2-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

CHARLIE

cbb. marquette @ georgetown over 141 (500*)
cbb. indiana st-10 (30*)
cbb. southern miss+12 (20*)
cbb. davidson-4'(20*)
cbb. louisville-5 (10*)
cbb. indiana+22 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

CALIFORNIA SPORTS
4 SOUTH FLORIDA
4 CALIFORNIA
4 UTAH STATE
3 providence
3 florida state
3 colorado under
3 davidson under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

Kelso added
10 units SDSt+5
5 units Cincinnati +5
3 units Ok St. -5
3 units G St. Warriors -8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

John Ryan - NHL.

Pick: Money Line: 122 Nashville Predators Play Title: Nashville

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Nashville as they travel to face St. Louis slated to start at 8:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 44-28 making 36.5 units since 1996. Play against home favorites against the money line off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival and is a tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 31-14 making 23.5 units for 69% winners since 2003. Play on road teams against the money line after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games and is a marginal losing team sporting a win percentage of 40% to 49% playing a losing team in the second half of the season. Here is the third supporting system that has gone 45-29 making 20.7 units since 2003. Play on any team against the money line off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals facing an opponent off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival. St. Louis is in a weak role noting they are 8-15 against the money line (-12.3 Units) in home games against poor teams outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.; 1-7 against the money line (-7.6 Units) off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Take Nashville

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

John Ryan - NHL.
Pick: Money Line: -110 Chicago Blackhawks Play Title: Chicago

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Chicago as they travel to face Dallas slated to start at 2:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 31-12 making 25.5 units since 2003. Play on road teams against the money line that is a poor power play killing team with the opposition scoring on more than 17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the season and is hot offensive team generating 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal. Here is a second system that has gone 67-57 making 36.7 units since 2003. Play against home favorites against the money line revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals, off a home win. Chicago is a strong 11-3 against the money line (+10.6 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams allowing opposition to score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Take Chicago.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Penguins/Flyers over 6

Game 2 - Thrashers/Sharks over 6

Game 3 - Coyotes/Kings over 5.5

Game 4 - Canucks/Leafs over 6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

igz1 sports

Saturday Card 1 Action !!
CBB

5* Providence -1.5 (-110)
4* Under 127 (-110) Indiana vs Purdue
3* UAB -11.5 (-110)
3* Louisiana Tech +9.5 (-110)
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

Seabass Steam (100) Richmond

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

NSA

CBB Notre Dame @ Providence 12:00 PM EST 20* OVER 164.5
CBB Utah St @ Saint Mary's 5:00 PM EST 10* Utah St +5
CBB Wisc Green Bay @ Long Beach St 5:30 PM EST 10* Wisc Green Bay -2.5
CBB Oklahoma @ Texas 9:00 PM EST 10* Texas -1
CBB Loyola Marymount @ Portland 10:00 10* Portland -21
NBA Oklahoma City @ Golden St 10:35 10* OVER 228

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

C T O 11*
Mississippi St

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

4 Unit Play. #621. Take Iona +5 over Boston University (Saturday @ 1pm est). Most received a win with VCU +1.5 yesterday, but it will count as a push just in case some recieved +1 early in the morning. It's more important to use the lowest common denominator to make sure it is fair to everyone and not just most. Let's take the early game in this interconference showdown as we back the Gaels. I have followed Iona as I do all Metro teams for quite some time over the past few years. They have certainly come a long way and by no means are they the laughing stock of division one basketball anymore. This team now sits at 12-15 and certainly if they win out the rest of this season they can be .500. One of the best things about Iona is the fact they handle adversity so well. This is a team that when they need to step up in the toughest of circumstances they do - and when things are a bit easier, they let down. Well, today is such a case when they face a very competent Boston team on the road. But, note that Iona is the same team that went on the road to defeat Hofstra earlier this year by 3, they defeated Niagara on the road as well, took care of Manhattan by 20 on neutral footing and come off a horrible 15 point loss to Siena at home in a game they really weren't competitive in until the late second half. Even at that point, Siena began pulling away near the end. This team has to be furious with that loss and I think they bounce-back well here. Boston is a good looking team, but they to come off a series of losses as they have lost their last three contests. The thing about Boston is, I'm not sure how they will do against a team like Iona who has faced such tougher competition throughout the year. Iona's SOS this year was in the top 150's while Boston's was only around the top 250. Sure, Boston has a PR ranking, but that is because they played more cupcake teams as well. I feel that Iona has the motivation, has played a tougher schedule all year, I like the 5 points, this is an afternoon game where I don't think the crowd will be all that too much of a factor and I think Iona's has showed time and time again they can step up in adversity and I think they get it done here after the really disappointing loss to Siena. Iona likely for the Outright here, if not, I'll take them to stay inside the 5.
*Added analysis (11:05am): It seems since the morning, the line has come down and it is +4.5 and +4 in other books, this play still goes on, similar to when Amare was out for the Suns yesterday, regardless, we still make the play b/c there are several factors that usually work for us with the pod.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

Seabass

500 kent st
100 indiana st
100 west kent
100 ucla
50 utah
30 gtown
30 new mex
30 utep
20 so car
20 ole miss

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

Akmens nhl play

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

IC NBA play.

Play: 4 Unit Play. #507. Take the New Orleans Hornets +8 over the Utah Jazz (Saturday @ 9pm est). (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: 4 Unit Play. #507. Take the New Orleans Hornets +8 over the Utah Jazz (Saturday @ 9pm est). Let's roll with the dog in Utah today as I believe it makes sense for us due to several reasons. For starters, the last time these two teams met, New Orleans was embarrassed 90-116 in Utah. What's wild about that game is that New Orleans was actually leading after the first quarter 33-29 and had a horrendous second quarter 13-29. Utah definitely received some favorable calls in that game going to the line 44 times as compared to New Orleans's 21 times. Did you see what the Hornets were able to do with no Tyson Chandler against the Lakers? They nearly beat this team Outright on the road - and it took a Derek Fisher 3 pointer just to send it to overtime. Now, I'm not saying the Hornets can't get blown out. Heck, I nearly took the over in GS today. But, I am saying they have a good chance of being competitive regardless of the back to back. You better believe the Hornets coaching staff will remind this team of the 26 point loss this team suffered last time out in New Orleans. You better also believe that Chris Paul, Butler, Peja, Posey, Armstrong will be ready to roll today. Peja only had 7 points in their last meeting so I expect him to have a better game today and I just go back to the fact that this team faced the same spread of 8 and who knows, maybe even 8.5 prior to game time and the Hornets are a team that typically does well on revenge angles - after all, look what they did to the Magic at home in New Orleans just a couple of days ago. I like the fact that Utah comes off a big win against the Celtics at home, so this could be a bit of a letdown, although a bit about a lack of bench for the Hornets, with Peterson possibly coming back, with Posey, Devin Brown and Sean Marks seeing more minutes, I think the Hornets can be competitive here. If the Hornets can stage off a big 3rd quarter by the Jazz which is likely, I feel great catching the points heading into the fourth quarter. Look for the Hornets to play far better defense today and not allow the 116 they allowed last time out in New Orleans as I expect this to be a 96-100 type of contest.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-21-09

Randall the Handle

Pittsburgh +1.49 over PHILADELPHIA (REG) (1:00 PM) PINNACLE

Sergei Gonchar is really a difference maker for the Penguins and his presence just make everyone feel and play a whole lot better. Pittsburgh beat the Canadiens 5-4 on Thursday night but the score shouldn’t have been that close, as Marc Andre Fleury allowed two soft goals and definitely wasn’t sharp. However, the offense looked so much crisper and we all know that Fleury can come up huge. The Flyers are difficult to beat because of an offense that’s loaded with snipers. Philly’s problem however, is going to be keeping pucks out of its net. Marty Biron looked very shaky against the Sabres on Thursday and the Flyers defense is just not that strong. So, with its back to the wall and somewhat of a new lease on life, we’ll see today exactly what the Penguins are made of here. Play Pittsburgh +1.49 (Risking 2 units).



Ottawa +1.50 over MONTREAL (REG) (3:00 PM) PINNACLE

Where do I get in line to lay –1.60 on the Montreal Canadiens? Can there possibly be a worse wager on the board today? The Habs’ grease-fire keeps getting larger and at some point they’ll win a game but it’s not likely to occur here. This bunch is feeling the pressure of a total collapse and with 12 losses in its last 15 games (it should be 14 losses because they were so badly outplayed in wins against L.A. and Colorado), the Canadiens are in serious trouble. They’ll also return home from a grueling six-game trip amidst some serious allegations against three of its players that links them to an alleged big-time drug dealer. Anyway, the situation for the Habs is that this team over-achieved last season, they overachieved at the start of the year and now its true colors are being shown. A slew of very average players had big years last season and frankly, the Canadiens are just not a good team and they’re not going to get any better until some major changes are made. Alex Kovalev will be back in the line-up today but big deal. Said coach Guy Carbonneau, “Alex has made it clear to me and Bob how much he wants to stay and fight for the Montreal Canadiens. That’s the most important thing and why it was an easy decision for me to have him come back and play against Ottawa.” Well, your holiness, thank you so much for your decision to allow Kovalev to play for you. What a joke Carbonneau is. This guy actually believes his you-know-what doesn’t stink. The Sens at least have shown a little heart recently and they have a lot more talent than the Habs. They picked up a couple of decent players from the Islanders this week (Comrie and Campoli) and those two guys can only help. The Canadiens favored by –1.60 in its current situation is absolutely ludicrous and win, lose or draw, the Sens are a must play. Play: Ottawa +1.50 (Risking 2 units).



LOS ANGELES -½ +1.10 over Phoenix (REG) (4:00 PM) PINNACLE

All I have to say is that there are some teams that had better hope that the Kings miss the playoffs because playing them in the first round could result in an early exit or at the very least, use up a ton of energy in getting past this very dangerous squad. The Kings are playing tremendous hockey right now despite just one win in its last five games. How can a team be playing great with one win in five games you ask? Well, they absolutely dominated Calgary, Edmonton and Atlanta but ran into some hot goalies and ended up losing. It’s other loss came at San Jose in the tail end of back-to-backs after beating the Ducks the previous night. Now they’ll catch the very fragile Coyotes at precisely the right time. The Coyotes have been in a horrible funk since the all-star break and it’s also worth noting that they have one of the worst road records in the business. Phoenix has now dropped nine of its last 11 and things are surely not, going to get any easier here. The Kings desperately need to win a game at home and this intruder is about as ripe as it gets. Play Los Angeles -½ +1.10 (Risking 2 units).



Chicago –1.08 over DALLAS (REG) (2:00 PM) PINNACLE

The Blackhawks are on a serious roll right now and it just makes sense to lay this cheap price with them against a Stars team that looked sharp coming out of the break but has been anything but over its past few games. Dallas was smoked by these Blackhawks three games ago 6-2 and followed that up with a 3-2 OT win over the Jackets. However, they were badly outplayed in that game, getting out-shot 43-22. Against Chicago they were out-shot 36-18. The Blackhawks come in here with their confidence soaring. They have recent road wins in San Jose, Calgary and Florida and over its last three games they’ve out-shot the opposition by a ridiculous 127-72 count. Chicago has also scored 15 times over that three game stretch while allowing just five goals against, which is a testament to just how good both the defense and Cristobal Huet are playing. Furthermore, the Blackhawks have a significant psychological edge as they’ve destroyed the Stars all three times they’ve played them this year while outscoring them 17-7. Play: Chicago –1.08 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).



COLUMBUS -½ +1.09 over Anaheim (REG) PINNACLE

The Jackets have won six of its last seven games and the only loss during that stretch came in OT against Dallas in a game they clearly deserved to win. They out-shot Dallas 43-22 and were all over them from start to finish. The Jackets also own a tremendous home record with just nine regulation losses in 30 games and now there’s a little buzz in the building, as the team is approaching its first playoff appearance in its brief history. During its current run the Jackets have beaten both Detroit and San Jose and it’s not like they’re taking a step up in class against the sometimes-gutless Ducks. Anaheim comes in here losers of three straight and five of seven. Over its last three games they’ve allowed 17 goals against and that includes allowing eight at home to the Thrashers. It will also be the Ducks third game in four nights after they played in Detroit last night and playing that team always takes its toll. The Jackets are a juiced up team heading to the playoffs that’ll be playing to a juiced up home crowd and this ripe Ducks team is not about to get in its way. Play: Columbus -½ +1.09 (Risking 2 units).