Service Plays SUPER BOWL Sunday 2/12/23

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Alex Smart props (6 of 7 of late on player props)


    Touchdowns - Travis Kelce - over 0.5

    Rushing yards - Jalen Hurts - Over 49.5

    Touchdowns - Jalen Hurts - Over 0.5

    Rushing yards - Miles Sanders - Under 61.5

    Rushing yards - Jerick McKinnon - Under 22.5

    Rushing yards - Kenneth Gainwell - Over 19.5

    Passing tds - Patrick Mahomes - Over 2.5

    Touchdowns - Patrick Mahomes - Over 0.5
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      King Creole

      3* Under
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        WUnderdog
        SuperBowl Prop Bet

        Longest made Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          BRAD POWERS (all 1 Unit)

          Kansas City TE Travis Kelce OVER 6.5 Receptions -160 (Draft Kings), Westgate has -170

          Will KC or PHI Score First 5.5 Minutes of Game: NO -150 (Westgate)

          Total Punts by Chiefs and Eagles: UNDER 7.5 -170 (Westgate)

          Philadelphia WR Quez Watkins UNDER 1.5 Receptions -160 (William Hill)

          Opening Kickoff: No Touchback +135 (Circa)
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Dave Essler

            NFL
            3* MAX KC-PHI Under 51 -20

            Bonus Props;
            Jerick McKinnon Anytime TD scorer +165
            Devonte Smith O 60.5 Receiving Yards
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Scott Kellen

              101 KANSAS CITY/PHILADELPHIA OVER 51 Must get 51 or better
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Stanford Steve

                eagles -1.5
                Eagles/chiefs over 50.5

                Top 5 Prop Bets

                1. Travis Kelce over 9.5 targets (-125)
                2. Kenneth Gainwell over 11.5 Rec yards (-121)
                3. Kenneth Gainwell over 34.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-115)
                4. Brandon Graham To record a sack (+180)
                5. Jalen Hurts Under 31.5 pass attempts (-125)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Jack Brayman:

                  100 DIME
                  - Max Wager -

                  Big Game FIRST HALF Lock Winner

                  Eagles
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Insider Money Moves

                    100 DIME
                    IMM
                    Big Game Bookie Buster

                    Eagles
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      RAS

                      Over 50.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Fezzik | NFL Prop - Sunday, Feb 12 2023 6:30PM
                        KC Mahomes O

                        (-115)DraftKings 101 KAN vs 102 PHI
                        double-dime bet

                        Analysis: 2* Play

                        KC Mahomes Pass Yards OVER 288 -115

                        Draft Kings has 287.5, FanDuel 288.5, many other books have this same number(s).


                        This play is good up to 290.5

                        I was hoping to wait until 3pm PST today to give out any plays, but this was going to get hit before that...... so I had to give it out


                        *****

                        I will outline EVERY bet I personally make; many of these will not be available, but look for them, and Note this is what I have bet for myself:

                        A team miss 2 fgs?



                        -500



                        NO

                        Both teams 35 fg



                        -130



                        NO

                        More Points 2h



                        -145



                        2h

                        More Tds than fg



                        -330



                        Tds

                        KC team 2h OV 12



                        -125



                        KC OV 12

                        Sanders 1st td v Pacheco



                        -115



                        Sanders

                        Sanders 1st td vs. Mckinon



                        -160



                        Sanders

                        Mahomes OV 37.5 att



                        105



                        Mahomes

                        Mah OV 287.5



                        -110



                        Mahomes

                        Opening KO t back



                        155



                        NO tb

                        A start QB neg yds



                        -750



                        NO

                        SC 1st 3 min



                        -550



                        NO

                        2h-.5 -110 vs. 1h



                        -112



                        2h

                        short TD un 1.5



                        -155



                        UN 1.5

                        1h UN 25-119



                        -119



                        UN 25

                        Philly spread



                        1.5



                        KC spread



                        2.5


                        LEAN KC at current number...


                        Reminder:

                        DO NOT TEASE the Super Bowl

                        LOOK to AVOID all "needle in haystack" bets like exact final score, exact number of points scored, who will score 1st Td, etc.

                        Focus on bets with just 2 outcomes, bet OV/UN, Yes/No

                        In general, typically if there is value it is betting on the bigger vig side of a prop bet.

                        By example, if we get NO OT -800 that's good. YES Otime 6-1 is TERRIBLE


                        Adding..

                        2* T. Kelce (KC) Over 6.5 Recs -40. (I like ALL the Kelce props, including Yes Kelce TD, and Kelce over yardage, but this is my favorite of all of them........).
                        2* D. Goedert (PHI) Over 4.5 Recs -25.
                        2* M. Sanders (PHI) o12.5 Rush Att -35. (LOVE all the Sanders rush props over. STRONG LEAN: Sanders UNDER 1.5 CATCHES -180.).
                        2* NO SCORE in 1st 6 minutes -40 (NO Score 5.5 minutes -160 is even better........ @ SP).

                        Adding..

                        3* 4Q scoring -175 higher than 1Q. good up to -190 for 3*.

                        List of personal 'Bonus' props;
                        Any team miss 2 fgs? NO -500
                        Both teams 35 fg Bet NO -130
                        More Points 2h -145
                        More Tds than fg -330
                        KC team 2h OV 12 team points -125
                        Sanders 1st td v Pacheco -115
                        Sanders 1st td vs. Mckinon -160
                        Mahomes OV 37.5 pass attempts 105
                        Mah OV 287.5 pass yds -110
                        Opening KO t back bet NO +155
                        A start QB has neg rush yds, bet NO -750
                        SC 1st 3 min, bet NO -550
                        2h-.5 -110 vs. 1h -112
                        short TD un 1.5 -155
                        1h UN 25-119 -119
                        Philly +1.5
                        KC +2.5
                        Team to score last wins -200
                        Final Score of Game lands EVEN +130
                        Final score of Game lands ODD -110
                        Coinflip TAILS -100
                        Phil RB Boston Scott Long run UN 6.5 -100
                        More 1st downs EAGLES -110
                        Phil WR Quez Watkins UN 13.5 -110
                        KC Noah Gray UN 11.5 pass yds -110
                        Goedert OVER 4.5 Catches -120
                        Sanders OVER 12.5 rush attempts -110
                        Punts UNDER 7.5 -140
                        No score in 1st 5:30 of game -160
                        KELCE OV 6.5 catches -140

                        Adding..

                        2* PHI Total Punts Under 3.5 +EV
                        2* K. Toney (KC) Over 27.5 Rec Yds -130

                        'Bonus' Props;
                        K. Toney (KC) Over 2.5 Recs -50
                        NO Overtime -900

                        William Hill Parlay Cards:

                        KC STACK, 4 team parlay card 12/1
                        Kc 1.5/KC last pos/KC sc last 1h/Kc 1st 20 yd gain
                        Card selection is 2 6 8 12

                        Philly Stack, 4 team parlay card
                        Phi -1.5/Phi last poss/Phi scor last 1h/Ph 1st 20 yr gn 12/1[/quote]
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          Gianni the greek

                          101) kc-phi : Under 7.5 (-160) total punts…(2%)
                          102) miles sanders (phi) : Over 26.5 (-125) rushing yrds (1st half)…(2%)

                          102) MILES SANDERS (PHI) : OVER 58.5 (-140) RUSHING YRDS…(2%)
                          101) PATRICK MAHOMES (KC) : OVER 288.5 (-125) PASSING YRDS…(2%) - SHOP'IT : 287.5 THRU 289.5 AVAILABLE / 2% = UP TO 290.5

                          1101) OVER 10.5 (-125) KANSAS CITY (1ST HALF) - TEAM TOTAL…(4%) / 4% = UP TO 11.5 (-110)
                          101) OVER 24 (-125) KC-PHILADELPHIA (1ST HALF)…(4%)
                          101) KC-PHI : OPENING KICK-OFF TO BE A TOUCHBACK = NO (+140)…(2%)

                          101) OVER 50.5 KC-PHILADELPHIA…(5%) - BIG MOVE / 5% = UP TO 51 (-110)

                          102) PHILADELPHIA (-140) : MOST TIME OF POSSESSION…(2%)
                          101) PATRICK MAHOMES (KC) : OVER 3.5 (-150) RUSHING ATTEMPTS…(2%)
                          101) KC-PHI : UNDER 3.5 (-160) FIELD-GOALS MADE…(2%)
                          101) KC-PHI : UNDER 2.5 (+150) FIELD-GOALS MADE…(1%)
                          102) JALEN HURTS (PHI) : UNDER 1.5 (-115) TOUCHDOWN PASSES…(2%)
                          101) KC-PHI : TOTAL PLAYERS TO HAVE A PASS ATTEMPT = UNDER 2.5 (-165)…(2%)
                          101) KC-PHI : TOTAL PLAYERS WITH RUSH ATTEMPT = OVER 8.5 (-220)…(2%)
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            The Hitman

                            NFL
                            2* Chiefs ML +10[/quote]
                            1* Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 286.5 Pass Yds -15

                            2* 2nd half scoring -145 higher than 1st half.

                            NOTE: AOK to play 2h -.5 -120 on this prop also.

                            Adding

                            1* Miles Sanders (PHI) Over 58.5 Rush Yds -15
                            1* Opening kickoff NO touchback +50. Play to +35.

                            Adding..

                            1* Total KC players to have a Rush Attempt Over 4.5 -220

                            Personal list of 'Bonus' props (I'm sure there will be more...)
                            Last play kneel -175
                            U10.5 penalties -125
                            Last play 1H no QB rush -200
                            U2.5 players pass completion -210
                            No QB with a reception -800
                            No def player with 2 INT -750
                            Punts U7.5 -125
                            First play of game run -120
                            Eagles first sack -105
                            KC longest punt -125
                            Eagles most sacks -120
                            No QB negative rush yds -750
                            Will any drive start inside 5 NO -115
                            Eagles U22.5 first downs -110
                            Chiefs O20.5 first downs -110
                            No roughing the passer -160

                            Adding..

                            1* Kadarius Toney (KC) Over 23.5 Rec Yds -15

                            Adding..

                            1* Kadarius Toney (KC) Over 2.5 Recs -50

                            Bonus;
                            First Timeout: CHIEFS -25
                            Team that Scores Last Wins Game: YES -210
                            M. Sanders (PHI) ov I. Pacheco (KC) Total Rush Yds -65
                            Total Sacks Under 5.5 -20

                            *FYI, I bought out of my U2.5 players with pass completion.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Ziti sports


                              SUPERBOWL
                              NFL 02/12 6:30 PM
                              (101) Kansas City Chiefs vs. (102) Philadelphia Eagles +51 ov -110

                              PROPS
                              Total receptions for Dallas Goedert OVER 4.5 -138
                              Total net Yards for the Chiefs OVER 359.5 -115
                              Total receiving yards for Kadarius Toney OVER 27.5 -121
                              Total rushing yards for Miles Sanders OVER 60.5 -112
                              Total receiving yards for Travis Kelce OVER 78.5 -115
                              Will first kickoff result in a touchback? NO +129
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                              • Bugsy
                                Senior Member
                                • Sep 2022
                                • 2661

                                #30
                                Picks For Sunday 02/12/23
                                Insider Sports Report
                                4* Youngstown St. -2 over Cleveland St. (NCAAB)
                                Range: -.5 to -4.5

                                3* Kansas City +1.5 over Philadelphia (NFL)
                                Range: +2.5 to PK

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