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Wednesday 12/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Dec 28 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Oregon
Play on: OVER 75 -110
Wednesday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Oregon and North Carolina at 8 pm et on Wednesday.
I'm not sure they can set this total high enough as both teams deal with key injuries and opt-outs on the defensive side of the football while still boasting explosive offensive attacks. I'm certain the Tar Heels will use their near-two touchdown underdog status as a motivating factor here and throw everything they have at the Ducks. Oregon will be without two of its top defenders in LB Noah Sewell and CB Christian Gonzalez. It's an even tougher situation for the North Carolina defense, as the bulk of its secondary hit the transfer portal, leaving it severely short-handed from a talent perspective as it prepares to face one of the nation's best passing attacks. Ducks QB Bo Nix gave the team a shot of confidence, announcing he'll be back next season. Like North Carolina, I don't anticipate Oregon holding anything back in what has the potential to be one of the most entertaining Bowl games of the season. Take the over.
Wednesday's NBA Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -4
I'll take my chances with the Bucks as a 4-point road favorite against the Bulls. I just have zero faith in this Chicago team and love this spot for Milwaukee. In typical Bulls fashion, Chicago won three straight on the road to close out a 4-game trip with a 118-133 loss at home to the Rockets as a 7-point favorite. Bulls are just 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games.
As for the Bucks, Milwaukee should be extremely motivated in this one after losing 3 straight. The most recent being that ugly 118-139 setback at Boston on Christmas Day. The previous two were on the road against two more East powers in the Cavs and Nets. All 3 of those teams, Boston, Cleveland and Brooklyn have at least 22 wins on the season. Chicago is 14-19 and currently on the outside of the playoff picture.
Milwaukee was also a dog in all 3 of those games. Bucks are 24-12 ATS last 2 seasons as a road favorite, winning by an averaging of nearly 8 ppg. Bulls are 8-18 ATS last 2 seasons vs a top tier team that's won 60% to 70% of their games. Give me Milwaukee -4.5!
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Utah Jazz -4
This is a terrible spot for the Golden State Warriors. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days tonight. They are already short-handed, and they won't have much left in the tank for the Utah Jazz, who will push the tempo and test their tired legs.
The Warriors are actually getting some respect here after upsetting Memphis on Christmas Day and covering in a 5-point win as a 4.5-point favorite over the Hornets last night, who were tired themselves playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Warriors remain without Curry (30.0 PPG) and Wiggins (19.1 PPG) and will be without Thompson (18.7 PPG), who scored 24 against Memphis and 29 against Charlotte the past two games.
The Jazz come in rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. They are fully healthy right now with the exception of Kelly Olynyk, who is questionable with an ankle injury and could return to the lineup tonight. Either way, I think the Jazz make easy work of the depleted Warriors in this one.
Plays against home underdogs (Golden State) - off a home win scoring 110 points or more, when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 47-22 (68.1%) ATS since 1996. Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Utah) - off an upset loss as a favorite against an opponent that's off a home win scoring 110 points or more are 58-23 (71.6%) ATS since 1996. Bet the Jazz Wednesday.
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