Service Plays Wednesday 2/8/23

[Bugsy]

Severence

rangers-250

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle – Wednesday Sports Plays

NHL HOCKEY
Play Dallas -130 over Minnesota
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BASKETBALL
Play Sacramento -8 over Houston (NBA)

Play West Virginia -2.5 over Iowa State (NCAA)
Play Vermont -4 over Maine (NCAA)

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ROOT:

Root Reserve—— Iowa St

Gold Standard——- Alabama

Pinnacle—— Utah St

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Tim Michael

NHL SLAPSHOT

New York Rangers ML

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Demarco’s Crew

Lang: Seton Hall
Trace: LaSalle
Brunson: West Virginia
Torino: Lehigh
IMM: Raptors
Jordan: Raptors
Gus: Florida State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Potato Kmish

Utah St -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Canucks vs. Rangers O 6.5 *Top Play*

Florida vs. Alabama O 149.5
Memphis vs. South Florida O 154
Hofstra vs. Northeastern O 142.5

[citybeat]

Feb 9	Las Vegas Cris	5%	[GLF] (7011) Patrick Cantlay at (7012) Justin Thomas Time: 6:00 AM EST	Patrick Cantlay -120
Analysis:WM OPEN FULL TOURNAMENT H2H #1 5% Cantlay (-120) over Thomas 5% writeup: We use a model that correlates the success of the top 20 finishers at an event from the L3 years (rolling) to golfer profiles. TPC Scottsdale ranked out in the top 15 of all PGA courses in the following categories which most closely correlated to finishing position: SG OTT (off the tee) SG ARG (around the green) SG APP (approach) That was a handful to say there is no single area of the game here that is more important than another. Usually, one stat stands out strongly correlating to success; for example, last week, the highest-finishing golfers typically have a very strong around-the-green play. This week, the course demands you be an excellent ball striker (all 3 categories), but not necessarily a great putter. Since the Scottish open last year, Thomas is almost exactly playing tour average golf. In the last two tournaments, he has lost strokes OTT, which means he needs to rely on his approach game and putting to make up for the failures on the tee box; Not a good situation for a player who has lost stokes putting in 6 of his last 8 measured events. There is no hole in Cantlay's game. He gained OTT and ARG in 20 of his L23 events going back to August 2021. His approach game has gained in 11 of his L14 and two of those losses were less than 1/4 stroke. Finally, Cantlay has played at WM only once: a 2nd place finish last year where he lost in a playoff to Scheffler. Good to -135 4% to -140 3% to -145 2% to -150
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Feb 9	Las Vegas Cris	2%	[GLF] (7023) Sungjae Im at (7024) Cameron Young Time: 6:00 AM EST	Sungjae Im -135
Analysis:WM OPEN (FREE PLAY) FULL TOURNAMENT H2H #2 2% Sungjae Im (-132) over Cam Young The good ball-striking version of SungJae Im is back. T18 the Amex and then T4 at Farmers behind gaining the 2nd most strokes on approach in the field. At TPC Scottsdale, Sungjae has finished 17th, 34th, and 7th. Only once in those three years did he drop strokes in a single category: in other worde, he has gained on the field in 11 of 12 possible strokes-gained areas at the WM Open. Good to -145; betonline What about Cam Young, didn't he just almost win? Yes, he did - he finished 2nd at the PIF Saudi International last week. This is a situational spot to fade Young at a course he has only played once. In his only appearance at TPC Scottsdale, he lost strokes on approach AND around the greens. His last 25 and 50 rounds have a negative around the green trend that begs him to be excellent with the irons. Can he do that, sure, but unlikely in this spot.
Betting Line Provider: BetOnline (click here to open an account)
Feb 9	Las Vegas Cris	3%	[GLF] (7027) Matthew Fitzpatrick at (7028) Hideki Matsuyama Time: 6:00 AM EST	Hideki Matsuyama -127
Analysis:FULL TOURNAMENT H2H #3 3% Matsuyama (-127) over Fitzpatrick Anyone with enough golf knowledge to do damage knows you play Hideki at Pheonix. Here are his finishing positions: 4, 2, 1, 1, 15, 16, 42, 8 He is almost a T20 lock and the most promising thing about him going into this week is that his is coming off a 9th place finish where he gained strokes in all measured categories; in fact, he has been a net positive in 9 straight events. We cannot just lay wood on a guy because of good course history. The bigger factor of this bet is what Fitzpatrick revealed last week: he is dealing with a neck/back injury and playing through it. This plays out in the data, he lost more strokes with the irons last week than he has in over 3 years. His distance off the tee was much closer to the field average than the mashing he normally does. He is hurt and we will take an in-form Deki-bot over a 75-80% Fitzpatrick at a course Deki loves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bender Wins

NBA

1. (1 UNIT) PHI/BOS UNDER 228

2. (1 UNIT) SAC -8

3. (HALF UNIT) SAN +10.5

4. (QUARTER UNIT) MIA -6.5



1. (HALF UNIT) LAMELO BALL (CHA) ASSISTS UNDER 8.5 -135 (DK)

2. (QUARTER UNT) JORDAN CLARKSON (UTA) POINTS UNDER 22.5 -120 (DK)



NHL

1. (QUARTER UNIT) DAL -135



OHL

1. (QUARTER UNIT) ERIE +155



CBB

1. (HALF UNIT) 671 DREXEL +3.5

2. (QUARTER UNIT) 686 FORDHAM -6

3. (QUARTER UNIT) 686 FORDHAM ML -245

4. (QUARTER UNIT) 703 HAMPTON +16

5. (QUARTER UNIT) 711 GEORGETOWN +13.5

6. (QUARTER UNIT) 713 ILLINOIS-CHI +12.5

7. (QUARTER UNIT) 719 TEXAS TECH +6

8. (QUARTER UNIT) 739 NEW MEX ST +7

9. (QUARTER UNIT) 742 UTAH STATE ML -130

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOM

Baylor -10

[Bugsy]

Best Bets to Win $500


630pm 662 Michigan -11.5
8pm 720 Oklahoma State -6
7pm 530 Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5
830pm 728 Penn State -4.5
9pm 734 Alabama -8.5
9pm 736 Mississippi State -10


Best Bet Round Robins 2's and a 3 for $150 a way for $600 each


630pm 662 Michigan -11.5
8pm 720 Oklahoma State -6
7pm 530 Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5


830pm 728 Penn State -4.5
9pm 734 Alabama -8.5
9pm 736 Mississippi State -10



Round Robins 2's and a 3 for $100 a way for $400


730pm 537 Pacers +6.5
8pm 539 Kings -8
9pm 541 Over 236 on TWolves and Jazz


630pm 663 Creighton -4
7pm 706 West Virginia -4
8pm 726 Wichita State -2.5


8pm 712 Providence -13
9pm 738 Baylor -10
7pm 306531 Bryant -9


Two Team Parlay Bet $200


7pm 707 Over 152.5 on Memphis and South Florida
8pm 723 Over 138.5 on Temple and SMU

[Bugsy]

Champs Pythagorean picks

• [*=left]NBA] 6* Star Pick: Raptors
  [*=left][NBA] 1* Star Pick: Cavaliers

All the best,

[Can'tPickAWinner]

matt fargo
stony brook

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rob v
va tech

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psp

goy utah st ml

jazz ml