Saturday 4/8/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:07 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 4/8/23

April 8, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 9-Southern Horse
Backups/savers: 8-Thorne House

Forecast: In his first start since joining the Phil D’Amato barn, former South American stakes winner Southern Horse produced a career top speed figure when winning a $50,000 claimer over the flat course, doing so despite being forced to rally into the teeth of slow fractions that required a powerful late kick. He’s protected today in a sign of confidence while taking his talents to the Hillside Course and need only repeat his last effort to handle the raise in class. Juan Hernandez, who has been aboard in each of his three local wins, stays aboard, so at 3-1 on the morning line there should be enough wagering value to entice an aggressive play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics. Thorne House is worth including on a ticket or two as a backup or a saver. The lightly raced Clubhouse Ride gelding just won over this tricky layout and distance when handling a state-bred field in solid fashion, though based strictly on speed figures he’ll have to produce a significant forward move to repeat against this tougher open allowance field. He has good tactical speed and should be able to settle just off the leaders and then have every chance from the head of the lane to the wire.

RACE 2: Post: 12:31 PT Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Ceiling Crusher
Backups/savers:

Forecast: Ceiling Crusher is perfect in two starts and will be a short price to extend her winning streak to three in this year’s renewal of the Evening Jewel Stakes for state-bred sophomore fillies. The daughter of Mr. Big lands the cozy outside draw in the five runner affair and projects to enjoy a soft pace-prompting trip that will allow her to pounce whenever Juan Hernandez decides to push the button. She was an authoritative first-level allowance winner in her comeback in late January when earning a sharp number and has trained extremely well since to remain right on edge for trainer Doug O’Neill. Simply put, she is a logical rolling exotic single.

RACE 3: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Carmelita’s Man; 6-Cash Equity
Backups/savers: 4-Flashiest

Forecast: In a race that projects to produce a faster than par early pace, we’ll zero in on the closing types in this second level allowance turf miler for older horses. Carmelita’s Man offers a reasonable gamble at 4-1 on the morning line after finishing unplaced in a similar affair last month when encountering traffic trouble that thwarted any kind of real chance to make an impact in the final furlong. Previous to that, the veteran Dean Peterson-trained gelding had consistently earned better than par speed figures when facing similar company and has finished first or second in eight of 16 career starts over the Santa Anita grass course. His strong runner-up to the razor sharp Exaulted charts very well with these, so in a race in which several have winning credentials we’ll put him slightly on top. Cash Equity looked quite good winning the race our top pick exits and must be considered the horse to beat right back. The French-bred gelding should find himself somewhere in mid-pack and then have his chance to seal the deal when the pressure is turned on. Flashiest was graded stakes placed three races back and has won half of his six career starts at this one mile trip. With Yeng Again and sprinter-stretching-out Fayathaan likely to ensure hot early splits, the Leonard Powell-trained son of Mizzen Mist should find himself in an ideal second flight early position and then be first over when the leaders, as we anticipate, come back to the field.

RACE 4: Post: 1:31 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Dillinger
Backups/Savers: 5-Mystification

Forecast: Dillinger had no real excuse but ran a winning race in defeat as the odds-on favorite in a similar maiden special weight main track sprint last month, staying on gamely through the lane but just failing to wear down his well-meant Bob Baffert-trained stablemate Tahoe Sunrise while nearly five lengths clear of the rest. It was his first outing since last summer, and since most second-off-layoff runners from this stable produce a forward move, the son of Into Mischief is certain to be fitter and stronger and leave at odds-on. Mystification had a nightmarish trip in his debut in that same race when winding up a distant fourth but definitely showed enough ability to be included somewhere on your ticket. After missing the break, the son of Good Magic displayed intense early speed to rush up inside into traffic before being forced to steady in close quarters approaching the far turn. The Doug O’Neill-trained sophomore switches to Frankie, and with an alert break today he could easily become the controlling speed and improve immensely.

RACE 5: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Dicey Mo Chara; 7-Gold Phoenix
Backups/savers: 6-Masteroffoxhounds

Forecast: Okay, so whose turn is it today? The West Coast long distance turf division seems to offer up a different winner each time the group gets together, so with that in mind let’s spread the race while settling on Dicey Mo Chara as our top pick. A non-threatening sixth (but beaten less than two lengths) when lacking room through the lane in the San Marcos Stakes-G3 over this course and distance in February, the English-bred gelding gets a chance to duplicate his winning performance in the San Gabriel Stakes-G2 over essentially the same type of field two runs back. The Leonard Powell-trained gelding retains top rider Juan Hernandez, projects to enjoy a ground-saving trip from his comfortable two-hole post, and with clear sailing through the lane have every chance to tag the speed. Gold Phoenix, winner last time out of the Kilroe Mile-G1, has never been off the board in seven career outings over the Santa Anita turf course, can be effective at any distance, and probably deserves his morning line (2-1) favorite status. We’ll use him, but we’d rather have had him last time when he scored at 10-1. Masteroffoxhounds faltered in the final furlong when sixth behind Gold Phoenix last time out but in what promises to be a slowly run race could inherit the lead and get very brave. He hasn’t won since last October so maybe his number will come up today.

RACE 6: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Practical Move; 3-Geaux Rocket Ride
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Practical Move and Geaux Rocket Ride finished one-two in the recent San Felipe Stakes-G2 and both turned in outstanding performances in a fast, highly rated race that should set up both colts for a significant performance in this year’s renewal of the Santa Anita Derby. ‘Move was a deserving winner while verifying the strength of his Los Alamitos Futurity-G2 win late last year, and in the weeks since the San Felipe the son of Practical Joke has looked spectacular in his morning trials. There is little doubt that he will be suited by the nine furlong trip, and with his tactical speed and instant acceleration the Tim Yakteen-trained colt will offer excellent wagering value at or near his morning line of 8/5, though we suspect he’ll go lower. Meanwhile, in just his second career start, ‘Ride finished eagerly to be second after pressing a legitimate pace and today seems likely to inherit the role as the controlling speed. The son of Candy Ride has upside that most of the others don’t, but whether he can hold of Practical Move when the pressure is turned on is something that he’ll just have to prove. We’ll be surprised if the winner isn’t one or the other, though Practical Move is clearly our top pick and should receive the bulk of the play.

RACE 7: Post: 3:20 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Kangaroo Court
Backups/savers: 3-Bus Buzz

Forecast: After being stopped on after breaking his maiden by 14 lengths last summer at Del Mar, Kangaroo Court returned better than he left when winning a first-level allowance state bred sprint last month in an extremely hot race that produced (by far) a career top speed figure. Based on that performance, he’ll likely be an odds-on favorite in this year’s renewal of the Echo Eddie Stakes for state-bred sophomore and must be considered a likely winner unless he regresses off an effort that was certainly hard and taxing. It must be noted that in three easy workouts since that race, he’s looked just fine. Bus Buzz an impressive eight length debut maiden winner in February before finishing an admirable second behind ‘Court in the aforementioned allowance race after being subjected to severe pressure every step of the way, gets another crack at his main rival, only this time he’s drawn outside and therefore will have the option of stalking and pouncing. It’ll be interesting to see what strategy his connections choose to take.

RACE 8: Post: 3:51 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Coalinga Road; 3-Silver Surfer; 5-Reckless Spirit
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: We’ll try to survive and advance going three deep in this first-level allowance grass affair, but if you feel the need to include a few more, go right ahead. Coalinga Road couldn’t act on the main track when a distant third (of four) in the Tiznow Stakes behind odds-on The Chosen Vron, so he’s back on grass today and could easily regain the form that saw him win the Cal Cup Turf Classic two runs back. The hard-knocking veteran gelding has hit the board in 14 of 19 career starts and is a perfect one-for-one at this nine furlong trip, so we’re expecting to see the best that this Carla Gaines-trained son of Quality Road can offer. At a reasonable 4-1 on the morning line in a race that projects to have a fair share of early pace, he should be able to settle somewhere in mid-pack and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. The Phil D’Amato-trained Silver Surfer, away for 16 months, had a right to be a tad short when, after establishing the pace, weakened late to finish a close fourth in a similar affair over a mile in February. This distance might be stretching his limit, but the English-bred gelding is likely to produce a forward move, so he must be considered a major player. The “other” D'Amato entrant in the race, Reckless Spirit, had some decent Eastern form on his resume prior to his arrival at Santa Anita and did well to finish a close second in the same race that his stablemate exits in an effort that produced a career top speed figure. Frankie stays aboard and likely will give this gelded son of Tapit the patient ride he requires.

RACE 9: Post: 4:22 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Teton Valley; 1-Joe Don Looney; 7-Lovesick Blues
Backups/savers: 3-Manitowish

Forecast: Here’s another race that demands a bit of coverage in rolling exotic play. Let’s opt for a price (8-1 on the morning line) and put Teton Valley on top in a competitive starter’s $25,000 allowance extended dash for older horses. The veteran sprinter returned off a 13 month hiatus to finish unplaced in a tough grass sprint (hardly his preferred surface) last month after pressing the early issue before steadily retreating while clearly needing the race. It’s encouraging that trainer Steve Knapp keeps him protected, and with the return to a dirt surface that he’s always liked we’re hoping to see a significant amount of improvement in a race that doesn’t have all that much early speed signed on. Joe Don Looney doesn’t always turn in two alike but he was a clever winner at this level last month while earning a career top Beyer fig, so he has to be considered dangerous right back. Lovesick Blues, a route-to-sprint, grass-to-dirt play, returns on short rest, attracts leading rider Juan Hernandez, has numbers on the main track that put him in the thick of things. He should be doing his best work late. Manitowish, first or second in five of seven career starts over the local main track (with three wins), is solid in the speed figure department and should find himself in a pressing or stalking early position and have his chance from there. At 5-1 on the morning line, he’s worth tossing in as a backup or a saver.

RACE 10: Post: 4:53 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Amy C; 10-Leggs Galore
Backups/savers: 9-Big Summer; 2-Awake At Midnyte

Forecast: Course specialist Amy C, rested since her dominating win in the Las Cienegas Stakes-G3 in early January, returns with a steady, healthy series of workouts that should have her ready for another prime performance in this year’s edition of the Monrovia Stakes-G3 for older fillies and mares. Successful in three of four career outings in these unique slalom events, the Phil D'Amato-trained mare has valuable tactical speed that keeps her free of trouble while also possessing an exceptional turn of foot to negotiate traffic when obstacles arise. It’s taken awhile for her connections to realize she is far superior sprinting than routing, so as long as she is placed properly the English import should continue to pile up the victories. She is listed at 7/2 on the morning line but we’re not counting on getting it. Stablemate Leggs Galore has been away since October and quite frankly has trained like she may need a race, though she has off layoffs in the past. Like Amy C, this daughter of Bayern sports an exceptional record down the hill, with seven wins and two seconds in from 10 career starts. In a field without her kind of early speed, she may be able to clear early and prove difficult to catch. Big Summer is yet another with an excellent record over this course and distance, having never finished off the board while winning three of six starts. The Carla Gaines-trained mare has been beaten as the favorite in two of her last three starts but her speed figures actually are rising, so with another forward move she is not without a look at 5-1 on the morning line. Finally, at 15-1 on the morning line, Awake At Midnyte, should be included somewhere on your ticket. Her only prior grass start (a nose defeat as a 2-year-old in the Jimmy Durante Stakes-G3) was good and her recent dirt sprints in graded stakes company have earned numbers that make her reasonably competitive with this group.

RACE 11: Post: 5:24 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Faiza
Backups/savers: 6-Window Shopping

Forecast: Faiza is unbeaten in four starts including three graded events, and while she’s not superfast on speed figures she has stepped forward in every race, and we suspect her numbers will continue to rise as she further develops. The Bob Baffert-trained daughter of Girvin, a $725,000 purchase at Timonium last year, utilizes an ideal second flight, stalking style that guarantees a soft trip and based on her recent workouts she is ready for another major effort. Window Shopping is the wild card. Given a race when unplaced in her only start as a 2-year-old last fall at Del Mar, the daughter of American Pharoah got serious upon reappearance in her sophomore bow when winning an off-the-turf maiden miler by more than 16 lengths. Her number was strong enough to expect that she can be competitive at this level, so while Flavian Prat jumps off to ride Faiza (understandably so), the Richard Mandella-trained filly is worth including on your ticket, at least as a backup.

RACE 12: Post: 5:55 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 10-Shocking Grey; 11-Ancient Peace
Backups/Savers: 3-Annaghlasa

Forecast: The finale is a messy affair for first level allowance fillies and mares over a mile on grass. Shocking Grey seeks her third straight score following a maiden win and a victory at this level when facing state-bred foes, and if she continues to improve this open company should be well within her capabilities. Scratched out of a short field in the off-the-turf Irish O’Brien Stakes March 17 but recording a breeze two days later, the daughter of Grazen should be spot on for today. She likes to settle early and blast home, and with leading pilot Juan Hernandez staying aboard the Jeff Mullins-trained sophomore offers good value at 6-1 on the morning line. Ancient Peace was a clever maiden winner when trained by Graham Motion in late December and makes her first start since for new conditioner John Sadler. She’s been working fast in a series of training track drills since raced, so she should be set for a forward move, one that makes her a legitimate contender despite the class hike. Annaghlasa has a prior win over this course and distance and returns to reality after being overmatched and unplaced in the recent Santa Ana Stakes-G2. She’ll be forwardly placed throughout – perhaps even on the lead – and against this group the Irish-bred mare has a right to be competitive.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:08 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

April 8, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has a 14-race card scheduled with the feature going in Race 10, an Open 2-Open 1 Handicap Pace with a $36,000 purse. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a low 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

3-Rich And Miserable (5-1)-Beat straight Open company at Philly on 4-2 and should fit well here. Broke in the last 2 starts at M1 in March and will assume that issue is solved. The price should be right to take a swing.
5-Inaminute Hanover (9/2)-Comes out of the same race as the one above, had post 7 and finished third. Comes back to the big track and will look to make it 2 straight here and shouldn't blush at the company.
7-Lovedbythemasses (5/2)-Also comes out of the same race at Philly and finished second. Returns to its favorite track and the classy 6-year-old should add to its East Rutherford bankroll of $306,550.

Race 7

4-De Los Cielos Deo (6-1)-Gingras picks the other Burke trainee #8 but Dunn will be able to provide an aggressive steer on this veteran. Gets some post relief will race at a comfortable level on a fast track.
5-South Beach Star (6-1)-This will be the 2nd start off the bench and lands in a soft spot. Has the speed to beat this crew if dialed on high and has won 2 of 8 starts at M1.
8-Whitecookie (3-1)-Hasn't been doing much at PcD but comes to the big stage and gets Gingras between the pipes which should help. This is another who finds a beatable field and has taken 3 pictures in 8 Big M races.

Race 8

4-Chief Of Staff (8-1)-Will look for a price in race without a true standout. This is a test but could be up to the challenge and recent form has been very good. Joe B should drop in near the top of the stack and work a stalking trip. Won last week in the slop which was the 1st picture on an off-track in 19 tries.
8-Boiler Maker (7/2)-Should offer a fair price and is a threat even with this post draw if dialed on high. Was scratched sick on 3-25 at Fhld and then raced here on 4-1 on a sloppy track in ugly weather. Willing to toss the last start in a no move mile from post 10. The short field shouldn't hurt, and Stratton has gate speed to use to get a close-up seat.

Race 9

4-Bettors Donttell (7/2)-This is another Burke entry that ships in from PcD and gets Gingras to steer which is a ++ driver change. Drops, should be a main player, and usually does well at M1 (20-6-8-4).
9-Bettor Take It (9/2)-Takes a significant drop and could fare well with this group despite the post draw. Form has been good and raced inside last time and was blocked down the lane. Probably would have hit the board versus better and this is Dave Miller's choice over the 3-5-6.

0.50 Early Pick 4

3,5,7/4,5,8/4,8/4,9
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:09 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Keeneland - Race #5

#8 Pro Oxidant	He looked like a different horse this winter in New Orleans, and I think he'll be in line for a great trip while trying to prove he classes up with these. Would want a fair price, but I'm interested to see how he stacks up here.
#2 Nakatomi	He's tough read for me, as something like his comeback race would keep him in the mix here, but he has always been in just a tiny bit too tough with graded company. Probably an underlay from a true risk vs. reward perspective.
#7 Run Classic	He turns back after failing to find a final gear going long in a couple of Fair Grounds stakes tries, but his one-turn form has been sneaky good. Wouldn't surprise.
Race Summary	Pro Oxidant rises while in good form out of quick allowance races at Fair Grounds, and I don't think he's far off what it would take to win this while facing some runners who will command more cash.

Keeneland - Race #9

#11 Mendelssohns March	He's a long way off what it would take to win this on paper, but he still has some upside in this third start, and he showed some grit when overcoming trouble to score last out. Think he might get the perfect first-over trip.
#9 Major Blue	He's got a lot of proving to do, but he looks like the most committed early pace player in a race without a ton of speed signed on. Wouldn't shock to see him in the frame after a send mission.
#1 Tapit Trice	I think he and #3 Verifying might work out similar trips, and they are both likely to take some action as logical players. No arguments with either, but this guy is in razor-sharp form and has shown some impressive versatility so far.
Race Summary	Obviously thinking this race has a little bit of price potential, as Mendelssohns March and Major Blue both might be in the right kind of spot into the far turn in a race that might produce modest splits early on.

Keeneland - Race #11

#6 He's Got Swagger	I think he's going to hit hard in this spot after good efforts in a pair of Fair Grounds races to open his career, and I am hoping the presence of the solid Gulfstream second-timers will keep this guy at a price that's just playable enough.
#1 Mondego	His Gulfstream debut stacks up really nicely with the rest of these, and he has a big claim on top honors here if he has a move forward in him in this second career start.
#7 Lincoln Highway	Debuter meets what feels like an okay field here in the finale, but he has a little bit of appeal at this kind of turf trip -- take a look on the track.
Race Summary	He's Got Swagger is a solid lean for me in the last of the day, as I think his form is going to get overshadowed just a touch by Mondego and #3 Operation Torch.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:10 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#2 MOGUL CRACK (7-2)	Has shown speed at four distances but battles have come up short.
#7 STAKE A CLAIM (5-2)	Competitive for twice this much with similar rest between starts.
#1 CAPTURETHELAUGHTER (3-1)	Has speed and rail and a couple near misses in short fields.
Race Summary	MOGUL CRACK made the lead into the backstretch from the outside post but had few breathers in a higher-tagged turf route. He tired in the final eighth of a mile but could benefit from that race in a return to a sprint on the all-weather surface. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#4 GRAN ANDREWS (8-5)	Solid record at distance, returns to claim level, ran well off longer rest.
#6 MOPED DENNIS (5-1)	Bumpy start, took 3-wide aim at leader into stretch, flattened out.
#2 APPRAISAL (2-1)	Bid 4-wide on turn, finished a nose behind ‘Andrews’ at one mile for new barn.
Race Summary	GRAN ANDREWS took the shortest way home and won a three-way photo for second after the deep--closing winner passed by. He earned the top speed figure of his career, now drops to his level of claim. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#6 HOW BOUT DAT (4-1)	Tries to follow the lead of stakes-caliber dam to launch her career.
#1 WEST BANK (9-5)	Failed as odds-on favorite in pair of photo finishes, sheds 7 pounds.
#7 MYSTIFY (3-1)	Third by a length in both dirt sprints, adds blinkers, switches pilots.
Race Summary	HOW BOUT DAT stepped it up for a pair of fast workouts in March as her debut neared. Her dam, Dat You Miz Blue was 14-33, an $800,000 earner and six-time stakes winner. Bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:10 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

PURCHASE

Laurel Park - Race 1	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5)
SO $12,500 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 12:25
(PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST THREE STARTS OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500-10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. UP AGAINST IT is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * UP AGAINST IT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CAN'T PASS IT UP: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MYST IC LINK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LOST MY VOWCHER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.
5	UP AGAINST IT	5/2	5/1
1A	CAN'T PASS IT UP	9/2	6/1
4	MYSTIC LINK	2/1	7/1
3	LOST MY VOWCHER	3/1	9/1
7	FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY	8/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY	8	8/1	Front-runner	94	87	85.0	76.2	68.7
4	MYSTIC LINK	4	2/1	Alternator/Front-runner	90	90	85.8	83.0	76.0
5	UP AGAINST IT	6	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	95	88	74.0	84.6	78.6
6	NOBLE CONQUEST	7	20/1	Trailer	80	79	55.2	74.2	58.2
1A	CAN'T PASS IT UP	5	9/2	Trailer	97	97	54.6	84.2	76.2
3	LOST MY VOWCHER	3	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	90	89	71.8	82.2	75.7
1	CRUSH IT	1	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	86	90	65.8	77.8	68.8
2	ACE NINE NINE	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	91	92	87.4	73.2	62.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:11 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington ParkPURCHASE

Remington Park - Race 11	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Late Daily Double
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 10:30
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BLUES CANDY SA: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. PEVES BLUE DUCK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. DASHIN APPROACH: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JESST FOR SPEED: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
1	BLUES CANDY SA	6/1	6/1
3	PEVES BLUE DUCK	5/1	6/1
5	SPOTTY POLITICS	10/1	7/1
7	DASHIN APPROACH	7/2	7/1
2	JESST FOR SPEED	5/2	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	BLUES CANDY SA	1	6/1	Slow	90	83	7.3	0.0	0.0
2	JESST FOR SPEED	2	5/2	Fast	84	79	3.1	0.0	0.0
3	PEVES BLUE DUCK	3	5/1	Fast	88	81	2.5	0.0	0.0
4	TRES ELEGANCE	4	4/1	Average	87	79	4.5	0.0	0.0
5	SPOTTY POLITICS	5	10/1	Average	100	86	3.6	0.0	0.0
6	SWEET BROWN SUGAR	6	15/1	Average	81	73	3.8	0.0	0.0
7	DASHIN APPROACH	7	7/2	Average	90	78	5.6	0.0	0.0
8	SUSIES CORONA GIRL	8	10/1	Average	87	78	5.8	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:12 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $9400 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 VAL PARRAS 7/2
# 3 KR STINGRAY 8/1
# 5 CH APOLLITICAL FIRST 6/1

VAL PARRAS is my choice. He looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. This gelding looks very good in this race since Figueroa has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. KR STINGRAY - Viramontes has him trained soundly to break swiftly out of the starting gate. CH APOLLITICAL FIRST - Lopez and Gonzalez are a potent pair for profits.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:12 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Keeneland - Race #8 - Post: 4:35pm - Stakes - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $350,000 Class Rating: 115 Shakertown S. (Grade 2)

Rating:

#12 ARREST ME RED (ML=9/2)
#8 CARAVEL (ML=8/5)
#3 ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS (ML=5/1)
#9 BAD BEAT BRIAN (ML=15/1)

ARREST ME RED - Ward is solid in grass sprints. This animal should have no alibis if he doesn't win. When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This horse has the highest average class in the entire group. The ROI when Rosario and Ward team up is tremendous. Horse's win percentage is better than 50 percent in first and second starts off a vacation. CARAVEL - Cox is strong in turf sprints. This horse should have no rationalizations if she doesn't win. You always have to be on the lookout for revenue generating rider/trainer combinations; we have one right here. Mare's win percentage is better than 50 percent in first and second starts off a layoff. You have to consider the solid works of late. That 121 fig this mare recorded in her last race tells me she's a main player in today's event. Handicapping information show this pony with 3 improving speed ratings. Gaffalione should be on a live one in this race. ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS - Every now and then I take some time off, when I come back to the track I feel refreshed. I think it's the same with this gelding as he always seems to run well after a layoff. I like this gelding a lot here. He shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. Look for this one to go straight on to victory at some pretty good odds right here. Ran fifth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish line. The improved speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. Maker drops him in this clash ready to win. BAD BEAT BRIAN - Gelding had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this horse has the highest speed figure for the distance and surface. I seem to always make money betting Vanden Berg horses on the grass. That barn has a solid win percent for this distance/surface. Lets try to beat the chalk with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MISTER MMMMM (ML=6/1),

MISTER MMMMM - Don't think this horse will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed rating was mediocre when compared with today's Equibase class figure. There may be a set back today, after the strong exertion last time out.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - ARREST ME RED - I always peruse the equine that is tops in earnings per start. If he meets my fundamentals I make a wager.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #12 ARREST ME RED on top if we're getting at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [9,12]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:13 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15700 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 8, 2022. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 CHINA CAT 3/1
# 3 STYLISH PAINT 9/2
# 10 DON'T MAKE ME BEG 4/1

CHINA CAT is the best bet in this race. Shows signs of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 72 speed rating which is one of the best in this group. This horse has a fantastic win percentage in dirt sprints. Could beat this group of animals given the 63 speed fig earned in her last outing. STYLISH PAINT - Is worth taking a close look at and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (63 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Has to be given consideration based on the quite good Equibase Speed Fig recorded in the last contest. DON'T MAKE ME BEG - Her chances to score are much better today facing this easier lot. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved swiftly to the front end recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #3 - Post: 5:55pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $72,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#4 ULTIMATE HY (ML=8/1)
#5 ROSE BARTON (IRE) (ML=15/1)
#3 ANNAGHLASA (IRE) (ML=7/2)
#11 ANCIENT PEACE (ML=4/1)

ULTIMATE HY - This thoroughbred could be tough this time around, especially since Bravo rode last race out and now should be plenty familiar with this one. Entered an Allowance race at Santa Anita last race out and raced on the soft turf finishing fourth. Should do better right here. Animal didn't finish in the money in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground down the stretch. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the wire. ROSE BARTON (IRE) - Entered an Allowance race at Santa Anita in the last race and raced on the soft turf finishing sixth. Will do better in this race. Just missed hitting the board on March 4th at Santa Anita. With pretty good odds in this race, she has my interest. This jockey and trainer have a beneficial return on investment when they join forces. It is my opinion that fillys run better the second time they get Lasix. Hess puts this filly on it for the 2nd time today, so give this one a look. ANNAGHLASA (IRE) - This mare likes to be near the lead. Today's contest is a shorter distance and should enhance her likelihood of winning. Faced tougher in the last race at Santa Anita. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of choice plays. D'Amato has a very solid win percent in turf routes. This mare should be ready to win. Don't throw this thoroughbred out due to her last race at Santa Anita where she finished sixth on the soft turf. Expect better today. This mare ran a real solid event back on Jan 28th but bounced when coming back off that effort. Today should be different; I expect a return to form. ANCIENT PEACE - Registered a nice turf number on Dec 30th at Santa Anita. A repeat today, and this one has a great shot to win. That last work tells me this filly is set for a top race. The latest speed rating of 96 is the top last race rating in the field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) (ML=6/1), #10 SHOCKING GREY (ML=6/1), #8 SCARABEA (ML=6/1),

CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) - Would have to get much more than the M/L odds of 6/1 to wager on this thoroughbred. SHOCKING GREY - This filly recorded a speed rating in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. SCARABEA - Speed figs tell a narrative of dropping condition. Earned a mediocre speed fig in the last race in the Robert J. Frankel on December 31st. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that fig.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - ANNAGHLASA (IRE) - Lasix should have a 'wake-up' effect on this one. Take this mare all the way to the bank.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #4 ULTIMATE HY on the win end if we get at least 9/2 odds

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:17 AM

Racing Dudes Aqueduct Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #1 Downtown Connector 2-1 T Morley J A Torres
2 #6 Loon Cry 5-2 C Clement J L Ortiz
3 #6 Shidabhuti 7-2 C C Brown M Franco
4 #4 Let It Ride 4-5 G Weaver J L Ortiz
5 #1A Utilization Rate 8-5 C C Brown D Davis
6 #3 Victory Way 5-2 W I Mott J Lezcano
7 #1 New Ginya 9-5 C Clement D Davis
8 #6 White Abarrio 2-1 S A Joseph, Jr. P Lopez
9 #2 Expand the Map 2-1 C C Brown M Franco
10 #4 Lakeside Getaway 5-1 M J Trombetta P Lopez
11 #13 Hit Show 5-2 B H Cox M Franco

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:17 AM

Racing Dudes Charles Town Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #5 Kelsey's Angel 3-1 A Farrior A Bocachica
2 #7 Coastal Mission 3-5 J C Runco A Bocachica
3 #6 Adara 9-5 S R Viands C Marrero
4 #6 Tout Ensemble 5-2 G Viands M Mendez
5 #7 Just Murphy 5-2 J C Runco A Bocachica
6 #2 Jayjaydee 9-5 T C Kreiser A Bocachica
7 #6 Colonel Cappy 9-5 A Farrior A Bocachica
8 #3 Lucky Blonde 6-1 T C Grams C Hiraldo
9 #9 China Cat 3-1 E M Haynes A R Ramgeet

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:18 AM

Racing Dudes Fonner Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #2 J Ps Harley Glider 2-1 S Condon K Roman
2 #2 Crimson Zip 9-2 K Martinez R Morales
3 #3 Goose Drank Wine 2-1 T D Rushton A Triana Jr.
4 #1 That's D 'cat 10-1 R D Bliss R Martinez
5 #3 Street Ringer 3-1 S Condon J A Medina
6 #1 Reina Del Sur 2-1 L D Donlin, Jr. A Martinez
7 #2 Wildwood Maggie 4-1 M N Hibdon R Morales
8 #4 Red Red Wine 3-1 I V Gonzalez K Roman
9 #7 Medicine Tail 5-2 D C Anderson A B Ramos
10 #1 The Gray Dehere 7-2 M N Hibdon R Morales

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2023, 07:18 AM

Racing Dudes Golden Gate Fields Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #4 Lookin for Revenge 5-2 K Mulhall A Ayuso
2 #1 Galland de Besos 3-1 J Ramos A Ayuso
3 #2 Irish Royalty 4-1 E Moger, Jr. I Orozco
4 #5 Memo Daddy 8-5 T Bellasis I Orozco
5 #2 Fast Chad 3-1 M W McCarthy W Antongeorgi III
6 #9 Sue Generous 8-1 Q Howey S Rivera
7 #6 Dick Best 7-2 S Hobson H Herrera
8 #1 Trojan Clubhouse 9-5 R France E A Roman
9 #8 Caisson 5-2 M Ortiz, Sr. A Ayuso