Saturday 12/31/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Santa Anita Tip Sheet - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $250,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 JOE HERNANDEZ STAKES GARDE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	8	Hit the Road	L Dettori
PLACE	7-2	5	Whatmakessammyrun	J Bravo
SHOW	4-1	10	Smooth Like Strait	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Air Force Red	J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Lane Way	M E Smith
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	4	Gregorian Chant	F Prat
* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/10 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX
COMMENTS: HIT THE ROAD won four of six on Santa Anita grass. WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN is undefeated in three on Santa Anita turf. SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT should be near pick form in the third start after a layoff. AIR FORCE RED is an all or nothing horse but mostly all at the distance with three wins in four races.
RACE #2 $40,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 IMPOSSIBLE TASK
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	2	Impossible Task	K Kimura
PLACE	5-2	3	Bold Endeavor	D A Herrera
SHOW	7-2	7	Order and Law	E A Maldonado
WILD CARD	6-1	5	All Eyes West	A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Direct Line	U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1	Baladi	T J Pereira
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 ROBERT J FRANKEL STAKES GRADE III
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	10	Queen Goddess	J R Velazquez
PLACE	7-2	5	Englands Rose	V Espinoza
SHOW	6-1	9	Avenue de France	L Dettori
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Closing Remarks	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Burgoo Alley	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Island of Love	R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/9/10 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX
COMMENTS: QUEEN GODDESS missed as the favorite in her last. Trainer Michael McCarthy rebounds at 32 percent. ENGLANDS ROSEs internal race numbers improved from start to finish in her last effort. AVENUE DE FRANCE ran a little better times last out. CLOSING REMARKS finished in the trifecta six of eight Santa Anita races.
RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	2	Wegonahavagoodtime	K Kimura
PLACE	6-1	6	Agador Spartacus	R A Vazquez
SHOW	5-2	4	American Grit	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Curly Esa	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Boomer Justice	A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Samba Flavor	U Rispoli
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #5 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	3	Valiancer	K Frey
PLACE	5-1	14	Texthelegend	J J Hernandez
SHOW	7-2	9	Lasmuigh	F Prat
WILD CARD	6-1	10	Sir Pistolero	L Dettori
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Johannes	U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Midnight Taxes	H I Berrios
* EXACTA: 3-14 BOX, 14-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/9/14 BOX, 9/10/14 BOX
RACE #6 $40,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 BRIGHT LEAF
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Bright Leaf	F Prat
PLACE	3-1	6	Houndstooth	R A Vazquez
SHOW	6-1	2	American Cat	K Frey
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Street Art	M E Smith
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Encode	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	8	American Refugee	J J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #7 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	7	Real Fire	F Prat
PLACE	4-1	10	Katerini	A Aguilar
SHOW	5-1	5	Albayaader	M E Smith
WILD CARD	15-1	11	Side by Side	G Franco
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	8	Saddle Up Jessie	L Dettori
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Buy American	D A Herrera
* EXACTA: 7-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 5/10/11 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:37 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 LAS FLORES STAKES GRADE III
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	6	Violent Runner	E A Ellingwood
PLACE	5-1	8	Doris Mae	J J Hernandez
SHOW	5-2	2	Samurai Charm	F Prat
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Anacapa	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	7	Lady T	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Manorelli	E A Maldonado
* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
COMMENTS: VIOLENT RUNNER won four in a row including a pair at Santa Anita. DORIS MAE won her last two after more than a year on the sidelines. SAMURAI CHARM won her last two starts and improved her fractions last out. ANACAPAs in race pace numbers improve from gate to wire with better times.
RACE #9 $72,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:09 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 ALTRUIST
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	5	Altruist	G Franco
PLACE	4-1	1	Lovesick Blues	J J Hernandez
SHOW	6-1	12	Augusta Melody	A Cedillo
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Exceed Speed Limit	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Code Duello	K Frey
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Virat	U Rispoli
* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX, 12-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/12 BOX, 1/7/12 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fair Grounds Tip sheet - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $15,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Chipeee	J L Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	3	Harpes Hill	R Gutierrez
SHOW	5-2	1	Chads Flash	C J Hernandez
WILD CARD	10-1	4	All Together	B Culp
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	1A	Buck Doll Taylor	D Cohen
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Tucker the Grump	T S Albert
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #2 $100,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 LOUISIANA FUTURITY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-5	5	Norah G	D L Parker
PLACE	5-1	4	Star Moment	C J Hernandez
SHOW	9-2	7	Hopeitsmyluckyday	E Nieves
WILD CARD	5-1	1	New Destiny	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Everlyns Angel	J Stokes
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	6	Paramour	J Loveberry
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
COMMENTS: NORAH G ran the highest last race speed figure missing by a neck at this level. STAR MOMENT won her debut as the 2 to 5 favorite. HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY got the maiden win in the third try with a little quicker fractions despite going a half furlong longer. NEW DESTINY rides the high win rate rail.
RACE #3 $22,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	1A	Glenns Jumper	J L Rodriguez
PLACE	9-2	5	Optimal Courage	D L Parker
SHOW	10-1	3	India Ink	C J Hernandez
WILD CARD	2-1	2	Beverly Park	M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Populist	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	8	Young Tuscan	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #4 $52,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 MEDLEY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Medley	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	9-2	6	Vale Male	E Nieves
SHOW	5-2	7	Nosilverspoonshere	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Shellis Angel	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	5	Sky High Susan	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Miss Kennedy	J Loveberry
* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #5 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 WOODCHOPPER STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	3	Open Road	J Talamo
PLACE	5-2	8	Ready to Purrform	F Geroux
SHOW	6-1	5	Sutherland	R Gutierrez
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Straight Answer	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Un Ojo	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Britains Kitten	D L Parker
* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
COMMENTS: OPEN ROAD very consistent performer through five career starts for tier one trainer Brad Cox. READY TO PURRFORM drops in class after competing in a trio of graded stakes. SUTHERLAND finished in the trifecta in his last six starts including the highest last race speed figure. STRAIGHT ANSWER will look to improve on his US debut after running competitively in Irish group races.
RACE #6 $51,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 KUPUNA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	3	Kupuna	R Gutierrez
PLACE	9-2	2	Bright Spark	A Beschizza
SHOW	7-2	6	Guntown	F Geroux
WILD CARD	4-1	4	Global Sensation	J Theriot
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	Ricky Bobby	E Nieves
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	1	French Composer	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #7 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 VIVACIOUSLY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Vivaciously	F Geroux
PLACE	3-1	1	Comparative	C J Hernandez
SHOW	8-1	7	Nancy Spain	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	9-2	8	Ghostly Girl	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	9	Spartan Queen	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	11	Lovin On the Run	B Culp
* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 PAGO HOP STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	3	Dreamworker	D L Parker
PLACE	8-1	4	Trobairitz	A Beschizza
SHOW	3-1	9	Free Like a Girl	P L Cotto Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Fancy Martini	J Graham
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	7	A Mo Reay	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	8	Trail Ridge Road	J Loveberry
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX
COMMENTS: DREAMWORKER has two wins in three Fair Grounds grass goes and no win in four elsewhere. TROBAIRITZ also won twice in three on Fair Grounds turf and is winless in eight elsewhere. TRAIL RIDGE ROAD improved in his first four races on grass and then tried dirt last out. That did not work and he goes back to turf. FANCY MARTINI ran better internal pace numbers through the first half mile in his last effort and has a bullet work since.
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 LOUISIANA FUTURITY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	Jack Hammer	R Gutierrez
PLACE	3-1	2	Z Resurrection	B Culp
SHOW	7-2	3	Calicoco	D L Parker
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Kings Lute	T Thornton
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	7	Ranch Water	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Stiff Drink	A Castillo
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
COMMENTS: JACK HAMMER won his debut with ease and drew away late. Z RESURRECTION got the maiden win score in career start number two with a dominate wire to wire effort. CALICOCO got incrementally better from race to race in his first three outings. KINGS LUTE ran better pace numbers through 4 furlongs and could up his game today in the classic third start after a layoff.
RACE #10 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	4	Sweet Chablis	R Gutierrez
PLACE	9-2	10	Mo Shiro	J Loveberry
SHOW	4-1	8	Shes Lookin Lucky	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Watch This Munny	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	6	Oath of Allegiance	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Lady With a Cause	B J Hernandez Jr.
* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/10 BOX, 2/8/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $51,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	6	Dixie Fury	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	8-1	1	Atkins	N Juarez
SHOW	7-2	8	Day Trade	T Baze
WILD CARD	3-1	7	Lord Grantham	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Salta	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Rithm Nic	K R Jordan
* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
RACE #2 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:58 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 KIDS LAST LAUGH
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	3	Kids Last Laugh	F Arrieta
PLACE	9-5	9	Magical Song	J Talamo
SHOW	8-1	2	Bolt for Allison	N Juarez
WILD CARD	15-1	7	Unstable Princess	M Michel
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	8	Wish It	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Summertime Rose	G Saez
* EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
RACE #3 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:26 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Doughty	J Talamo
PLACE	7-2	11	Summorya	R Bejarano
SHOW	3-1	2	Golden Joy	C A Torres
WILD CARD	10-1	9	Bennykayandsuzytoo	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Sassy Lass	C Bailey
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Lassie My Girl	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 2/9/11 BOX
RACE #4 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:54 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SUN THUNDER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Sun Thunder	D Cabrera
PLACE	10-1	12	Seas of Normandy	G Saez
SHOW	12-1	3	Hard to Come By	A Triana Jr.
WILD CARD	30-1	10	Runnin Block	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	8	The Heights	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	King Russell	R Bejarano
* EXACTA: 5-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/12 BOX, 3/10/12 BOX
RACE #5 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	9	Stuck N Snow	L S Quinonez
PLACE	15-1	13	Wicked Prince	E Gonzalez
SHOW	10-1	10	Chupapi Munyayo	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	8-1	11	Pearcy Road	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	14	Shake Up	N Juarez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Black Apple	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 9-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/10/13 BOX, 10/11/13 BOX
RACE #6 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 RENAISSANCE STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	6	Count de Monet	S Sanjur
PLACE	10-1	3	Spurrier	R Bejarano
SHOW	6-5	4	Two Eagles River	N Juarez
WILD CARD	20-1	5	Choctaw Zip	D Cabrera
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Frosted Departure	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Bourbon Bash	M Michel
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
COMMENTS: COUNT DE MONET won his three races and they were not close. SPURRIER won his debut with strong race internals. TWO EAGLES RIVER missed by a neck in his last and gets first Lasix. CHOCTAW ZIP improves immensely in his second start.
RACE #7 $104,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	30-1	12	Shes Storming	K R Jordan
PLACE	8-5	11	Twirled	I Castillo
SHOW	5-2	10	U Glow Girl	J Talamo
WILD CARD	12-1	2	Yolanda Who	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	5	Pioneer Parade	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Proud Mule	A A Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 12-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 10/11/12 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX
RACE #8 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:46 PM ET
BEST BET: #12 PEACE CRUISER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	12	Peace Cruiser	C A Torres
PLACE	3-1	2	Malibu Toast	J Talamo
SHOW	15-1	8	Barstool Babe	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Goldenshuga	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Dear Lady	D Cabrera
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Pacific View	N Juarez
* EXACTA: 12-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/12 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
RACE #9 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:14 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 YEARS END STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	12-1	2	Unifying	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	7-5	1	Defining Purpose	D Cabrera
SHOW	9-2	7	Bluelightspecial	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	20-1	5	Charlee Mae	N Juarez
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	9	Fabulous Candy	J Hiraldo
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Take Charge Briana	C A Torres
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
COMMENTS: UNIFYING has plenty of early giddy up and go and gets first time Lasix. DEFINING PURPOSE ran the top last race speed figure and drops from a grade II stakes. BLUELIGHTSPECIALs last race was better than it looks in the PPs with better fractions at 1 mile versus 7 furlongs. CHARLEE MAE got the maiden win by destroying the field of 10 by 7 lengths.
RACE #10 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	13	Uncle Reg	N Juarez
PLACE	5-2	8	Easy Action	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	12-1	4	Soybean Man	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Eyeing Clover	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Woodys Choice	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Interlock Empire	N Juarez
* EXACTA: 13-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/13 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 TROPIC STORM
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Tropic Storm	G Corrales
PLACE	20-1	5	Gun Rush	J Padron-Barcenas
SHOW	6-1	1	Golden Survivor	D J Haldar
WILD CARD	5-1	3	Eyes of Glory	F Peterson
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	4	Holiday House	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Loot the Moon	C Miller
* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 PURE PANIC
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Pure Panic	L Machado
PLACE	7-2	7	Strugar	J McKee
SHOW	10-1	1	Hemp Heaven	D Cannon
WILD CARD	5-1	10	Dark Oak	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	9	Good On Ya	D J Haldar
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	2	Spend Benjamins	F De La Cruz
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX
RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	10	More Than Work	C Landeros
PLACE	9-5	6	King Curlin	G Corrales
SHOW	6-1	4	Vintage Year	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	30-1	3	Self Rule	A Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Qaader	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Code Violation	D Cannon
* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/10 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Ms Merrabel	A Achard
PLACE	10-1	7	Celestial Spin	J D Ramos
SHOW	15-1	1	Crossed Up	R Aragon
WILD CARD	10-1	6	C V Thunder	A Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	2	Supertaleofhoudini	D J Haldar
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	11	Pelletier	F De La Cruz
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
RACE #5 $72,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	14	Drive for Fun	E Esquivel
PLACE	12-1	1	Grey Charmer	L Machado
SHOW	3-1	6	Gilded Ruler	C Landeros
WILD CARD	5-2	3	Mendenhall	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	11	Caramelito	D J Haldar
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Step Forward	D Cannon
* EXACTA: 14-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/14 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
RACE #6 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	9	Memphis Prayer	I Ayala
PLACE	2-1	11	Hard Rye Guy	G Corrales
SHOW	9-2	10	Military Force	W A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	15-1	3	Beocca	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	7	Horse Daddy	M Franklin
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Mr. Cunningham	R Chirinos
* EXACTA: 9-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/10/11 BOX, 3/10/11 BOX
RACE #7 $125,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Sassy and Bold	L Machado
PLACE	7-2	6	Whatchamacall	G Corrales
SHOW	6-1	11	Liliesformillie	J Gilligan
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Secret Statement	V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	9	B G Warrior	D J Haldar
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Jersey Pearl	A Lezcano
* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/11 BOX, 5/6/11 BOX
RACE #8 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 ENDPOINT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	9	Endpoint	G Corrales
PLACE	7-2	10	What a Blast	V Cheminaud
SHOW	4-1	13	First Class Harlow	J Gilligan
WILD CARD	10-1	7	Cashmeup	L Machado
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	12	Caesars Ghost	A Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Dancers Pharoah	J Morales
* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-13 BOX, 13-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/10/13 BOX, 7/10/13 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 AIDINGANDABETTING
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	1	Aidingandabetting	S Camacho
PLACE	7-2	7	Baker Block	S Camacho Jr.
SHOW	2-1	5	Compass Cay	C E Rojas
WILD CARD	4-1	4	Confident N Elite	M Rowland
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Dun Right	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Awkward Pause	M Fuentes
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
RACE #2 $19,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	3	Tiz Herself	P Morales
PLACE	8-1	1	Pretty Rachel	J C Ferrer
SHOW	5-2	4	Antigone	S Camacho
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Sneaky Cheeky	S Camacho Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Expect to Be Ready	S Marin
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Peacelovenkarma	H R Diaz Jr.
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 ALYANAABI
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	7	Alyanaabi	R Feliciano
PLACE	20-1	10	Boca Guy	J A Batista
SHOW	9-2	4	Angels Magic	A Quinonez
WILD CARD	9-2	8	Simms	J L Castanon
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Shipwreck	J C Ferrer
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Tapintoyourbeer	S Camacho
* EXACTA: 7-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/10 BOX, 4/8/10 BOX
RACE #4 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	8	My Brother Mike	S Marin
PLACE	5-1	2	My Big Drama	M Meneses
SHOW	6-1	3	El Mic Tiesun	L Sosa
WILD CARD	15-1	5	Mister Fernando	A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	Edmund Fitzgerald	S Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Its Me Again	L Sanchez
* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #5 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #11 RISK VS REWARD
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	11	Risk Vs Reward	S Camacho
PLACE	5-1	5	Summer Palace	P Morales
SHOW	9-2	1	Silent Sonata	S Camacho
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Tap Em	C E Rojas
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	8	Beach Holiday	R D Allen Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	9	Sociallongdistance	J L Alonso
* EXACTA: 11-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/11 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #6 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Bazoo	A A Gallardo
PLACE	8-1	9	Preferred Outcome	J L Castanon
SHOW	4-1	5	Rookie Salsa	M Jimenez
WILD CARD	10-1	4	Hot and Heavy	C E Rojas
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Kevin Witte	J C Ferrer
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	2	Paladio	H R Diaz Jr.
* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX
RACE #7 $22,000 STARTER HANDICAP 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:33 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 GOWELL STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	10-1	8	On the Couch	S Camacho
PLACE	2-1	2	Smithwicks Spice	A A Gallardo
SHOW	5-1	3	Fatimas Blessing	A Suarez
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Hard Attack	P Morales
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Dream Liner	C E Rojas
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Prairie	D Centeno
* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
COMMENTS: SASSY AND BOLD won her first race on TP all weather track with her best effort in three career starts. WHATCHAMACALL win her last two which includes the top last race speed figure. LILIESFORMILLIE is another that might prefer synthetic as she improved tremendously in her first go around at Turfway. SECRET STATEMENT ships in from Churchill Downs and has some sterling works getting ready.
RACE #8 $27,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	9	Rasmalai	A Flores
PLACE	5-1	3	Moanas Power	A S Arroyo
SHOW	8-1	10	Dannyhill	M Meneses
WILD CARD	3-1	8	Lil Miss Camille	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Summer of Mischief	D Centeno
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	4	Band Sweetheart	H Villa-Gomez
* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 3/8/10 BOX
RACE #9 $22,000 STARTER HANDICAP 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	15-1	8	Lenten Rose	J C Ferrer
PLACE	7-2	5	Slime Queen	P Morales
SHOW	3-1	6	Pugilist	A A Gallardo
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Katies a Lady	J A Batista
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	12	Make No Mistake	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Inannas Quest	D Centeno
* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	9	Factually Correct	J Lezcano
PLACE	5-1	6	Dr. Kraft	J A Davis
SHOW	6-1	2	Four Eyes	E Cancel
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Makers Candy	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Tunnel Vision	D Davis
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	8	Kid Billy	J A Vargas Jr.
* EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 EMINENCY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	Eminency	M Franco
PLACE	4-1	6	Nicholas James	K Carmouche
SHOW	20-1	5	Sight Unseen	H K Harkie
WILD CARD	9-2	7	Ginnsu Warrior	D Davis
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	8	Mattys Marauder	J A Vargas Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	9	Hesgottashortfuse	G Huayas
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:18 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ROSSA VELOCE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Rossa Veloce	M Franco
PLACE	12-1	6	Violent Vixen	D Davis
SHOW	6-1	4	Snicket	L A Rodriguez Castro
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Shesalittle Edgy	E Cancel
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Patty H	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Royal Meghan	G Huayas
* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #4 $50,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:46 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	1	Mommasgottarun	K Carmouche
PLACE	5-1	3	Alarm Clock	H K Harkie
SHOW	6-1	9	Laughter	M Franco
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Serenade Soldier	J A Davis
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Diamond Collector	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Divine Wine	G Huayas
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 3/5/9 BOX
RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 JET SPEED
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	3	Jet Speed	J Lezcano
PLACE	6-1	1	Braciole	J A Gomez
SHOW	4-1	8	Amedeus Music	D Davis
WILD CARD	9-2	9	Balis Shade	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	4	Maxim Moment	G Huayas
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Mister Candy Ride	K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
RACE #6 $75,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:42 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Carbon	K Carmouche
PLACE	9-2	2	Kant Hurry Love	M Franco
SHOW	6-1	8	Royal Currency	D Davis
WILD CARD	10-1	7	Big Bean Christine	J A Vargas Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	1	Fancy Feline	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Bettys Smile	J A Davis
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
RACE #7 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	7	Curlins Wisdom	J Lezcano
PLACE	3-1	5	Winit	K Carmouche
SHOW	9-2	2	I Am the Law	J A Gomez
WILD CARD	5-1	6	King of Dreams	C Olivero
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	No Burn	D Davis
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	Bourbon Calling	M Franco
* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 QUEENS COUNTY STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Law Professor	M Franco
PLACE	8-1	4	Bourbonic	K Carmouche
SHOW	5-1	10	Unbridled Bomber	D Davis
WILD CARD	30-1	1	Naval Aviator	J Laprida
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Ridin With Biden	F Pennington
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Southern District	L A Batista
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/10 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
COMMENTS: LAW PROFESSOR drops in class after running in the Breeders Cup and has been training well for this spot. BOURBONIC has three wins in six races at Aqueduct including the Wood Memorial. UNBRIDLED BOMBER won two in a row with ease and has a bullet work on December 18. NAVAL AVIATOR ran better fractions in his last despite going a little longer.
RACE #9 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:08 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	11	Rough Sea	J Lezcano
PLACE	5-1	8	Optic Way	M Franco
SHOW	3-1	6	Musical Heart	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	15-1	2B	Uno	L A Rodriguez Castro
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Dust Devil	M Olver
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Runabout	D Davis
* EXACTA: 11-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/8/11 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 31, 2022

Dec. 30, 2022


Race 10 at Gulfstream Park | Saturday December 31 | Post Time 4:40 PM Eastern
Harlan’s Holiday Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $150,000 | One Mile and One-Sixteenth | Three Years Olds and Upward
Top contenders:
O’ Connor (1) won nine of 18 races in his native Chile before importing to the U.S. to run here at Gulfstream and at this mile and one-sixteenth trip last October. Even after six months off he picked up where he left off, in a second level allowance race when rallying from fifth of seven early to win powerfully by six lengths. This Grade 3 stakes is a couple of steps up but since he earned a field high 105 Equibase Figure and winning so easily, he’s the one to beat. That being said he opens as the 8 to 5 favorite and a win bet may not be the best approach to making a profit from this pretty logical horse, not to mention there are two others who have slight upset potential.
Those two are Clapton (8) and South Bend (5). Clapton (8) has had a good campaign in 2022, with a 3-2-2 record in 10 races, and all four of his career wins (in 16 starts) have come on the Gulfstream Park main track. Most importantly, he’s three compared to five for O’ Connor so Clapton potentially has improving to do while O’ Connor may have run the fastest he’s capable of. That may mean something as Clapton earned 102 Equibase Figures in two of his last three races. Getting RED HOT Tyler Gaffalione for the first time, who is two for six when riding for trainer Alvarado the past two years, Clapton has one more significant factor in his favor and that is his most recent workout as SPECTACULAR as he blazed four furlongs over the track on 12/24 in 48 flat, which was the best of ONE HUNDRED and FIFTY-EIGHT workouts at the distance on the day. He opens at 8 to 1 odds.
South Bend (5) opens at 6 to 1 and would be playable to win at those odds. He’s winless in eight races this year BUT missed by a nose and a head in a stakes quality allowance race at Churchill Downs when last seen in November, with a 100 figure, and he finished second in THIS RACE in 2021 at six to one odds after shipping in from an identical prep race in Kentucky. Rosario rides and the similarity to last year is very hard to ignore.
Win bets:

As for win bets, I would bet Clapton (8) or South Bend (5) to win at four to one or higher.

O’ Connor (1) isn’t nearly as good of a win bet as either Clapton (8) or South Bend (5) so we’ll use exactas to profit if he wins.

Exactas:

O’ Connor (1) over South Bend (5), Clapton (8)

Box O’ Connor (1), South Bend (5), Clapton (8)

Trifectas: (for these bets we’ll add Pioneer of Medina (2) and Skippylongstocking (7).

O’ Connor (1) over Pioneer of Medina (2), South Bend (5), Skippylongstocking (7), Clapton (8) over Pioneer of Medina (2), South Bend (5), Skippylongstocking (7), Clapton (8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Hotlist - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (2) Shesterkin debuts for Pletcher and seems ready for a solid effort. (6) Kentucky Joker has some experience and that could pay off in this field. (8) Centrist Road is another Pletcher firster who merits attention. (5) Case is also training sharply for his debut. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-8. Doubles: 2-5-6-8 with 3-4-5.
3rd race – (4) Frank’s Rockette disappointed in the Breeders’ Cup but can bounce back here. (3) Restofthestory was a good second last time and can be a main contender here. (5) Edie Meeny Miny Mo has sharp early speed and might hang on until the finish. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5.
5th race – (7) Expect More (B) had a bad start in his debut but still managed to finish third. Can work out a smooth trip with a clean start here. (2) Baby Billy has been no worse than third in his three career starts and should be the main rival. (4) Dream Knight was second last time and adds blinkers here. (8) Jungfrau seems capable of an improved effort. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-7-8.
7th race – (1) Scotish Star comes off two good efforts after a lengthy layoff and seems ready to handle stakes company. (6) Secret Time might improve on a stretchout. (10) Lady Rockstar is working nicely for her first start since July. (3) Bay Storm could be hard to catch in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-10.
9th race – (4) Shadow Sphinx was second in his last two starts and seems overdue for a win. (12) Colonel Liam holds a big class edge but may need a race. (7) City Man rarely turns in a bad effort and belongs in the exotics. (1) Street Ready should benefit from a ground-saving trip from the rail. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-12.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(7)	Expect More	B, 11/5	5 GP	Was third despite a bad start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Hotlist - December 31

Dec. 30, 2022


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3^rd race [OC 62K/N2X, 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocket Picks ��: Oaklawn Park, Gulfstream Park, and Santa Anita Park for December 31, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Let’s get another big Saturday of racing kicked off today! For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for opening day at Santa Anita and Oaklawn Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

Gulfstream Park December 31, 2022

Race 8: Maiden Optional Claiming

Out of all the stakes races on the card, this is the one that looks the most wide-open on paper. We went four deep in this spot hoping to get through; however, if you can deeper this would be the spot to do it. A case can be made for nearly every horse in the race.

Race 9: Starter Optional Claiming
freestar

Will #12 Colonel Liam be ready to fire once again off of the layoff? If so, this race runs through him, but we are not fully trusting him in this spot. #7 City Man and #1 Street Ready are in great form, which gives them an advantage over the heavy favorite. We will use those three and hope to make it through to the next race.

Race 10: Allowance Optional Claiming

We are four deep once again in this spot. This spot is not quite as wide-open as a few of the others, but there are four logical contenders to use in this spot. The Saffie Joseph, Jr. duo looks tough, but #4 Simplification runs very well over this track. Also, #8 Clapton can sneak up and win this one at a price.

Race 11: Claiming

We will round out the card using only two horses in this spot. #11 Marketsegmentation seems like the logical candidate to win, but this far outside post is going to be a bit tricky. #5 Texas Shuffle has drawn a better post position, while the horse looks to be ready to run a big race for solid connections.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 8-11) 3,4,7,12 / 1,7,12 / 1,4,7,8 / 5,11 – $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Celebrate New Year's Eve with New Zealand racing: Spot Plays for holiday card
Alastair Bull

As was the case last week, the biggest day of flat racing internationally this weekend is in New Zealand (New Year’s Day locally but still New Year’s Eve stateside). Six graded stakes races are on the card, along with the important Dunstan Feeds Final for improving stayers.

Usually held at Ellerslie in Auckland, the renovation on that course means that this year it’s being hosted at Te Rapa racecourse in Hamilton. Potentially this could change up the results – Te Rapa is anti-clockwise, whereas Ellerslie is clockwise, for starters – but class should come through regardless.

Here’s a look at potential spot plays for the features, held on Saturday night ET.
Race 2, 7:16 p.m. ET: Eclipse S. (G2), 1,200 meters (about six furlongs), 2-year-olds

Early black type juvenile races in New Zealand are frequently dominated by Te Akau Racing, and that looks likely to be the case here, with three of the runners coming from Te Akau’s trainer Mark Walker. The one to beat among them is probably #1 Trobriand, who is unbeaten in two starts. He had quite a battle to win last time over #8 Shoes, but he was giving away weight all around and is well in at set weights here.

However, he has one particularly interesting opponent to beat. #7 Ulanova scored well at Te Rapa Oct. 22 despite being taken on early, and won a trial easily Dec. 12. Her trainer Stephen Marsh knows how to prepare a top two-year-old, and she looks a strong prospect here.

#2 Balance of Power, third on debut to Ulanova and second in stakes company in the meantime, and #3 To Catch A Thief, fourth to Trobriand last start, are good options for exotics.

$10 win/$30 show: #7 Ulanova
$2 trifecta: 1, 7 with 1, 7 with 2, 3, 8

Race 3, 7:49 p.m. ET: Auckland Guineas (G2), 1,600 meters (about one mile), 3-year-olds

The markets suggest this is primarily a duel between #2 Waitak, winner of the Eagle Memorial (Listed) at his last start, and the filly #10 Prowess, third against the boys in the New Zealand 2000 Guineas (G1).

Fillies often find things tough against the colts and geldings in other parts of the world, but New Zealand is one place where that is often reversed, partially because many of the best colts bred in New Zealand end up in Hong Kong, where few fillies race, or Australia. It’s arguable that Prowess is the second-best filly of her age in New Zealand behind Legarto, and she should be very competitive here.

Most of the others need to improve to win, though one that could win without surprising too much is #1 Dynastic. He hasn’t been easy to follow since winning the Karaka Million last year, but he seems best on firmer footing, which he will get here.

The two principals from a Te Rapa maiden on Dec. 17, #4 Keenasabean and #9 Bitcoin, are worth considering for exotics.

$10 win/$30 show: #10 Prowess
$2 trifecta: 2, 10 with 2, 10 with 1, 4, 9

Race 4, 8:22 p.m. ET: Dunstan Feeds Final, 2,400 meters (about 1 1/2 miles), 3-year-olds and up

As always this has drawn a very good field, and any number of horses can win. The one to watch most closely may be #3 Aquacade, who gave up a position in the Queen Elizabeth (G3) later on the card to focus on this event. She is in very good form and has the advantage of the services of jockey Warren Kennedy, the former South African who has been outstanding since his arrival in New Zealand three months ago.

#4 Contemplation tackles the race after having been kept away from the races through December. He was in fantastic form in November, and will probably enjoy the firm track.

Well backed in recent days has been #11 Canheroc, who had no luck at Te Rapa Dec. 17. If he can get a clear run he is worth following. Other solid prospects include #2 Margaret Jean, #6 Ess Vee Are, #7 Hula Beat, and #12 Nest Egg.

$10 win/$30 show: #3 Aquacade
$1 trifecta: 3, 4 with 3, 4, 11 with 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 11, 12

Race 5, 8:55 p.m. ET: Royal S. (G2), 2,000 meters (about 1 1/4 miles), 3-year-old fillies

With the leading filly Legarto bypassing this race after winning the Eight Carat Classic (G2) last week, this provides a good opportunity for the runner-up in that race, #3 Skew Wiff, to get some compensation. Her breeding suggests she’ll like the extra two furlongs here.

She won’t have it all her own way, with some good fillies lining up. Among them is #1 Polygon, winner of the Eulogy (G3) on this track Dec. 17. There could be some doubts about her ability to get 1 1/4 miles, but she looks a classy and professional filly.

Outside these two there are plenty of options. #4 Imarichgirl, #5 Family Ties, #8 Sakura Girl, #7 Complicate, and #6 Sedaka all return from the Eulogy; a number will probably appreciate the likely firmer footing this time, but otherwise Polygon may still have their measure. If there’s one most likely to improve from that race, it’s possibly Family Ties.

It’s an even field, but I’m going to give the benefit of the doubt to Polygon.

$10 win/$30 show: #1 Polygon
$1 trifecta: 1, 3 with 1, 3 with 4, 5, 6, 7, 8

Race 7, 10:05 p.m. ET: Railway S. (G1), 1,200 meters, 3-year-olds and up

An outstanding field has been assembled again for this sprint, and there’s a good chance it could be third time lucky for #1 Levante. Raced by many of the same owners as NZ 1000 Guineas (G1) winner Legarto, she has been one of the standout sprinters in New Zealand for several years and wasn’t far away from the best in Australia in the Newmarket (G1) and Champions Sprint (G1) in the last 12 months.

However, she’s been downed twice in this race by horses from the powerful Te Akau Racing stable, and she has a worthy opponent from that stable again in the form of #3 Imperatriz. When she’s on her game she’s very good, as she showed winning the NZ Thoroughbred Breeders’ S. (G1) and Foxbridge Plate (G2) during 2022.

Running fresh and with a two-pound pull in the weights, Imperatriz has some advantage. However, Levante does run very well at Te Rapa, and I’m sticking with her to win.

The wild cards in the race are #5 Dragon Leap, who has been resurrected this season as a sprinter, and former Aussie galloper #9 Letzbeglam. The latter was an easy winner of the Counties Bowl (G3) last start and gets seven pounds from Levante; whether that’s enough to beat her is another matter, but it gives her a great chance of running in the first three. #8 Bonny Lass shouldn’t be left out of exotics either.

$20 win: #1 Levante
$1 trifecta: 1, 3 with 1, 3, 9 with 1, 3, 5, 8, 9

Race 8, 10:40 p.m. ET: Queen Elizabeth II Cup (G3), 2,400 meters, 3-year-olds and up

The major form race is clearly the Waikato Cup (G3) on this track Dec. 10, won decisively by #3 Viktor Vegas from #7 Dionysus and #5 Aromatic. Viktor Vegas is now a nine-year-old but he’s in the form of his life, having three starts back finished fourth at weight-for-age behind subsequent Zabeel Classic (G1) winner Defibrillate. Historically he has reveled in soft conditions like he had in the Waikato Cup, and the only doubt is how he will handle the likelihood of firmer ground here, but given his outstanding form he can’t be left out.

Dionysus and Aromatic, on the other hand, both have top form on good tracks and they will also get weight relief from Viktor Vegas this time. Both horses are capable of winning here.

One that could well improve from the Waikato Cup is #4 Self Obsession. She finished seventh that day, but the multiple Group 2 winner had a slower than normal recovery, and if she’s back to her best she can win this, especially on a better track.

My selection, however, is #1 Platinum Invador, who won this race in 2020 and was runner-up in 2021. He seems to have recovered well from a tendon injury which kept him away from the track last season, and his fourth placing last start in the Manawatu Cup (G3) can partially be forgiven for being on an unsuitable heavy track. On good footing he can win here.

$10 win/$30 show: #1 Platinum Invador
$1 trifecta: 1, 3 with 1, 3, 7 with 1, 3, 4, 5, 7

Race 9, 11:13 p.m. ET: Rich Hill Mile (G2), 1,600 meters, 3-year-olds and up

The market for this competitive handicap is headed at 4-1 by the much-improved #8 Encierro. He has won three of his last four starts, culminating with an open handicap Dec. 17, and has a great record at Te Rapa. He should go a bold race.

Back from Australia this season is #2 Puntura, who rejoins his former trainer Robbie Patterson. He produced a fabulous second-up run to beat all but Faithful Feat in the J Swap Sprint (G3) here Dec. 10, and has a very good record at a mile. He should improve further.

However, I’m going to look for some serious value here with #5 Express Princess. She’s been running at weight-for-age against the best fillies and mares recently, finishing second in the Auckland Breeders’ S. (G2) behind Darci La Bella and then fourth to Sinarahma in the Cal Isuzu (G2) Dec. 10. Back in handicap conditions, she should find the going easier and is worth a shot.

$10 win/$20 show: #5 Express Princess

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Park Stakes Spot Plays for Dec. 31
John Mucciolo

A six-pack of black-type events, five of the graded variety, will highlight a huge Saturday card at Gulfstream Park.
Race 3 – Sugar Swirl S. (G3)

A total of six fillies and mares will dash six panels in the first stakes event of the afternoon. #1 Joyful Cadence (5-1) is especially consistent and due for a breakthrough at the graded level for conditioner John Ortiz. Runhappy four-year-old has form, speed, and the rail, all of which will play to her strengths while making her local debut. Tyler Gaffalione inherits the mount.
Race 6 – Rampart S.

An octet of fillies and mares will travel one mile on the main strip in the $125,000 affair. Todd Pletcher’s #4 Colorful Mischief (5-2) has run into a pair of superb winners in her past two and fits well in this spot. Into Mischief three-year-old has the gate presence to be in range early on, and I believe that the one-turn mile will be ideal for the well-bred filly, too. Irad Ortiz Jr. taking the reins adds to the appeal.
Race 7 – Suwannee River S. (G3)

A well-matched field of 10 will go one mile on the lawn in what appears to be an attractive betting endeavor. #4 Keeper of Time (12-1) was a closing fourth in this contest last campaign and will go better in her second try in the event. Mehmas four-year-old registered a pair of nice efforts in turf sprint dashes most recently from off the pace, and the move to eight panels seems ideal for the Brendan Walsh pupil. I expect the four-year-old to make one run late behind a contested early pace beneath Gaffalione.
Race 8 – Mr. Prospector S. (G3)

The seven-furlong test attracted a dozen in what looks like another competitive betting race. #3 Sibelius (3-1) has shown marked improvement since adding blinkers in May and gets top billing in a deep sprint. Not This Time gelding comes off a game runner-up try in the Bet On Sunshine S. at Churchill Downs and will be dangerous with anything close to that performance. Jeremiah O’Dwyer trainee will be forwardly placed throughout with Junior Alvarado in the stirrups.
Race 10 – Harlan’s Holiday S. (G3)

In a field lacking early speed, I think that #7 Skippylongstocking (4-1) will get a dream trip forcing the tempo while in the clear from the opening bell. One of two major players in the cast for conditioner Saffie Joseph, the sophomore son of Exaggerator comes in fresh after an ambitious spring and fall campaign, and I expect a top showing from the colt with Irad Ortiz accepting the assignment.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fair Grounds Stakes Spot Plays for Dec. 31
John Mucciolo

A total of four black-type events will lead the way at Fair Grounds on Saturday.
Race 2 – Louisiana Futurity (fillies)

The six-furlong heat for two-year-old fillies attracted seven Cajun-breds. I see this as a two-horse race with Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S. runner-up #5 Norah G (4-5) and recent maiden winner #7 Hopeitsmyluckyday (9-2), with the edge going to the former. The other five contenders in the field look to be up against it, in my opinion.
Louisiana Futurity (fillies) Wagers

$25 exacta 5 with 7 ($25)
$10 exacta 7 with 5 ($10)

Race 5 – Woodchopper S.

Eight sophomores will travel one mile on the green in the $100,000 tilt. #5 Sutherland (6-1) has never run a bad race on the lawn while winning and placing in each of his five turf tests for conditioner Bret Calhoun. Twirling Candy gelding stretches out beyond a sprint distance for the initial time, but the Silverton Hill homebred gives the impression of a prospect who will handle eight panels, and I like his chances to make a major impact on the race. Go-to pilot Reylu Gutierrez will be in the stirrups.
Woodchopper Wager

$15 win and place #5 Sutherland ($30)

Race 8 – Pago Hop S.

Sophomore fillies will test the Fair Grounds lawn in the one-mile affair. #3 Dreamworker (5-1), one of three in the cast for conditioner Joe Sharp, might inherit the early lead in a field lacking a confirmed front runner. The capable daughter of Animal Kingdom has earned both of her lifetime tallies on the course, and with a clean break, she could enjoy a favorable voyage from the opening bell. Deshawn Parker will guide the value contender.
Pago Hop Wager

$20 win and show #3 Dreamworker ($40)

Race 9 – Louisiana Futurity

The juvenile boys will dash six furlongs on the dirt in the final stakes race of the afternoon. I thought that #2 Z Resurrection (3-1) was very impressive in breaking his maiden second time out for trainer James Hodges. Ocean Knight gelding put in a maintenance half-mile drill in advance of his stakes bow, and the chestnut could be the one to catch with a draw inside of the likely one to beat. Brianne Culp retains the mount atop the April foal.
Louisiana Futurity Wager

$30 win #2 Z Resurrection ($30)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Jury: Bets and fades for Dec. 31
TwinSpires Staff

This week's TwinSpires Jury - James Scully and Kellie Reilly - convenes to discuss opinions for the New Year's Eve stakes action at Santa Anita, Gulfstream Park, and Oaklawn Park.

What is your best bet?

James Scully: #5 Anacapa (4-1) in the Las Flores (G3) at Santa Anita. The progressing three-year-old filly won’t face an imposing group in her stakes debut, and she graduated stylishly at the six-furlong distance in late July. A close second versus allowance foes two back, Anacapa crushed rivals wire-to-wire last time, easily generating a field-best last-out 96 Brisnet Speed rating, and the Carla Gaines trainee catches a field lacking true speed. I like Anacapa on the front end with Joe Bravo.

Kellie Reilly: We're Gaines/Bravo fans around here since I've talked myself into another of their runners at Santa Anita on Saturday, #7 Closing Remarks (8-1) in the Robert J. Frankel (G3). She is just too enticing at the price, given her back class. Although the Cal-bred has not raced since a troubled fourth in the Mar. 26 Santa Ana (G3), she has a history of firing fresh for a trainer who can get them ready off the bench. The key for me is that Closing Remarks kept rallying for close seconds to the top-class Going Global in 2021. There is no comparable rival here, and her typical finish, regardless of pace scenario, might well be enough to win.

Who is the horse to fade?

JS: #1 O’Connor (8-5) in the Harlan’s Holiday (G3) at Gulfstream Park. His U.S. debut was eye-catching, a six-length win over conditioned allowance foes at Gulfstream on Oct. 16, but the five-year-old didn’t break sharply that afternoon and must work out a trip from the rail Saturday in a field lacking pace. A Chilean import, O’Connor recorded his Group 1 win at 1 1/4 miles and has favored longer distances throughout his racing career. He faces better competition in the Harlan’s Holiday, and I will play against the off-the-pace runner at 1 1/16 miles.

KR: #1 Defining Purpose (7-5) looks like an awfully prohibitive price in the Year’s End S. at Oaklawn Park, where she does not tower over a field of promising juvenile fillies. The morning line reflects her Churchill Downs maiden romp, and wide-trip fifth to the smashing Hoosier Philly in the Golden Rod (G2). Defining Purpose is logical, but not a slam dunk by Brisnet Speed rating metrics. Several others have talking points at more attractive odds, including D. Wayne Lukas’s Take Charge Briana (6-1) and Unifying (12-1) for Riley Mott, both among those getting first-time Lasix like Defining Purpose. Bluelightspecial (9-2), second to Pretty Mischievous two back, employs the 40% blinkers-off move for Cipriano Contreras, and Need Some Money (12-1) and Charlee Mae (20-1) are also worth a look from a Speed figure perspective.

What else is worth noting?

JS: I'll focus upon a pair of graded winners, Colonel Liam and Prevalence, on Saturday’s stakes-packed program at Gulfstream. Unraced since a ninth in March’s Dubai Turf (G1), Colonel Liam captured January’s Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1) in his last U.S. appearance, and the Todd Pletcher-trained gray will bring a 3-for-3 record over Gulfstream’s turf to the Ft. Lauderdale (G2). Colonel Liam looks like a huge presence in the U.S. turf ranks next season if he returns in good order and can stay healthy.

The Mr. Prospector (G3) looms as a key test for Prevalence, who appeared set for a good 2022 campaign when capturing the Commonwealth (G3) by open lengths last spring. However, the four-year-old colt weakened to last in the Churchill Downs (G1) next out and headed to the sidelines for nearly six months. Prevalence has flashed talent, registering triple-digit Brisnet Speed ratings in his last two wins, but he’s been the type who seemingly needs everything to go his way or spits the bit. We’ll see if he can bounce back over his favorite track (3-for-4 at Gulfstream).

KR: The Joe Hernandez (G2) is a fascinating Saturday kickoff at Santa Anita, pitting specialist sprinters against milers on the cutback. As a card-carrying fan of #8 Hit the Road (6-1), I have an inkling that the Grade 1 veteran will put up a big effort in his long-awaited comeback. The Dan Blacker trainee was last seen finishing eighth behind Colonel Liam in the Pegasus Turf at Gulfstream, but he sports a 6-4-0-1 mark at Santa Anita. He compiled that record at a mile, so the downhill sprint scenario poses more of a question mark. Still, the addition of blinkers will keep him focused, he runs well fresh, and he gets Frankie Dettori, whose presence could well shorten the odds. There was not much between Hit the Road and Smooth Like Strait in 2021. With better luck, we will be seeing a lot more of Hit the Road in 2023. If the Hernandez experiment pans out, it would open up more options for the talented son of More Than Ready.