Thursday 3/30/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Racing Dudes Turfway Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #9 Desoto's War 5-2 J Wong L Machado
2 #1 Maqamat 5-2 J M Cano A Beschizza
3 #11 Halaga 3-1 S Hamilton J Gilligan
4 #3 Obrigada 6-1 P H Lobo J Talamo
5 #8 Bear Oak 8-1 I Bahena R Miranda
6 #2 Beautiful Temple 5-2 J Wong L Machado
7 #9 Only Kidding 5-2 B P Walsh C Landeros
8 #5 Ready Soul 4-1 D F O'Neill L Machado

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Turfway Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Three Mile Limit He proved a good fit with the locals at this level last time out, and he should be in a great spot to prompt the other pace. Think the big jump on the finishing threats might help him get home.
#8 Mr Cline He has never been in this easy when facing winners, and he has enough tactical pace to think he'll be in a decent spot turning for home. Think he can reverse the form a bit today, but I would want something really close to that 9/2 ML offering to even think about it.
#1 Maqamat He woke up when trying similar last out, but I'm not totally sold that he'll run right back to it, and the price probably gets shorter this time around. Capable player.
Race Summary Three Mile Limit is meeting some tactical types, but he should be fast enough to find himself right up on the splits early on. Once I get past him, I feel like I can start making case for three or four more of them, so I'll take my chances with him.

Turfway Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 Raindrops on Roses I'd want a pretty decent price here for cold connections, but I think she has a bit of appeal while turning back off the bench. She's going to get tested for class on this circuit after the opening pair at Belterra, but the race shape might suit her while overlooked. Midpack finish today?
#9 Only Kidding She and #13 Send for Me both make a lot of sense with good recent form, but this one is drawn in the main body of the field and has been tough with similar lately. Reliable runner for another piece.
#6 Frango Electrico She has a lot of questions to answer here on the new footing, but she's getting some big class relief off the layoff and might be able to make some noise with these at a decent price.
Race Summary Raindrop on Roses gets a price call for me in a really tough race with a few logical players like Only Kidding. 'Roses is lightly raced and might still have some upside in just her third lifetime start, and this race could be perfect for an upset.

Turfway Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Go Bali Go He outran his 39/1 price when facing winners for the first time last out, and his form has really taken a turn in the right direction since he arrived locally. Think he's in with a mid-range price chance.
#5 Ready Soul The barn hasn't done great work here so far this meet, and I worry that this guy will be along a bit too late while turning back to a sharp trip like this off a long string of tries going longer than a mile. That said, he has some players in his recent company lines like Earls Rock who are just way better than anything he's finding here.
#4 Foliage He almost always shows up with a sharp effort, and I think he'll like the new synthetic footing here. His tactical pace should leave him in another great spot early on, but he has settled for a bunch of underneath shares already with similar trips. Wouldn't surprise at all.
Race Summary Go Bali Go might be meeting enough pace to give him a chance to rally from midpack today, and he figures to be moving well late with local form that might be a touch better than it looks.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 KITTY QUICK (3-1) Took over in lane, held on at 1M, gets Lasix in 3-peat try for new connections.
#2 DOCTOR RON (2-1) Seeks duplicate of 5-1/2F romp the last time she was on the all-weather track.
#4 CLAY SOLDIER (5-2) Finished 1-2-3 in allowance sprints at this distance, gets second-time Lasix.
Race Summary KITTY QUICK ‘took command’ at the top of the stretch and desperately held on for a repeat victory to cap her 2-year-old season. She was claimed for $75,000, now returns to a sprint with Irad summoned to ride. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 TAKEMETOTHEMOON (9-2) Drops, stretches out, could be forwardly placed with blinkers on.
#2 DOC BALLARD (6-1) In-money streak as a gelding ended in latest, starts fresh off the claim.
#9 DONTKISSDAMINISTER (5-2) Troubled second twice in the fall, lures Irad, alert start the key.
Race Summary TAKEMETOTHEMOON gets needed class relief, gets blinkers and gets the rail for his first start on the all-weather surface. He could get more involved early if he corrects his slow-starting habit. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#5 DARK VECTOR (8-5) Awakened on lawn, second to odds-on winner, switches pilots again to Saez.
#3 ACAMAR (20-1) Led after 6F in three consecutive turf routes before tiring, makes seasonal debut.
#6 GUARANTEED SPECK (7-2) Solid grass numbers, cutback in distance could suit him well.
Race Summary DARK VECTOR backed off the hellbent leader on the backstretch, then finished willingly while second best behind the 1-to-5 favorite. He showed marked improvement on the surface switch with blinkers added and should sit an ideal trip from just off the pace. Bet to win and place.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
PURCHASE
Penn National - Race 7

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 53 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 8:55P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SCOREBOARD LILY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SCOREBOARD LILY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. LORDHEARMYPRAYER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DUST BUNNY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Sp eed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
SCOREBOARD LILY
2/1

5/2
5
LORDHEARMYPRAYER
3/1

6/1
1
DUST BUNNY
7/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
SCOREBOARD LILY
4

2/1
Front-runner
65

50

69.2

44.4

40.9
3
WIN FOR LAILA
3

6/1
Trailer
44

38

37.6

34.4

22.9
2
LET'S GO MO
2

15/1
Trailer
60

45

20.4

34.0

26.5
5
LORDHEARMYPRAYER
5

3/1
Alternator/Trailer
58

47

33.0

50.8

46.8
1
DUST BUNNY
1

7/2
Alternator/Trailer
56

45

31.6

38.2

31.2
6
LIL BOSS
6

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

20

65.6

26.9

18.4
7
PERSWAYMEAGAIN
7

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

24.6

11.6

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town
PURCHASE
Charles Town - Race 4

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (4-5) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 6 (Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)


Starter Allowance $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 8:25P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE MARCH 30, 2021. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 30 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DULCIMER DAME: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
9
DULCIMER DAME
1/5

2/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY
3

15/1
Front-runner
75

66

84.6

63.6

50.6
5
SECRET CASTLE
5

12/1
Front-runner
76

75

72.0

61.0

49.0
4
UNLOCK
4

15/1
Front-runner
70

61

68.0

59.6

43.6
9
DULCIMER DAME
9

1/5
Stalker
92

90

77.8

91.6

89.1
8
DAT DARES GOLD
8

15/1
Stalker
72

64

65.8

67.4

56.4
7
SHERIFF'S KID
7

15/1
Stalker
86

76

60.8

76.2

68.2
6
TEMPORARILY
6

30/1
Stalker
75

76

56.8

63.0

49.0
2
CLASSIC COLORS
2

10/1
Trailer
79

67

57.8

60.7

55.2
1
TEQUILA FOG
1

6/1
Trailer
74

73

35.8

70.4

63.4

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $29500 Class Rating: 88

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 TYGER KING 12/1

# 5 SWAGS 4/1

# 7 WHOLOTTA 6/1

TYGER KING is my selection especially at a such a nice price. Ought to be carefully examined in here if only for the strong Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last competition. SWAGS - Has the appearance of a profitable play. With a nice class fig average of 90, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. WHOLOTTA - He has earned formidable figs under today's conditions and should fare well against this group of animals. Griffin has a strong 26 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #3 - Post: 6:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 LUMINIST (ML=8/1)
#1 OFF THE CHARTS (ML=6/1)
#6 FOXY DIVA (ML=8/1)
#5 HONEYCOMB (ML=4/1)


LUMINIST - It looks like Ramos had to come to know this mare on March 18th when riding her for the initial time. Back on board again today. When a thoroughbred finishes in the money as often as this mare does, you will usually want to use her in your exotic wagers. The jock/trainer duo of Ramos and Estvanko has a strong ROI together. Estvanko brings her right back. I suggest you stick with this live mare. OFF THE CHARTS - Generally, I don't like to see a filly run against the boys like she did February 25th. Good to see she's back with her own sex today. This rider and handler have a high winning percentage together. FOXY DIVA - Really have to believe this horse is going to be really close near the finish line. HONEYCOMB - You have to consider the solid works of late. This one could be a possible overlay in this field at odds of 4/1. Finished fourth in last race at Turfway Park but was close at the wire. The addition of the 'shades' usually means that a trainer wants a horse to show more speed or to keep her attention focused.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 HALAGA (ML=3/1), #7 DRE ME LESS (ML=6/1), #10 SPIRITCATCHER (ML=6/1),

HALAGA - This questionable contender will probably bounce off of the last strong outing. DRE ME LESS - Just cannot play this horse. Didn't show me anything positive last out or on December 14th. Quite unimpressive speed rating last time around the track at Turfway Park at 6 furlongs. Don't think this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event. SPIRITCATCHER - Hard to wager on this racer out of the February 24th race. Only faced maidens in that one.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 LUMINIST on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $54000 Class Rating: 95

FOR STATE BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 MAIDEN RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 FLOKI'S FLIGHT 7/5

# 1 UNIVERSAL PAYDAY 7/2

# 4 BIG DADDY DAVE 12/1

FLOKI'S FLIGHT appears to be the wager in here. Has posted sound Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good angle. This horse ranks at the top in this field of horses. Like the finishes in the last few races. UNIVERSAL PAYDAY - His 87 average has this gelding with among the top Equibase Speed Figs for this event. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 102 - of his last affair. BIG DADDY DAVE - The average class fig alone makes this entrant a solid choice. Walder and Vasquez have a strong win percent together.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #8 - Post: 5:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 STELLWAGEN BANKER (ML=2/1)


STELLWAGEN BANKER - This speedball should benefit from this race's shorter trip. This should be an easier task than what he was asked last time out against 'open' company. Lower impost of -6. In my opinion, a movement of five is important, so this gelding falls into this category. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 REUNION TOUR (ML=5/2), #2 GENTLEMAN BURGLAR (ML=9/2), #8 GO GET THE BAG (ML=6/1),

REUNION TOUR - I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the job executed occasionally. This gelding has had a great number of races at Aqueduct and still no victories. Mediocre speed figure last time out at Aqueduct at 1 mile. Don't believe this racer will improve too much in today's event. GENTLEMAN BURGLAR - Just don't figure that he is offering enough value at the given odds. GO GET THE BAG - Don't think that this colt has value at 6/1 this time around.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 STELLWAGEN BANKER to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

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Pony Conductor Picks: Gulfstream Park Thursday 3/30/23

0-2 and a scratch at Gulfstream Wednesday was not the way the Ductor wanted to start the racing week. After a great weekend, we cannot let the momentum slip. Us passengers are counting on you Mr. Ductor, please rebound for us quickly. Thursday’s bombs could make up for it and much, much more. Let’s Ride.
Race 5: 7

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