Wednesday 4/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    Wednesday 4/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Parx Racing - Race #2
    #8 Bionic Kat She showed a bit more promise when trying this level for the first time, and I wonder if she might wind up getting the right kind of trip while prompting the pace from the outside in a spot where they've all got a habit of quitting late.
    #3 Three Sport Coats Never a fan of runners dropping off the claim, but she's here for about half the price from the mid-March Turfway claim. That said, her baseline form makes her tough in here, and she doesn't typically quit as hard as some of the others. Wouldn't surprise.
    #1 Now Act Surprised She drops after a flat try with some trouble last time out, but that was a pretty big step back from the early March comeback race. Tough call, but she makes sense on class.
    Race Summary No real finish in here, so maybe Bionic Kat can get a press-and-pounce type of trip from the outside and outlast these. Three Sport Coats and Now Act Surprised make sense, but neither inspires a ton of confidence at likely underlaid prices.
    Parx Racing - Race #4
    #1 Street Tail He'll go third start off the bench for this one while getting into an easier spot than he has seen in a long time, and he might be the most committed forward player from the fence.
    #5 Don't Dare Me He has not been staying well late in recent starts, but he's worth another look at this kind of level with a bit of versatility in his running style, and he might offer a mid-range price here.
    #4 Rockin Cowboy He outran his 22/1 odds when bringing Penn form with him last out, and he should be in line for a really good trip while right up near the splits. Something like the last few would keep him in the mix again.
    Race Summary Street Tail is probably quick enough to lead this group, and he is a real threat to get brave once they turn in if he doesn't take too much pressure early on. There's not a ton of upside left here at age 11, but another move forward today would probably make him a player.
    Parx Racing - Race #8
    #3 Florianopolis Take a look at him on the tote and track, but he goes for a team that has won a few similar local races over the last year, and this guy might offer a decent enough price in a race with some pretty good form for the local level.
    #6 Marvelousmoondance He's a pretty reliable finisher who might really like trying this 7-furlong trip, but I couldn't land here with too strong a lean as he heads into his 22nd lifetime start. That said, I think a lot of his recent running lines would make him a pretty serious threat in here.
    #5 Viral Video He outran his odds in both of those last two starts, but he might still offer a decent enough price against another pretty honest group. Not out of the question.
    Race Summary Florianopolis debuts for a capable team, and he's meeting a group in which a few of the more obvious players have had more than their share of chances already. Price might be okay.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Penn National - Race #1
      #6 ZILLION (8-5) In good form, keeping quality company, worked a bullet since his last start.
      #5 GRAND WISER (9-2) Stands 6/1-2-2 at various distances since November for this barn.
      #2 CASH IN A FLASH (2-1) Dueled, headed at quarter pole, fought back to win as the favorite.
      Race Summary ZILLION followed the move of the winner, angled out at the eighth pole looking for room and held off the odds-on favorite to finish second. He’s in good form and has earned more than $100,000 in the last year and a half. Bet to win and place.
      Penn National - Race #2
      #3 STRIKING MOON (6-1) Spotted field several lengths, loomed boldly at 1/16th pole, second to fave.
      #8 MR PETE (6-1) Classy 8-year-old ran good one off Kreiser claim, nearing $300k in 6F earnings.
      #9 CARGO SHIP (6-1) Claimed out of powerhouse victory, starts off similar rest between starts.
      Race Summary STRIKING MOON, off very slowly on an ‘off’ track, sustained an inside rally to late stretch but settled for second at this distance. He’s consistent, fits the conditions well and is worth a win and place bet at 6-1 on the morning line. Also play a 3-8-9 exacta box.
      Penn National - Race #3
      #5 SPIN CYCLE (8-1) Good fit at this level and distance, sheds 10 pounds, seeks 15th victory.
      #1 ROCKET BLAST (5-2) Second to the favorite in 1:10.50 makes him one to beat for new barn.
      #7 KEEPING THE PEACE (9-2) Late runner is 15 of 29 in the money at this distance, needs alert start.
      Race Summary SPIN CYCLE became eligible for this condition today, gets in light-weighted and earned most of his $42k bankroll last season at this level. He will have to step it up a notch in this field but could add value to gimmick wagers. Play a 1-5-7 exacta box.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

        PURCHASE
        Will Rogers Downs - Race 9
        $2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta
        Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 45 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 5:05P
        FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Dominant Stalker. RUN DOTTIE RUN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUN DOTTIE RUN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rati ng. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PASSION FOR SAND: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Today is a s print and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
        1
        RUN DOTTIE RUN
        5/2
        9/5
        2
        PASSION FOR SAND
        3/1
        7/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        6
        PREACH IT GIRL
        6
        7/2
        Alternator/Front-runner
        53
        41
        56.1
        28.9
        21.4
        1
        RUN DOTTIE RUN
        1
        5/2
        Stalker
        61
        48
        57.2
        42.4
        38.4
        8
        TUATHA
        8
        8/1
        Trailer
        39
        29
        21.8
        27.5
        19.5
        2
        PASSION FOR SAND
        2
        3/1
        Trailer
        55
        42
        4.3
        39.9
        35.9
        4
        FLASHY GAIL
        4
        20/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        0
        0
        38.0
        12.3
        0.0
        7
        RIVER BLING
        7
        15/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        0
        0
        32.7
        25.5
        13.0
        3
        LIL' BIT OF CHROME
        3
        8/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        58
        50
        23.0
        19.4
        10.9
        5
        PASCALA
        5
        5/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        0
        0
        0.0
        0.0
        0.0
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for KeenelandPURCHASE


          Keeneland - Race 7
          Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
          Claiming $75,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 4:12P
          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $60,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * FILM STAR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the dista nce/surface. CHILENO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LIL BRO COOP: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at l east 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
          2
          FILM STAR
          5/2
          5/1
          1
          CHILENO
          5/1
          5/1
          3
          LIL BRO COOP
          3/1
          6/1
          7
          ROYAL KING
          7/2
          9/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          3
          LIL BRO COOP
          3
          3/1
          Stalker
          88
          90
          83.6
          86.0
          79.5
          1
          CHILENO
          1
          5/1
          Stalker
          97
          93
          77.2
          87.8
          81.3
          7
          ROYAL KING
          7
          7/2
          Alternator/Stalker
          85
          91
          81.4
          81.4
          74.4
          2
          FILM STAR
          2
          5/2
          Alternator/Stalker
          92
          98
          80.2
          88.8
          83.3
          4
          BRIGHT SPARK
          4
          8/1
          Trailer
          86
          88
          58.4
          82.6
          71.6
          5
          PRINCELY
          5
          15/1
          Trailer
          79
          74
          32.6
          70.6
          59.6
          6
          GROUP HUG
          6
          9/2
          Alternator/Non-contender
          92
          85
          58.4
          85.6
          78.6
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE


            Tampa Bay Downs - Race #2 - Post: 12:50pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 89

            Rating:

            #5 LORD BERRIER (ML=4/1)
            #6 ODDS ON (ML=9/2)
            #1 CAMPTOWN RACES (ML=20/1)


            LORD BERRIER - Horse's last race was at Tampa Bay Downs in a race with a class figure of 95. Dropping drastically in class rating this time puts him in a solid position in this event. ODDS ON - A horse coming back this quickly after a solid effort is a good signal. When this rider and handler join forces you have to take a look. Jimenez and Arriagada have been wonderful together. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race. Another confirmation that this equine has the class to win. CAMPTOWN RACES - This gelding is at the same 7 furlongs distance he won at on December 9th, which was at a higher class level than today's race.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ALMASHRIQ (ML=2/1), #7 THAT'S MY BOI TOY (ML=5/1), #3 GOLOVKIN (ML=6/1),

            ALMASHRIQ - Hasn't been on the Tampa Bay Downs oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. THAT'S MY BOI TOY - Looked like he was in good form on March 25th. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. GOLOVKIN - Tough to play any mount in a short distance race at 6/1 when he hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple months.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #5 LORD BERRIER to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
            EXACTA WAGERS: 5 with [1,6]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

            SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
            Pass
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 65

              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 6 CLASSY MISS 5/2
              # 8 SEAMIALAUGH 3/1
              # 5 SWEET LILLY FACTUM 5/1
              I've got to go with CLASSY MISS. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good handicapping key. This horse ranks at the top in this group. With a sound 63 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's competition. Shows signs of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 58 speed fig which is one of the most competitive in this group. SEAMIALAUGH - She has been racing admirably recently while recording solid speed figures. Should definitely be given consideration in this contest if only for the very strong Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last affair. SWEET LILLY FACTUM - Trainers don't bring racers back this quickly without any reason.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE


                Equibase Special - Race #2 - Post: 3:40pm - Allowance - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $110,000 Class Rating: 97

                Rating:

                #9 MOUNT RUNDLE (ML=8/1)
                #10 ALWAYS ABOVE (ML=3/1)
                #11 MASTER OF THE RING (ML=4/1)
                #5 C FALLS (ML=12/1)


                MOUNT RUNDLE - This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Nihei. Better watch out for this angle. Ran on the wrong surface in his last race. The speed rating of 100 on October 26th at Keeneland two races back is good enough to win this race. Average class rating is tops in this group. I think that is a big edge for a race on the turf. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fourth). Should improve right here, with some pretty good odds. ALWAYS ABOVE - If you review the PP's for this racer, you'll see he has recorded the top speed rating at the distance and surface. A repeat performance in this race and this horse has a superb chance to win. A solid handicapping angle is first-time Lasix. Nihei gives it to this one for this event. MASTER OF THE RING - Average Equibase class figure is tops in this bunch. I think that is a big advantage for a grass race. Should do well right here. Weight shift of -6 from Mar 10th race at Turfway Park. C FALLS - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +298. A repeat of that most recent race on March 2nd where he recorded a speed rating of 97 looks high enough to prove victorious in this contest.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #3 EVAN HARLAN (ML=9/5),

                EVAN HARLAN - He's probably going to get cooked on the front end.


                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #9 MOUNT RUNDLE on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 1 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 83

                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR PENNSYLVANIA BRED. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 5 GRAND WISER 9/2
                  # 6 ZILLION 8/5
                  # 3 DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 6/1
                  GRAND WISER looks very good to best this field. He has been racing solidly lately while recording sharp Speed Figures. Strong choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Is a contender - given the 82 speed rating from his most recent race. ZILLION - Overall the speed figures of this pony look formidable in this race. Kulp has a sharp win percentage with horses travelling in dirt sprint races. DEB'S GUNFIGHTER - Can't overlook the connections here, a 22 winning percentage, one of the most respectable at getting into the winner's circle.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #10
                    Keeneland Tip Sheet - April 19

                    Apr. 18, 2023


                    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
                    RACE #1 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                    4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 11 Late Nite Mistress I Ortiz Jr.
                    PLACE 5-2 6 Baraye J Rosario
                    SHOW 6-1 9 Youalmosthadme T Gaffalione
                    WILD CARD 12-1 10 Too Fast for You L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 1 20-1 5 Bingos Dream R Gutierrez
                    ALTERNATE 2 9-2 12 Sapphire Nights F Geroux
                    * EXACTA: 11-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 6/9/11 BOX, 6/9/10 BOX
                    RACE #2 $12,500 CLAIMING
                    1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 6 Carom Y Navas
                    PLACE 6-1 1 Call of Honor T Gaffalione
                    SHOW 4-1 2 Ottothelegend J Loveberry
                    WILD CARD 7-2 5 Hard Love L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 1 5-2 7 Cartier Cat R Bejarano
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Heirloom Kitten F Geroux
                    * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
                    RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 4-1 3 Icy Stare T Gaffalione
                    PLACE 5-2 9 Get By J R Leparoux
                    SHOW 30-1 5 Carmel Sunrise F Geroux
                    WILD CARD 12-1 7 Mahomebred J Loveberry
                    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 12 Imherefortheparty L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 10 Kall Kat J Rocco Jr.
                    * EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/9 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX
                    RACE #4 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                    1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 9-2 14 Boltoro A Beschizza
                    PLACE 5-2 8 Make the Boys Wink T Gaffalione
                    SHOW 7-2 7 Up and Down I Ortiz Jr.
                    WILD CARD 9-2 9 Just Say So L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Fancy Caber Neigh J Rosario
                    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Paint Me Perfect D Cohen
                    * EXACTA: 14-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 7/8/14 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX
                    RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING
                    7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #1 INVISIBLE WAR
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 2-1 1 Invisible War I Ortiz Jr.
                    PLACE 6-1 4 The Honorable One J Nava-Marin
                    SHOW 10-1 6 Group Eighteen F Geroux
                    WILD CARD 3-1 7 Longshadow A Beschizza
                    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 8 Hoya Paranoya J R Leparoux
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Raymond J Graham
                    * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
                    RACE #6 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
                    1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #10 ALWAYS ABOVE
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 10 Always Above J Talamo
                    PLACE 20-1 2 Solid Country Gold J Loveberry
                    SHOW 4-1 11 Master of the Ring T Gaffalione
                    WILD CARD 9-5 3 Evan Harlan J Rosario
                    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Mount Rundle J R Velazquez
                    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 C Falls L Saez
                    * EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/10/11 BOX, 2/3/11 BOX
                    RACE #7 $75,000 CLAIMING
                    1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #2 FILM STAR
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 5-2 2 Film Star F Prat
                    PLACE 7-2 7 Royal King J Loveberry
                    SHOW 8-1 4 Bright Spark A Beschizza
                    WILD CARD 5-1 1 Chileno T Gaffalione
                    ALTERNATE 1 3-1 3 Lil Bro Coop I Ortiz Jr.
                    ALTERNATE 2 9-2 6 Group Hug L Saez
                    * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
                    RACE #8 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                    1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 16 Tactical Joke I Ortiz Jr.
                    PLACE 3-1 8 Frontal Attack I Ortiz Jr.
                    SHOW 4-1 9 Reconsider Me J R Velazquez
                    WILD CARD 15-1 1 Stay Lost R Gutierrez
                    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 15 Shesasmalltowngirl F Prat
                    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Work of Fiction L Saez
                    * EXACTA: 16-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 8/9/16 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #11
                      Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - April 19

                      Apr. 18, 2023


                      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track
                      RACE #1 $7,000 CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #7 SHALL RETURN
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 7-2 7 Shall Return A A Gallardo
                      PLACE 5-2 2 Sassy Charlee J A Batista
                      SHOW 3-1 5 Ready to Film S Marin
                      WILD CARD 10-1 6 Rasmalai A Flores
                      ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Csilla L Sosa
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 True Atka A S Arroyo
                      * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                      RACE #2 $6,250 CLAIMING
                      7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #2 ALMASHRIQ
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 2-1 2 Almashriq S Camacho
                      PLACE 9-2 6 Odds On M Jimenez
                      SHOW 4-1 5 Lord Berrier J C Ferrer
                      WILD CARD 6-1 3 Golovkin H Villa-Gomez
                      ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Thats My Boi Toy J A Batista
                      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 1 Camptown Races S Marin
                      * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
                      RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 12-1 1 Mylastredcent L Sosa
                      PLACE 10-1 5 Romantic Fantasy A A Gallardo
                      SHOW 9-2 6 Salit S Spieth
                      WILD CARD 5-1 2 Freedom Rose S Camacho
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Baby Luck A S Arroyo
                      ALTERNATE 2 3-1 3 Im Nervous Now D Centeno
                      * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                      RACE #4 $8,000 CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #2 HIDDEN WARRIOR
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 2-1 2 Hidden Warrior J A Batista
                      PLACE 12-1 6 Agent Cooper L Sosa
                      SHOW 9-2 9 Awkward Pause S Marin
                      WILD CARD 6-1 10 Jackson Strong J C Ferrer
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Skipperini S Camacho
                      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Thousand Loves L Sanchez
                      * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 6/9/10 BOX
                      RACE #5 $27,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 8-5 7 Aspen J C Ferrer
                      PLACE 6-1 3 Red Tiara M Meneses
                      SHOW 6-1 2 E Ms Treasuregirl H Villa-Gomez
                      WILD CARD 2-1 5 Arroblue S Camacho
                      ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Apache Ride L Sosa
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Keene On Jenny A S Arroyo
                      * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
                      RACE #6 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 7 Speightful Sis S Camacho
                      PLACE 7-2 8 Laveau M Jimenez
                      SHOW 9-2 11 Ritabook R E Mena
                      WILD CARD 8-1 3 Open Sky J A Batista
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Cowgirllover A A Gallardo
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 12 Soprise Astray C D Lugo
                      * EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 7/8/11 BOX, 3/8/11 BOX
                      RACE #7 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 5-2 8 Street Glide D Centeno
                      PLACE 7-2 9 Lord of the Nile A Suarez
                      SHOW 6-1 1 Raging Whirlwind J Suarez
                      WILD CARD 4-1 3 Finlandias Neat S Camacho
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Southern Civility S Marin
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 San Andres J C Ferrer
                      * EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/8/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
                      RACE #8 $5,000 CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 4 End All Get All S Camacho
                      PLACE 9-2 6 Great Blake R D Allen Jr.
                      SHOW 8-1 2 Blame Bishop L Sosa
                      WILD CARD 12-1 11 Preferred Outcome A A Gallardo
                      ALTERNATE 1 15-1 7 Moonshine Now A Santos
                      ALTERNATE 2 7-2 3 Frolic Man J C Ferrer
                      * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/6/11 BOX
                      RACE #9 $24,500 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                      5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 9-2 10 Blaze Away N Hide S Camacho
                      PLACE 2-1 9 Tracy Anns Legacy S Camacho Jr.
                      SHOW 12-1 7 Huntress Moon D Centeno
                      WILD CARD 6-1 6 Proper Manners J E Lopez
                      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Lady Frijoles A Flores
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Itsakeyper J A Batista
                      * EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358349

                        #12
                        Keeneland Hotlist - April 19

                        Apr. 18, 2023


                        By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
                        Hot List Key:
                        A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                        *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
                        *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                        * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                        1st race – (6) Baraye put in a fast gate work for this and looks like another first-time winner for Ward. (11) Late Night Mistress is another firster from Ward who cannot be ignored. (10) Too Fast For You has displayed some zip breaking from the starting gate. (9) Youalmosthadme has also been working smartly. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-9-10-11.
                        4th race – (7) Up and Down rallied belatedly in her debut last year and should turn in a better effort with Lasix. (8) Make the Boys Wink may be a main threat in the final furlong. (12) Morethananyone is worth a look moving over to turf. (6) Fancy Caber Neigh could be hard to catch here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-12. Doubles: 6-7-8-12 with 1-4-7-8.
                        5th race – (4) The Honorable One has plenty of speed and hails from a high percentage barn. May not look back here. (1) Invisible War will benefit from a rail trip. (7) Longshadow might find some class relief in a claimer. (8) Hoya Paranoya is worth a look in this field. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-8.
                        7th race – (2) Film Star should respond with a big effort while moving into a claimer. (5) Princely should also enjoy better success against claimers. (3) Lil Bro Coop won easily in a maiden claimer and deserves some respect. (1) Chileno will benefit from a ground-saving trip from the rail. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5. Exactas: 2-5 over 1-3 and 1-3 over 2-5. Doubles: 1-2-3-5 with 6-8-9-10.
                        8th race – (6) Work of Fiction (B) showed promise in her turf debut and can take a step forward here. (9) Reconsider Me makes her U.S. debut and merits plenty of attention. (8) Frontal Attack is a firster from Brown who seems to have a bright future. (10) Flowerdew has a nice late kick that will serve her well in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-8-9-10.
                        No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
                        (6) Work of Fiction B, 2/18 8 Kee Showed promise on turf
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