Friday 4/28/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358257

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28900 Class Rating: 94

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR PENNSYLVANIA BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 6 COLONEL BOWMAN 2/1
    # 1 MARTINKELLY 5/1
    # 5 GRAB THE GOLD 9/2
    I give the nod to COLONEL BOWMAN here. Is difficult not to examine based on speed figures which have been very good - 88 avg - of late. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Ought to be given a shot in here if only for the formidable speed figure recorded in the last contest. MARTINKELLY - Should be given a shot for this race if only for the decent speed fig garnered in the last outing. GRAB THE GOLD - With Aguilar aboard him, this gelding will almost certainly be able to break out early for this event. Earned a solid Equibase speed fig last time out.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358257

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      PURCHASE


      Oaklawn Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:18pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 59

      Rating:

      #6 DELTA MOON (ML=7/2)


      DELTA MOON - Chleborad drops her down to this level. You don't need too much more data to think this horse should run well at this level. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp try in the last 30 days is a contender in my opinion.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RUNNINTHESTREETS (ML=5/2), #7 MAGNOLIA MAE (ML=9/2), #9 CASHMERE BABY (ML=8/1),

      RUNNINTHESTREETS - Hasn't been on the Oaklawn Park oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. MAGNOLIA MAE - Tough to like the downward spiraling flow (54/49/39) of speed ratings. Hasn't been close to winning at all lately. CASHMERE BABY - Improbable for this entrant to do much running with no recent success in a sprint event. Hard to take this runner at the odds after the finish (seventh) in the last race. Will be hard for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list.

      GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DELTA MOON - Has been racing regularly since a layoff. According to my calculations, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this animal today.





      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 DELTA MOON is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
      EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with 3

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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