Service Plays Thursday 3/30/23

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Service Plays Thursday 3/30/23

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • citybeat
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 462

    #2
    Mar 30 Drew Martin 5% [MLB] Kansas City Royals under 69.5 Season Wins

    Time: 4:10 PM EDT
    Kansas City Royals under 69.5 Season Wins
    Analysis: Right off the top we are looking to take advantage of the MLB "rules" changes for this upcoming season. In our opinion change is the best way to win in sports betting and using change in the landscape of 2023 should be profitable on the bases. Schedule change is at the top of the list and the Central division teams, particularly those that are not projected to have solid 2023 campaigns is what we are hammering.

    The Royals have a dismal pitching staff for both the starting and relief sides of the equation and a low strikeout rate. The no shifting new rule will hurt Kansis City as well due to the lack of swing and miss arms. KC had 65 wins last season and this year projects worse by our numbers. Highly doubt this team gets to 70 wins on the season. bet under- Let's cash!
    Betting Line Provider: MGM
    Mar 30 Drew Martin 3% [MLB] Cincinnati Reds under 66 season wins

    Time: 7:10 PM EDT
    Cincinnati Reds under 66 season wins
    Analysis: Same theme as the KC under, we are looking to take advantage of the MLB "rules" changes for this upcoming season. In our opinion change is the best way to win in sports betting and using change in the landscape of 2023 should be profitable on the bases. Schedule change is at the top of the list and the central division teams, particularly those that are not projected to have solid 2023 campaigns is what we are hammering.

    Cincinnati has a top heavy rotation of Greene, Lodolo and Ashcraft. After that it is a big drop-off and a bullpen that might compete for the worst in baseball by the end of summer. Great American Ball Park is one of the most hitter friendly park's in MLB and with likely a short leash with the young arms at the top of the rotation and a lack of depth after, possible recipe for disaster. The Reds offensively did not do enough over the offseason to improve from last year. Long season in the Queen City, flirt with 100 losses. Bet under- Let's cash!
    Betting Line Provider: Caesars
    Mar 30 Drew Martin 3% [MLB] San Diego Padres Over 93.5 Season Wins

    Time: 10:10 PM EDT
    San Diego Padres Over 93.5 Season Wins
    Analysis: Padres owner and private equity tycoon Peter Seidler did not hold back spending big dollars, signing Xander Boggerts to an 11 year $280 million dollar contract. Also, remember the Padres pulled off one of the biggest trades of the decade by acquiring Juan Soto last year, setting up the heart of the lineup: Tatis, Soto, Machado and Bogaerts. The most feared quartet of hitters in MLB for 2023. The South Korean, Ha-Seong Kim, who had over an .830 OPS for six straight years in the KBO, who enters his age 27 season (young for Asian League prospect) is projected to bat leadoff.

    Last season the Friars finished a game short of 90 wins, at (89-73) and went on an impressive postseason run all the way to the National League Championship series. This year the season win total sits at 93.5 and the World Series futures market is priced in the (+1000) range.

    Dominant pitching staff with the top three of the rotation, Darvish, Musgrove, Snell. Bullpen dynamics are always a tough spring training handicap, although Josh Hader in the closer role, following Suarez and Garcia makes for a sizzling 7, 8, 9 inning shut the door pen setup. To “bet on” the sexy offseason squad does come with a downside. Usually the public intrigue brings a tax in the betting markets, however the Padres have triple digit win possibilities in 2023. We recommend a wager on the over 93 wins for the Padres.
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Mar 30 Drew Martin 3% [MLB] (989) Toronto Blue Jays at (990) St. Louis Cardinals

    Time: 4:10 PM EDT
    Toronto Blue Jays -108 A Manoah (RHP) Must Start

    Comment

    • citybeat
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 462

      #3
      Tokyo Brandon

      Game: (975) Detroit Tigers at (976) Tampa Bay Rays
      Date/Time: Mar 30 2023 3:10 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
      Play Rating: 5%
      Play: Total Under 6.5 (+102) E Rodriguez (LHP), S Mcclanahan (LHP) Must Start

      I have this total at 6. My lifetime total data shows that when I project an under on a 6.5 line I win more than 66% of the time so I will make the under 5% play here. Opening day can bring some surprises but with two great SPs and two mediocre lineups I like this as a 5% to the under.

      Comment

      • citybeat
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 462

        #4
        Tokyo Brandon

        ame: (969) New York Mets at (970) Miami Marlins
        Date/Time: Mar 30 2023 4:10 PM EDT
        Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
        Play Rating: 5%
        Play: Total Under 6.5 (-113) M Scherzer (RHP), S Alcantara (RHP) Must Start

        I have this total at 5.6 When my numbers are under on a 6.5 line I win more than 66% of the time so I am making this a 5% play to the under. These are two of the best starters in MLB.

        Comment

        • Dough44
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2021
          • 419

          #5
          Big Al

          NIT UAB ML

          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            SPARTAN

            9 arizona+155
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              R&R TOTALS

              *TOP PLAY* NCAA-B: Take #665 UAB v #666 North Texas OVER (127
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                Las Vegas Cris

                4% Detroit Tigers Under 70
                3% Washington under 60.5
                3% Toronto under 93
                1% Astros Most season wins +550
                2% Astros Most AL Wins +230
                0.5% Ryan Pressly MLB SAVES LEADER
                0.5% Esteury Ruiz +1000 MLB STOLEN BASE LEADER
                1% Judge +600 MLB HOME RUN LEADER
                1% Rodriguez over Soto HOMERUN H2H PROP
                0.5% Tampa Bay to win the AL EAST (+375)
                2% Phillies under 83.5
                2% Seattle under 87.5 wins
                2% CWS under 82.5
                2% SD to win the NL West (+130)
                1% Yoshida ROY MLB ROOKIE OF THE YEAR (AL) +600
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  Andrew McInnis

                  4% Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals
                  Atlanta Braves Total Over 4.5 (-125) M Fried (LHP), P Corbin (LHP) Must Start
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    Dave Cokin

                    MLB
                    5* Milwaukee Brewers Under 85.5 Wins
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      Doc's Sports

                      MLB

                      8* Houston Astros Under 95.5 Wins
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        BEN BURNS

                        Game: (965) Pittsburgh Pirates at (966) Cincinnati Reds
                        Date/Time: Mar 30 2023 4:10 PM EDT
                        Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
                        Play Rating: 4%
                        Play: Cincinnati Reds -135 Listed Pitchers Must Start
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          asianhandicap1x2
                          EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN – PLAY OFFS
                          Wolfsburg W – Paris SG W
                          Wolfsburg W -0.75 @ 1.95
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            under2goals
                            ROMANIA: LIGA 2 – CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP
                            Otelul – Steaua
                            Under 2.5
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              totalgoalsvip
                              GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA PLAY OFFS
                              Walldorf U19 – Freiburg U19
                              Over 3.5
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                              Comment

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