Sunday 1/8/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    PURCHASE


    Oaklawn Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 81

    Rating:

    #1 OJITOS (ML=7/2)
    #5 AFRICAN WARRIOR (ML=3/1)


    OJITOS - I like to play horses that faced open company in their last race and drop into state bred races. This gelding fits the bill. This horse likes to win on different ovals. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. You have to really like that recent race figure, 75, which is the best last race speed figure of this bunch. This equine collects a lot of cash per race around the track. Utmost in this event. AFRICAN WARRIOR - State bred races are generally easier than 'open' company, and this gelding's move into the 'state bred' class today should make him tough in here. Taking this jockey/conditioner combination is a good decision.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ROCK CITY ROCKET (ML=2/1), #8 ORBITAL STARR (ML=5/1), #2 OBVIOUSLY TOO (ML=8/1),

    ROCK CITY ROCKET - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to support him. ORBITAL STARR - Difficult to bet on any entrant in a short distance event if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. OBVIOUSLY TOO - Doubtful for this entrant to do much running with no recent good showings in a sprint contest. Hasn't been close to winning at all recently.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #1 OJITOS to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358248

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 9 - Stakes - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $65000 Class Rating: 93

      BOLD EGO H. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. NON LASIX STAKE. FREE TO NOMINATE; $500 TO ENTER. WEIGHTS ASSIGNED. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2021-2022 WILL BE USED TO DETERMINE THE ORDER OF PREFERENCE FOR HORSES OF EQUAL WEIGHT. CLOSED FRIDAY DECEMBER 30, 2022 AT 4:00 P.M. WITH 11 NOMINATIONS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 10 ARI OAKLEY 2/1
      # 5 OUTSIDE THE LAW 4/1
      # 9 FLYIN FALYNN 9/2
      ARI OAKLEY looks to be a competitive contender. Looks formidable against this group and will most likely be one of the front-runners. Could beat this group given the 91 speed rating earned in her last outing. Has to be given consideration against this group of horses in this race displaying very good numbers recently and an average speed figure of 83 under similar conditions. OUTSIDE THE LAW - Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 89 speed figure which is one of the best in this group. This racer enters today's outing now going off Lasix. FLYIN FALYNN - Posted a sound speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. This one has been constatntly racing well recently.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358248

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

        PURCHASE


        Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:40pm - Maiden Special - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $84,000 Class Rating: 84

        Rating:

        #11 MORAL TURPITUDE (ML=8/1)
        #7 BO DEREK (ML=5/1)
        #8 MYSTIC SUNRISE (ML=20/1)


        MORAL TURPITUDE - This filly is in fine form, having run a strong race on December 11th, finishing fifth. After the race aboard this animal on December 11th, the jock is going to be in tune with the filly much better. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the 1st time should be considered. That's what we have here. This filly's last fig earned on December 11th is at the top in last race speed figures. BO DEREK - Last time out, finished fourth on a sloppy track at Churchill Downs. Have to do better right here. Horse got beaten up in her only race. With a clean trip, I look for this one in the winner's circle photo. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here. MYSTIC SUNRISE - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the 1st time on December 18th. Should be in tune with the equine even better today. The addition of Lasix might make this horse run well in this field.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 LAURANA (ML=7/2), #6 BE MY SUNSHINE (ML=4/1), #4 MO TOWN MADISON (ML=6/1),

        LAURANA - This horse will most likely be way back as this group crosses the finish. BE MY SUNSHINE - Not the best 'spot' in this race. MO TOWN MADISON - The lack of early speed in the last one, a route clash, is a bit troublesome. This steed hasn't been near the victor at the finish line recently.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #11 MORAL TURPITUDE to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
        EXACTA WAGERS: 11 with [7,8]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [7,8,11] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

        SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
        None
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358248

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

          PURCHASE
          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 66

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 7 BLAME THE BOURBON 5/2
          # 4 DART 3/1
          # 3 HOPE HE'S FAST 6/1
          I've got to go with BLAME THE BOURBON. Overall the Speed Figures of this horse look decent in this outing. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a solid shot. Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the front end recently. DART - Wagerers should probably note that this pony runs on Lasix today. Have to wager on this money-making jock and trainer duo. HOPE HE'S FAST - Looks formidable for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Players ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358248

            #20
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs


            PURCHASE

            01/08/23, TAM, Race 8, 4.05 ET
            01/08/23,TAM,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $14,000 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 8 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
            . . . .
            Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
            100.0000 2 Look Up to Heaven 12/1 Clemente A Rivera Xavier A. JT 212 35.38 1.08/$1
            092.4659 6 Makin It Look Easy 10/1 Rojas C E Sweezey J. Kent 62 41.94 1.22/$1
            092.4037 10 Truly a Dream 9/2 Quinonez A Posadas Pedro FC 151 33.11 1.07/$1
            091.9245 1 Thunder Buggy 6/1 Camacho S Machado Antonio SL 62 41.94 1.22/$1
            091.6405 4 Heleonortiz 5/2 Arroyo A S Machado Antonio 40 45.00 1.46/$1
            091.4929 7 Rapidamente 12/1 Iorio M Lopez Mario Roberto W 77 35.06 1.21/$1
            090.4023 8 Fancysoul 15/1 Hernandez O Davis Richard M. 62 41.94 1.22/$1
            089.9681 3 Csilla 8/1 Delgado D Rarick Lynn 151 33.11 1.07/$1
            088.7779 9 Aspropodia 12/1 Alicea J Roque Elis 77 35.06 1.21/$1
            088.6398 5 Bon Fire Diva 5/1 Rowland M Manchan Bertram C. E 40 45.00 1.46/$1
            Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
            Rating gap To 2nd horse -7.5341
            [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
            [All Dirt] Best Jockey
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358248

              #21
              Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

              Free Winners for Sunday, January 8th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
              FREE HORSE PICKS
              OAKLAWN PARK
              RACE #8
              TIME: 4:53 PM EST
              PICK: BET #10 Albizu 3/1 odds to win @ BovadaH
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358248

                #22
                1. NSA(The Legend) NFL – Rams +6
                2. Gameday Network NFL – Packers -5
                3. Sports Action 365 NFL – Texans +3
                4. Vegas Line Crushers NFL – Cardinals over 39.5
                5. VegasSI.com NFL – Steelers -3
                6. Sam Casey NFL – Cowboys -7.5
                7. Henry Brown Sports NFL – Vikings -7.5
                8. Winning Big Sports NFL – Patriots +9
                9. Lou Panelli NFL – Colts -3
                10. Platinum Info Club NFL – Ravens +10
                11. William E. Stockton NFL – Vikings -7.5
                12. Vincent Pioli NFL – Cowboys over 40.5
                13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NFL – Steelers -3
                14. SCORE NFL – Rams +6
                15. Tony Campone NFL – Dolphins -3.5
                16. Chicago Sports Group NFL – Steelers -3
                17. Hollywood Sportsline NFL – Buccaneers +4
                18. VIP Action NFL – Bills -9
                19. South Beach Sports NFL – Vikings -7.5
                20. LV Sports Commission NFL – Colts -3
                21. NY Players Club NFL – Rams +6
                22. Fred Callahan NFL – Packers -5
                23. LV Private CEO Club NFL – Buccaneers +4
                24. Michigan Sports NFL – Cowboys -7.5
                25. National Consensus Report NFL – Ravens over 39.5
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358248

                  #23
                  Info Plays

                  Jan 08 '23, 1:00 PM in 4h
                  NFL | Panthers vs Saints

                  Play on: [B]Panthers +3
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358248

                    #24
                    Jack Jones

                    Jan 08 '23, 1:00 PM in 4h
                    NFL | Patriots vs Bills

                    Play on: Bills -7 -105 at BetVegas

                    Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Buffalo Bills -7
                    The Buffalo Bills have owned the New England Patriots. They have won the last three meetings by 12, 30 and 14 points and outgained the Patriots by 140, 177 and 113 yards in those three meetings, respectively. They would love nothing more than to knock the Patriots out of the playoffs with a win on Sunday, and I think it's going to come in blowout fashion.
                    The Bills still have a lot to play for even if the Chiefs win on Saturday to clinch the No. 1 seed and a first-round bye. They still want to get the No. 2 seed so they don't have to travel to Cincinnati, and per the NFL the AFC Championship Game would be played on a neutral if the Bills and Chiefs meet and both teams win in Week 18.
                    The Bills basically get a bye this week after playing less than a quarter of football against the Bengals on Monday Night Football. They will be fresh, while the Patriots have played three consecutive games that came down to the final play against the Raiders, Bengals and Dolphins. It's fair to question how much the Patriots have left in the tank, and they are going to need a lot to go right here to even be competitive.
                    It's going to be an emotional, rowdy atmosphere in Buffalo Sunday with fans showing their support for Damar Hamlin. It sounds like he is progressing well as of this writing, which will take some of the burden off these players and let them play a little more freely. I would be surprised if the Bills haven't dedicated the rest of their season to Hamlin.
                    The Patriots have been pitiful on offense. They have been held to fewer than 300 yards in seven of their last 10 games overall, and 318 and 328 yards in two other instances. I don't see how they can make enough plays on offense to be competitive in this game. They'll be up against a Buffalo defense that ranks 2nd in scoring at 17.5 points per game, 5th in total defense at 317.7 yards per game and 8th at 5.1 yards per play.
                    Buffalo ranks 4th in scoring offense at 28.0 points per game, 2nd in total offense at 402.3 yards per game and 3rd at 6.2 yards per play. New England ranks 26th in total offense at 312.9 yards per game. The only three defenses they reached 300 yards against in their last 10 games were the Cardinals (328 yards), Raiders (318 yards) and Vikings (409 yards), which are three of the worst defenses in the NFL.
                    Buffalo is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after scoring 25 points or more in two consecutive games coming in. It is winning by 17.0 points per game in this spot. This one has blowout written all over it. Bet the Bills Sunday.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358248

                      #25
                      Doc's Sports

                      Jan 08 '23, 1:00 PM in 4h
                      NFL | Browns vs Steelers

                      Play on: Steelers -150 at linepros

                      Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #462 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, January 8 CBS) Coach Mike Tomlin will stave off a losing season one again with a victory on Sunday in this NFC North battle. Pittsburgh is coming off a dramatic victory over Baltimore on Sunday Night Football and expect them to finish out the regular season with a victory against the Browns. The Steelers still need a lot of help, but they must beat the Browns to have any chance to make the playoffs. Pittsburgh is 19-6 (1 tie) straight up against Cleveland in the last 26 meetings. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and golf. Sign-up now with this veteran handicapper and let 51 years of handicapping experience work for you.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358248

                        #26
                        Freddy Wills

                        Jan 08 '23, 1:00 PM in 4h
                        NFL | Bucs vs Falcons

                        Play on: Bucs +4 -110 at linepros

                        Tampa +4 1.1% free play
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358248

                          #27
                          Jim Feist

                          Jan 08 '23, 1:00 PM in 4h
                          NFL | Browns vs Steelers

                          Play on: [B]Steelers -2
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358248

                            #28
                            Dave Price

                            Jan 08 '23, 1:00 PM in 4h
                            NFL | Ravens vs Bengals

                            Play on: Bengals -7 -110 at BetVegas

                            Dave's Sunday Free Play:
                            1* on Cincinnati Bengals -7
                            The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals still have a chance to improve their seeding Sunday. And it has been announced that the AFC Championship Game will be played on a neutral if the Bengals win in Week 18 and then play either the Bills or Chiefs. There's plenty incentive for them here. There isn't much incentive for the Ravens, who can't win the AFC North and who will either be the 5th or 6th seed in the AFC. They could be down to 3rd-string QB Anthony Brown this week as Lamar Jackson is out, and backup Tyler Huntley has a wrist injury. Don't be surprised to see the Ravens pack it in and play backups in this game to try and get healthy for next week. The Bengals will be fresh as they only played 10 minutes against the Bills on Monday and get to stay at home with no travel involved. The Bengals are 20-3 ATS in their last 23 games overall. Take Cincinnati.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358248

                              #29
                              Stephen Nover

                              Jan 08 '23, 2:00 PM in 50m
                              NCAA-B | Detroit vs Northern Kentucky

                              Play on: [B]Northern Kentucky -4
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358248

                                #30
                                Jesse Schule

                                Jan 08 '23, 2:00 PM in 50m
                                NCAA-B | Canisius vs St. Peter's

                                Play on: [B]Canisius +3
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