Saturday 3/25/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    PURCHASE


    Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 3:03pm - SO - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 94

    Rating:

    #5 SAVOY (ML=8/1)
    #3 ARISTOCRATIC (ML=12/1)
    #2 SUPER GARNER (ML=20/1)


    SAVOY - The ROI when Hernandez and Serey team up is terrific. Should do well today. Weight shift of -7 from January 29th race at Laurel. ARISTOCRATIC - A gelding like this one, almost always in the money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This speed freak is cutting back in distance today. Should promote his chances. Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Allen enters him at a similar level today. I'd expect an improved performance. SUPER GARNER - When this rider and handler team up you have to take a look. Ho and Dunham have been wonderful together. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. Dunham moves this horse here to Laurel from Charles Town. Looking at the horse's PPs, he has shown the ability to win at different tracks. Ran a less than stellar race at Charles Town last time around the track. Racing without a sloppy track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 AIR TOKEN (ML=5/2), #4 BIGMANCAN (ML=7/2), #9 CHARGE TO VICTORY (ML=5/1),

    AIR TOKEN - The Brain always tells me to keep my distance from horses in short distance races that haven't hit the board in short distance events recently. BIGMANCAN - Trying to beat this thoroughbred this time at the price of 7/2. CHARGE TO VICTORY - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance clash in the last couple of months. Not the best of omens.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #5 SAVOY on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,5] with [2,3,5] with [2,3,5,8,9] with [2,3,5,8,9] Total Cost: $36

    SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
    [2,3,5] with [2,3,5] with [2,3,5,9] with [2,3,5,8,9,10] with [2,3,5,8,9,10] Total Cost: $72
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 38

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 3 CLAUDIO BOY 3/1
      # 4 BARRIO SAN JOSE 10/1
      # 1 PRESENTADOR 5/1
      CLAUDIO BOY looks to be a competitive contender. Should finish in the money without any worries. Should be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Recent figures for the jock - 29 win percent - make this colt stand out in this field. BARRIO SAN JOSE - Rojas has him trained admirably to break swiftly out of the starting gate.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

        PURCHASE


        Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:54pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,400 Class Rating: 82

        Rating:

        #3 MANY ROSES (ML=6/1)
        #2 STYLISH ELEGANCE (ML=5/1)


        MANY ROSES - This gelding is in good form. Ran first on February 26th. The return on investment when Vergara and Axmaker get together is tremendous. This one has increased his speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at. STYLISH ELEGANCE - Lopez was aboard this gelding last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. This rider and trainer have a profitable return on investment when they unite. This gelding is in good condition. Ran first on March 1st. 38-59-80 are last 3 Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this field.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #7 DEVIL'S TEETH (ML=3/1), #6 THAT'S BIND BABE (ML=4/1), #1 STONUS MAXIMUS (ML=9/2),

        DEVIL'S TEETH - Hard to put any money on this gelding on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. THAT'S BIND BABE - This horse finished out of the money on February 12th and wasn't near the winner in the last race either. STONUS MAXIMUS - Granted the last race was good, finishing second. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. This runner ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's event running that figure.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 MANY ROSES on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Skip
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #19
          Saturday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Movie Moxy getting class relief in starter allowance
          Posted on March 24, 2023 by David Aragona

          Aqueduct | Race 9 | Post Time 5:32 p.m. (ET)

          For a limited time, try TimeformUS PPs for Free with a Formulator or Classic PPs subscription. Go to PPs

          Tough Street (#11) figures to go favored as she seeks her third victory in a row and fourth victory in her last five starts. Chad Brown has taken advantage of this filly’s New York-bred conditions in recent months, and now will try this starter allowance as she moves into company. She’s gotten some very savvy rides from Dylan Davis in her last couple of starts, as he’s helped her get the distance by steering her wide on the backstretch, helping her to relax before engaging the competition. She’s drawn well outside again here, but is landing in a tougher spot that features others who want to be forwardly placed. She can win, but I don’t think she’s going to offer value at her expected odds.

          The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, though the characterization could change slightly with the expected scratch of Mariah’s Fortune (#4), who is entered to run back on Sunday.

          Other runners who will seek to be forward early include Mosienko (#8) and Know It All Audrey (#9). Both are a little classier than Tough Street, the former having beaten open allowance foes while the latter placed in a New York-bred stakes. Yet both seemed to be in better form a few months ago, and I’m not confident that their trips will work out.

          I prefer some runners who can rally from just off the pace. My top pick is MOVIE MOXY (#6), who might actually be getting class relief as she moves back into starter allowance company. She participated in a strong open company optional claimer last time, and ran on well for third behind her talented stablemate Mommasgottarun. In her prior start, she ran even better than her 6-length margin of victory would suggest, since she hopped up at the start and found herself at the back of the pack before making a mid-race move to take over. I just think she stacks up very favorably against this group from a class standpoint, and the trip could work out well if she breaks alertly.

          The other horse that I would use at a bigger price is My First Love (#7). She looks slightly inferior based on recent speed figures, but I can make excuses for her last race when she was going too short and racing against a potential inside bias. Stretching out will help, and she handles a wet track.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #20
            The Jury: Bets and fades for March 25
            TwinSpires Staff

            The first of three consecutive monster weekends of racing kicks off with the Dubai World Cup, Louisiana Derby, and Jeff Ruby Steaks cards on Saturday. Here's what stands out to James Scully, Vance Hanson, and Ashley Anderson after perusing those programs.
            What is your best bet?

            James Scully: #4 Funtastic Again (6-1) in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3) at Turfway Park. An impressive wire-to-wire winner in two starts over Turfway’s Tapeta, including a 3 3/4-length decision in the Jan. 21 Leonatus, Funtastic Again drew inside the other speed, and jockey Gerardo Corrales will be hustling the chestnut from the break. He’s eligible to catch a breather on the front end, and I’ll tab the improving colt for leading trainer Wesley Ward.

            Vance Hanson: I won't sleep on #3 Gentle Soul (5-1) in the Muniz Memorial (G2) at Fair Grounds. Although the beneficiary of an existent bias favoring closers when taking the Colonel E.R. Bradley S. in January, I thought his follow-up against the classy speed Two Emmys in the Fair Grounds (G3) last out was a good performance, given that rival favorite set a very tepid pace. If Two Emmys is kept a little more honest, perhaps by Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1) winner Atone, I'm hoping Gentle Soul can make a race of it late at a decent price.

            Ashley Anderson: #3 Olazabal (7-2) dominated by 11 lengths last out in a six-furlong allowance optional claimer at Turfway while posting a 94 Brisnet Speed rating, the highest last race speed rating among the field in the six-furlong Animal Kingdom S. The Eric Foster trainee will move up in class for his first stakes attempt and will keep rider Gerardo Corrales, who is 3-for-5 with a second-place finish paired up with Foster over the last 14 days. Olazabal is also 2-for-3 at today's track, with his lone loss coming when stretching out to a mile. The Bolt d'Oro colt will vie for the early lead with morning line favorite #4 Eye Witness (2-1), who broke his maiden last out at a mile but posted a Speed figure 11 points slower (80) when sprinting six furlongs on debut at Aqueduct.

            Who is the horse to fade?

            JS: Several projected favorites appear formidable in the all-stakes Pick 5 at Fair Grounds, but I’ll take a stand against #2 Art Collector (8-5) in the New Orleans Classic (G2). He was able to work out a favorable stalking trip from post 6 when upsetting the Pegasus World Cup (G1) last out, but Art Collector has been compromised in previous starts when unable to make the lead from an inside post. He’s got speed to both sides in the New Orleans Classic starting gate, which makes his task difficult following a career-best performance, and Art Collector may prove vulnerable odds.

            VH: The only morning line favorite I'm completely fading from my Bluegrass Bayou Pick 5 is #1 Major Dude (5-2) in the Jeff Ruby (G3) at Turfway Park. There are no major objections to his form (he's a multiple graded winner on turf), but having Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz Jr. in his corner is going to depress his price significantly in a race that seems fairly wide open on paper. I'm also partial to better-priced rivals that actually have previous form on synthetic, specifically positive stuff over the Turfway strip.

            AA: #9 Santin (3-1) is a vulnerable favorite in the Kentucky Cup Classic, Race 10 on Saturday’s Turfway card. The Distorted Humor son was last seen finishing a non-threatening fourth in the Seabiscuit H. (G2) at Del Mar in November and will make his five-year-old debut here off a layoff of more than three months. The Brendan Walsh trainee has run on turf in 10 career starts and will try all-weather in his debut at Turfway. The 2022 Arlington Million (G1) hero will get a challenge from reigning Kentucky Cup Classic winner #10 King Cause (7-2), who came home 2 3/4 lengths in sixth in the Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1) last out and can improve with a surface switch and some class relief. #8 Ocean Atlantique (6-1) and #5 Wolfie’s Dynaghost (6-1) are also coming off stakes victories and have posted some of the top Speed figures among the field when running on all-weather.

            What else is worth noting?

            JS: Chris Block leads all Fair Grounds trainers with five turf wins this meet, and he has a top contender in Saturday’s Tom Benson Memorial S., She Can’t Sing, who will make a title defense in the about 1 1/16-mile turf affair. I like the “other Block,” #3 Trail Ridge (12-1), who exits an encouraging third in her open stakes debut, the Feb. 18 Albert Stall Memorial S. Block’s runners improve with age, and the four-year-old daughter of Point of Entry brings progressing turf form into this event. The upset candidate has appeal for the vertical exotic wagers, as well.

            VH: Longtime readers will know that #8 Master of the Seas (10-1) is a personal favorite of mine, though I've been unlucky over the past couple of years backing him in spots he's narrowly lost or seen him come through at relatively short odds. In the Dubai Turf (G1) at Meydan on Saturday morning (U.S. time), I'm expecting to get the best price of his career on him. He admittedly might be a cut below these (his infirmity-plagued career having in part hindered his rise to the top), but he encountered a difficult trip in his local prep, the Jebel Hatta (G1), while still managing to get within a half-length of the winner at the finish. A lifetime best is needed, but I won't be caught sleeping at double digits if he happens to produce it.

            AA: Leading freshman sire Bolt d'Oro has a chance to add multiple stakes scores to his resume this weekend, with two of his offspring listed as morning line favorites in Kentucky Derby prep races — #2 Instant Coffee (2-1) in the Louisiana Derby (G2) and #1 Major Dude (5-2) in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3). But it's a pair of fillies in the Bourbonette Oaks who have my attention. #8 Flashy Gem (4-1) is one of two runners for Brad Cox in the 1 1/8-mile event — the other is morning line favorite #5 Botanical (2-1) — and the three-year-old just won convincingly in her all-weather debut when racing a mile in an allowance optional claimer. Out of a Smart Strike mare, Flashy Gem has the pedigree to relish the stretch-out in distance and can pull off a slight upset of her stablemate.

            #4 Thirty Thou Kelvin (20-1) is another Bolt d'Oro baby in the field who's a worthy longshot. The bay filly won last out at a mile and 70 yards when rallying in the stretch to win over Gulfstream's all-weather track. From there, she transferred to the barn of John Terranova, a 23% winner in non-graded stakes, and will make her first start with the trainer while moving up in class. Irad Ortiz Jr. hopped off Thirty Thou Kelvin to ride #2 Bolivie (5-1), but Thirty Thou Kelvin is in capable hands with rider Kazushi Kimura. She'll need her best race to win here, but she's certainly one to play underneath in exotics.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #21
              Pony Conductor Picks: Louisiana Derby Saturday 3/25/23

              A 2nd, 3rd and 4th made for a frustrating Friday at Gulfstream Whatever, it’s Louisiana Derby Saturday in New Orleans and the Conductor needs to make a pit stop. A nice all stakes pick 5 looks like delicious supper while riding the rails..

              The Ductor officially has derby fever. Skip.
              Fair Grounds Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.100K Tom Benson Memorial Stakes

              #6 Didia (3/1) – This Argentinian superstar is 6/7 on turf and 2/2 at the distance. She’s carried her form to the America, where she’s won twice with a thundering late kick. #1 Adventuring (2/1) will take the most money in this race, but the Conductor is against her at a short price. She’s 0/2 at the distance.
              Fair Grounds Race 9: New Orleans Classic Stakes

              #5 Rattle N Roll (10/1) – There is plenty of early speed in this race and that should set things nicely for this colt. He became really good last summer and is now making his 1st start as a 4-year-old. He’s working bullets entering today and his Oklahoma Derby win at this distance gives him a chance here. With natural development as a 4-year old, he’s the value in this race the Conductor will key .
              Fair Grounds Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Muniz Memorial Classic Stakes

              #7 Another Mystery (6/1) – This race may be a mystery to some, but not the Conductor. This horse was game in defeat last time and the Ductor likes the cutback in distance for him today. #1 Atone (5/2) will be the heavy favorite exiting a Grade 1 victory in the Pegasus, but that was a weak Grade 1 field. With wins at this distance and over this turf course, #7 Another Mystery will be flying down the stretch under Prat.
              Fair Grounds Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G2 Fair Grounds Oaks

              #1 Southlawn (8/1) – This is the stinkiest betting race of the sequence with only a 5-horse field and 3 mediocre favorites. However, the Ductor will find value like only he can. This filly returned off the bench last time vs allowance company and was dominant in victory. She made an early move on the back stretch and extended her lead in the lane. That race puts her right with this group on speed figures and she’ll be a nice price. If you don’t play her, this race isn’t bettable.
              Fair Grounds Race 12: 1 3/16 Mile. G2 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby

              *Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Jace’s Road (12/1) – Throw out this colt’s two races in the slop and he fits right in with this group. He showed talent as a 2-year old and returned at 3 with a strong gate to wire victory over this Fair Grounds dirt surface. There isn’t much early speed in this race and the Conductor sees him getting a favorable trip setting a moderate pace. Cox clearly believes in him despite his poor effort in the slop last time. Its a good sign that Cox runs him here when he has two other contenders in here, including the favorite #2 Instant Coffee (2/1).
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #22
                REMINGTON PARK
                The Hare Wins - Randy Hare
                THE HARE WINS
                Saturday, March 25, 2023

                Race 1 Maiden Claiming $10,000 300 Yards
                # 8 – Dejanu Gets class drop & shorter distance for first start of the year
                # 5 – Bp Valiant Eagle 17 starts & no wins but has 2-2nds @RP
                # 3 – Valcorona Has couple of useful workouts for debut
                # 4 – Du You Run Run Run Needs better effort
                $1 Exacta Box: 8-5-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 5: 8-5-3-4 / 4-9-3-1 / 5 / 4-6-2 / 2-9-1 Cost: $72.00 Pick the winners of races 1-5.

                Race 2 Maiden Claiming $20,000 330 Yards
                # 4 – The Hammer 2nd here last year in only start
                # 9 – Easy Does It Cartel 2nd as the favorite in 10-11-22 dash @WRD
                # 3 – Xplosive Fire Improves with the class drop
                # 1 – After the Storm Should like the class drop
                $1 Exacta Box: 4-9-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Premier Pick 4: 4-9-3-1 / 5 / 4-6-2 / 2-9-1-6 Cost: $24.00 Pick the winners of races 2-5.

                Race 3 Speedhorse Graham Paint & Appaloosa Stakes 350 Yards
                # 5 – Livewires Turnpike Winner of last 4 in a row vs top company
                # 9 – The Big Chief 3rd to #5 in WRD Futurity
                # 2 – Salt Wire Likes this distance
                # 3 – Zbars Livewire Fs Rough trip in last 2 starts
                $1 Exacta Box: 5-9-2 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Kick Off Pick 3: 5 / 4-6-2 / 2-9-1-6 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 3, 4, 5.

                Race 4 Eastex (G2) 350 Yards
                # 4 – Hesa Party Wagon Stakes winner last year & 4 wins @ this distance
                # 6 – Head Patron Stakes winner of his last 3 races in 2022 @IND
                # 2 – Apollitical Payoff Started off the year with closing win in Mighty Deck 3
                # 5 – Watch Out Los Al shipper has sharp workout for RP debut
                $1 Exacta Box: 4-6-2 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 3: 4-6-2 / 2-9-1 / 10-8-9 Cost: $13.50 Pick the winners of races 4, 5, 6.

                Race 5 Maiden Claiming $10,000 300 Yards
                # 2 – Eye Do Tell Big class drop for first start since last March
                # 9 – Ale D Capi 2nd in 2 of 7 starts last year including 1 @RP
                # 1 – Maddys Moon 2 solid workouts for his first start
                # 6 – Dashing Prospect Mo Improved to finish 3rd in his last start
                $1 Exacta Box: 2-9-1Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 3: 2-9-1 / 10-8-9 / 3-6-1 Cost: $13.50 Pick the winners of races 5, 6, 7.

                Race 6 Oklahoma Paint & Appaloosa Juvenile 300 Yards
                # 10 – Wire Tap Closed well from outside post in his trial
                # 8 – Drank Like Hank Was easy trial winner
                # 9 – Wired Red Head 2nd behind quick trial winner
                # 5 – Ivory Turnpike One Improves with better start
                $1 Exacta Box: 10-8-9 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 3: 10-8-9 / 3-6-1 / 3-1-8 Cost: $13.50 Pick the winners of races 6, 7, 8.
                $.50 Pinnacle Pick 4: 10-8-9 / 3-6-1 / 3-1-8 / 2-3 Cost: $27.00 Pick the winners of races 6-9.

                Race 7 Oklahoma Paint & Appaloosa Futurity (G1) 300 Yards
                # 3 – Muddy Puddles Closed well from outside post to win her trial
                # 6 – Whiskey and Rain Rough start when finishing 2nd to #3
                # 1 – Mt Ultima Livewire Winner as the favorite in her trial
                # 10 – Triple L Xpress Closed for close 2nd in his trial
                $1 Exacta Box: 3-6-1 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 3: 3-6-1 / 3-1-8 / 2-3 Cost: $9.00 Pick the winners of races 7, 8, 9.

                Race 8 $50,000 Oklahoma Juvenile 300 Yards
                # 3 – Nola Brees 2nd behind impressive winner in his trial
                # 1 – Famous Cartelcowgirl 2nd as the favorite in her trial
                # 8 – Im Passing B Sharp winner of his trial
                # 6 – Jess to Be Valiant Won his trial for top connections
                $1 Exacta Box: 3-1-8 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 3: 3-1-8 / 2-3 / 9-1 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 8, 9, 10.

                Race 9 Oklahoma Futurity (G1) 300 Yards
                # 2 – Colleys Cartel Overcame slow start for sharp win
                # 3 – Fun N Fire Impressive trial winner
                # 9 – Piano Man Sam Did nothing wrong
                # 10 – Pyc Legacy Winner as the favorite
                $1 Exacta Box: 2-3-9 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
                $.50 Pick 3: 2-3-9 / 9-1-10 / 8-3 Cost: $9.00 Pick the winners of races 9, 10, 11.
                $.50 Primetime Pick 4: 2-3-9 / 9-1-10 / 8-3 / 10-9-5 Cost: $27.00 Pick the winners of races 9-12.

                Race 10 Oklahoma Derby (G3) 350 Yards
                # 9 – Lawless Wallace 5 wins in 7 starts with gutsy trial win in first RP start
                # 1 – Ap Scout Nice effort to score 2nd win in a row
                # 10 – Tres Crystals Last year’s Oklahoma Futurity winner was close 2 nd to #9
                # 7 – Apollitical Face Always quick into stride might be the one to catch
                $1 Exacta Box: 9-1-10 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2nd in any order.
                $.50 Last Chance Pick 3: 9-1 / 8-3 / 10-9-5 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 8, 9, 10.

                Race 11 Decketta (G2) 350 Yards
                # 8 – Fox News Started 2023 with sharp allowance win
                # 3 – Pops First Lady 2-time stakes winner here last year
                # 1 – Sheza Freighttrain T 3 rd as favorite opening weekend & 7 of 9 in the $$ @ this distance
                # 9 – Fabulous Rachel Seems to be on the improve
                $1 Exacta Box: 8-3-1 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.

                Race 12 Maiden 330 Yards
                # 10 – Eyem Onn Fire 2 nd in Oklahoma Derby trial on 3-12
                # 9 – Eagle Flyte Sharp workout for 2023 debut
                # 5 – In the Trenches Exits tough Oklahoma Derby trial
                # 7 – Perry Eyes Solid work tab for debut
                $1 Exacta Box: 10-9-5 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2nd in any order.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #23
                  Top Shot - Jerry Shottenkirk
                  Remington Park Selections
                  Saturday, March 25

                  1 st Race
                  8 DEJANU
                  7 IMA REBA
                  5 BP VALIANT EAGLE
                  4 DU YOU RUN RUN RUN

                  2 nd Race
                  4 THE HAMMER
                  1 AFTER THE STORM
                  6 AJ PRINCE
                  3 XPLOSIVE FIRE

                  3 rd Race
                  5 LIVEWIRES TURNPIKE
                  1 WL YOU AINT NO COWBOY
                  2 SALT WIRE
                  3 ZBARS LIVEWIRE FS

                  4 th Race
                  4 HESA PARTY WAGON
                  6 HEAD PATRON
                  1 APOLLITICAL GOLD
                  5 WATCH OUT

                  5 th Race
                  8 JTC RAINBOW CASH
                  9 ALE D CAPI
                  6 DASHING PROSPECT MO
                  3 EYEM TOO FAMOUS

                  6 th Race
                  9 WIRED RED HEAD
                  7 CRAY CRAY
                  10 WIRE TAP
                  5 IVORY TURNPIKE ONE

                  7 th Race
                  7 V GOLDEN GAME
                  3 MUDDY PUDDLES
                  1 MT ULTIMA LIVEWIRE
                  2 JESS A LIVEWIRE

                  8 th Race
                  8 IM PASSING B
                  3 NOLA BREES
                  1 FAMOUS CARTELCOWGIRL
                  4 MR MONEY TREE Z

                  9 th Race
                  9 PIANO MAN SAM
                  2 COLLEYS CARTEL
                  10 PYC LEGACY
                  3 FUN N FIRE

                  10 th Race
                  10 TRES CRYSTALS
                  9 LAWLESS WALLACE
                  6 PROXIMITY
                  3 TELLER IMA EAGLE

                  11 th Race
                  3 POPS FIRST LADY
                  2 SWEET DASHA FIRE
                  10 SASSALITICAL
                  9 FABULOUS RACHEL

                  12 th Race
                  9 EAGLE FLYTE
                  10 EYEM ONN FIRE
                  5 IN THE TRENCHES
                  8 AMERICAN FORM

                  TODAY’S BEST BET
                  POPS FIRST LADY (11 th)

                  PICK FIVE
                  (Races 1-5)
                  8-7-5 with 4-1 with 5 with 4-6-1-5 with 8-9-6-3 ($48)

                  PREMIER PICK FOUR
                  (Races 2-5)
                  4-1-6-3 with 5 with 4-6-1-5 with 8-9-6-3 ($32)

                  Pinnacle PICK FOUR
                  (Races 6-9)
                  9-7-10 with 7-3-1 with 8-3 with 9-2-10-3 ($36)

                  PRIMETIME PICK FOUR
                  (Races 9-12)
                  9-2-10-3 with 10-9 with 3-2 with 9-10-5-8 ($32)
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #24
                    Remington Park Selections
                    Track Announcer - Dale Day
                    Dale’s Picksby Track Announcer Dale Day

                    Race 1
                    5 BP Valiant Eagle
                    4 Du You Run Run Run
                    8 Dejanu
                    7 Ima Reba

                    Race 2
                    4 The Hammer
                    9 Easy Does It Cartel
                    1 After The Storm
                    6 AJ Prince

                    Race 3
                    Speedhorse Graham
                    Paint/Appaloosa
                    Stakes
                    5 Livewires Turnpike
                    4 BF Hannas Wagon
                    2 Salt Wire
                    9 The Big Chief

                    Race 4
                    Eastex Stakes
                    6 Head Patron
                    1 Apollitical Gold
                    2 Apollitical Payoff
                    5 Watch Out

                    Race 5
                    3 Eyem Too Famous
                    6 Dashing Prospect Mo
                    1 Maddys Moon
                    2 Eye Do Tell

                    Race 6
                    Oklahoma Paint and
                    Appaloosa Juvenile
                    5 Ivory Turnpike One
                    10 Wire Tap
                    8 Drank Like Hank
                    3 Pevs Wire To Wire

                    Race 7
                    Oklahoma Paint and
                    Appaloosa Futurity
                    6 Whiskey And Rain
                    7 V Golden Game
                    3 Muddy Puddles
                    8 Js Flying Chicken

                    Race 8
                    Oklahoma Juvenile
                    1 Famous Cartelcowgirl
                    5 Getaway Piloto
                    8 Im Passing B
                    6 Jess To Be Valiant

                    Race 9
                    Oklahoma Futurity
                    6 Dashin Hocks
                    8 Pearl Hart
                    9 Piano Man Sam
                    10 PYC Legacy

                    Race 10
                    Oklahoma Derby
                    10 Tres Crystals
                    7 Apollitical Face
                    9 Lawless Wallace
                    1 AP Scout

                    Race 11
                    Decketta Stakes
                    7 Jess Give Mea Reason
                    3 Pops First Lady
                    10 Sassalitical
                    5 JND Wagon

                    Race 12
                    10 Eyem Onn Fire
                    1 Flyght Song
                    5 In TheTrenches
                    8 American Form
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #25
                      Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - March 25

                      Mar. 24, 2023

                      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track
                      RACE #1 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 7-2 5 Eastbound V Espinoza
                      PLACE 5-2 6 Quality Wins K Frey
                      SHOW 5-1 2 Balthazar J Bravo
                      WILD CARD 4-1 1 Nashobas Joy M E Smith

                      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 4 Classically J J Hernandez
                      ALTERNATE 2 5-1 3 Duran A Cedillo

                      * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX


                      RACE #2 $22,500 CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:29 PM ET

                      BEST BET: #3 LITTLEBROTHERJOEY

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 3-1 3 Littlebrotherjoey R A Vazquez
                      PLACE 9-5 4 Top of My Game K Frey
                      SHOW 3-1 5 Strut On Louie T J Pereira
                      WILD CARD 5-2 1 Let Him Do J J Hernandez

                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Midnight Lightning E A Maldonado

                      * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX


                      RACE #3 $40,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:59 PM ET

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 6-1 4 Crimson Rose T J Pereira
                      PLACE 5-2 3 Dendera J J Hernandez
                      SHOW 4-1 7 Sommer Daisy D Van Dyke
                      WILD CARD 3-1 5 Control Function M Gutierrez

                      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 6 Quaria Thunder R A Vazquez
                      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Bali Dancer K Frey

                      * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX


                      RACE #4 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:29 PM ET

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 5-2 4 Royal Halo E A Maldonado
                      PLACE 4-1 3 Baileys Budget M Gutierrez
                      SHOW 2-1 6 Blue Cheese Olive R A Vazquez
                      WILD CARD 3-1 1 Carols Comic L Contreras

                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Fordy G G Franco
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Whiskey Vision A Alsagoor

                      * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX


                      RACE #5 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:02 PM ET

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 3-1 1 Midnight Silence J Bravo
                      PLACE 2-1 7 Con Seal and Kerry T J Pereira
                      SHOW 5-1 5 Thunder Run L Contreras
                      WILD CARD 6-1 4 Princess Midnight K Frey

                      ALTERNATE 1 4-1 3 Miss Polo Bar R A Vazquez
                      ALTERNATE 2 4-1 2 Wirly Girly G Franco

                      * EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX


                      RACE #6 $10,500 CLAIMING
                      1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:33 PM ET

                      BEST BET: #2 SANGRE AZUL

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 2-1 2 Sangre Azul A Alsagoor
                      PLACE 5-2 3 Tizzy Twister T J Pereira
                      SHOW 5-1 6 Sailing Along C Figueroa
                      WILD CARD 4-1 4 Semi Sweet A Cedillo

                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 California Gigi K Frey
                      ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 Shvere Arbeter D A Herrera

                      * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX


                      RACE #7 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET

                      BEST BET: #5 OLD PAL

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 8-5 5 Old Pal J J Hernandez
                      PLACE 5-1 7 My Ransom G Franco
                      SHOW 6-1 8 Chrome to Riches V Espinoza
                      WILD CARD 5-2 3 Johnny Paycheck K Frey

                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Country Boy T J Pereira
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 J Ds Rude Boy L Contreras

                      * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX


                      RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:37 PM ET

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 4-1 1 Violent Runner E A Maldonado
                      PLACE 8-1 2 Half Past Twelve T J Pereira
                      SHOW 6-5 4 Elm Drive R A Vazquez
                      WILD CARD 3-1 3 Dance to the Music J J Hernandez

                      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 5 Stella Noir L Contreras

                      * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX


                      RACE #9 $40,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:09 PM ET

                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                      WIN 3-1 3 Weegee T J Pereira
                      PLACE 8-1 8 Lovesick Blues L Contreras
                      SHOW 4-1 5 Overdue G Franco
                      WILD CARD 4-1 4 Lamplighter Jack J J Hernandez

                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Kennebec R A Vazquez
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 9 Dominant Soul J Valdivia Jr.

                      * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #26
                        Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - March 25

                        Mar. 24, 2023

                        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track
                        RACE #1 $38,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 6-1 5 Twirling Tigress W De La Cruz
                        PLACE 6-5 1 Megans Clara D Cabrera
                        SHOW 9-2 2 Woohoo Jackie Blue F Arrieta
                        WILD CARD 3-1 7 Shell Shock N Juarez

                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Big Java R Bejarano
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Berry Good R Zimmerman

                        * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX


                        RACE #2 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:07 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 9-2 8 Tenzing C Bailey
                        PLACE 9-5 2 Bidofhoney I Castillo
                        SHOW 3-1 5 I Got a Name R Bejarano
                        WILD CARD 6-1 6 Knocknerea W De La Cruz

                        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Rowdy Daisy E Fuentes
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 Destinys Dream G Saez

                        * EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX


                        RACE #3 $20,000 CLAIMING
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 5-2 3 Get Through N Juarez
                        PLACE 3-1 8 Liars Club D Cabrera
                        SHOW 9-2 2 Paid in Full C Bailey
                        WILD CARD 10-1 5 Caballo Feliz F Arrieta

                        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Kiss Principal R Zimmerman
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Major Contender K J Asmussen

                        * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX


                        RACE #4 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:17 PM ET

                        BEST BET: #9 THE HEIGHTS

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 3-1 9 The Heights F Arrieta
                        PLACE 7-2 3 Golden Bandit G Saez
                        SHOW 4-1 7 Bread Winner R Bejarano
                        WILD CARD 6-1 1 Briartown D Cabrera

                        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 8 Sir I Castillo
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Texas Ted J Hiraldo

                        * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX


                        RACE #5 $7,500 CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:47 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 4-1 6 Family Tradition N Juarez
                        PLACE 6-1 9 Cole Spur D Cabrera
                        SHOW 3-1 5 Rum n Tonic R Zimmerman
                        WILD CARD 2-1 3 Street Art I Castillo

                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 8 Salta R Bowen
                        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Koselio K R Jordan

                        * EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 5/6/9 BOX, 3/5/9 BOX


                        RACE #6 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 7-2 9 Evs Sherman K R Jordan
                        PLACE 2-1 5 Pearcy Road I Castillo
                        SHOW 5-2 2 Stuck N Snow L S Quinonez
                        WILD CARD 8-1 8 Chaleco T Wales

                        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 4 Table Money K J Asmussen
                        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Moneystrike G Saez

                        * EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX


                        RACE #7 $43,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

                        BEST BET: #7 GOOD PENNY

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 8-5 7 Good Penny F Arrieta
                        PLACE 5-2 1 Big Bad Diva N Juarez
                        SHOW 8-1 4 Undecoded D Cabrera
                        WILD CARD 12-1 2 Ipsum Gratus G Saez

                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 5 Squillions R Zimmerman
                        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Waterworks R Bejarano

                        * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX


                        RACE #8 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 7-2 1 Debater A Triana Jr.
                        PLACE 5-2 4 Time Andbeyond R Bejarano
                        SHOW 3-1 2 Skyped C H Borel
                        WILD CARD 9-2 5 Shake Up F Arrieta

                        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Kissofthenile D Cabrera
                        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 8 Pepperonikid I Castillo

                        * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX


                        RACE #9 $43,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 3-1 3 Biogenic Babe R Zimmerman
                        PLACE 4-1 2 Always Angels G Saez
                        SHOW 9-2 9 Yolanda Who R Bejarano
                        WILD CARD 7-2 1 It Takes Heart D Cabrera

                        ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Ring Twice R E Eramia
                        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Pioneer Parade F Arrieta

                        * EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX


                        RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:25 PM ET

                        ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 PURPLE MOUNTAIN STAKES

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 5-2 1 Klassy Bridgette F Arrieta
                        PLACE 7-2 5 Key of Life I Castillo
                        SHOW 7-5 4 Socially Selective D Cabrera
                        WILD CARD 4-1 6 Topsy R Bejarano

                        ALTERNATE 1 20-1 3 Izatiz J Melancon
                        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Addi Bug H Torres

                        * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

                        COMMENTS: KLASSY BRIDGETTE is unbeaten in three at the Hot Springs track. KEY OF LIFE has three wins and a third in four at the distance. SOCIALLY SELECTIVE won her debut at Saratoga by 7 and has a bunch of nice works getting for the first race in more than seven months. TOPSY is undefeated in two and neither was competitive.



                        RACE #11 $65,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET

                        BEST BET: #3 RYVIT

                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                        WIN 5-2 3 Ryvit K J Asmussen
                        PLACE 7-2 5 My Uncle Leon D Cabrera
                        SHOW 3-1 7 Hey Eugene I Castillo
                        WILD CARD 15-1 10 Sharp Stick F Arrieta

                        ALTERNATE 1 30-1 6 Moon Connection C Bailey
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 12 Dario M Michel

                        * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #27
                          Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - March 25

                          Mar. 24, 2023

                          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track
                          RACE #1 $100,000 STAKES
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:00 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 CRESCENT CITY DERBY

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 5-1 8 Late September L Saez
                          PLACE 9-5 5 Allnight Moonlight F Geroux
                          SHOW 10-1 4 Mor Big Lee E J Barrera
                          WILD CARD 6-1 3 I Dont Venmo J Rosario

                          ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Benoit B J Hernandez Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Mangum T Thornton

                          * EXACTA: 3,4,5,8 Box
                          * TRIFECTA: 5,8/4,5,8/3,4,5,7,8

                          COMMENTS: LATE SEPTEMBER is usually well backed by horseplayers and popped to a nice win the last time he returned from a layoff. ALLLNIGHT MOONLIGHT went wire to wire in the last two and neither was very close. He could be hard to catch again today. MOR BIG LEE usually makes up ground at the end of races which should help him the first time he goes long today. I DONT VENMO might be better suited for turn but does carry plenty of late punch and could clean up gimmicks.



                          RACE #2 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET

                          BEST BET: #5 KINGS GLORY

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 4-1 5 Kings Glory J Rosario
                          PLACE 5-2 4 Castlewarden F Geroux
                          SHOW 3-1 2 Billy Jack R Santana Jr.
                          WILD CARD 5-1 6 Harbour Bridge F Prat

                          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Coaches Meeting R Gutierrez
                          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 8 River Raft J P Vargas

                          * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX


                          RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
                          1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 CRESCENT CITY OAKS

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 7-5 2 Free Drop Maddy R Gutierrez
                          PLACE 4-1 5 Olivia G D L Parker
                          SHOW 5-1 4 Guitar Woman E Nieves
                          WILD CARD 7-2 1 Alpine Mist V Del-Cid

                          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 New Destiny F Geroux
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Star Moment C J Lanerie

                          * EXACTA: 2/1,3,4,5,7
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/1,4,5,7/1,3,4,5,7

                          COMMENTS: FREE DROP MADDY is a single candidate for the opening pick 4 and 5 bets. OLIVIA G is always close finishing as a bridesmaid five of five. GUITAR WOMAN has been close to the top pick in two of three matchups. ALPINE MIST has some versatility as she can pressure the leader or close.



                          RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES
                          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 COSTA RISING STAKES

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 9-5 9 Bron and Brow R Gutierrez
                          PLACE 7-2 8 Big Chopper C J Lanerie
                          SHOW 6-1 4 Berties Galaxy F Geroux
                          WILD CARD 9-2 1 Yankee Seven A Green

                          ALTERNATE 1 2-1 10 Swot Analysis B J Hernandez Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 12 Mike J M Pedroza Jr.

                          * EXACTA: 1,4,8,9 Box
                          * TRIFECTA: 1,4,8,9 Box

                          COMMENTS: BRON AND BROW should run the most complete race with the best combination of early and late speed. BIG CHOPPERs trainer Scott Geiner wins at 18 percent taking his horse from a sprint to a route and back to a sprint like today. BERTIES GALAXY runs his best on the front and will be gunning from the gate. YANKEE SEVEN is back to defend his title but will need to run faster today than he did in his last race.



                          RACE #5 $75,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET

                          BEST BET: #6 MERLAZZA

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 9-5 6 Merlazza F Geroux
                          PLACE 8-1 1 Miss Tappy Tone A Castillo
                          SHOW 9-2 5 Bru Na Boinne R Gutierrez
                          WILD CARD 12-1 8 Sweet Alyssa J Graham

                          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 9 Huntleigh C J Lanerie
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Nomadic Pride E Morales

                          * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX


                          RACE #6 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 8-1 2 Master Som R Santana Jr.
                          PLACE 8-1 3 Golden View R Gutierrez
                          SHOW 7-2 5 Twin Mischief J Rosario
                          WILD CARD 4-1 8 Conceptualize L Saez

                          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 12 Angora Deb F Prat
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 9 Sandra D J Graham

                          * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX


                          RACE #7 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 7-2 14 Mystical Fire E Morales
                          PLACE 9-2 8 Dialherup F Geroux
                          SHOW 4-1 6 Sweet Chablis R Gutierrez
                          WILD CARD 8-1 3 Raggity Sand F Prat

                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 12 Corsini C J Lanerie
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Graceful Union C J Hernandez

                          * EXACTA: 14-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 6/8/14 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX


                          RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 TOM BENSON MEMORIAL STAKES

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 9-2 8 She Cant Sing B J Hernandez Jr.
                          PLACE 2-1 1 Adventuring L Saez
                          SHOW 5-1 9 New Years Eve F Prat
                          WILD CARD 3-1 6 Didia V Cheminaud

                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Trobairitz F Geroux
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 New Boss D L Parker

                          * EXACTA: 1,6,8,9 Box
                          * TRIFECTA: 1,8,9/1,8,9/1,2,6,7,8,9

                          COMMENTS: SHE CANT SING is the defending champion and is working well leading up to her defense of the crown. ADVENTURINGs jockey and trainer combo of Luis Saez and Brad Cox won four of seven together and hit the board 100 percent. NEW YEARS EVE is a real steady high end performer that will charge late but there might not be a lot of speed to chase down. DIDIA won a pair of Group 1s in Argentina but will face the toughest she has seen to date here.



                          RACE #9 $500,000 STAKES
                          1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:04 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500,000 NEW ORLEANS CLASSIC GRADE II

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 2-1 3 West Will Power F Prat
                          PLACE 10-1 5 Rattle N Roll B J Hernandez Jr.
                          SHOW 8-5 2 Art Collector J Alvarado
                          WILD CARD 9-2 8 Pioneer of Medina L Saez

                          ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Treasury C J Lanerie
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Mr. Wireless D L Parker

                          * EXACTA: 2,3,5/1,2,3,5,8
                          * TRIFECTA: 2,3,5/2,3,5/1,2,3,5,7,8

                          COMMENTS: WEST WILL POWERs resume hints at a major upgrade in his second race following a layoff. RATTLE N ROLL has powerful late pace and should get a trip he likes with plenty of burn up front. ART COLLECTOR was absolutely brilliant winning his last race with the highest last race speed figure. PIONEER OF MEDINA has two wins with a third and fourth in four at Fair Grounds. The two non wins were versus the likes of EPICENTER.



                          RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES
                          1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:36 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 MUNIZ MEMORIAL CLASSIC STAKES GRADE II

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 9-2 5 Spooky Channel J Rosario
                          PLACE 5-2 1 Atone L Saez
                          SHOW 3-1 6 Two Emmys J Graham
                          WILD CARD 6-1 7 Another Mystery F Prat

                          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Gentle Soul R Gutierrez
                          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Rising Empire F Geroux

                          * EXACTA: 1,5,6/1,3,5,6,7
                          * TRIFECTA: 1,5,6/1,5,6/1,3,5,6,7

                          COMMENTS: SPOOKY CHANNEL has the best career numbers on grass for this crew and offers good value based on morning line odds. ATONE is working out exceptionally well prepping for this spot including a bullet in last. TWO EMMYS has a strong record at Fair Grounds with four wins along with four seconds and third in 11 races. ANOTHER MYSTERY ran the highest last race speed figure and can win again at his best but come home last at his worst.



                          RACE #11 $400,000 STAKES
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:08 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400,000 FAIR GROUNDS OAKS GRADE II

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 2-1 5 Hoosier Philly E Morales
                          PLACE 8-5 3 Pretty Mischievous B J Hernandez Jr.
                          SHOW 2-1 4 The Alys Look L Saez
                          WILD CARD 8-1 1 Southlawn R Gutierrez

                          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 2 Christian dOro J Rosario

                          * EXACTA: 5/3
                          * TRIFECTA: 5/3,4/1,2,3,4

                          COMMENTS: HOOSIER PHILLY was the heavy favorite against PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS last out. She stumbled out of the box and never recovered. HOOSIER PHILLY pounded PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS by more than 5 lengths in their prior matchup. PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS crushed THE ALYS LOOK when they met two back. SOUTHLAWN could compete for third place but would need something special to beat both of the top two.



                          RACE #12 $1,000,000 STAKES
                          1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:42 PM ET

                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M LOUISIANA DERBY GRADE II

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 2-1 2 Instant Coffee L Saez
                          PLACE 6-1 6 Kingsbarns F Prat
                          SHOW 5-1 4 Sun Thunder B J Hernandez Jr.
                          WILD CARD 12-1 11 Jaces Road F Geroux

                          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Tapits Conquest M Franco
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Cagliostro C A Torres

                          * EXACTA: 2,6/2,4,6,7,9,11
                          * TRIFECTA: 2,6/2,4,6,11/2,4,6,9,11

                          COMMENTS: INSTANT COFFEE is considered one of the top Kentucky Derby contenders right now. He will have a chance to prove it here. KINGSBARN has the best combination of early and late speed in the field through his first two tries. SUN THUNDER will be rolling late with race internals that improved from start to finish in his last. JACES ROAD won his debut and won in his only other first start after a layoff. He runs fresh again today.



                          RACE #13 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 9-2 9 Aztec Gem R Gutierrez
                          PLACE 9-2 7 Macho Beanie F Geroux
                          SHOW 6-1 6 Got Me a Chrysler C J Lanerie
                          WILD CARD 5-1 5 Malaki Empire L Saez

                          ALTERNATE 1 4-1 3 Steauxlit T Thornton
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 13 Contraband Early C A Torres

                          * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX


                          RACE #14 $75,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 4-1 9 Gwildcat G Melancon
                          PLACE 5-1 2 X Clown J Graham
                          SHOW 15-1 7 Tambourine Star R Santana Jr.
                          WILD CARD 6-1 3 Coach Kenny J L Rodriguez

                          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Available Star A Castillo
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 11 Half Again D L Parker

                          * EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX


                          RACE #15 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET

                          BEST BET: #7 LIGHTENING MO

                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                          WIN 7-2 7 Lightening Mo C J Hernandez
                          PLACE 5-1 3 Pursuit lHarmonie C A Torres
                          SHOW 8-1 13 Starsnmotion L Saez
                          WILD CARD 5-1 5 Custom Comedy J L Rodriguez

                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 10 Calcite C J Lanerie
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Sweet Alexis V Del-Cid

                          * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX, 13-5 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 3/7/13 BOX, 3/5/13 BOX
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #28
                            Turfway Park Tip Sheet - March 25

                            Mar. 24, 2023

                            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.
                            RACE #1 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 11:45 AM ET

                            BEST BET: #11 RED HOT ROD

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 5-2 11 Red Hot Rod J R Velazquez
                            PLACE 3-1 3 Cigarette Boat I Ortiz Jr.
                            SHOW 6-1 4 Book of Kells J Rocco Jr.
                            WILD CARD 15-1 2 Fast Forward W A Rodriguez

                            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 King of Kentucky A Lezcano
                            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Liquid Addiction G Corrales

                            * EXACTA: 11-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/11 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX


                            RACE #2 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                            1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 12:13 PM ET

                            BEST BET: #2 GAMER

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 2-1 2 Gamer I Ortiz Jr.
                            PLACE 5-1 4 King Curlin C A Emigh
                            SHOW 6-1 11 Vintage Year F De La Cruz
                            WILD CARD 8-1 7 Miracle On Ice S Sanjur

                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Son of Thunder J Elliott
                            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 10 Captain Hank R M Hernandez

                            * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/11 BOX, 4/7/11 BOX


                            RACE #3 $74,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                            1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 12:43 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 3-1 3 Haig Point I Ortiz Jr.
                            PLACE 10-1 4 Explosive E J Zayas
                            SHOW 7-2 1 Angkor D Cannon
                            WILD CARD 5-1 9 Sugoi J Rocco Jr.

                            ALTERNATE 1 30-1 14 Go Bali Go S Sanjur
                            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 11 Grey Charmer O Mojica

                            * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/9 BOX


                            RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                            1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:13 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 4-1 10 Noises Off G Corrales
                            PLACE 5-1 11 Smokey Mandate I Ortiz Jr.
                            SHOW 9-2 8 Accident W A Rodriguez
                            WILD CARD 5-1 9 Write Off Jerry R M Hernandez

                            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 12 Magnificent Mile E Esquivel
                            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 6 Wico J R Velazquez

                            * EXACTA: 10-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 8/10/11 BOX, 8/9/11 BOX


                            RACE #5 $74,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                            1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 5-1 3 Deck of Cards E J Zayas
                            PLACE 9-2 11 Skylerville O Mojica
                            SHOW 12-1 5 Hashtag Winner W A Rodriguez
                            WILD CARD 15-1 14 Bel Aria G Corrales

                            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 French Cuffs S Leon
                            ALTERNATE 2 4-1 6 Love to Run L Machado

                            * EXACTA: 3-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-14 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/5/11 BOX, 5/11/14 BOX


                            RACE #6 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET

                            BEST BET: #2 POPNFIZZ

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 9-2 2 Popnfizz D Cannon
                            PLACE 7-2 5 Mischievous Doll W A Rodriguez
                            SHOW 6-1 7 Fracing Lucky J E Felix
                            WILD CARD 5-2 3 Giada J R Velazquez

                            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 8 Gormleyesque J Loveberry
                            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Liams Gift R Aragon

                            * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX


                            RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:43 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 2-1 4 Eye Witness K J Desormeaux
                            PLACE 7-2 3 Olazabal G Corrales
                            SHOW 12-1 6 Moonstrike A Beschizza
                            WILD CARD 5-2 7 New York Thunder J E Morelos

                            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Brazen Boy C Landeros
                            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Swirvin E J Zayas

                            * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX


                            RACE #8 $250,000 STAKES
                            1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:13 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 8-1 9 Midnight Rising L Machado
                            PLACE 15-1 2 Roja Redemption J D Ramos
                            SHOW 3-1 4 Santorini I Ortiz Jr.
                            WILD CARD 10-1 5 Quadra Island F De La Cruz

                            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 12 Moon Landing J R Velazquez
                            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 10 Ironsides D Cannon

                            * EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX


                            RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES
                            1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 3-1 5 Idiomatic C Landeros
                            PLACE 5-1 8 Kates Kingdom I Ortiz Jr.
                            SHOW 15-1 10 Bali Belle G Corrales
                            WILD CARD 20-1 6 Purrfect F De La Cruz

                            ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Il Malocchio J R Velazquez
                            ALTERNATE 2 4-1 11 Bellamore M Garcia

                            * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 5/8/10 BOX, 6/8/10 BOX


                            RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES
                            1 1/8 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:13 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 7-2 10 King Cause G Corrales
                            PLACE 6-1 8 Ocean Atlantique W A Rodriguez
                            SHOW 15-1 13 Verstappen D Cannon
                            WILD CARD 6-1 5 Wolfies Dynaghost J R Velazquez

                            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Two Birds J McKee
                            ALTERNATE 2 3-1 9 Santin A Beschizza

                            * EXACTA: 10-8 BOX, 8-13 BOX, 13-5 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 8/10/13 BOX, 5/8/13 BOX


                            RACE #11 $300,000 STAKES
                            1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:43 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 2-1 5 Botanical C Landeros
                            PLACE 4-1 8 Flashy Gem J R Velazquez
                            SHOW 7-2 11 Ag Bullet U Rispoli
                            WILD CARD 5-1 2 Bolivie I Ortiz Jr.

                            ALTERNATE 1 30-1 9 Shewillghostu S Leon
                            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Renegade Rebel R M Hernandez

                            * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 5/8/11 BOX, 2/8/11 BOX


                            RACE #12 $700,000 STAKES
                            1 1/8 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:25 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 6-1 4 Funtastic Again G Corrales
                            PLACE 5-1 8 Congruent S Leon
                            SHOW 8-1 11 Wadsworth C Landeros
                            WILD CARD 5-2 1 Major Dude I Ortiz Jr.

                            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 2 Scoobie Quando L Machado
                            ALTERNATE 2 7-2 10 Two Phils J Loveberry

                            * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 4/8/11 BOX, 1/8/11 BOX


                            RACE #13 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                            1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET

                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                            WIN 5-2 8 Fast N Happy R M Hernandez
                            PLACE 3-1 11 Boppy J R Velazquez
                            SHOW 5-1 13 Golden Runner D Cannon
                            WILD CARD 6-1 3 Audreys Willow W A Rodriguez

                            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Fancy Caber Neigh F Peterson
                            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 7 Varsity Blonde I Ortiz Jr.

                            * EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 8/11/13 BOX, 3/11/13 BOX
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #29
                              Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - March 25

                              Mar. 24, 2023

                              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
                              RACE #1 $8,000 CLAIMING
                              1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:20 AM ET

                              BEST BET: #1 DIA DE SOL

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 2-1 1 Dia de Sol K Mendez
                              PLACE 5-2 3 What a Knockout A A Rodriguez
                              SHOW 6-1 5 Audrey M Fuentes
                              WILD CARD 4-1 2 Truly a Dream J A Batista

                              ALTERNATE 1 7-2 6 Miss California S Marin
                              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Aspropodia D Delgado

                              * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX


                              RACE #2 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:50 AM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 3-1 6 Plane Jane J C Ferrer
                              PLACE 2-1 2 Ritabook A A Gallardo
                              SHOW 5-2 1 Laveau M Jimenez
                              WILD CARD 6-1 3 Dudesfirstdarling M Meneses

                              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Open Sky J A Batista
                              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Kitty Maclean R D Allen Jr.

                              * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX


                              RACE #3 $20,000 CLAIMING
                              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:18 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 5-2 5 Super Caro A A Rodriguez
                              PLACE 3-1 6 Free Shot J C Ferrer
                              SHOW 5-1 7 General Robinson J A Batista
                              WILD CARD 2-1 3 Influentialous S Camacho

                              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Elsas Rocket R D Allen Jr.
                              ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 X Y Lady H R Diaz Jr.

                              * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX


                              RACE #4 $5,000 CLAIMING
                              7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:48 PM ET

                              BEST BET: #5 ROOKIE SALSA

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 5-2 5 Rookie Salsa M Fuentes
                              PLACE 5-1 3 Jack Luvs Nova S Marin
                              SHOW 3-1 1 Catching Fish J A Batista
                              WILD CARD 6-1 2 Litigant A S Arroyo

                              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Shanghai Warrior R Mitchell
                              ALTERNATE 2 9-2 7 Sixty One S Camacho

                              * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX


                              RACE #5 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:18 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 9-5 5 Discreet Magic S Marin
                              PLACE 3-1 11 Rollercoaster Man A A Gallardo
                              SHOW 8-1 6 The Swayze Express R D Allen Jr.
                              WILD CARD 6-1 7 Copazo A S Arroyo

                              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Red October P L Cotto Jr.
                              ALTERNATE 2 9-2 4 Pralines Cat M Jimenez

                              * EXACTA: 5-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 5/6/11 BOX, 6/7/11 BOX


                              RACE #6 $8,000 CLAIMING
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 7-2 1 Unified Ride M Rowland
                              PLACE 9-2 3 Thats All Shewrote J C Ferrer
                              SHOW 7-2 5 Lil Annie Rose E M Walker
                              WILD CARD 2-1 4 Gleaming Brutality A A Gallardo

                              ALTERNATE 1 9-2 2 I Said Hey M Allen
                              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Brass Band M Fuentes

                              * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX


                              RACE #7 $25,000 STARTER HANDICAP
                              1 3/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET

                              BEST BET: #3 KATIES A LADY

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 2-1 3 Katies a Lady A A Gallardo
                              PLACE 3-1 6 Panotti S Camacho
                              SHOW 9-2 4 Pacific Princess J A Batista
                              WILD CARD 6-1 5 Slime Queen M Meneses

                              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Inannas Quest D Centeno
                              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 8 Fall Moon A Quinonez

                              * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX


                              RACE #8 $8,000 CLAIMING
                              7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 5-2 6 All Fools Day R D Allen Jr.
                              PLACE 7-2 3 Aidingandabetting S Marin
                              SHOW 3-1 8 Thats My Boi Toy J A Batista
                              WILD CARD 9-2 2 Jackson Strong H R Diaz Jr.

                              ALTERNATE 1 20-1 9 Any Minute M Jimenez
                              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Thejigisup J Alicea

                              * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX


                              RACE #9 $25,000 STARTER HANDICAP
                              1 3/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 7-2 9 Initforthelove S Camacho
                              PLACE 8-1 6 Royal Luck M Meneses
                              SHOW 4-1 8 Fatimas Blessing A A Gallardo
                              WILD CARD 12-1 4 Hard Attack J A Batista

                              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Sandy Lane Kitten S Marin
                              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Kobla Mas A S Arroyo

                              * EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 6/8/9 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #30
                                Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | March 25, 2023

                                Mar. 23, 2023

                                Race 10 at Fair Grounds | Saturday March 25 | Post Time 5:36 PM Eastern

                                Muniz Memorial Classic Stakes – Grade 2 | Purse $300,000 | One Mile and One Eighth on Turf | Four Year Olds and Upward

                                Main win contenders:

                                Atone (1) gets the ground saving rail and that allows jockey Luis Saez to go for the lead from the start, as the horse did winning one race before last (on November 10, 2022) or to relax off the pace and rally strongly as he did winning the Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational Stakes on January 28 in his most recent start. Those were two of the best races in his career and that’s saying something about a horse which has won over $1 million on grass while winning six of 19 turf races. Since the Pegasus, Atone put in a very strong five furlong workout, 59.4 and the best of 36 at the distance on the day, before leaving his home base in Florida, which tells us the horse is ready for another “A” effort good enough to win. Back to the pace scenario, or how the race may be run in the early and late stages, I note Two Emmys (6) just led from start to finish in the Grade 3 Fair Grounds Stakes over the course five weeks ago, as the 9 to 5 favorite. Two Emmys may be favored again, so there could be low odds overlay value on Atone, and it is very possible jockey Luis Saez (who has been aboard Atone twice previously, for a win and a second place finish) could be aggressive and deny Two Emmys the early lead it appears he needs to win, or causes Two Emmys to expend a bit too much energy early, allowing Atone to go by late for the win.

                                Gentle Soul (3) may come in under the radar for many bettors and may offer even better return for a win bet as compared to Atone. Gentle Soul is lightly raced for a six year old, but has a strong record of 5 for 11 including a three for five record in turf routes. He tried routing on turf for the first time in December of 2021 in his seventh career start, winning that race and another the next month before taking a 10 month layoff. Returning in November, he won as if he’d never been away then two later won the Colonel E.R. Bradley Stakes on the Fair Grounds turf with a career-best 105 Equibase Speed Figure. That compares nicely with the 106 and then 109 figures Atone earned in his two most recent races. After the Bradley, Gentle Soul entered a graded stakes for the first time in the Fair Ground Stakes, in which Two Emmys controlled the pace on exceptionally slow fractions from start to finish. Nevertheless, after being crowded back to last at the start and going very wide on the far turn, Gentle Soul rallied best of the race after the eventual winner had drawn clear. This time, if jockey Reylu Gutierrez (who has been aboard for the horse’s last four wins) can stay a bit closer in the early to middle stages of the race, Gentle Soul has potential to post the upset win or at least complete a profitable exacta.

                                Spooky Channel (5) is an exceptional turf horse who has won 12 of 27 races and even as an eight year old still has the physical and mental ability to compete effectively. He won the Grade 3 Sycamore Stakes in the fall of 2021 but was then on the sidelines for 14 months. Returning to win the Buddy Diliberto Stakes on the Fair Grounds Turf in late December, as if he had never been way, Spooky Channel earned a nearly career-best 112 Equibase Figure certainly good enough to win. Stretching out to a mile and one-half near the end of January for the John B. Connally Stakes in Texas, he made a mid-race move to the lead but could not sustain the bid and ended up third as the even money favorite. Still, Spooky Channel was very game and was only beaten a neck for second and less than one length for the win. Shortening up in distance may be to his advantage, as is the jockey change to Joel Rosario, so he rounds out a trio which appears to have the bulk of the probability to win this race.

                                Another Mystery (7) and Two Emmys (6) can be used on exacta tickets, mostly in the second position. As mentioned previously Two Emmys won the Fair Grounds Stakes wire-to-wire last month, and now has been first or second in 16 of 24 races. He has won two of his last seven races going back to January 22 and in two of those efforts he stayed on well for a minor award after leading late. Another Mystery was the horse who finished a neck ahead of Spooky Channel in the Connally Stakes last month and who also has a nice late kick on occasion.

                                Win bets: Atone (1) should be considered for a win bet at odds of 9 to 5 or higher.

                                Additionally, Gentle Soul (3) can be considered for a win bet, for a smaller amount than on Atone, at odds of 3 to 1 or more. Spooky Channel (5) also has minimum odds of 3 to 1 but I will assume Gentle Soul will have higher odds near post time and would only want to bet one of the two.

                                Exactas:

                                Atone (1), Gentle Soul (3) and Spooky Channel (5) over Atone (1), Gentle Soul (3) and Spooky Channel (5), Two Emmys (6), Another Mystery (7)

                                Atone (1) and Gentle Soul (3) over Atone (1), Gentle Soul (3), Spooky Channel (5), Two Emmys (6) and Another Mystery (7)

                                Optionally you can also play the opposite of the two exactas above, which allows for multiple winning tickets if Atone, Gentle Soul and Spooky Channel finish first and second, and also covers them finishing second if Another Mystery or Two Emmys win;

                                Atone (1), Gentle Soul (3), Spooky Channel (5), Two Emmys (6), Another Mystery (7) over Atone (1), Gentle Soul (3) and Spooky Channel (5)

                                Atone (1), Gentle Soul (3), Spooky Channel (5), Two Emmys (6), Another Mystery (7) over Atone (1) and Gentle Soul (3).
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