Friday 3/17/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Gulfstream Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #8 Kalik 5-2 C C Brown I Ortiz, Jr.
2 #1 Mama Maria 6-5 J F D'Angelo J L Ortiz
3 #1 Back to Normal 7-2 M J Maker I Ortiz, Jr.
4 #7 Father Delay 5-2 M J Maker I Ortiz, Jr.
5 #2 Beth's Dream 1-1 V Barboza, Jr. J L Ortiz
6 #8 Exact Estimate 9-2 C C Brown J L Ortiz
7 #3 Foxy Lady 9-2 M Drexler I Ortiz, Jr.
8 #6 Ski Patrol 3-1 J Thomas J L Ortiz
9 #5 Demurely 7-5 S A Joseph, Jr. E J Zayas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Laurel Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #8 Center Mid Maddie 3-1 J Ness J Rodriguez
2 #2 Velvet Ghost 7-2 J Corrales T Lyapustina
3 #3 La Grotte 7-2 T Morley H Karamanos
4 #2 Bonita Lassie 5-2 M V Salvaggio J A Hernandez
5 #2 Pelota 9-5 J Ness J Rodriguez
6 #5 Baylis Street 5-2 H I McMahon W Humphrey
7 #5 Thorny Tale 9-5 J Ness A Concepcion
8 #5 Shaft's Bullet 2-1 G Capuano J Rodriguez
9 #2 Winds of Fortune 6-1 M J Trombetta J Barbosa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Oaklawn Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #6 Mystery Mo 4-1 S Becker F Arrieta
2 #4 Kitiara 8-1 E Witt, II T Wales
3 #5 Too Pretty 6-5 D C Peitz F Arrieta
4 #6 King Ottoman 6-5 S M Asmussen C A Torres
5 #2 Pittsburgh 6-5 P Miller N Juarez
6 #3 City Rage 5-2 R Diodoro C A Torres
7 #2 Magical Song 2-1 B H Cox R Santana, Jr.
8 #5 Traverse 2-1 R Mott I Castillo
9 #3 Life Is Hard 3-1 J P DiVito F Arrieta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kristpicks

cheltenham festival - friday, march 17, 2023

- daily selections for march 17 -

race 1:
15 - zambella 12-1
12 - gala marceau 9-2
14 - lossiemouth 7-4

race 2:
17 - petit tonnerre 25-1
21 - pembroke 7-1
1 - sharjah 9-1

race 3:
6 - favori de champdou 10-1 - best bet
17 - stay away fay 20-1
3 - corbetts cross 3-1

race 4:
4 - conflated 14-1 - longshot
10 - protektorat 16-1
1 - ahoy senor 20-1

race 5:
4 - brain power 33-1
22 - the storyteller 12-1
13 - le malin 25-1

race 6:
9 - zambella 25-1
7 - magic daze 10-1
3 - impervious 2-1

race 7:
3 - cool survivor 5-1
2 - might i 10-1
8 - iroko 8-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Sam Houston Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #2 She's Fire and Ice 3-1 S E Young F Wethey Jr.
2 #7 Skykat 1-1 R E Cravens, III E Valdez-Jiminez
3 #5 Village Way 5-2 S M Asmussen S Elliott
4 #4 Requisition 6-5 S M Asmussen S Elliott
5 #8 Fame Street 8-5 W B Calhoun J L Alvarez
6 #7 My Boy Bling 3-2 A Baldillez Jr. F J Manrrique
7 #3 Cliff Diver 4-1 J R Caldwell L J Luzzi
8 #2 DIAMOND GEM AA 6-5 J Torrez A Rodriguez
9 #5 RB MADELINE KATE 15-1 J Torrez A Rodriguez

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Santa Anita Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #4 Hulk 5-2 D F O'Neill E A Maldonado
2 #1 Bella Renella 2-1 D F O'Neill E A Maldonado
3 #2 Lil Richards Bello 5-2 P Eurton H I Berrios
4 #2 Bonita Leona 5-2 S R Knapp T J Pereira
5 #3 Purified 8-5 B Baffert J J Hernandez
6 #3 Big Summer 7-5 C Gaines J Bravo
7 #12 Soul of Midnight 3-1 D Pederson A Cedillo
8 #3 Eleuthera 5-2 B D Cecil M Gutierrez
9 #2 Finneus 6-1 P Miller J J Hernandez
10 #2 Window Shopping 7-2 R E Mandella F Prat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Sunland Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #1 Real Me 3-1 G Munoz, Jr. G Vera
2 #4 Rc Heza Flashn Dream 7-2 T E Sedillo M Delgado
3 #3 Kiss My Wild Candy 3-1 R V Vega H Aldrete
4 #5 Look At Moon Chick 4-1 M A Flores S Becerra, Jr.
5 #1 Pilot Bound 3-1 A Alamos J Enriquez
6 #5 Flashy Babe 5-2 W T Giles A A Ramos
7 #9 Forrest Effort 8-1 O Vargas A Sigala
8 #3 Converjenz 5-1 G Munoz, Jr. G Vera
9 #10 Jess for Your Lady 3-1 A Montoya F Cuellar

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Tampa Bay Downs Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #7 One Tough Dame 5-2 G S Bennett J C Ferrer
2 #7 Nurse Judy 2-1 C Gatis M Meneses
3 #1 Shut It Cali 7-5 C R Smith L Sosa
4 #6 Believe America 6-1 J K Sweezey A A Rodriguez
5 #5 Panama Red 6-5 A Delacour D Centeno
6 #6 Chicks Dig Scars 3-1 J G Arnett S Camacho
7 #4 Imperial Bird 9-5 T Wilson S Marin
8 #5 Barak 2-1 K Raven A A Gallardo
9 #1 King of Chaos 9-2 D Nunn A A Rodriguez

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - March 17

Mar. 16, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track
RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET

BEST BET: #4 PELLETIER

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 4 Pelletier S Sanjur
PLACE 2-1 5 The Beautys Tale E Esquivel
SHOW 3-1 6 Golden Oldie O Mojica
WILD CARD 6-1 3 Honey Bourbon D J Haldar

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Yes Is a Miller A Beckman
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Redhot Katie R Mojica Jr.

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX


RACE #2 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 8 The Motto T Heard
PLACE 2-1 3 Blue Teardrops W A Rodriguez
SHOW 8-1 4 Chambers Bay J D Ramos
WILD CARD 8-1 7 Velocimo J McKee

ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Southpoint F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 El Muzn L Machado

* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX


RACE #3 $20,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET

BEST BET: #7 AVIANO

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 7 Aviano W A Rodriguez
PLACE 6-1 8 Mucho Mojo J D Ramos
SHOW 7-2 5 Blueberry V Lebron
WILD CARD 5-2 2 Tiz of Thee G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Wing Commander F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Simon Peter A Achard

* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX


RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET

BEST BET: #3 INSOLITO

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 3 Insolito O Mojica
PLACE 5-1 8 Brokenhearted W A Rodriguez
SHOW 5-2 5 Gunoe G Corrales
WILD CARD 10-1 6 Halloween S Gonzalez

ALTERNATE 1 30-1 9 Gun Factor L Y Marcano
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Chiron J Elliott

* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX


RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-1 3 Quarterflash J D Ramos
PLACE 10-1 9 Girls On Fire J Rocco Jr.
SHOW 5-1 2 Lookin to Fly C Landeros
WILD CARD 3-1 11 Texas Magic S Sanjur

ALTERNATE 1 5-1 12 Princess Nina R M Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Fireside Kitten S E Bermudez

* EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/9/11 BOX


RACE #6 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 8 Cupids Number G Corrales
PLACE 5-1 2 Pace E Esquivel
SHOW 8-1 6 Savvy On Blanc D Cannon
WILD CARD 12-1 3 Giacometti G McEntee

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 10 Charlies Medal M Franklin
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Elizas Honor L Machado

* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX


RACE #7 $125,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET

** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 WEBN FROG STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 4 Quaria Comet G Corrales
PLACE 5-2 1 Opening Buzz L Machado
SHOW 9-2 2 Thunder Love J Talamo
WILD CARD 7-2 6 Awesome Treat M Franklin

ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Altered Shot J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Baby No Worries E Esquivel

* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

COMMENTS: QUARIA COMET loves Turfway Park and has top connections. OPENING BUZZ has been battle tested and will fit with these horses. THUNDER LOVE has won both starts so far this year. AWESOME TREAT could add value to your exotics.



RACE #8 $7,500 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-1 8 Bertrada S Sanjur
PLACE 8-1 7 Risata A Achard
SHOW 5-2 1 Believing C Landeros
WILD CARD 5-1 3 Moon Party G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Yellow Creek Road L Machado
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 9 Lucky Us J E Felix

* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX


RACE #9 $10,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 3 Rewire C Landeros
PLACE 5-2 7 Fort Defiance J Nava-Marin
SHOW 8-1 5 Tuskegee Cat A Burgos
WILD CARD 10-1 6 Memphis Prayer J E Felix

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Silent Steve J Elliott
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 12 Beocca J D Ramos

* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - March 17

Mar. 16, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET

BEST BET: #3 LEMON DROP SHOT

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 3 Lemon Drop Shot R A Vazquez
PLACE 5-1 1 Carpe Bellum D A Herrera
SHOW 4-1 7 Honeymoon Suite H I Berrios
WILD CARD 8-1 5 Agapetos G Franco

ALTERNATE 1 5-2 4 Hulk E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Tuckers Tribute J Valdivia Jr.

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX


RACE #2 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET

BEST BET: #1 BELLA RENELLA

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 2-1 1 Bella Renella E A Maldonado
PLACE 5-2 4 Righteously F Prat
SHOW 5-1 5 Sailing Along L Contreras
WILD CARD 4-1 2 Rain Diva A Cedillo

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Tropicana Girl A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Flatterwithjewels C Barbosa

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX


RACE #3 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:59 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-5 3 Talklessworkmore F Prat
PLACE 3-1 4 So Im Told R A Vazquez
SHOW 5-2 2 Lil Richards Bello H I Berrios
WILD CARD 8-1 1 Nolongerahobby A Cedillo

ALTERNATE 1 12-1 5 Bottle of Smoke D A Herrera

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX


RACE #4 $18,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:32 PM ET

BEST BET: #6 TROJAN WAY

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 2-1 6 Trojan Way K J Desormeaux
PLACE 4-1 4 California Gigi K Frey
SHOW 5-2 2 Bonita Leona T J Pereira
WILD CARD 5-1 3 Spring Spinning G Franco

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Roman Empress A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Starship Sky C Barbosa

* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX


RACE #5 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:04 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 4 Famous Star R A Vazquez
PLACE 8-5 3 Purified J J Hernandez
SHOW 5-1 2 Cupids Crusader L Dettori
WILD CARD 5-1 6 Luther Pass F Prat

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Deservedly K J Desormeaux
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Silent Heat D A Herrera

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX


RACE #6 $100,000 STAKES
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 6:36 PM ET

** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 IRISH O BRIEN STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-5 3 Big Summer J Bravo
PLACE 8-5 2 Alice Marble F Prat
SHOW 8-1 1 Feeling Grazeful E A Maldonado
WILD CARD 5-1 4 Shocking Grey J J Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Taming the Tigress U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Rose Maddox H I Berrios

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

COMMENTS: BIG SUMMER does really well at the track and distance not to mention has beat some of these runners before. ALICE MARBLE returns to turf after winning on dirt last race. FEELING GRAZEFUL has won her last two at Santa Anita on the turf. SHOCKING GREY has never finished outside of the exacta in five starts now jumps up in class.



RACE #7 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:08 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 6-1 1 Regulation Dazed M Gutierrez
PLACE 10-1 4 Buck Owens H I Berrios
SHOW 7-2 10 Big Drinker A Aguilar
WILD CARD 12-1 8 Lucky Sam R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1 3-1 12 Soul of Midnight A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Chaokoon G Franco

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 4/8/10 BOX


RACE #8 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 3 Eleuthera M Gutierrez
PLACE 5-1 6 Ghostem E A Maldonado
SHOW 4-1 7 True Patriot K Kimura
WILD CARD 6-1 5 Rose Harbor F Prat

ALTERNATE 1 3-1 9 Tecumseh Caroline R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Sunshine Babe K J Desormeaux

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX


RACE #9 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:12 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 1 Street Ruckus K J Desormeaux
PLACE 5-2 5 Piroli L Dettori
SHOW 4-1 3 Bletchley Park R A Vazquez
WILD CARD 3-1 7 Mobou E A Maldonado

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Finneus J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Show Time M E Smith

* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX


RACE #10 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:42 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 3 Tea Tree Bay L Dettori
PLACE 4-1 6 Make It Snow D A Herrera
SHOW 7-2 2 Window Shopping F Prat
WILD CARD 6-1 5 Marinas Tina U Rispoli

ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Carson Jen J Bravo
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Galimine J J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - March 17

Mar. 16, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $12,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET

BEST BET: #6 SPELLBINDING

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Spellbinding J L Rodriguez
PLACE 7-2 4 Alliaceous T S Albert
SHOW 2-1 5 Isolation E J Barrera
WILD CARD 8-1 1 Kittenofthe Court J Riquelme

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 L G Girl E Nieves
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Beautiful Ending C J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX


RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 5 The Grey Beauty J Loveberry
PLACE 9-5 6 Bet On Bourbon A Green
SHOW 4-1 2 Ryans Grace C McMahon
WILD CARD 8-1 4 Happy Sails E Nieves

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Allstar Magic A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Swirling Wine B Culp

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX


RACE #3 $7,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 6 Bankroll G Melancon
PLACE 6-1 4 Cheatin Charlie A Castillo
SHOW 7-2 3 Northernreflection J L Rodriguez
WILD CARD 5-1 5 Chrompton A Green

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 9 Cpriority J Graham
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 One Tough Charlie S Barandela

* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX


RACE #4 $51,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET

BEST BET: #3 I DONT VENMO

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 3 I Dont Venmo E Morales
PLACE 7-2 6 Regal Kingdom J Loveberry
SHOW 9-2 4 Ranch Water F Geroux
WILD CARD 10-1 8 Stiff Drink A Castillo

ALTERNATE 1 4-1 9 Manly Deeds E J Barrera
ALTERNATE 2 7-2 7 The Boss Soss J Stokes

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX


RACE #5 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET

BEST BET: #5 CAJUN CONNECTION

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 5 Cajun Connection C McMahon
PLACE 6-1 2 Iron N Steel E Nieves
SHOW 3-1 9 Trader Price M Murrill
WILD CARD 6-1 6 Prince Perfecta T L Pompell

ALTERNATE 1 9-2 7 Our Heatseeker D L Parker
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Boston Blitz F Geroux

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX


RACE #6 $51,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 3 Bru Na Boinne R Gutierrez
PLACE 5-1 2 Huntleigh C J Lanerie
SHOW 9-5 4 Merlazza F Geroux
WILD CARD 8-1 6 Miss Tappy Tone A Castillo

ALTERNATE 1 9-2 7 Stellar Lady B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Sweet Alyssa J Loveberry

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX


RACE #7 $52,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 3 Perfect Happiness M Murrill
PLACE 5-2 4 Salvaje B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW 4-1 11 Misty Day R Gutierrez
WILD CARD 7-2 5 Margies Kitchen C J Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1 10-1 7 High Speed J Graham
ALTERNATE 2 7-2 2 Rose Palace J L Rodriguez

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX


RACE #8 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 3 Sweet Chablis R Gutierrez
PLACE 4-1 6 Mystical Fire E Morales
SHOW 8-1 7 Graceful Union C J Hernandez
WILD CARD 9-2 9 Dialherup F Geroux

ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Super Luxe A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Origami Girl D L Parker

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

March 17, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia

Cal Expo has an 11-race card scheduled and it looks like the weather will cooperate. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 goes in Race 7. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

2-Lisplaced (3-1)-Was on a heater and then took a few weeks off. Some of it had to do with cancellations and not sure if there are any other issues in involved. Raced from the back in a necessary start and should be a main player if dialed on high.
3-Johhny Ringo (6-1)-Thayer stuck with the Ellis entry #2 but Johnny comes off a big try and might be able to perform despite the class hike. Longo should have the Tremblay entry forwardly placed and is worth a swing at the morning line price.
5-Chancesitlikeitis (2-1)-Probably will be bet down and that's an issue. Has shown the ability to compete versus this kind but has become camera shy. Will respect chances and hope for others with more value in a sequence that is not easy to read.

Race 8

1-Polar Storm (2-1)-Was bet down to 1/2 in last and got on the engine but faded down the lane when bumped up to this level. Has been off 2 weeks and some will look to fade. But probably best to use for those playing multiple tickets, could be tough to beat if Thayer can steal a quarter.
2-Hollywood Double (4-1)-The 3-year-olds in this race draw inside and will use banking the post will be a big help. Last week, got the top, didn't look back and it was 1st time Lasix. Plano takes over and will look for an aggressive steer.
5-Kioti (7/2)-Steps up after going off at 2/5 and looked the part. Lost to #1 on 2-11 and it wasn't close but looking for some value and has been on the upswing.

Race 9

2-JP Jetty (3-1)-Beaten odd-on chalk steps up but still fits. Will be a better price and the trip should be better as well. Can be a main player but needs a more alert start.
3-Cenalata Firedragon (4-1)-Hasn't been driven aggressively in the last 2 starts and thinking that will change tonight. Plano should be racing near the top of the stack and could roll by down the lane.
5-Cenalta Hawk (5/2)-Came the long way home but still drew off with a 57.2 back half and a .27 last quarter. Has a stale date (2-24) but that might help the price and could win again if minds its manners.

Race 10

1-HF Flower (7/2)-Raced near the top with a quick pace for a sloppy track and the trip took its toll. Willing to toss that effort, off track record shows only 1 win in 9 races. Comes right back and should be better with a sharp steer.
4-Kiss On The Lips (7/2)-This 13-year-old has been racing well and trying hard in the last 4 starts. Plano grabs the lines and that could make a significant difference. In the last 4 races there were only 4 horses who finished ahead of this veteran mare and they are not in this bunch.

0.20 Pick 4

2,3,5/1,2,5/2,3,5/1,4
Total Bet=$10.80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita March 17, 2023

March 17, 2023

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Carpe Bellum
Backups/savers: 4-Hulk; 3-Lemon Drop Shot.

Forecast: Bottom-rung ($20,000) older maiden claimers sprint six furlongs in the Friday opener in a race begging to be won by a fresh face. Carpe Bellum, away for 10 months, has three prior outings, all on grass, but with a series of main track workouts that has him fit and ready the son of Carpe Diem should have no trouble with the switch in surface while greatly enjoying the much softer competition. If he leaves running from the rail, the Brian Koriner-trained gelding projects to find himself within striking range throughout and then have every chance to seal the deal when the pressure is turned on. Hulk, off the track since last July, might be a better type this time around for new trainer Doug O’Neill, who claimed the son of Dialed In for this price but then had to stop on him. The son of Dialed In primarily has been a two-turn turf performer but there’s no reason he can’t sprint on dirt against this group. His recent San Luis Rey Downs work tab is encouraging. Lemon Drop Shot is a 13-race maiden with eight runner-up efforts on his resume, so while he certainly can win the Jonathan Wong-trained 5-year-old hardly is one to trust. Numbers-wise he’s a fit but he’s already failed five times as the favorite, most recently at 50 cents on dollar two races back, so he’s a good one to gamble against.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Bella Renella
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Bella Renella is a standout on paper in this $10,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. Yes, she’ll have to leave smoothly from the rail to avoid trouble and must return as well as she left almost a year ago when she was stopped on after a three race winning streak that also included a pair of voided claims to due vet issues. Concerns aside, the work tab is fairly impressive, and since she’s waiver protected off a long layoff and therefore cannot be claimed, her connections get a free ride for a $24,000 purse. There probably won’t be any wagering value to be found at the short price she is sure to be, but we can use her as a free bingo space in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:59 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Talklessworkmore
Backups/savers: 2-Lil Richards Bello.

Forecast: Talklessworkmore shows the blinkers off angle that we like combined with good and consistent form at this level. The Shelbe Ruis-trained gelding has finished in the money in each of his last six starts, most notably when second with a career-top speed figure over this track and distance last month. Flavian Prat stays aboard and projects to have this son of Summer Front in a good stalking position throughout. It all adds up to 4/5 on the morning line. Lil Richards Bello isn’t as fast on pure numbers as our top pick but has been freshened since November and has trained well enough to be fit and ready. He’s run well over this main track in the past and has enough early speed to clear the field if that’s the strategy his connections wish to employ. Toss him in on a ticket or two as a saver.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:32 PT Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Trojan Way; 2-Bonita Leona
Backups/Savers: none.

Forecast: There are six runners in this restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claiming main track miler for older fillies and mares, two of which should be capable of leaving the others behind. Trojan Way, claimed in her last pair, most recently out of a winning race at the (nw-2) $12,500 level, moves up in class but has numbers that make her the one to beat in this below standard race for the class. The concern is that she’s most effective on the front end, but from where she’s drawn (six of six) the daughter of Kantharos may have to be sent from the bell to get over to secure her preferred trip. That may be a bit of a challenge thanks to the presence of Bonita Leona, who exits a series of sprints and seems likely to be sent from the start to take advantage of her favorable two-hole post. It’s possible these two hook up early and do each other in, but whom among the other four have shown the willingness to produce any kind of rally? In a race that we’ll otherwise leave alone, we’ll go two-deep in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Trojan Way.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Purified; 4-Famous Star
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Purified missed by a neck in a straight maiden main track miler in late December and returns in mid-March after more than two months on the sidelines while dropping into to a high priced claimer, hardly a healthy pattern for a lightly raced ridgeling that has finished in the money in all four of his career starts after bringing $385,000 at auction. Clearly, the 4-year-old son of Lord Nelson is being culled by the stable, but that doesn’t mean he can’t (or won’t) win today, only that his connections don’t view him as a long term prospect. First-off-the-claim Famous Star is re-equipped with blinkers and has numbers that are good enough to win at this level, but to be frank has never shown a whole lot of fight when put under pressure in the final furlong. The son of Frosted projects to be part of the early pace, and if he can sneak away early he might get brave late.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Big Summer; 2-Alice Marble
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Hillside Turf Course specialist Big Summer looks solid as usual in this year’s renewal of the Irish O’Brien Stakes for state-bred fillies and mares, having finished in the frame in each of er 12 career starts, with two of her four victories earned over this unique slalom layout. Most recently she just missed as the 9/5 favorite in the Wishing Well Stakes while running a winning race and equaling her career top speed figure, so with a repeat of that effort today the daughter of Mr. Big should be able to regain her winning edge. Please note that she is a possible scratch if the race is taken off the turf due to recent rains. Alice Marble will stay in the race on either surface. A close third as the 6/5 favorite behind our top pick in the Sunshine Millions Turf Sprint over this course and distance earlier this meeting, the genuine and consistent daughter of Grazen regained her winning form with dirt sprint victory in the Spring Fever Stakes last month and should be set to fire her best shot once again. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with perhaps a very slight edge on top to Big Summer, assuming the race remains on grass.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 12-Soul of Midnight; 10-Big Drinker
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: The second time starter Soul of Midnight is the logical top pick in this state-bred maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for 3-year-olds. The son of Straight Fire tipped his hand when a good second in his debut at this level earlier this meeting, and with a healthy, steady series of workouts in the interim the Dean Pederson-trained gelding seems very likely to step forward for a barn whose maidens always seem to improve with an outing under their belt. Big Drinker, first off the claim for Peter Miller, turned in a clunker at this level as the favorite but didn’t get the best of runs and seems certain to snap back to his best race for his new connections. His recent work tab at San Luis Rey Downs looks fine, and with the break in the weights afforded by good bug boy Aguilar, this son of Stay Thirsty should be the one to fear most. Preference on top goes to Soul of Midnight but we’ll have tickets using both in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Tecumseh Caroline
Backups/savers: 3-Eleuthera

Forecast: There is a possibility of a surface switch (to dirt) due to recent rains. Tecumseh Caroline is unproven on grass and at this distance but she is a competitive sort, having won her last pair in good style, one sprinting and one routing, both on dirt. She’s very likely to enjoy a good pace-stalking style, so despite the concerns about this trip and surface she’s worthy of top billing based on her steadily improving pattern. b>Eleuthera adds blinkers – she’s worn them once before unsuccessfully – and is solid on numbers but has failed twice in her last three outings as the favorite. At this stage, we’re not sure if she prefers to be a speed type or a closer, and it appears her connections haven’t quite figured out her style, either. She’s also a big question mark should this race be transferred to the main track.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Street Ruckus
Backups/savers: 5-Piroli

Forecast: Street Ruckus may not be the type of horse you’d want to take a real short price on – he’s been a beaten favorite in his last two starts – but it’s hard to envision him getting beat in this below average allowance main track miler for older horses. He always seems to try hard, having finished in the money in each of his last six starts, but it’s been almost a year since he’s visited the winner’s circle, and that victory was accomplished on grass. In a race that lacks pace and from his favorable rail post position, the son of Street Boss looks likely to inherit the role as the controlling speed. Given that type of trip, he should be able to dominate as a no value rolling exotic single. We’re not sure if Piroli is as good (or as fast) as his last race shows but if the number was real the Battle of Midway gelding certainly deserves some consideration, at least as a saver.

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RACE 10: Post: 5:42 PT Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Window Shopping; 6-Make It Snow
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: This is a stronger than par maiden turf miler for sophomores and it should take a good filly to win it. Window Shopping was flat out given a race in her debut last fall at Del Mar, eventually winding up sixth but beaten just over four lengths after encountering some traffic through the lane while never being asked for anything close to her best, yet she still galloped out far in front into the clubhouse turn. The daughter of American Pharoah certainly has much more natural talent than the line will show, and her recent impressive dirt workouts leave no doubt that she is plenty fit and ready for a stable that has good stats with the layoff angle. Additionally, she gets Lasix and Flavian Prat. While we normally prefer to see two sprints prior to a stretch out, Make It Snow ran so well in her debut at six furlongs that we expect her to provide out top pick with some legitimate competition. The daughter of Empire Maker rallied wide and closed with courage in a hot race while just getting her feet wet, and though the barn has weak stats with the second time starter angle this filly might prove to be the exception to the rule. These are the two we’ll be including on our rolling exotic ticket with the main punch going to Window Shopping.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Gladriel Debuter goes for a capable team and draws well to try to spy the speed in the early going, and I think this might be the right kind of spot for a fresh face.
#7 Kelsey's Angel She has some room to come forward in this second career start, and she might be in line for a bit better trip if she can get away more cleanly today. Not impossible.
#3 F F Hell Cat Take a look at her on the track and tote, but I wouldn't be shocked to see her make a bit of noise at a price at first asking. Think a lot of the logical players with experience may be vulnerable late.
Race Summary Gladriel gets the call at first asking for me here, as the logical players near the fence both make sense but have so far lacked finishing punch. Let's see if one of the new ones can take this.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#5 Showtime Cat He's back in an easier spot after closing out the 2022 campaign with a couple Laurel stakes tries, and he's tactical enough to land a perfect trip just behind the battling pace early.
#8 Amidships He draws well to be a thorn in the other forward players' sides, but I have a mild worry about how hard he may have to hustle too much throughout to hold for all.
#3 Majestic Seas He's fast enough to be in the mix early on here, but he might get the right kind of trip getting towed into the pace by a couple who are just a touch faster than he is early.
Race Summary Showtime Cat and Majestic Seas both offer good alternatives to likely favorite Amidships, as I worry that guy is going to have to work almost every step of the way for this one.

Charles Town - Race #9
Picks Notes
#5 Party Monster Willing to take a swing in the finale where the other listed pair are very logical, but there isn't a lot of pace signed on in here. Wondering if maybe this one can bring something more like the three-back run and stick around from close range at a big price.
#8 Marketability She's a reliable finisher who might appreciate having a bit more ground to use to grind away at those in front of her rider has done his best work at longer local trips like this.
#1 Oneprettything She makes a lot of sense here on recent form, but she has been flattening at one pace in a lot of her starts going shorter than this, so I'm not fully sold that the longer trip is going to help her get over the top. She should get a good run from close range.
Race Summary Have to consider #6 Lady Madison in here as well, but I just didn't get that enthused about any of the three seemingly most logical players in here. Party Monster needs everything to go her way, but maybe she can capitalize on a soft race shape to outrun her odds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Penn National - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 JUST GOT STARTED (5-2) Might be doing just that off Kreiser claim after photo-finish setback.
#5 SUNSHINE JACK (7-2) Buried lesser, steps up for new connections in third start of 4yo season.
#2 FED CHAIR (2-1) Stablemate of top one has been burning money while winless in the last year.
Race Summary JUST GOT STARTED dueled inside of the 11-1 winner and just missed on the class drop to this level. He enters a barn that works wonders with new acquisitions and could have his uncoupled stablemate, FED CHAIR, to beat. Bet to win and place.

Penn National - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 MACHO HONCHO (3-1) Romped under mild coaxing in 6F maiden claimer, faces stiffer test.
#6 DON’T BLAME FREDDY (6 Parx invader gets plenty of pace to run into exotic wager picture.
#5 KAZ PALACE (2-1) Connor’s choice over top one ran second in NY-bred allowance at Aqueduct.
Race Summary MACHO HONCHO bid 3-wide entering the stretch and drew off in a manner that suggests tonight’s longer distance will be well within reach for a repeat victory. He gets second-time Lasix and gets the call for a win and place bet in a competitive race.

Penn National - Race #7
Picks Notes
#1 MIAMI MUMBLES (3-1) Duplicate of comeback try would suit today’s Best Bet well in this field.
#3 KITTEN’S MAN (6-1) Remained eligible for this condition despite repeat victory at 6F two back.
#2 HASHTAG WINNING (5-2) Useful 6F tune-up for this, hit board in 6 of 9 starts at one mile.
Race Summary Save for KITTEN MAN’S recent win for $4,000, the seven entrants are a 14/1-0-1 covering their last two starts, beaten a combined 156 lengths. That being said, MIAMI MUMBLES appears a standout from the rail. He followed the moves of the two favorites – both out of town shippers and both at 2-1 odds or less – and finished third off an eight-month layoff. Bet to win and place.