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billy coleman
5* lakers
4* bobcats
columbia over
3* 76's
yale
5* lakers
4* bobcats
columbia over
3* 76's
yale
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Re: 2-27-09
Vernon Croy's **Friday Night NCAAB IVY LEAGUE SMASH** (Guaranteed Pick)
Brown vs. Princeton (Feb 27 7:00 PM)
Brown (6.0) (-110.0)
20 Units, Take Brown ATS, Princeton is only averaging 58.6 ppg this season with their leading scorer Doug Davis averaging 12.2 ppg while Brown is averaging 61.7 ppg with their leading scorer Matt Mullery averaging 16 ppg. The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after a double digit home loss and the Bears just dominated Princeton at home winning by 18 points back on February.14. Brown is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road dog of +0.5 to +6.5 points and Princeton has failed to cover in 5 straight conference games. Princeton is just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games off a loss against a conference rival and they are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games revenging a road loss against an opponent. Grab the points with Brown as my Ivy League Smash for Friday night.Comment
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Re: 2-27-09
Vernon Croy
NBA Smash
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Play: Portland -6
20 Units, Take Portland ATS, Portland is the superior team here tonight and both Brandon Roy and Steve Blake struggled last game which was a 15 loss on the road to the Spurs so I look for them to bring their "A" Game tonight. Minnesota has allowed over 100 points per game in their last 9 and they are just 1-8 during that stretch. The Timberwolves have struggled with the loss of their leading scorer and rebounder Al Jefferson. It will not get any easier for Minnesota tonight against a good Portland team that almost beat the same Houston team on the road (in their second last game) that the Cavaliers just got blown out by last night. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that has a losing record on the road and they are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games. Take Portland who is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Timberwolves as my NBA Smash for Friday NightComment
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Re: 2-27-09
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Cornell Big Red @ Dartmouth Big Green - Friday February 27, 2009 7:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 134 (-110) (Play of the Day)
4 Unit Play. Take Over 134 between Cornell @ Dartmouth (Friday @ 7pm est). Congrats to us for cashing Rider - barely, but cashing Rider nevertheless on the road at Loyola MD. That brings us to 3-1 on the week with a 5* bank as we look to go 4-1 on the week in college ball with a rare total. Note, I am releasing this total at 3:15am in the morning, so please get the best line possible as I'm certain that it will likely go up. The last time these two teams met, the game went into Double OT as Cornell ended up winning 79-76 in exciting fashion. What was striking in that game was the fact that Dartmouth came into that game as a 20 point underdog only to nearly win outright. I love the over here as Dartmouth is once again nearly a double-digit dog. In fact, the line opened up offshore at -11 for Cornell and then got bought down to -9.5 indicating money coming in on Dartmouth. But, then again, that is a bit expected as Dartmouth does have revenge, this is a home game for them and Cornell comes off a monster win against Brown which was a bounce-back from their SU loss to Yale. Yes, the last time these two teams met, in regulation the score was 61-61 before it went into OT. But, I think these two teams kind of gauged each other out from that contest and will get into the swing of things when it comes to scoring early here. Consider that plus the fact that I would love to normally take Dartmouth here but I would not be surprised if Cornell, the league stalwart decides to make a statement and tries to really ante up the score on Dartmouth. In that same token, I think Dartmouth can be an outright dog and potentially win outright. It's one of those odd games that can go both ways as the line that took a hit from +11 to +9.5 could simply be because that 50% of the public is on either side of the game. So, it's not one of those things like the Rockets line taking a hit at the last second despite 75% on the Cavs. In short, I can see Dartmouth being competitive and sending this game over. I can also see Cornell making a statement and sending this game over. I don't think it's all that impossible to think that either of these teams can put up 70. Both of these teams are more familiar with each other and will get into their offensive set quicker. Plus, Dartmouth did not shoot well from 3 point land in their last game going 4 for 14 and I expect much better shooting from there and shot a poor 16 for 26 from the charity stripe. Cornell is a big and physical team that is a top 100 team in the nation and shoots around 75% from the line and nearly 40% from behind the arc. I will take the over here as I expect a total that might finish up in the mid 140's when all is said and done. Dartmouth is traditionally an under team, but a team that can put up 66 at Princeton and 69 at Penn, I think can equal that effort or put up even 70 at home against a Cornell team that will want to score earlyComment
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Re: 2-27-09
Scott Rickenbach
NBA 2* (Top Play) Philadelphia 76'ers (+) @ New York @ 7:35 PM ET –
As long-time followers know we are quite fond of fading history when those historical facts just don’t make sense in comparison with the current situational factors. That is precisely the case here. Part of the reason we’re able to get the Sixers plus the points here is because there is going to be some “buy in” into the fact that Philadelphia hasn’t swept the season series with New York in 23 years! The Sixers have won the first three games of this season’s series and tonight’s game in the Big Apple will wrap up the season series. Many people buy into this figuring that if it hasn’t happened in 23 years it’s not likely to happen tonight. However, it is quite likely to happen! The Knicks defense continues to be a sieve and the 76’ers have averaged 113 points per game against New York this season. Also, Philadelphia has a ton of confidence when facing New York. This is not only because of this season’s success as the Sixers have actually taken 12 of their last 14 meetings with the Knicks. New York has allowed 12 of their last 13 opponents to score 104 points or more and that spells trouble against a Sixers team that knows how to defend and is giving up an average of 12 points less per game than the Knicks are this season! After a tough four-game losing streak, including some tight beats, the Sixers offense was able to get rolling against the Wizards on Wednesday and they should enjoy more of the same tonight at New York! Andre Igoudala had a big game at Washington and the Knicks don’t have the personnel to stop the Sixers from attacking the rim and dominating the paint. While the Sixers don’t exactly have a Dwight Howard (who else does?!?!) it is noteworthy that Orlando’s big man toyed with the Knicks in the big Magic win at New York on Wednesday. Don’t be fooled by the final score either as, overall, the game was not nearly as close as the final margin might lead you to believe. The Sixers have a very strong frontcourt and this will play a key role in tonight’s game as the Knicks continue to struggle in the paint. However, don’t forget about the backcourt either! That’s because the Sixers Andre Miller has had tremendous success against New York this season and the Knicks will struggle (again!) with the patience and cohesiveness of this Sixers team. New York just doesn’t have the defense to match-up with the Sixers intensity here. The problem for the Knicks is that Philadelphia also comes in with a lot of motivation for tonight’s game. The Sixers are still burned up about the loss to the Nets in New Jersey on Monday because it came on a half-court buzzer beater. Looking to strengthen their playoff positioning, the 76’ers will once again take advantage of a foe against whom they have some key match-up edges. Play Philadelphia plus the points as a Top Play selection.Comment
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Re: 2-27-09
Kevin Rogers
Chicago at Washington
Pick: Over 207
Analysis: The Wizards, despite their occasional cold spells on offense, have hit the OVER on a consistent basis recently, as Washington plays host to Chicago. The Wizards have eclipsed the OVER in eight straight games following a loss, coming off Wednesday's home setback against the Sixers. Washington's defense has been less than impressive, allowing at least 100 points in eight of ten games this month, while seven of the last eight at home have sailed OVER the total. The Bulls are coming off a road loss at New Jersey on Wednesday, giving up 37 points in the final quarter. Chicago has seen the OVER hit in 14 of the last 19 with the total listed between 200 and 210. The Bulls have been involved in a lot of high-scoring contests recently; in an eleven-game span dating back to January 31st, Chicago has scored at least 107 points seven times, while allowing 100+ points seven times. The Wizards have done a majority of their "OVER" damage against below .500 teams, doing so on 16 of 22 occasions this season. The Bulls don't play much defense, allowing 102.8 ppg and 45% shooting from the floor. I'll take the Bulls and Wizards to finish OVER the total.Comment
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Re: 2-27-09
John Ryan - NHL
Money Line: 240 Tampa Bay Lightning
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Tampa Bay as they travel to face Vancouver slated to start at 10:05 EST. This line was just posted near the lunch hour here in the east and I am unable to provide the supporting cast of angles and systems for this play. I want to get the play our given that both plays are significant dogs and that you should certainy consider an optional parlay wager too. Remember that when I release these NHL DOG plays, the supporting cast of systems and angles only serve to reinforce the play. The reason we are making the play is dominated by the AiS grading.
John Ryan - NHL
Money Line: 255 Los Angeles Kings
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the LA Kings as they travel to face Detroit slated to start at 7:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 23-18 mark making 15 units since 2003. Play against home teams against the money line with a poor starting goalie saving <= 89.5% of shots against him and is a hot offensive team posting 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. LA is 7-2 against the money line (+8.1 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. Take the KingsComment
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Re: 2-27-09
Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Manhattan Jaspers @ Fairfield Stags - Friday February 27, 2009 7:30 pm
Pick: 2 units MONEYLINE: Manhattan Jaspers +136
While most college hoops cappers take friday off to catch their breath and "re-group" for a busy Saturday after a hectic Wed and Thursday with the typical "avalanche" of college hoops games on those two days, Friday has been one of our most productive days over the last few years, because it features a full slate of games with "soft" lines played in the under the radar Metro Atlantic Conference, which has been a virtual ATM machine for us over last few years. And there are two reasons for our success in this conference -- one reason is that there are some strong conference trends which seem to "play out" every year in the Metro Atlantic, and the second is that with the line makers concentrating mostly on the typical large "card" of Friday NBA games and the "crush" of college hoops games on Sat, and knowing that these Friday college hoops games will generate very little betting action because they get very little attention from bettors, many of the lines for these games are simply "soft" or inaccurate, like this one.
In the Metro Atlantic the middle rung teams (such as Manhattan and Fairfield in this match-up) tend to be pretty evenly matched, and they play in mostly small arenas in front of fairly small crowds, the result of which is that small road dogs of 2-5 points have had a good deal of success not only ATS but also (by victorious these games SU) vs the money line as well. In this game our pick, Manhattan, has a better conf record (9-7 vs 8-8) than its opponent, and is 3-1 SU away (all as dogs) vs the teams in the middle and bottom of the conference, plus road wins at non-con teams of the same level, with a 15 point bracket buster win at W&M on Sat and an early season 6 point win at American Conf leader Binghamton (20-8). And jaspers have not only won their last 3 such games SU, they are one of only 3 teams in the conference (the other two being conf "powers" Siena and Niagara) with a victorious SU record (7-5) on the road. Moreover, they are 2-1 SU in their L3 games at Fairfield.
And speaking of Fairfield, the Stags don't look too formidable, as they have lost 7 of their last 10 games, and are just 2-2 SU as light home faves vs middle rung teams of the conf plus their 5 point bracket buster home loss (as 1.5 point faves) Sat to a CAA Hofstra team comparable to Manhattan.
So take Manhattan and these generous money line odds of +135, risking two units to win 2.7 units for us at the pay window when jaspers win on the court.Comment
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