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The public is all over Ohio St. as the short number for the home team looks very attractive. However the wrong team is favored in what should be a big bounce back game for Illinois. The Illini are coming off one of the worst offensive games we have seen lately as they managed to score only 33 points on 30 percent shooting in a home loss against Penn St. Embarrassment is an understatement and they want to make up for that performance on Sunday. Their 33 points ranked as the school?s worst output since 1947 and displayed what happens when the Illini aren?t at their sharpest when cutting, screening and doing all of the other motion offense basics. Ohio St. prefers to play a zone defense so the motion offense may not be an option and that will work in the favor of Illinois as it can rely on open looks from the perimeter. Ohio St. has lost two straight games and even though those came on the road, this is a tough bounce back assignment at home. Illinois continues to lead the Big Ten and rank among the nation?s leaders in multiple assist-based categories. Entering the week, the Illini ranked first in the country in assists-per-basket ratio at 70.2 percent, 3rd in assist/turnover ratio at 1.48 and 5th in assists per game at 18.1 assists per contest. Ohio St. cannot match up with those numbers and all we need to see is its assist/turnover ratio which is at 0.99 and fading teams that are below the breakeven point is usually very rewarding. Illinois won the first meeting this season by 18 points and while it sets up a revenge situation, the matchups outweigh any sort of revenge that is thought to be come into play. The Illini fall into a great situation. Play on road teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams that are allowing fewer than 63 ppg, after scoring 50 points or less. This situation is 32-13 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1997. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss so it has been able to bounce back very well of late and we will see it again on Sunday. 3* Illinois
NCAA
Play Duquesne (+3) over LaSalle* (Top NCAA Play)
Duquesne has won and covered the spread in 2 consecutive games vs. LaSalle on the road and they have also won 3 consecutive games coming off two or more losses. Duquesne is averaging over 81 points a game on the road this season.
Play Seton Hall (+1) over St. John’s* (Bonus NCAA Play)
Seton Hall has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games and they have also covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games coming off two or more conference games. St. John’s has lost 10 of the last 12 games.
Play Wake Forest (+6) over Duke* (Bonus NCAA Play)
NBA Hoops
Play New York (+3.5) over Toronto (NBA Top Play)
10* Take Villanova (+2.5) over Syracuse (NCAA Power Play)
Villanova
• 12-4 ATS coming off a conference home win
• 8-2 ATS coming off three or more conference games
• 8-2 ATS over the last 10 games
10* Take Charlotte (+6.5) over Houston (NBA Power Play)
Charlotte
• 12-4 ATS when playing 6 games or less in 14 days
• 20-10 ATS coming off an UNDER the total this season
• 14-6 ATS after having lost 2 of the last 3 games this season
(847) ILLINOIS
(848) OHIO STATE
Take "(848) OHIO STATE"
Illinois looks like they're in excellent shape for an invite to the NCAA Tournament. The landscape isn't as attractive for Ohio State. The Buckeyes are definitely still in the hunt, but this is a game they really need. I think there's a pretty good chance they'll get it. Ohio State has thoroughly dominated the Illini on this court, covering seven of their last eight meetings as hosts. The game power rates very close to even, so there's really no line value with Ohio State, but I believe the situation is solid enough to warrant a lean to the Buckeyes today.
(813) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
(814) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
Take "Over"
The Blazers have a potent offense, as was evident the last game, a thorough 108-98 victory over the Atlanta Hawks. They racked up 44 points in the paint, accumulated 22 second-chance points. The Blazers used hot shooting to build a 97-61 lead. Fueled by a small lineup, the Blazers made 7 of their first 10 field goals in the fourth quarter as Rudy Fernandez was swishing jumpers and Brandon Roy was doing a little bit of everything. Now they face a team that plays no defense, giving up 140 and 142 points the last two games. In fact, the disinterested Clippers are on a 9-1 run over the total. Look for plenty of points in the Rose Garden, play the Clippers/Blazers over the total.
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