Sunday 5/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:37 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know for Santa Anita - 5/21/23

May 21, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Kissed by Fire; 2-Irish Rose
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Kissed by Fire displayed considerable promise in her debut last summer at Del Mar when second to Justique but then was unwisely thrown to the wolves in the Del Mar Debutante-G1 and wound up sixth of seven, beaten nearly 28 lengths. She returns in a below average maiden turf sprint with a series of workouts that should have her fit enough for the red hot Peter Eurton barn in a race that lacks early speed, so we wouldn’t be surprised if the daughter of Friesan Fire grabs control early and never looks back. Irish Rose ran well to be a closing second in her debut over this course and distance in mid-February but then went backwards when a disappointing seventh under similar conditions in her next outing. The Neil Drysdale-trained filly certainly is eligible to bounce back following a good series of recent workouts that includes a bullet :47 3/5 training track drill earlier this month. She might be most comfortable if held up early and allowed to run late.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Settecento; 4-Mongolian Ford
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast:There are two main players in the five-runner second race, a restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claimer for older horses over a mile on the main track. Settecento has hit the board in five of eight career starts over the Santa Anita dirt strip, most recently finishing a solid second despite a slow break and a wide trip. The Steve Knapp-trained gelding projects to fold over from his outside five hole draw into a good stalking position and then have every chance from there. Mongolian Ford looks like the controlling speed on paper, and if he can clear early without pressure he should take this field a long way. He's just 2-for-18 in his career, but at least both of those wins were earned over this track. In a race that might be best left alone, we’ll double the race in rolling exotic play with a slight edge on top to Settecento.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Cyberviking; 4-Baladi
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Here’s another five runner affair, this one for starter optional claimers sprinting on the main track. Cyberviking, a first-time gelding, arrives from Tampa Bay Downs seeking some of that valuable ship and win money for new trainer Phil D’Amato and has speed figures that make him a definite fit on this circuit. A bullet :59 3/5 local workout last week should have him primed and ready in a race that projects to find him on or near the lead throughout. Baladi is the one to fear most. An impressive winner with a career top speed figure earlier this month at seven furlongs, the Hector Palma-trained gelding should be just as effective at this shorter trip and seems likely to inherit a second flight, stalking position and have dead aim from the quarter pole home. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics, with Cyberviking getting the nod on top.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:37 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Leyas Candy; 5-Six Feet
Backups/Savers: 1-Johnny Podres

Forecast: Leyas Candy had a rough go of it when a close fourth (beaten a length) in a recent Hillside Turf Course sprint and with better luck today the son of Danzing Candy should be capable of rebounding with a winning effort in this entry-level allowance claiming extended dash over the flat course. The Mark Glatt-trained colt can be effective on the lead or from a stalking position, and based on the projected race he should be able to settle just off the front runners and then quicken when given his cue. Six Feet might be the quickest in the field, though there’s a possibility that the recent Los Alamitos winner Rock N Rye might keep him busy during the early stages. Today’s extra sixteenth of a mile isn’t likely to do him any favors, but if his improving pattern continues to the son of Stay Thirsty should be a strong factor throughout. Johnny Podres has been away since October and is realistically spotted for his return. The works have been slow and easy but that’s typical for this barn. We’ll be surprised if the Steve Miyadi-trained gelding doesn’t at least get a piece of it.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:09 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Last Call London; 7-Mici’s Express
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Mici’s Express and Last Call London finished two-three in a fast race behind Going Mobile last month and are clearly the ones to beat in this abbreviated sprint for state-bred maiden two years. We doubt either one is a world beater but there probably isn’t one among the newcomers either, so let’s go two deep in our rolling exotics but otherwise sit out a race that is loaded with question marks.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:41 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Conclude; 2-First Peace
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: First Peace won a similar stakes for 3-year-olds over this course and distance last month and seems the logical pick right back after displaying the versatility to win on the lead or from a second flight, stalking position. He’s picking up four pounds off his most recent score, but other than that there’s no reason he shouldn’t fire a similar shot. Conclude finished fourth (beaten five lengths) behind ‘Peace when the met in the John Shear Stakes under these conditions in late April but the son of Collected didn’t leave cleanly in that race and never was able to display his best stuff. This race contains far less early speed than the last one, so if he breaks sharply there is every expectation that the Phil D’Amato-trained colt can duplicate his blazing maiden victory two races back. He’ll be a better price, so we’ll put Conclude on top but use both in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:14 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Hapi Hapi
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Phoenix shipper Hapi Hapi is eligible for valuable ship and win purse money in this $12,500 main track miler and has plenty in his favor as the race’s second choice at 5/2 on the morning line. In the money in nine of 11 career starts over the Santa Anita main track and effective on the front end or from a stalking position, the son of Clubhouse Ride had his five race Turf Paradise win streak snapped when finishing third in a solid allowance race on grass last month, but this class drop – he’s still above his claim level – while returning to dirt should get him back on track. Let’s make him a win play and rolling exotic single.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:41 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Doris May; 2-Stressed
Backups/savers: 4-Hayley Levade

Forecast: We’ll spread the finale, a first-level allowance turf sprint for fillies and mares. Doris May looked good winning a state-bred dirt sprint last month with a career top number and she’s perfect in one start on grass, so the surface switch won’t be an issue. Clearly, this is a tougher assignment for the daughter of Dads Cap but with another forward move she should be highly competitive. If there is a concern, it’s that the Carla Gaines barn is mired in a cold streak. Stressed is a two-time winner over the flat course, most recently winning in gate to wire fashion over a solid starter’s allowance field. She may be forced to cope with more early zip today and is pretty much a need-the-lead type, so if she can shake clear early she’ll have a shot; otherwise, it may be tough sledding. Hayley Levade is back sprinting where she belongs and the speed figure she earned when beating maidens over this course and distance two races back makes her a reasonable contender at 6-1 on the morning line.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:37 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 21, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race program ready to begin the week. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

5-FG's Mondu Packrat (5/2)-Stepped up last week and its 3-race win streak was snapped. Drops to a comfortable spot, Merriman will work a better trip this time, and looks like a main player.
6-Bambino Joe (3-1)-This 8-year-old has become camera shy the past 2 years but gets class and post relief here. There should be an honest pace and Lems is a new set of hands. Could stalk and roll by down the lane at a fair price.

Race 12

3-Word Out (7/2)-Draws inside of other players and now is at the right condition to win. Facing the $10K claimers at MVR didn't work but has won here the last 2 times in at NW1500L4.
6-Solarctic (4-1)-Pulled well before the 1/2-mile pole, was hung the rest of the mile, and finished 3rd last week. That was an aggressive drive on a 14-1 shot from post 7. Will look for a smoother journey and a better finish tonight.
9-Twin B Frenchtoast (9/2)-Will probably try to follow #2 off the gate, the 10-year-old can show good gate speed at times. Needs a trip but Merriman can work some magic from the 2nd tier, and this is the level for a picture to happen.

Race 13

1-Flash Gordon (5/2)-Merriman steers for his father Lanny, which isn't an automatic. The Yankee Cruiser 5-year-old should be a main player at this class. Has enough gate speed to protect the rail and should race near the top of the stack throughout.
9-Full Moon Beach (4-1)-Has posted 9 wins in 35 starts at Nfld and could get a good seat following the one above off the gate. The Bendis entry should enjoy the company and may finally take its 1st picture of 2023 (8-0-1-2).

Race 14

5-Zanetti (9/2)-Will need a sharp steer to get the job done at this level but does try hard and this isn't the deepest of fields. Sugg could work a 2nd over trip and surprise at a square price.
7-Elliot Moose (7/2)-Raced well in last and really could not do more than finish second with the inside trip. Has good gate speed and Merriman might be more aggressive when the wings fold, so best to respect. The question is whether Elliot can win without having the lead at the head of the stretch.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

5,6/3,6,9/1,9/5,7
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:38 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #1

#1 Sierra Hotel	The dark recent form from Fair Grounds stacks up nicely with this group while dropping in class, and he chased a super tough winner in that most recent try. Move back around two turns should do it.
#5 Ioya Again	He goes off the claim after a modest run, but the move back to the grass should work in his favor after the main-track try last out. Wouldn't surprise to see him turn the form around today.
#7 Dynablue	He has forgettable form on his page, but he has been doing that work against better company than he's going to find this afternoon. Some upside.
Race Summary	Sierra Hotel gets into an easier spot while returning to a course over which he has never run a bad race, and he should be able to handle this bunch with his typical route try.

Hawthorne - Race #3

#3 Freedom Attack	She seems like a decent enough fit as the likely third choice, and I think she's in line for a really good trip while tracking the speed. Maybe she graduates today.
#6 Positiondumoni	She's the one to beat after a couple really good tries here last month, and she draws well to be right up on the splits throughout. Probably tough at a short price.
#4 Blaze Beauty	She fits well enough in a soft spot, but she has never threatened a winner by any stretch through four races, and I worry she's going to take a bit of cash.
Race Summary	Freedom Attack might offer a playable enough price behind the other listed two, and she doesn't seem too far off what it would take to handle this group that lacks any serious form.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:38 AM

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - May 21

May. 20, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 SPICYBUG

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	6	Spicybug	K J Desormeaux
PLACE	7-2	2	Irish Rose	H I Berrios
SHOW	12-1	3	Irresistible Force	G Franco
WILD CARD	4-1	1	North East Star	A Alsagoor

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	9	Mizztify Doll	U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	4	Kissed by Fire	M E Smith

* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 CHICKASAW

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	2	Chickasaw	K Frey
PLACE	8-5	5	Settecento	T J Pereira
SHOW	7-5	4	Mongolian Ford	A Aguilar
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Tembo	A Alsagoor

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Wrong Spot	G Franco

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

RACE #3 $42,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:06 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 MANITOWISH

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Manitowish	H I Berrios
PLACE	8-5	2	Cyberviking	U Rispoli
SHOW	9-5	4	Baladi	A Fresu
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Speight and Malice	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	3	Neptunes Storm	A Aguilar

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

RACE #4 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:37 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	5	Six Feet	A Fresu
PLACE	3-1	1	Johnny Podres	G Franco
SHOW	5-2	3	Leyas Candy	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Irish Heatwave	H I Berrios

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Trumped	R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	7	Rock N Rye	A Aguilar

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #5 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:09 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	6	Last Call London	J J Hernandez
PLACE	3-1	7	Micis Express	R A Vazquez
SHOW	4-1	5	Shady Appeal	K J Desormeaux
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Mr. Dreamcycle	A Alsagoor

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Refocus	M Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Love That Money	A Cedillo

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

RACE #6 $100,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 6:41 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	2	First Peace	M E Smith
PLACE	9-5	4	Conclude	J J Hernandez
SHOW	5-1	3	Mas Rapido	K J Desormeaux
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Acquired Class	U Rispoli

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Valiancer	H I Berrios
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Ransomware	R A Vazquez

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

RACE #7 $12,500 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:14 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	1	Hapi Hapi	R A Vazquez
PLACE	10-1	3	Mike Operator	E Garcia
SHOW	9-5	2	Claim of Passion	A Cedillo
WILD CARD	4-1	4	Papale	A Alsagoor

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	5	Next Revolt	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Speeding Style	A Aguilar

* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

RACE #8 $63,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:47 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Stressed	J J Hernandez
PLACE	10-1	8	Crimson Rose	T J Pereira
SHOW	6-1	3	Power Surge	D A Herrera
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Doris Mae	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Hayley Levade	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Nu Pi Lambda	H I Berrios

* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:39 AM

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 21

May. 20, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $35,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	5	Hilliard	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	4-1	7	Sonic Speed	T McCarthy
SHOW	2-1	9	Norgay	J Castellano
WILD CARD	6-1	8	Invective	J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	10	Centavo	Rider TBA
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Prince of Joy	J A Davis

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX

RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	1	Jet Set Juliet	E Cancel
PLACE	5-2	7	Save Grace	M Franco
SHOW	2-1	5	Hey There	F Prat
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Handle the Truth	O Hernandez Moreno

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	3	Aeron Warrior	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Our Rosie Diamonds	J A Torres

* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

RACE #3 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:01 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 DARK VECTOR

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	10	Dark Vector	J Castellano
PLACE	5-2	5	Cumberland	J Rosario
SHOW	8-1	2	American Know How	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	6-1	8	Royal Velvet	M Franco

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	3	Balthazar	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Fast Boat to Skye	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/10 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX

RACE #4 $95,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:32 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	4	Shutters	J Rosario
PLACE	7-2	11	Film Star	J L Ortiz
SHOW	6-1	8	Danzigwiththestars	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Emboite	M Franco

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1A	Oglethorpe	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Irwin	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/11 BOX, 6/8/11 BOX

RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	1	Two Thirty Five	D Davis
PLACE	12-1	5	Lafittes Fleet	J Rosario
SHOW	7-2	7	Milton the Monster	M Franco
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Back Ring Luck	J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1	6-5	3	Business Model	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	Thinkaboutit	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

RACE #6 $65,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:34 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	4	King James	K Davis
PLACE	9-2	11	Be the Boss	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	12-1	9	Starrystarryknight	J Alvarado
WILD CARD	9-2	1	Highly Flammable	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	12	More Than Work	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	14	King Moonracer	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/11 BOX, 1/9/11 BOX

RACE #7 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:08 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 MISS STONES

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	3	Miss Stones	J Castellano
PLACE	6-1	4	Song Parody	M Franco
SHOW	6-1	7	Red Moon	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Fancy Joke	T McCarthy

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	9	Try It Again	J Alvarado
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Reigning Chick	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #8 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	4	Franks Art	J Rosario
PLACE	5-2	7	Awesome Native	J L Ortiz
SHOW	9-2	2	Yarrow	M Franco
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Ghost Giant	J R Velazquez

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	13	Brew Pub	J Alvarado
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	10	Big Engine	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

RACE #9 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 DANSEUR DORO

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	2	Danseur dOro	F Prat
PLACE	5-1	5	Jessicas Ride	K Davis
SHOW	6-1	4	North End Lady	J Alvarado
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Foxy Cara	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	8	Unholy	T McCarthy

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:39 AM

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - May 21

May. 20, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Supercool	F Arrieta
PLACE	8-1	5	Chowmein	R Bejarano
SHOW	9-2	7	Texas Ted	J Loveberry
WILD CARD	5-2	1	Mr. Commander	G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Charlie Whiskey	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Hail Allen	R Gutierrez

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX

RACE #2 $75,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 COMEDY ACT

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	5	Comedy Act	M Garcia
PLACE	3-1	6	Story Hour	C Landeros
SHOW	6-1	3	Music App	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Transparency	C J Lanerie

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Raindrops On Roses	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	1	Precursory	C J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

RACE #3 $50,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Hocus	D Cannon
PLACE	2-1	6	Insolito	G Corrales
SHOW	4-1	3	Ignitis	G Saez
WILD CARD	5-2	5	Riders Special	T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Classy Socks	J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	American Icon	J K Court

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

RACE #4 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	6	With Purpose	T Gaffalione
PLACE	4-1	7	Midway Miracle	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	2-1	8	King of Kentucky	T Heard
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Scotch No Rocks	C J Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Cousin Odell	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Garys Flying Lion	L Machado

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

RACE #5 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 TOWN BRANCH

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	8	Town Branch	M Murrill
PLACE	10-1	7	Baby Quinn	E Morales
SHOW	7-2	4	Infiltrator	G Saez
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Haps Victory	Y Navas

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Vale	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	French Composer	J Rocco Jr.

* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #6 $141,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	8	Fast as Flight	L Saez
PLACE	12-1	6	Justify My Love	V Cheminaud
SHOW	5-2	1	Candy Light	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	12-1	2	Intrigue	G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Wave of Goodness	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Arm Candy	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

RACE #7 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 WILD THINKER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	2	Wild Thinker	L Saez
PLACE	6-1	6	Ludwig	V Cheminaud
SHOW	3-1	5	Briterdayzahead	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Cuore Sacro	J Graham

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Cloud Without Rein	A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Unwrapped	L Machado

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

RACE #8 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	7	Saudi Crown	F Geroux
PLACE	4-1	6	Favorite Outlaw	F Arrieta
SHOW	9-2	1	Page One	G Corrales
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Sweet Cherry Pie	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	9	Angkor	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Appeal Denied	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX

RACE #9 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	7	Caroom	J Loveberry
PLACE	5-1	17	Stand Proud	C A Torres
SHOW	5-1	12	St. Neots	L Saez
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Crusader Conrad	D Cannon

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	15	Decanted	L Saez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Fightertown	F Geroux

* EXACTA: 7-17 BOX, 17-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/12/17 BOX, 5/12/17 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:40 AM

Belmont Park Hotlist - May 21

May. 20, 2023

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
4^th race [Alw 95000 N1X, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (6) Emboite (A) pressed the pace in his first start of the year and finished third after likely needing that race. (4) Shutters ended 2022 with three wins in a row when he won through the NY-bred allowance conditions. He had to start this year in the first-level allowance against open company and was second. He changes barns and Joel Rosario gets back on board. (3) Good Medicine will make his first start of the year for Todd Pletcher with a chance of getting loose on the lead. (5) Activist Investing broke his maiden in his third start last year with improving speed figures each race for Chad Brown.
6^th race [Alw 50000s, 7F TURF] – (5) Bobby the Tank (A) set the pace in his first start of the year, looked like he was going to drop out of contention down the stretch, but fought back to finish second. (1) Highly Flammable made his 2023 debut at Woodbine for Mark Casse and romped to a victory on the artificial surface and now moves to the turf. (11) Be the Boss changes trainers to Mike Maker and gets Irad Ortiz as the rider. (10) Don’t Let Me Down moved back to the turf and broke his maiden with a strong move down the stretch to win easily.
7^th race [NY, Alw 80000 N1X, 6F] – (6) Reigning Chick used a late rally to win last time for a $25,000 tag and was claimed. A fast pace is expected in this field and that will benefit Reigning Chick. (8) Luna’s Song broke her maiden in her second start to end 2022 for Brad Cox. (7) Red Moon won her first two starts at Turf Paradise in Arizona as a heavy favorite this Spring and now changes barns to Bill Morey and gets Irad on board which means this horse probably is a win contender. (4) Song Parody broke her maiden in her debut race last year against a return winner and then tried a stakes at Saratoga.
9^th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 7F] – (5) Jessica’s Ride (B) used a late rally to finish second in her debut behind an impressive winner. (2) Danseur d’Oro missed getting her first win by a nose after pressing the pace. (3) Foxy Cara was third in her second start behind Danseur d’ Oro. (1) She’s a Nine was bet to a short price in her debut and showed speed but did not have a smooth trip which included a rough start and lugging in down the stretch.
Best bets: Emboite (4^th); Jessica’s Ride (9^th). Best value: Bobby the Tank (6^th); Reigning Chick (7^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(6)	Emboite	A on 4/7	4	Third in his first start of the year, needed a race.
(9)	Luni Sima	C on 4/14	4	Entered for Main Track Only.
(5)	Bobby the Tank	A on 4/27	6	Set the pace following layoff, faded, and rallied back.
(5)	Jessica’s Ride	B on 4/29	9	Late run for second in debut behind an impressive winner.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:40 AM

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 21

May. 20, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (7) Texas Ted was a game second last time and should graduate today. (6) Velocimo debuts for Sharp and is worth a look. (1) Mr. Commander could be tough to catch from the rail. (2) Supercool will like the return to a sprint. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7. Exactas: 6-7 over 1-2 and 1-2 over 6-7.
3rd race – (6) Insolito has plenty of speed and may not look back in this field. (5) Rider’s Special will welcome a dry track. (3) Ignitis will be dangerous on his best try. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.
5th race – (7) Baby Quinn drops a notch and looks best here. (1) Switzer fits in nicely with this field. (4) Infiltrator won easily last time and cannot be ignored. (2) Hap’s Victory also won by a pole and should be in the picture here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-7.
7th race – (2) Wild Thinker (A) was a solid second in fast time and should handle this field. (5) Briterdayzahead was third to the top pick and figures to be the main rival. (6) Ludwig could last for a major share of the purse. (10) Bolt Action is a firster who could have some potential. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-10.
9th race – (2) Harry Hood can take a step forward after a rough debut. (3) Illegal could be a factor in his career debut. (7) Caroom should be a threat in the final furlong. (6) Now That Ican Rock was third last time and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-7.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(2)	Wild Thinker	A, 4/16	7 CD	Was a good second last time

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

PURCHASE

Camarero - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 7-8
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 50 • Purse: $15,200 • Post: 5:30P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CHILD MEMORIES: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PRECIOUS MEADOW: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ETHICAL LADY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LACROSSE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 5 0. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3	CHILD MEMORIES	10/1	3/1
6	PRECIOUS MEADOW	6/5	5/1
1	ETHICAL LADY	3/1	5/1
4	LACROSSE	2/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	PRECIOUS MEADOW	6	6/5	Front-runner	47	40	44.6	44.6	39.1
4	LACROSSE	4	2/1	Front-runner	34	41	33.2	38.9	32.9
5	SUPER PAISLEY	5	5/1	Stalker	30	25	26.9	19.7	9.7
3	CHILD MEMORIES	3	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	62	64	43.8	43.8	38.3
1	ETHICAL LADY	1	3/1	Trailer	56	51	42.0	46.0	41.0
2	TOP RUNNER	2	4/1	Trailer	47	37	38.7	39.6	30.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita ParkPURCHASE

Santa Anita Park - Race 3	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 3-4-5) $0.20 Rainbow Pick Six Jackpot Starts (Races 3-8)
SO $40,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 2:06P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CYBERVIKING: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven d ays. SPEIGHT AND MALICE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts a fter a long layoff. BALADI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MANITOWISH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	CYBERVIKING	8/5	9/2
5	SPEIGHT AND MALICE	4/1	5/1
4	BALADI	9/5	5/1
1	MANITOWISH	3/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	SPEIGHT AND MALICE	5	4/1	Stalker	98	96	78.2	93.8	83.8
1	MANITOWISH	1	3/1	Stalker	100	96	58.6	92.6	89.6
2	CYBERVIKING	2	8/5	Trailer	98	101	65.6	95.8	90.8
4	BALADI	4	9/5	Trailer	100	101	59.8	93.0	88.0
3	NEPTUNE'S STORM	3	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	104	97	44.6	61.6	55.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:41 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Pocatello

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Final - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $4513 Class Rating: 71

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, NON QUALIFIERS FOR POCATELLO DOWNS SPRING FUTURITY PREFERRED. WTS. 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 JC HOWTHEWEST WASWON 5/2
# 7 THE MIDNIGHT SKY 7/2
# 5 LITTLEROCKINRUNAWAY 7/1

JC HOWTHEWEST WASWON has a very strong shot to take this race. Is a strong contender based on numbers posted as of late under today's conditions. Might wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. With a competitive 67 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. THE MIDNIGHT SKY - Make a note that this horse runs with second time Lasix today. With a formidable 66 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. LITTLEROCKINRUNAWAY - Ran a strong last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:42 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Churchill Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:13pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#5 SCOTCH NO ROCKS (ML=8/1)
#7 MIDWAY MIRACLE (ML=4/1)
#8 KING OF KENTUCKY (ML=2/1)
#6 WITH PURPOSE (ML=9/5)

SCOTCH NO ROCKS - After the affair aboard this equine on Apr 29th, the rider is going to be in touch with the gelding much better. MIDWAY MIRACLE - This gelding should be in fine form, this far into his form cycle. Lucas gets a break on this animal carrying 6 lbs less than last out. Could be helpful in this event. KING OF KENTUCKY - Rider jumped on this colt's back for the first attempt on Apr 28th. Should be in touch with the animal even better in today's contest. Was in a Maiden Special race at Keeneland in the last race. That event had an Equibase class figure of 93 and he is moving down right here. A certain strong challenger. This colt earned a nice fig of 66 in his last race. That speed fig should be good enough to triumph this time around. WITH PURPOSE - Was in a $40,000 Maiden Optional Claiming race at Gulfstream Park last time around the track. That affair had a class number of 79 and he is moving down in this event. A certain contender. This horse wins a lot of money per start. I believe he can add to that bankroll in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: No Vulnerable Contenders in this race,

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #5 SCOTCH NO ROCKS to win if you can get at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:42 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $85000 Class Rating: 96

BEL - R8 - INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 SAINT SELBY 6/1
# 1A UNIQUE UNIONS 5/1
# 1 ROUGH DRAFT 5/1

SAINT SELBY is the best bet in this race. Will most likely go to the lead and should never look back. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the most competitive class figures of this field. His chances to score are much better this time out facing this softer field. ROUGH DRAFT - Recorded a sound speed rating in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. This pony has a terrific win percentage in turf sprints.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-21-2023, 07:42 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

MNR - Race #6 - Post: 9:05pm - Starter Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,200 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#6 THE COOKIE MAN (ML=2/1)
#3 CON ON THE RUN (ML=7/2)

THE COOKIE MAN - Gelding got a healthy fig last time he tried this trip. That number would be good enough to win today. Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter trip should help. Last two speed ratings (93, 90) were dominant. Anything close to that today and this one may be the winner. A repeat of that last race on May 8th where he registered a speed fig of 90 looks lofty enough to prove victorious in this race. CON ON THE RUN - I have to believe that today's shorter trip should help this gelding. Gelding shipped to this track and won; now goes for back-to-back wins. Ranked number 1 in earnings per start. Another sign that this horse has the class to win. This gelding is in good form. Ran first on April 30th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 AWESOME MINER (ML=5/2), #2 FREE SPEECH (ML=3/1),

AWESOME MINER - Doubtful for this entrant to do much running with no success lately in a sprint race. FREE SPEECH - He's almost certainly going to get baked on the top end. Not probable that the speed figure he earned on May 1st will be enough in this race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - THE COOKIE MAN - I'm betting on this one today. An easier spot is going to make a big difference. Will be tough today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 THE COOKIE MAN on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip