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Re: 3-1-09
CALIFORNIA SPORTS
5* GOM ST JOSEPHS
4* PROVIDENCE
3* Rhode island
3* Clev/Atl UNDER
CALIFORNIA SPORTS
5* GOM ST JOSEPHS
4* PROVIDENCE
3* Rhode island
3* Clev/Atl UNDER
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Re: 3-1-09
Wunderdog NCAA (3-4) -3.9 units Sat.
Pick: 3 units on Loyola Maryland +7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The regular season finale for both of these teams features the Gaels favored by 7.5 points. Are they worthy of that? Given their 7-10 mark in conference play, and 3-5 ATS record at home, I don't think so. This team has lost seven of their last night games and is 1-4 in their last five games, scoring just 56 points per game. Yes, the Greyhounds are also playing quite badly, but they are not being asked to cover a large number here - they are getting the points. Loyola is 14-2 ATS the past three seasons on the road vs. a losing opponent. Iona is just 1-7 ATS this seeason vs. teams with a record of .400 or worse. Only one way to go in this one.
Game: Cincinnati at Syracuse (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Syracuse -405 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Bearcats need a win here to keep hope alive for an NCAA Tournament bid. But I don't think they get it. They are just 3-4 on the road this season vs. conference opponents and 4-6 overall. The Orange are 15-3 at home this season and they are averaging 14 points per game more at home than does Cincy on the road. I expect the Bearcats to again struggle to score here. They are 7-3 UNDER on the road this season. I like Cuse and the UNDER here.
Game: Providence at Rutgers (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 146 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
Providence hasn't played since thier huge win over #1 Pittsburgh. How can this game not be a let down after that? And letdowns usually affect offense more than defense. Their offense takes a huge hit on the road as it is, averaging about 10 points fewer than at home. Rutgers can play defense, especially at home where they allow just 64.2 ppg on the season. In conference games, the Scarlet Knights are getting just 63.3 points per game. I like this game to go UNDER the total.Comment
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Re: 3-1-09
Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE Sunday Hoops Power Plays are:
VSE Power Plays
10* Take Missouri (+4.5) over Kansas (NCAA Power Play)
Missouri
• 11-1 SU over the last 12 games
• 16-3 SU when playing their 2nd game in a week
• Averaging over 82 ppg this season
10* Take Boston (-9) over Detroit (NBA Power Play)
Detroit
• 0-11 ATS when playing on a Sunday this season
• 6-15 ATS coming off two or more UNDER the totals
• 4-12 ATS after covering the spread in two of the last 3 games
-Bonus Pays
5* Take Maryland (+4.5) over NC State (NCAA)
5* Take Calgary (-330) over Tampa Bay (NHL)Comment
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Re: 3-1-09
Sunday, March 01, 2009
Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - 1:00 PM EST Free Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 9.5/-113 Detroit Pistons Play Title: FREE PICK UPSET
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Big triple revenge game for the Pistons as the first 3 meetings weren't even close. Look for the Pistons to give the Celtics all they can handle especially with KG not playing. Also expect some ruined team chemistry with Marbury and this to be a very tight game. Take the underdog and the points in the early tip-off on Sunday!
Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Missouri vs. Kansas (NCAAB) - 2:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 4.5/-105 Missouri Play Title: Top Play
No Analysis
Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Michigan vs. Wisconsin (NCAAB) - 2:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -8/-105 Wisconsin Play Title: Top PLay
No Analysis
Handicapper: Mike Anthony
Rhode Island vs. Duquesne (NCAAB) - 3:30 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1/-105 Rhode Island Play Title: TOP PLAY
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Rhode Island is 21-8 and is actually not very far from being 27-2. But the Rams do not have a ticket to the dance at this point, and simply have to win their last two regular season contests to have any prayer of getting in as an at-large entry. Fact is, URI probably deserves more consideration than they're receiving. Five of the losses are by 4 or fewer points, and that includes wire jobs against Duke, Providence, Oklahoma State and Xavier. They also have a triple OT defeat on their ledger, and have really had just one blowout loss all season. That ought to be good enough, but apparently it's not since they are a small school not talked about much. URI has a very good recent history on this court and Duquesne is just 1-9 vs. the number coming home off a conference road win.Comment
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Re: 3-1-09
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
Cincinnati vs. Syracuse (NCAAB) - 2:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8.5/-104 Cincinnati Play Title: Big East Smart Pick
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
When Cincinnati comes to New York, it usually spells trouble for Syracuse. It holds even more so with + 8 1/2 to boot. Look for a barn-burner.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
SIENA vs. Canisius (NCAAB) - 2:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8/-105 Canisius Play Title: Metro Atlantic Doozy
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
You'll be quite shocked to see Siena not used to their 20+ blowout of Canisuis here. Numbers tend to lie more on Sundays and I look for the home harwood GG's to make things uncomfortable for the Saints as they can some treys from the perimeter to make things interesting. Pull the trigger on Canisius because things don't always add up.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
Rhode Island vs. Duquesne (NCAAB) - 3:30 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-105 Duquesne Play Title: A-10 Marquee Matchup
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Both these teams have has their share of hot streaks this season. I feel the Duquesne faithful will juice up the Dukes for a home win here. It's run and gun and the first one to 90 wins. That's Duquesne.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek
Michigan State vs. Illinois (NCAAB) - 4:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-102 Illinois Play Title: Big Ten Doubleplay
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
This Michigan State squad under Tom Izzo has done well on the road until being exposed at Purdue. Expect the same from Weber's Fighting Illini as I think the Spartans struggle from the field today. Illinois frontcourt takes control of this one in an ugly low scoring affair.Comment
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Re: 3-1-09
VERNON CROY
Hardcore Hoops Big 12 Game of the Month
Missouri vs. Kansas
Play: Kansas -4.5
20 Units, Take Kansas ATS, This pick falls into one of my top NCAAB systems and Kansas is the better overall team. Kansas is shooting 49.7% as a team at home this season while shooting 39.6% from beyond the arc. The Tigers have struggled defensively on the road this season with opponents shooting 46.5% against them while averaging 71.1 ppg and Kansas has played solid defensively at home with opponents shooting just 37.1% against them while averaging just 61.6 ppg. Kansas is the superior rebounding team at home today out-rebounding their opponents by an average of 10.3 rebounds per game and they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games. The Tigers are just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 road games against a team with a winning record at home and the only reason the Tigers beat the Jayhawks back on February.9 was because they committed 13 less turnovers. Take Kansas as my Hardcore Hoops Big 12 Game of the Month.
NBA Non Conference Game of the Month.
Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Play: Dallas -6.5/107
20 Units, Take Dallas ATS, Dallas is playing great at home lately and the Raptors have lost 5 of their last 6 road games by 8 points or more. The Raptors have only won just once on the road since January and I have Dallas dominating this game from start to finish at home tonight. The Raptors are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games against a good offensive team like Dallas that averages over 99+ ppg and Toronto is just 4-14-1 in their last 19 games as a road dog of +5.0 to +10.5 points. The Raptors are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and they are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 125 points or more in their previous game. The Raptors are just 9-20-2 ATS in their last 31 games against a Western Conference opponent and they are just 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 road games against a team that has a winning record at home. The Mavericks are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to cover in their previous game and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take Dallas as my NBA Non Conference Game of the Month.Comment
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Re: 3-1-09
FerrRingo for Sunday. Went 8-9 yesterday.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #823 Bowling Green (+10.5) over Akron (Noon, Sunday, March 1)
These teams have really followed a similar path over the last two months. Both put together six-game winning streaks. Both then blew their win streak by getting upset as a double-digit favorite. Both have since alternated wins and losses, including both losing their Bracket Buster game and both pulling off upset wins at Buffalo, and both are coming off of wins. Both teams are in the Top 65 in the country in defense and both play a deliberate style where they want games in the 60’s and 50’s. So, considering the similarities between the clubs I don’t think that this game should have this thick of a number. Bowling Green has not been very good in this series, but this is their best team in years and the road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
3-Unit Play. Take #831 Cincinnati (+8.5) over Syracuse (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
No chance is there this much separation between these two teams. Cincinnati is 3-0-1 ATS in the last three meetings and actually beat the Orange last year by eight. The Bearcats are still fighting for an NCAA Tournament berth and their recent play has been very close to that of Syracuse’s – tough win over West Virginia, handling St. John’s, (closer) losses to Pitt and Louisville and an OT win over Georgetown. I can see Syracuse getting up big, early in this game. But I don’t think they defend or rebound well enough to really put their foot on Cincy’s throat. There is no quit in this Bearcats team and I actually think they have a chance to catch Syracuse in somewhat of a letdown after their dominating win over St. John’s.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #857 Siena (-8) over Canisius (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
I don’t think anyone would really want to mess with Siena right now. They just got their asses kicked by Niagara this week. They have everyone in the country telling them that they aren’t good enough for the tournament. I think they’re pretty pissed and I don’t think Canisius is going to sneak up on them here. The Griffs have won three straight against weak teams, which has helped to keep this line down. But they lost by 18 the first time, they lost by 16 at home to Niagara, by 14 at home to Fairfield, and by 13 at Rider. All four of those blowouts have come within their last eight games.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #866 Illinois (-1) over Michigan State (4 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
The Illini are just too tough at home. Period. Michigan State has been a solid road team this year, but they are playing against the best host in the Big 10. The Illini shoot better, they defend better, and they play smarter on their own turf. This is a team that I think is set with its tournament berth but they could use a signature win to lock it up. The Illini are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings against the Spartans, and in watching Sparty over the last few games they look like they're going through a little lull before making a March push. I think they get ambushed today.
Today's Teasers
We were really sharp with these yesterday and they were one of the bright spots. However, as always, we will honor your record without these teasers. Meaning, if I have a losing day with my straight picks (above) and you have a one-day package then we'll honor that. That said, I have been tearing it up with these teaser plays over the last two months and my job is to make you money, by any means necessary.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #844 South Florida (+16) over West Virginia (4 p.m.) AND Take #856 Rider (-0.5) over Fairfield (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #831 Cincinnati (+13.5) over Syracuse (2 p.m.) AND Take #857 Siena (-3) over Canisius (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #859 Loyola-Md. (+12.5) over Iona (2 p.m., Sunday, March 1) AND Take #820 Wisconsin (-3) over Michigan (1 p.m., Sunday, March 1)
That's it for today. I also have leans on N.C. State and on Manhattan.Comment
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