset win at Miami Tuesday night. They'll be playing on no rest, but I still think they can keep it relatively close here in New Orleans. The Pistons are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.
Pelicans are 2-4 ATS as a home favorite of 5 points or more. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
It's also a look-ahead spot for the Pels who have a two-game home series against Western Conference-leading Phoenix on deck Friday/Sunday. FREE PICK ON DETROIT PISTONS.
The Sacramento Kings and Milwaukee Bucks are both fully healthy right now and two of the best offensive teams in the NBA when that's the case. And their recent head-to-head history suggests this is going to be a shootout tonight. The OVER is 19-0 in the last 19 meetings. The Kings and Bucks have combined for at least 243 points in each of their last four meetings. The OVER is 9-0 in the last nine meetings in Milwaukee. Give me the OVER.
I'll take my chances with Vanderbilt as a 3-point home favorite against Pittsburgh. Most are going to look to back the Panthers as a short road dog in this one. Pitt comes in having won 5 straight with the last two being upset road wins over Northwestern and N.C. State. It's hard winning back-to-back on the road and even harder to win 3 straight, especially in a 10-day span.
Vandy is just 4-4, but 3 of their losses have come against Memphis, St. Mary's and VCU. The other is against Southern Miss, who is sitting at 8-1 and has gone from opening the season ranked No. 324 at Kenpom to No. 174.
Not only has Pitt won 5 in a row, but they have covered 4 straight and whenever they go on a ATS run like this, it's a good idea to look the other way. Panthers are just 9-26 (34.6%) ATS in their last 35 after covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Give me the Commodores -3!
Wednesday's Free NCAAB Pick is on the UConn Huskies as a 4.5-point road favorite against Florida. UConn has No. 5 with a perfect 9-0 record. They have a 24-point win over Oregon, 15-point win over Alabama, 18-point win over Iowa State and a 10-point win over Oklahoma State. All those teams rank in the Top 42 at KenPom. UConn has covered 6 straight and are 8-1 ATS on the season. The only game they haven't covered is a 20-point win against Buffalo, where they were favored by 21. I don't think 4.5 is a ridiculous price here. Until the books adjust, I'm going to keep backing this team. Bet UConn -4.5!
I think at this price, the floundering Avs are worth a second look on the "puckline" option. Boston is 20-3, but it comes in off a 4-3 shootout loss to Vegas. With an "easier" game at Arizona on Friday night, will the visiting side get caught "looking ahead?!" The Avs have dropped two in a row and three of their last four. They'll be desperate to break the slide here against the "cream of the crop" in the NHL right now; consider the Avs on the puckline on Wednesday!
AAA Sports
The Golden State Warriors are without their three best players tonight in Steph Curry (30.0 PPG, 7.0 APG), Andrew Wiggins (19.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG) and Draymond Green (8.6 PPG, 7.0 APG, 6.3 RPG). I give them little chance of being competitive on the road at Utah tonight without these three.
Utah has been a great bet all season at 14-12 SU & 15-10-1 ATS through 26 games. The Jazz beat the Clippers by 12 and the Pacers by 20 at home before getting upset by the Blazers in the second of a back-to-back last time out. But they have since had three days off and will be rested and ready to go.
The Jazz also get Mike Conley back from injury tonight and are as healthy as they have been all season. They play a short-handed Warriors team that will be playing their 4th game in 6 days tonight while having to travel to play in altitude.
Golden State is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 road games, including 2-10 ATS in road games this season. Utah is 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. The Jazz are 35-19 ATS in their last 54 home games following a home game. The Warriors are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. teams that make 14 or more 3-pointers per game. Bet the Jazz Wednesday.
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