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Selection: Bengals/Bills Over (48)
Line pressed to 49
Rating: 5
Not worried that the Bengals only scored 24 and 27 points their L2 games as they played the same division for in B2B weeks. Cincy’s D allowing a Lamar-less Ravens team to gain 386 & 364 yards and a Tampa team to gain 396 is a boost. Bills offense with over 400 YPG avg the L4 and 32 points in more in the quartet of games.
Weather not an issue with a chance of snow but winds under 10 MPH
Single Digit Fav’s at Home for a 3rd straight off B2B wins are 61% to the OVER
Selection: San Francisco (-4)
Rating: 3
While Dak may have played one of best games ever LW but remember he threw an interception in 7 straight games prior. Now the Cowboys are off a Monday night game playing your 4th straight road trip.
Cowboys outgained by 35 YPG the L5 while SF is +62 YPG
Home teams that lost the Conf Finals LY when both teams of a SU/ATS win are 18-3 ATS (86%)
NFL 3:00 PM EST Rotation #316 Bills -5.5 over Bengals The Bengals are lucky to be here, as one fluke play allowed a 14-point swing in their advantage last week. Baltimore was excellent on defense, and much of that had to do with the Bengals’ offensive line. Cincinnati had their entire offensive line healthy for the whole season, and then they started dropping like flys. Lael Collins is on IR, Jonah Williams is out today, and so is Alex Cappa. The Bengals don’t have the offensive line to make a deep playoff run, and today, Joe Burrow will look like a below-average QB because of it. The Bills’ defense will take over the show, and their offense will put up many points. You can forget winning big games if you are not healthy in the trenches. Buffalo should win by double digits. Take the Bills.
NFL 6:30 PM EST Rotation #317 Cowboys +3.5 over 49ers It’s shocking to see the 49ers such small favorites in this ball game, but Brock Purdy has only played in 5 games, and all of those games were against bad defenses. The Cowboys have a great defensive line and will get after Purdy. How many times in NFL history does a QB get thrown into the fire with no experience and win a super bowl? It doesn’t happen. Other than the lack of QB experience, they are the best team in the NFL. The Cowboys will take advantage of Purdy’s youth and lack of play against teams that pressure the QB. The Cowboys will slow down the run enough to stay in the game. Tonight’s football game will come down to the wire. Dallas is a veteran team that is capable of the upset. Take the Cowboys.
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