Service Plays Saturday 5/6/23

[bdaters]

Anyone have Bondi 10* GOY?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

UFC Match of the Year

8* Sterling +100

[Mark336]

Winners circle ? Tia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #534. Take Miami Heat -4 over New York Knicks (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)

We seek a 6-0 run today in the NBA Playoffs and a 9-1 run. Look the Knicks never should have won the last game and I think even the league knows that as the massive discrepancy in free throws happened. This is a great spot for Miami to bounce-back as this is the team that beat Giannis in 4 of 5 games, and got Coach Bud fired. The Heat are fantastic right now, we love them off a loss in Miami. New York played terrible in game 2 and was more than fortunate to win their last game and there is no way they lay down here or go down 1-2, this is a team that is clearly on a mission and clearly understands that they can beat anyone. We love the Heat here as there is going to be no free throw discrepancy today. The Heat have covered their last 4 at home and have been fantastic off a loss these playoffs and we roll with them.



5-Unit Play. #917. Take Texas Rangers -110 over LA Angels (Saturday @ 9:07pm)

We are on a 5-0 nba playoff run and we get the Rangers off a bounce back here in a game they never should have lost. Plus you get a stud like Eovaldi who comes off a complete game against a very overrated Detmers. Perfect spot for the Rangers.



4-Unit Play. #057. Take Oilers (-125) Over Golden Knights (Saturday @ 7:00 pm est)



3-Unit Play. Take Devin Clark (+150) over Kennedy Nzechukwu (Saturday @ 4pm est)

The eighth fight at UFC 288 will see Kennedy Nzechukwu take on Devin Clark. This will be a fight in the UFC light heavyweight division. Nzechukwu comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-3. He is 7-3 in the UFC, most recently beating Ion Cutelaba by KO/TKO back in November of 2022. Nzechukwu is averaging 4.63 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. He is absorbing 4.19 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.74 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 55% and his takedown defense is 80%. Clark comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-7. He is 8-7 in the UFC, most recently beating Da Woon Jung by unanimous decision back in February of this year. Clark is averaging 2.91 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. He is absorbing 2.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. His grappling should also play a role here, seeing that he is averaging 2.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Clark has a takedown accuracy of 34%, and his takedown defense is 59%. We think if Devin can use his wrestling and get this to the ground, he definitely has a shot to win via decision, and we will side with Clark here.

3-Unit Play. Take Matt Frevola (+180) over Drew Dober (Saturday @ 5pm est)

Dober comes into this fight with an MMA record of 26-11. He is 13-7 in the UFC, most recently beating Bobby Green by KO/TKO back in December of 2022. Dober is averaging 4.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. He is absorbing 4.40 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.71 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 17% and his takedown defense is 55%. Frevola comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-3-1. He is 5-3-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Ottman Azaitar by KO/TKO back in November of 2022. Frevola is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. He is absorbing 3.49 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling has been good as well, averaging 2.39 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 37% and his takedown defense is 42%. Let's roll with Frevola here as we think there is value here at this price.

3-Unit Play. Take Kron Gracie (+145) over Charles Jourdain (Saturday @ 6pm est)

Kron comes into this fight with an MMA record of 5-1. He is 1-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Cub Swanson by unanimous decision back in October of 2019. Gracie is averaging 5.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. He is absorbing 8.13 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.88 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 25% and he has not had to defend a takedown in the UFC. Jourdain comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-6-1. He is 4-5-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Nathaniel Wood by unanimous decision back in September of 2022. Jourdain is averaging 5.84 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 4.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is pretty much non-existent, averaging 0.12 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 16% and a takedown defense of 48%. We like Kron and the ground game he brings here and we will side with Kron to get the win.

4-Unit Play. Take Aljamain Sterling (+100) over Henry Cejudo (Saturday @ 8pm est)

The Main Event at UFC 288 will see Aljamain Sterling take on Henry Cejudo. This will be a fight in the UFC bantamweight division. It will also be a fight for the UFC bantamweight title. Sterling comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-3. He is 14-3 in the UFC, most recently beating TJ Dillashaw by KO/TKO back in October of 2022. Sterling is averaging 4.56 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 2.24 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. Sterling is also known for his grappling ability, averaging 1.71 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 21% and his takedown defense is 41%. Cejudo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-2. He is 10-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Dominick Cruz back in May of 2020. Cejudo is averaging 3.92 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. He is absorbing 2.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.12 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 33% and his takedown defense is 93%. Cejudo has not fought in three years and this could be his downfall against a hungry fighter like Sterling, and we like Sterling tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R&R TOTALS

*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #533 Knicks v #534 Heat OVER (208.5



*TOP PLAY* MLB: Take #901 Marlins v #902 Cubs OVER (9 -115) (2:20 PM EST) at circa TOP MLB Over-Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRAD POWERS

Lean (534) Miami -4. 3:30pm ET.
Lean (536) L.A. Lakers -3. 8:30pm ET.

[WeWantMoehr]

Ferringo MLB:

4 unit: Toronto -145
8 unit: Toronto/Pittsburgh 9o

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH!

Royals vs Athletics Over

[citybeat]

New Payday - (censored) Bet each team until you win $500 and cash out
A Bet 220pm 1902 Cubs first 5 innings -172
B Bet 410pm 912 Tampa Bay Rays -190 (if the A bet loses)
C Bet 830pm 536 Lakers money line -152 (if the A and B bets lose)

New Regular Evolution Series - (censored) Bet the team up to 3 times until you win $500 and quit
MLB Atlanta Braves as a -110 or more favorite or +1.5 if -109 or less

Super Best Bets to Win $3000 each
220pm 1902 Cubs first 5 innings -172
830pm 536 Lakers money line -152
610pm 913 Twins -115

Best Bets to Win $2,500 each
635pm 924 Pirates run line +1.5 -120
715pm 930 Over 9.5 on Red Sox and Phillies
810pm 908 Over 9.5 on Nationals and Diamondbacks

Super Best Bet Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $1,250 a way for $5,000
220pm 1902 Cubs first 5 innings -172
830pm 536 Lakers money line -152
610pm 913 Twins -115

Best Bet Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $1,000 a way for $4,000
635pm 924 Pirates run line +1.5 -120
715pm 930 Over 9.5 on Red Sox and Phillies
810pm 908 Over 9.5 on Nationals and Diamondbacks


6 team parlay bet $100
220pm 1902 Cubs first 5 innings -172
830pm 536 Lakers money line -152
610pm 913 Twins -115
635pm 924 Pirates run line +1.5 -120
715pm 930 Over 9.5 on Red Sox and Phillies
810pm 908 Over 9.5 on Nationals and Diamondbacks



Run Line/Alternative Run Line Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $200 a way for $800
Kansas City Royals -1.5 +104
Arizona DBacks -1.5 +139
SF Giants -1.5 +120

Kentucky Derby
Tapit Trice Win/Place/Show Bet $300 each for $900 total
Sun Thunder Win/Place/Show Bet $30 each for $90 total

UFC - Straight Bets to Win $1,000 each
Jessica Andrade -180
Gilbert Burns -130

Regular Round Robins 2's and a 3 for $900 a way for $3,600 each
410pm 912 Tampa Bay Rays -190
710pm 916 Kansas City Royals -170
715pm 906 Giants -170

635pm 924 Over 9 on Blue Jays and Pirates
640pm 926 Over 9 on White Sox and Reda
710pm 916 Over 10.5 on A's and Kansas City

[Will Cover]

Maddux - 76'ers +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Adams 5% [MLB] (913) Minnesota Twins at (914) Cleveland Guardians

Time: 6:10 PM EDT Minnesota Twins -110 S Gray (RHP) Must Start
Analysis:
With their shutout loss Friday night the Guardians now have the worst OPS in all of baseball at .636. Cleveland has now lost 5 of 6 and the one win was a bullpen collapse by the Yankees in the 9th inning. This team is simply unbackable because they can’t score, and things aren’t likely to get better when facing Sonny Gray, who enters with an ERA of 0.77 in 6 starts this season. Gray hasn’t given up more than 1 run in any start and has a great strikeout to walk ratio. His whiff% is strong and he keeps hitters off balance with a wide range of pitches he can locate. Logan Allen has been good in limited action thus far, but Cleveland is simply unbackable with this anemic offense. This is a team that has 17 home runs on the entire season and ranks last in several other offensive categories as well. Minnesota has now homered in 17 consecutive games and they’ll pick up another win tonight. Take the Twins.

5% Play on Twins (913) at -130 or better, 4% at worse than -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

MLB
5* Rays -159

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek

MLB
4* Rays -172

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

4* Vegas Over 6.5 -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

4* Angels -120
4* Lakers -3
4* Edmonton -130