Monday 2/13/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:10 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Pick 5 Analysis

February 13, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia

Yonkers Raceway begins the week with a solid 11-race card. The popular 0.50 Pick 5 starts in Race 5. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

1-Flow With Joe (4-1)-Got on the point and gave way late in the mile. Missed a start before the last race but now comes back in sequence and this post draw should help.
6-Brackley Beach (6-1)-Will avoid the program chalks and look to this veteran to run down the leaders. Can grind it out and appears to be getting back into sharp form.

Race 6

1-Moonlight Shadow (7/2)-Interesting race as there aren't any recent winners at this class. This 6-year-old made every call a winning one from the 5 hole in last and now takes a good step up. Looked sharp and was in control pacing the back half faster than the first in a 152.4 mile.
2-Smokin By N (4-1)-Comes off a close 3rd place finish, was driven aggressively and has been sharp. Bumps up after travelling 3-wide and was already used to get on the point at the start. The journey should be better and Kakaley could work a pocket ride.
4-Delightful Dude N (7-1)-Has performed well at this level in the last 3 but couldn't connect for a picture. This grinder may get the top prize this time, the pace should be hot and he could close fastest of all.

Race 7

2-Bill Hayley N (4-1)-Has been trying hard and should fit with these. Gets the services of Bartlett and that could make a winning difference. The post shouldn't hurt this veteran's chances and can be a main player if dialed on high.
3-Benhope Rulz N (4-1)-Gingras has more gate speed to use than most in the field and he should land on the point. If that happens without much effort it could be taillights for the others.

Race 8

5-Nowhere Creek A (2-1)-Worked hard to get on the point and then sat a pocket ride. Raced well and missed by a neck. The Yonkers record of 1 win in 25 starts is cause for pause but no one in the field has piled up victories on this oval. Can't fault the last try, falling short to a well-rated winner, and the beaten chalk could make amends here.

Race 9

1-Undrthsouthrnsun N (8/5)-This veteran has only raced at Yonkers 3 times and has recorded 1 second place finish. Has been fading down the lane at M1 but those miles have been sub-150. Joe B will be out and rolling here. He could steal a quarter and be tough to catch.
3-Velocity Komodo (5-1)-Team Stratton entry has won 21% of YR starts and should be forwardly placed. This is the 3rd race after the Holiday break and if the pace is brisk the 7-year-old should be in the hunt at the wire.

0.50 Pick 5

1,6/1,2,4/2,3/5/1,3
Total Bet=$12

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:10 AM

Racing Dudes Turf Paradise Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #2 Blue Paradise 4-1 K Eikleberry H Hernandez
2 #2 Katar 5-1 R K Owens D P Vergara
3 #7 Star Entry 5-2 R Diodoro H Hernandez
4 #7 Alleva 4-1 J R Evans L Contreras
5 #2 Beautiful Mess 3-1 D Van Winkle C Lindsay
6 #2 Warren's Memorable 9-5 C Brinson H Hernandez
7 #1 Erotic 7-2 A A Potts E Lara
8 #8 Pistol Power 3-1 L Baze A M Cruz

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:15 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race 3	Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta
Starter Allowance $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 12:49
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS SINCE FEBRUARY 13, 2021. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * GET THE W: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff . Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STRUGAR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DIESEL: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7	GET THE W	5/2	4/1
6	STRUGAR	7/2	6/1
1	DIESEL	9/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	BUFFALO SHUFFLE	2	10/1	Front-runner	77	89	100.4	75.0	62.5
1	DIESEL	1	9/2	Front-runner	90	91	98.0	89.0	81.0
7	GET THE W	7	5/2	Front-runner	92	94	94.0	93.2	91.2
6	STRUGAR	6	7/2	Stalker	93	89	81.8	89.2	85.2
5	PORTAL ONE	5	10/1	Stalker	90	78	69.8	80.6	69.1
4	OSPREY	4	6/1	Trailer	91	85	65.3	80.5	69.5
3	COMMISSIONER G	3	12/1	Trailer	92	83	23.8	82.0	74.0
8	YES IT'S ROO	8	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	86	54.4	78.0	66.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:15 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race CoursePURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Rolling Double
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $33,700 • Post: 3:34P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * HELLO SWEETS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAVESOMEFORME: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SORORITY SISTER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MARGARITA CINCO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EMERSON JONES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rat ing at the distance/surface.
4	HELLO SWEETS	7/2	4/1
5	SAVESOMEFORME	5/1	7/1
7	SORORITY SISTER	8/1	8/1
3	MARGARITA CINCO	10/1	9/1
1	EMERSON JONES	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	EMERSON JONES	1	4/1	Front-runner	57	62	69.8	46.8	35.3
11	STORM OF NINETEEN	11	10/1	Front-runner	44	51	64.0	43.1	33.6
2	MUSIC CITY DANCER	2	12/1	Front-runner	27	30	57.8	23.7	1.7
8	THE BOOK OF RUTH	8	15/1	Front-runner	41	48	54.3	37.0	19.5
10	DANES LAST SONG	10	20/1	Stalker	47	40	56.7	29.8	15.3
4	HELLO SWEETS	4	7/2	Stalker	62	71	43.2	54.3	47.3
6	BROWNIE	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	51	50	54.8	50.9	44.4
3	MARGARITA CINCO	3	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	66	58	46.2	48.6	35.1
7	SORORITY SISTER	7	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	60	61	45.4	42.6	36.1
9	DANZA MAGIC	9	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	55	59	33.4	46.6	33.6
5	SAVESOMEFORME	5	5/1	Trailer	61	57	34.4	47.4	38.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:16 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Turf Paradise - Race #5 - Post: 2:54pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,400 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#6 EDDIE'S ON PATROL (ML=5/1)

EDDIE'S ON PATROL - Faced tougher in the last race at Turf Paradise. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of probable winners in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BEAUTIFUL MESS (ML=3/1), #5 MARK OF VICTORY (ML=4/1), #7 MISS WHISKEY (ML=9/2),

BEAUTIFUL MESS - Would have to get much more than the morning line of 3/1 to bet on this animal. MARK OF VICTORY - I don't possess a good feeling about this racer in this race. MISS WHISKEY - Don't think this runner is worth 9/2 in this clash.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 EDDIE'S ON PATROL is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:16 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33700 Class Rating: 64

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 SORORITY SISTER 8/1
# 5 SAVESOMEFORME 5/1
# 4 HELLO SWEETS 7/2

I have to support SORORITY SISTER in here and is a very strong value bet given the line. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Hamm have shown very solid results recently. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is strong for this equine. SAVESOMEFORME - Should be given consideration - I like the figs from the last race. Lately Gorham has provided players with a solid winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. HELLO SWEETS - Going in a dirt sprint race gives this filly a strong shot. Likely to see this pony to be close up at the finish line versus these ponies.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:17 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 1:43pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#7 ALLPAIDUP (ML=9/2)
#9 GRIS TORMENTA (ML=5/1)
#5 CRAZY SERENA (ML=5/2)

ALLPAIDUP - Sneaky speed on this one. She'll probably be stalking ponies on the back side, then crush them down the stretch. The return on investment when Trejos and Flores-Coba partner up is good. GRIS TORMENTA - Like the way this filly's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Have to give this filly a good shot. Ran a sharp effort last time out within the last month or so. I like the fact that this filly's last speed rating, 58, is tops in this bunch. CRAZY SERENA - Ran last time around the track against a better field at Parx Racing. The move to a lower class level should suit her well. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Another way to determine class is (EPS) earnings per start. This horse has the uppermost in the field. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 DIANE'S COMET (ML=6/1),

DIANE'S COMET - This horse hasn't been near the victor at the wire recently. This filly hasn't had any in the money results in short distance events in the last sixty days.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 ALLPAIDUP to win if we can get at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [5,7,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 09:17 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16200 Class Rating: 91

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 13, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 13 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 FIRE WHEN READY 7/2
# 5 FATHER O'FLAHERTY 8/1
# 2 CANDY ZIP 5/2

FIRE WHEN READY looks competitive to best this field. Has to be carefully examined against this group displaying decent figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 85 under similar conditions. Tough to pass on this gelding with Hernandez in the irons. Hernandez has one of the best rider ROI's on the grounds, returning to risk takers +8 percent. FATHER O'FLAHERTY - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. Brown and Marti have a good win percent together. CANDY ZIP - Should be given a chance - I like the figs from the last race. Always tough to beat Diodoro and Lopez working together, winning 20 percent of their races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 03:43 PM

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Monday, February 13th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
TURF PARADISE
RACE #7
TIME: 4:52 PM EST
PICK: BET #8 Jake The Great 4/1 odds to win @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 03:44 PM

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Thunder -2.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Rockets over 227
3. Sports Action 365 CBB – Monmouth +1
4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – William & Mary over 135.5
5. VegasSI CBB – Texas Tech +4
6. Sam Casey NBA – Lakers +1.5
7. Henry Brown Sports NBA – Bulls -5
8. Winning Big Sports CBB – North Carolina -5.5
9. Lou Panelli CBB – Monmouth +1
10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Bucknell +2.5
11. William E. Stockton NBA – Pacers +1
12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Hawks -5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – North Carolina -5.5
14. SCORE CBB – Monmouth +1
15. Tony Campone NBA – Lakers under 237.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Bucknell +2.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Howard -6.5
18. VIP Action CBB – North Carolina -5.5
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Monmouth under 140
20. LV Sports Commission CBB – Hofstra over 134
21. NY Players Club NBA – Warriors -3
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Bulls -5
23. LV Private CEO Club CBB – Stony Brook over 133
24. Michigan Sports CBB – William & Mary over 135.5
25. National Consensus Report NBA – Thunder -2.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 04:58 PM

Black Widow

Feb 13 '23, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Stony Brook vs Delaware

Play on: [B]Stony Brook +9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 04:59 PM

Dustin Hawkins

Feb 13 '23, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Miami-FL vs North Carolina

Play on: [B]North Carolina -4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 04:59 PM

Rocky Atkinson

Feb 13 '23, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Drexel vs Hofstra

Play on: [B]Drexel +10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-13-2023, 04:59 PM

Totals Guru

Feb 13 '23, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Miami-FL vs North Carolina

Play on: [B]OVER 155