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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Hawthorne - Race #1

#9 Beeasy	Little worried about the potential race shape with two or three forward players lined up closer to the fence, but he'll try two turns for the first time with a set of running lines that at least make him interesting with these. Turf is the other question, so demand a fair price.
#10 Command Central	He has a one-paced kind of style that might work well here to get a jump on the deeper finishers, and he probably has some room to bounce back after a dull try by his standards.
#3 Forward Curve	He might be the most likely of the forward players to settle and punch home, but I wouldn't want to be here at too short a price in case he gets caught up in some early splits with the other pace.
Race Summary	Beeasy is a decent fit at this level on class and should be able to get himself in the mix early while stretching out on the lawn for the first time. Not out of the question, especially if he can relax just a touch while going long.

Hawthorne - Race #5

#2 April's Gem	She has some room to improve off a couple dull runs, as her back turf form looks compelling enough with this group if she's able to find something like she showed here last fall. Price might be fair enough.
#4 Shez Reckless	She has dangerous pace and has been a pretty reliable player while racing in decent company, and it wouldn't be any surprise to see her handle this kind of short turf trip while trying it for the first time.
#10 Rare Action Attack	She showed nothing in the comeback run, but she owns a handful of pretty sharp finishing efforts in the past at this kind of trip on the turf, so I'd want her on the tickets at what might be a mid-range offering.
Race Summary	April's Gem has typically managed to find a bit more finishing punch when racing on the turf, so there is hope that her form can come around while getting in with straight claiming company on the surface switch.

Hawthorne - Race #7

#3 Lykan	He had some stops and starts last year while trying some tougher groups, and he's back as a gelding after some time off this spring. There are a lot of really tough stakes runners scattered around his company lines from last year, so I'm really excited to see what he can do off the bench.
#8 Omaha Red	He's an honest type, but he just wasn't quite able to hang with the winner's sharp pace in that last run. He is another who has faced some pretty solid customers in some of his recent races, and maybe the price gets a bit better today.
#1 Try Try Again	I'm not sure his ceiling his high enough to win this even with his best, otherwise he'd probably be on top after getting a lot of consideration there for me -- he might wind up getting a shockingly cozy trip from the inside with running lines that suggest he won't get caught in the pace while getting a major jump on the closers. Hoping he just stays tucked in and grinds out a share.
Race Summary	Lykan would benefit if all the potential pace hooked up early on, and I think he is worth a look while racing fresh off dull form. A new gelding in an easier spot with a potentially flattering race flow? I'll try.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Delaware Park - Race #2

#7 BET ON DRAMA (3-1)	Hit board 13 times in 22 starts, one more chance to get a victory.
#1 LET’S MAKE A ZEEN (6-	Troubled second two starts back with Lasix, drops, sheds 5 pounds.
#5 DATS A SUPERSTAR (2-1)	Well-traveled 4-year-old enters top barn with these types.
Race Summary	BET ON DRAMA, the beaten favorite in four of her last six sprints at Parx, raced up close and landed minor awards each time. She can use her speed well on the cutback to 5-1/2F and can end a long winless drought in this field. Bet to win and place.

Delaware Park - Race #3

#4 SHAOLIN (7-2)	Front-end win and a third at this level with blinkers on, turf the question.
#3 GLOSSAMER (6-1)	Solid numbers, solid record on the lawn, solid price in seasonal debut.
#5 MOSALAH (5-2)	Won for twice this much on Delaware grass in the fall.
Race Summary	SHAOLIN is a good fit at this level and can maximize her speed if she handles the switch back to turf. Her dam was a Maiden Special Weight winner on the Woodbine lawn. Bet to win and place.

Delaware Park - Race #5

#8 BOWIE TWO STEP (8-1)	Price shot on class drop for new connections, tries to recapture 2022 form.
#4 AMERICAN UNITY (3-2)	Five-race winner against nw/3 types takes plunge off pair of dull efforts.
#5 YOUNG TURK (3-1)	Finished in the money in four of last five starts at Laurel, the latest as fave.
Race Summary	BOWIE TWO STEP, a $60,000 earner last year, could re-awaken in this barn off a two-month freshening a bullet workout in between. He draws outside with plenty of speed to his inside to track. Bet to win and place.

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Jon White: National Treasure Wins Preakness, Baffert Gets Record

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May 25, 2023 | By Jon White
Down, up, down, up.

Yes, that was quite an emotional roller coaster ride trainer Bob Baffert went on last Friday and Saturday at Baltimore’s Pimlico’s Race Course.

DOWN: The ups and downs for Baffert began last Friday (May 19). He sent out undefeated Faiza, the 3-5 favorite in the Grade II Black-Eyed Susan Stakes. But the 3-year-old filly’s bubble of invincibility was burst when she finished third to Taxed and Hoosier Philly.

It was Faiza’s first defeat in six career starts.

“We were disappointed with that,” Baffert said.

UP: In Saturday’s fourth race, the Sir Barton Stakes for 3-year-olds, Baffert-trained Arabian Lion ended a four-race losing streak with a four-length victory in front-running fashion.

Arabian Lion completed his 1 1/16-mile journey in an excellent 1:41.13. He was so impressive that Baffert’s immediate response was to say: “I should have run him in the Preakness!”

It turned out that Arabian Lion’s 103 Beyer Speed Figure did exceed the Preakness winner’s 98.

Arabian Lion went into the Sir Barton off a second to First Mission in Keeneland’s Grade III Lexington Stakes on April 15. First Mission won the Lexington by a half-length and had been entered in the Preakness. But it was announced the day before the Preakness that First Mission would be scratched due to a left hind ankle issue.

After the Sir Barton, a race named in honor of the first Triple Crown winner in 1919, Baffert said he was surprised that Arabian Lion had lost the Lexington.

“I didn’t think he could lose in the Lexington,” Baffert said. “I was just, ‘How did he get beat?’ I think that race sort of helped him, and I wanted to give him one more try around two turns. He’s such a beautiful horse. He is like a smaller version of Justify.”

Baffert won the 2018 Triple Crown with Justify, who joined Seattle Slew as the only two to sweep the coveted series while undefeated.

Arabian Lion, a $600,000 auction purchase, “is just starting to wake up,” Baffert said following the Sir Barton.

“When he came back [to the winner’s circle after the Sir Barton], he was not blowing hard,” Baffert continued. “He did it the right way and the time was really impressive…What I saw today I thought I was going to see in the Lexington. If he had won the Lexington, he would have definitely been in the Preakness.”

DOWN: Havnameltdown, a 3-year-old multiple graded stakes-winning sprinter for Baffert, was backed down to 4-5 favoritism in the sixth race, the Grade III Chick Lang Stakes, a six-furlong contest for 3-year-olds.

Havnameltdown was making his first start since a narrow defeat in the Group III, $1.5 million Saudi Derby on Feb. 25.

Ryvit won the Chick Lang. It was his fourth victory in a row.

As for Havnameltdown, he “sustained a catastrophic injury unseating his rider leaving the three-eighths pole and was euthanized on the track,” according to the Equibase race chart.

Havnameltdown reportedly sustained a severe left fore fetlock injury.

The rider unseated from Havnameltdown was Luis Saez. Fortunately, Saez was able to ride the following day at Churchill Downs. Though he did not win any of the five races he rode in Sunday, Saez finished second in four of them.

UP: Returning to the Triple Crown series for the first time in two years, Baffert won the 13th race on the Pimlico card, the 148th running of the $1.65 million Preakness Stakes, with National Treasure.

National Treasure set a soft pace --as many had expected -- and narrowly prevailed by a head while edging runner-up Blazing Sevens. Mage finished third as the favorite, beaten by 2 1/4 lengths after having taken the Kentucky Derby by one length two weeks earlier.

After National Treasure raced sans blinkers in his first two 2023 starts, he had blinkers back on in the Preakness. He wore blinkers twice in 2022, his maiden win at first asking and his third in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.

In the Preakness, National Treasure rolled along on the early lead by one to 1 1/2 lengths under a snug rating hold while posting preliminary fractions of :23.95, :48.92 and 1:13.49. By contrast, the early splits in the Kentucky Derby were :22.35, :45.73 and 1:10.11.

Coffeewithchris raced closest to early pace in the Preakness. But he faltered badly after six furlongs and wound up last in the field of seven. Coffeewithchris was nearly 20 lengths behind National Treasure at the finish.

Blazing Sevens, never far back, advanced to get within a head of the leader, National Treasure, turning for home. The pair proceeded to slug it out all the way to the finish. It appeared that Blazing Sevens poked his head in front approaching the sixteenth pole, but National Treasure resolutely kept to his task and ultimately prevailed by a head.

John Velazquez rode National Treasure, the 5-2 second choice in the wagering. Four-time Eclipse Award winner Irad Ortiz Jr. piloted Blazing Sevens, who was sent off at 9-2.

It looked like National Treasure and Blazing Sevens bumped three times in the frenetic final furlong. However, there was no stewards’ inquiry or jockey’s objection.

“When that horse [Blazing Sevens] came to him, he just gutted it out,” Baffert said of National Treasure, a Kentucky-bred Quality Road colt.

After the race, Baffert fought back tears on national television when obviously still overcome with grief from what had happened earlier in the day with Havnameltdown.

Pace makes the race is one of the oldest expressions in horse racing. Velazquez being allowed to control the pace so comfortably was no doubt a key to National Treasure’s Preakness triumph.

What Velazquez did on National Treasure brought to mind his front-running 2020 victories aboard the Baffert-trained Authentic in the Kentucky Derby and then the BC Classic.

“It does not take an Einstein to see what might well happen in the BC Classic once Authentic was allowed to bowl along comfortably on the front end, furlong after furlong,” I wrote in my 2020 BC Classic recap for Xpressbet.com. “In his seven 2020 starts, he won every time he led at the first call and lost both times he didn’t.

“Authentic won the BC Classic, America’s richest race with a purse of $6 million, by a clear-cut 2 1/4 lengths. He was sent away at 4-1.

“It seemed that on the two occasions in which it really mattered, Authentic found a way to get the job done. When the 3-year-old male title quite possibly was on the line in the Run for the Roses, Authentic came through. Similarly, when the Horse of the Year crown quite possibly was on the line in the BC Classic, Authentic again came through.”

Authentic was indeed voted 2020 Eclipse Awards as champion 3-year-old male and, more importantly, Horse of the Year.

The next morning after National Treasure’s Preakness victory, a subdued Baffert met with the media.

“I’m still upset about losing that horse yesterday,” Baffert said. “My memory of [the Preakness] is going to be about him. It just took all the fun out of it.”

BAFFERT MAKES PREAKNESS HISTORY

National Treasure provided 70-year-old Baffert with a record eighth Preakness victory. He now stands alone as the trainer with the most wins in this prestigious event, breaking a tie with R. Wyndham Walden.

Baffert’s eight Preakness winners have been Silver Charm (1997), Real Quiet (1998), Point Given (2001), War Emblem (2002), Lookin At Lucky (2010), American Pharoah (2015), Justify (2018) and National Treasure (2023).

Walden saddled seven Preakness winners from 1875 to 1888.

BAFFERT ALSO HAS MOST WINS IN TRIPLE CROWN RACES

Thanks to National Treasure, Baffert increased his record number of victories in Triple Crown races to 17.

The trainers with seven or more wins in a Triple Crown race are listed below:

Total (Ky. Derby, Preakness, Belmont wins) Trainer

17 (7-7-3) Bob Baffert
14 (4-6-4) D. Wayne Lukas
13 (3-4-6) “Sunny Jim” Fitzsimmons
11 (2-1-8) James Rowe
11 (0-7-4) R. Wyndam Walden
9 (3-2-4) Max Hirsch
9 (6-2-1) “Plain Ben” Jones
8 (2-1-5) Woody Stephens
7 (0-0-7) Sam Hildreth
7 (2-4-1) Jimmy Jones

It’s interesting to me that the two trainers with the most wins in Triple Crown races, Baffert and Lukas, started out as Quarter Horse trainers.

JOHNNY V FINALLY WINS PREAKNESS

Hall of Famer Javier Castellano, 45, got the Kentucky Derby monkey off his back when he won this year’s renewal on Mage. Castellano had been 0 for 15 in the Run for the Roses.

Similarly, Hall of Famer Velazquez, 51, got the Preakness monkey off his back when he won the race this year after having been 0 for 12.

It would seem to be a good idea to pay attention to any jockey in the June 10 Belmont Stakes who will be trying to end some sort for 0-for-something situation.

WHY DID MAGE LOSE?

As I wrote last week for Xpressbet.com, I not only picked Mage to win the Preakness, I was enthusiastically on his bandwagon. I did back up my opinion by making a substantial win wager on him.

Offering odds of 2-1 for much of the afternoon, Mage left the starting gate as a 7-5 favorite, which I thought was a very fair price. He originally was 8-5 on Keith Feustle’s morning line, with First Mission pegged as the second choice at 5-2.

With First Mission out of the race, I expected Mage to be a lot shorter price than the 7-5 he ended up being.

Mage had been breaking slowly in his races, but not this time. He departed the starting gate beautifully. Unlike the Kentucky Derby, in which Mage was as far back as some 13 lengths early, he was three to 3 1/2 lengths off the pace in the early part of the Preakness.

Nearing the top of the stretch, Mage moved into third and loomed menacingly. When Mage was only two lengths off the lead at the head of the stretch, I was licking my chops. I fully expected to see a powerful stretch kick from Mage that would carry him to a Preakness victory.

But unlike the Kentucky Derby, there would be no late kick from Mage this time. He drifted inward approaching the eighth pole, which seemed to temporarily stall his momentum, suggesting that he’s still a bit green in this, his fifth career start.

Instead of having any late punch, Mage flattened out in the last furlong. He was two lengths behind with a furlong to go, then 2 1/4 lengths behind at the finish. That’s a classic case of flattening out late.

One of the reasons I loved Mage in the Preakness is I felt that he had some margin for error from his Kentucky Derby performance. I thought he could regress off his 105 Beyer Speed Figure in the Derby and still maybe win the Preakness with something like a 100, 101 or 102.

Well, Mage did indeed regress in the Preakness. The problem for me and my wager on him is he regressed too much, down to a 94, a substantial drop of 11 Beyer points from the Kentucky Derby.

Did Mage get beat in the Preakness because of the slower pace? Was it because he was returning in two weeks? Was it a combination of both?

Like practically everyone, I recognized that the Preakness pace almost certainly was going to be slower, maybe even much slower, than in the Kentucky Derby. I wrote the following in my Preakness analysis for Xpressbet.com last week: “With just four races under Mage’s belt, he’s still something of a work in progress. But I’m thinking he just might be the type who might be able to adapt to various pace scenarios. In other words, it won’t surprise me if it turns out that Mage is versatile enough to win whether a pace is fast, moderate or slow.”

The Preakness pace did turn out to be slow. Did Mage win anyway? No.

Mage is good. Evidently, he’s just not as good as I thought he might be.

Gustavo Delgado trains Mage. After the Preakness, trainer Gustavo Delgado Jr. said that he felt that the slow pace had compromised Mage’s chances.

“The pace was hard to [overcome],” Delgado Jr. said. “Don’t take anything away from the winner. They beat us. That’s it. [Mage] ran a good race to be third. If you take him farther back [off a slow pace], maybe he doesn’t respond. No [early] speed in the race. The horses in front were going easily. Those horses, you don’t beat them [with that pace]. They always fight. They fight when they go fast. Imagine when they go so slow. They re-break.”

NO TRIPLE CROWN ATTEMPT

Mage’s defeat in the Preakness means there will be no Triple Crown winner this year. He will not be going on to the Belmont Stakes. The word from the Mage camp is the next major goal for him is Saratoga’s Grade I Travers Stakes on Aug. 26.

There was a 25-year Triple Crown drought from Citation in 1948 to Secretariat in 1973. There was an even longer 37-year Triple Crown drought from Affirmed in 1978 to American Pharoah in 2015.

The current Triple Crown dry spell now is up to five years since Justify achieved the difficult feat in 2018.

Going back to when Justify swept the series, this year’s Preakness was the 15th consecutive Triple Crown race won by a different horse.

BloodHorse’s Bob Ehalt reported Wednesday (May 24) that National Treasure is headed to the 1 1/2-mile Belmont Stakes in an attempt to win two of the Triple Crown jewels.

“The connections of Preakness winner National Treasure say the son of Quality Road will be sent to New York May 24 by Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert for a start in the June 10 Belmont Stakes at Belmont Park,” Ehalt wrote.

“The plan is to ship to New York and we’ll take it day by day from there,” said SF Racing’s Tom Ryan, managing partner of the 3-year-old colt’s ownership group. “He bounced out of the Preakness in great shape and seems to have a lot of energy and appetite, all those good signs. I think he gave us every reason to believe he’s fit enough to handle the mile and a half. We’re looking forward to it.”

VERY ODD PREAKNESS ODDS

The betting in this year’s Preakness was bizarre in that not one of the seven starters was sent off at odds higher than 10-1.

Chase the Chaos, who finished fifth, and Coffewithchris, who as mentioned earlier came in seventh, both started at 10-1. Chase the Chaos was 50-1 and Coffeewithcris was 20-1 on the original morning line.

The ridiculously low 10-1 prices on Chase the Chaos and Coffeewithchris contributed to me getting 7-5 instead of lower odds on Mage. But getting what I thought was a good price on Mage proved meaningless when he lost, though his price being as high as it was at least did keep me from betting even more on him than I did.

NATIONAL TREASURE’S TIME VERSUS SECRETARIAT’S

National Treasure’s final time for 1 3/16 miles was 1:55.12 or 1:55 in fifths.

Pimlico’s track record of 1:52 2/5 for 1 3/16 miles was set by Farma Way in the 1991 Pimlico Special.

The Preakness record of 1:53 is held by 1973 winner Secretariat. This means that the great Secretariat would have defeated National Treasure by about 10 lengths.

WINNER’S BEYER SPEED FIGURE

“Another reason that I’m so bullish on Mage winning the Preakness is it’s my opinion that the Kentucky Derby field was tougher than this one,” I wrote last week,” I wrote last week.

In my opinion, without Kentucky Derby runner-up Two Phil’s or Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male Forte in the Preakness, it made the Preakness all the more winnable for Mage.


Of the 18 starters in the Kentucky Derby, Mage was the only one to run in the Preakness. This was the first time only one Kentucky Derby starter returned in the Preakness since Citation was on his way to a Triple Crown sweep in 1948.

I believe that my supposition that the Kentucky Derby field was stronger than the Preakness lineup has been proven correct by the fact that National Treasure was credited with only a 98 Beyer Speed Figure for his Preakness victory.

Going all the way back to 1991, just one Preakness winner has had a lower Beyer than National Treasure. That was Justify, who recorded a 97 in 2018.

Below are Beyer Speed Figures for Preakness winners going back to 1991 (the first year they were listed in the American Racing Manual):

2023 National Treasure (98)
2022 Early Voting (105)
2021 Rombauer (102)
2020 Swiss Skydiver (105)
2019 War of Will (99)
2018 Justify (97)
2017 Cloud Computing (102)
2016 Exaggerator (101)
2015 American Pharoah (102)
2014 California Chrome (105)
2013 Oxbow (106)
2012 I’ll Have Another (109)
2011 Shackleford (104)
2010 Lookin At Lucky (102)
2009 Rachel Alexandra (108)
2008 Big Brown (100)
2007 Curlin (111)
2006 Bernardini (113)
2005 Afleet Alex (112)
2004 Smarty Jones (118)
2003 Funny Cide (114)
2002 War Emblem (109)
2001 Point Given (111)
2000 Red Bullet (109)
1999 Charismatic (107)
1998 Real Quiet (111)
1997 Silver Charm (118)
1996 Louis Quatorze (112)
1995 Timber Country (106)
1994 Tabasco Cat (112)
1993 Prairie Bayou (98)
1992 Pine Bluff (104)
1991 Hansel (117)

FORTE FLATTERED BY MAGE, NATIONAL TREASURE

Forte was the 3-1 morning-line favorite in the Kentucky Derby. However, he was not permitted to run after being scratched the morning of race day “by the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission state veterinarian,” according to a Churchill Downs press release. Forte was battling a bruised right front foot.

Consequently, Forte was placed on the 14-day vet’s list, precluding him from running in the Preakness, even if his connections had wanted him to do so.

I was willing to take a stand against Forte in the Kentucky Derby, mainly because of his declining Beyer Speed Figure pattern. After Forte’s 100 Beyer when he won the BC Juvenile, he registered a 98 Beyer in the Fountain of Youth, then slid further down to a 95 Beyer in the Florida Derby.

But I think Forte has been flattered by what happened in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness. Forte defeated the Kentucky Derby winner twice this year in Florida. Forte beat the Preakness winner in the BC Juvenile late last year.

Mage won the Kentucky Derby after finishing fourth in the Grade II Fountain of Youth Stakes and second in the Grade I Florida Derby. Forte won both races.

Preakness victor National Treasure ran third to Forte and Cave Rock in the BC Juvenile last Nov. 4.

SANTA ANITA DERBY’S IMAGE RECEIVES BOOST

Japanese-based Mandarin Hero finished a close second in the Grade I Santa Anita Derby, losing by a scant nose to Practical Move. When Mandarin Hero then ran 12th in the Kentucky Derby, some felt that suggested that perhaps this year’s Santa Anita Derby was not all that strong.

But before you write off the Santa Anita Derby as being insignificant, keep in mind National Treasure could finish no better than fourth in that race (behind Practical Move, Mandarin Hero and Skinner), then won the Preakness in his next start.

An elevated temperature caused both Practical Move and Skinner to be scratched from the Kentucky Derby after outrunning National Treasure in the Santa Anita Derby.

Through May 23, the only two Santa Anita Derby starters to have run back other than Mandarin Hero both won next time out. Besides National Treasure, One in Vermillion finished fifth in the Santa Anita Derby, then won Santa Anita’s Lazaro Barrera Stakes by 5 1/4 lengths on May 6.

RECENT SUCCESS FOR “NEW SHOOTERS” CONTINUES

Mage was the lone Kentucky Derby starter to run in this year’s Preakness. This meant that all six of his opponents were a so-called “new shooter (i.e., a horse who did not run in the Kentucky Derby).

From 2000 through 2016, just three new shooters won the Preakness: Red Bullet in 2000, Bernardini in 2006 and Rachel Alexandra in 2009.

But new shooters have been doing quite well as of late. There now have been four recent Preakness winners who did not run in the Kentucky Derby: Cloud Computing in 2017, Rombauer in 2021, Early Voting in 2022 and National Treasure in 2023.

BROWN NEARLY WINS ANOTHER PREAKNESS

The splendid try by Blazing Sevens in a narrow loss meant that Chad Brown came close to winning his third Preakness in seven years.

Brown won the Preakness in 2017 with Cloud Computing and in 2022 with Early Voting. Both horses had skipped the Kentucky Derby. Blazing Sevens likewise did not run in the Derby.

On the one hand, it’s clear that whenever Brown brings a fresh horse to the Preakness, that particular horse should be taken very seriously.

On the other hand, the Preakness extended Blazing Sevens’ losing streak to four since he splashed home a 3 1/2-length winner in the Grade I Champagne Stakes on a sloppy track last Oct. 1.

TOP 10 IN THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 312 Cody’s Wish (17)
2. 276 Elite Power (14)
3. 227 Proxy (2)
4. 170 Clairiere
5. 165 Art Collector
6. 156 Smile Happy (1)
7. 84 Stilleto Boy
8. 68 Defunded
9. 65 In Italian
10. 56 Caravel

TOP 10 IN THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THREE-YEAR-OLD POLL

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 296 Mage (11)
2. 294 Forte (16)
3. 269 National Treasure (5)
4. 253 Two Phil’s (1)
5. 203 Angel of Empire
6. 147 Blazing Sevens
7. 108 Practical Move (1)
8. 107 Tapit Trice
9. 48 Arabian Lion (1)
10. 43 Disarm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Tip sheet - May 25

May. 24, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	Bon Bueno	J Loveberry
PLACE	7-2	5	Regimental	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	5-1	6	Cronus	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Reprehend	E Morales
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Divining Stone	L Saez
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	4	River in Egypt	Y Navas
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #2 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:29 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	3	Beaudacious Colton	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	6	Fifth Avenue	L Saez
SHOW	4-1	1	Go Otto Go	F Geroux
WILD CARD	4-1	9	Liberal Arts	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	8	Bernin Hot	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Suga Steve	E Morales
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX
RACE #3 $30,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:58 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	2	Luna Moth	L Machado
PLACE	5-1	4	Byzantine	Y Navas
SHOW	5-2	6	East Shore	M Garcia
WILD CARD	7-2	3	Windy Bay	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	5	Indy Again	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	1	Prana	C J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:27 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SHAZIER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Shazier	Y Navas
PLACE	4-1	7	Paid in Full	M Michel
SHOW	5-2	3	Writeitontheice	J McKee
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Sprinklehead	E Morales
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	8	Ronithelimodriver	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	Out of Alcatraz	I Castillo
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #5 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:56 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 WHISPER NOT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	1	Whisper Not	L Saez
PLACE	6-1	8	Market Analysis	J Loveberry
SHOW	8-1	2	Mr. Thunderstruck	M Garcia
WILD CARD	2-1	3	Easy Time	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	7	Gallant Guy	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Flags Up	C J Lanerie
* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
RACE #6 $25,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	2	Tetsu	J R Leparoux
PLACE	5-1	10	Hooperdrivesthboat	J Loveberry
SHOW	8-1	7	Brawndo	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	4-1	8	Doubly Blessed	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Cant Hush This	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	9	Upstriker	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 2-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/10 BOX, 7/8/10 BOX
RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:54 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 CANCEL THIS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Cancel This	M Garcia
PLACE	7-2	7	Dawny	G Saez
SHOW	3-1	2	Beauxs Artes	L Saez
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Non Violence	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	Three Tipsy Chix	E Morales
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Fine Cotton	J Loveberry
* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
RACE #8 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:23 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	9	Creative Minister	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	3-1	10	Gilded Age	M Garcia
SHOW	15-1	1	Icarus	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Trident Hit	J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	War Campaign	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Trafalgar	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/9/10 BOX, 1/5/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - May 25

May. 24, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 SHANGHAI EXPRESS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	7	Shanghai Express	S E Bermudez
PLACE	9-2	1	Lucky Linda W	R A Prescott
SHOW	4-1	6	Lilmiss Sassypants	H Leahey
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Bicarb Betty	M Anderson
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	5	Mean Elenita	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Berea	F De La Cruz
* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #2 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:41 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 TIMELY PROSPECT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Timely Prospect	F De La Cruz
PLACE	7-2	7	Woodythebidspotter	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	12-1	2	Favorable Return	M Anderson
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Hilton Head	J E Lopez
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	8	Action Seeker	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	B Adman	J D Ramos
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Southern Sunset	J Talamo
PLACE	5-1	4	Ice Time	D L Parker
SHOW	10-1	6	The Motto	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Auto Glide	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	7	Oro	S Sanjur
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	1	Tabeguache	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #4 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	5	Two Rivers Over	D L Parker
PLACE	9-2	8	Orbi One	M Anderson
SHOW	5-2	3	Manciata dOro	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Royal Decadence	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Pure Cane Sugar	A P Ulloa
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Smart Uncle	D Cannon
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
RACE #5 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	7	Anjaway	M Franklin
PLACE	7-5	3	Cierra Empire	D L Parker
SHOW	5-1	1	Mygaljustice	J Morales
WILD CARD	10-1	5	Sheza Nut	H Leahey
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Saharan Fleece	E E Perez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Julee Forever	S E Bermudez
* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #6 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 MAMBA FOREVER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	8	Mamba Forever	E Esquivel
PLACE	9-2	5	Versatile	J D Ramos
SHOW	8-1	11	Dom Gervasio	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Blue Teardrops	M Pedroza Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Stealth Mission	M Franklin
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	10	Civilrightslegend	D C Lopez
* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/11 BOX, 5/7/11 BOX
RACE #7 $40,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	8	Spoke	S E Bermudez
PLACE	10-1	3	Friday Night Right	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	15-1	5	Taillights	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	3-1	4	Follow the Money	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Gimmefuelgimmefire	M Franklin
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	2	Victors Deal	A Burgos
* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
RACE #8 $25,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	9	Polka Polenta	E E Perez
PLACE	5-2	2	Firewater Jake	R A Prescott
SHOW	9-2	10	Major Sparks	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	12-1	6	Solitaire Game	H Leahey
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Evil Eye	S E Bermudez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	English Tide	F Peterson
* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/9/10 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX
RACE #9 $17,000 MAIDEN 350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	11	Wheres Wilson	G Vazquez-Gomez
PLACE	5-2	10	Philosophos	C G Esqueda
SHOW	3-1	5	I Beacha	F Morin
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Wrs Painted Moon	J D Marquez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	Impossible to Ignore	R D Pina
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Braveaux	G Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 11-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/10/11 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pimlico Tip Sheet - May 25

May. 24, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $36,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	9	Fashionista	H Karamanos
PLACE	5-2	16	Cush Effect	C Marquez
SHOW	5-1	3	Quit Quay	A Cruz
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Mashua	C E Lopez
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	5	Golden Charm	Y O Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	6	Clouds of White	V R Carrasco
* EXACTA: 9-16 BOX, 16-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/9/16 BOX, 3/8/16 BOX
RACE #2 $54,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:58 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 ST. JUDE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	9	St. Jude	P Lopez
PLACE	10-1	1	Askin for a Baskin	T Lyapustina
SHOW	15-1	3	Remembering Wilbur	L R Rivera Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	2	Brilliant Ice	W Humphrey
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Magic Mule	A Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Manolito	A Concepcion
* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #3 $20,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:31 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 HELLMAN
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Hellman	S Russell
PLACE	4-1	8	Calloway Peak	V R Carrasco
SHOW	7-2	9	Stimulus Maker	W Humphrey
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Seville Row	F Boyce
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Super E	A Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	Southpaw Mike	J Toledo
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX
RACE #4 $52,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Buckin Great	A Cruz
PLACE	7-2	6	Kellan	S Russell
SHOW	9-2	8	Tina Tina Tina	J Toledo
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Just the Thing	J G Briceno
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	3	Robbery	W Humphrey
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Kristinachrysalis	C Carrasco
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
RACE #5 $62,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:37 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 UNCLE ERNIE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	5	Uncle Ernie	P Lopez
PLACE	15-1	2	Chateau	S Russell
SHOW	10-1	3	All Threes	V R Carrasco
WILD CARD	8-1	9	Indian Lake	A Concepcion
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	7	Witty	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	John the Bear	Y O Ortiz
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/9 BOX
RACE #6 $36,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:11 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	9	S S Sinatra	A Cruz
PLACE	7-2	7	Super Accelerate	H Karamanos
SHOW	8-1	5	OConner Sunset	W Ho
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Runaholic	T Conner
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Disputed Claim	A Concepcion
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	10	Pay Zone	F Lynch
* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
RACE #7 $58,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:42 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	9	Zyramid	V R Carrasco
PLACE	5-2	7	Doctor Jeff	S Russell
SHOW	6-1	5	Alogon	J Toledo
WILD CARD	5-1	3	Momos	F Lynch
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	4	Power Back	R Monterrey
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Cynergys Star	C Marquez
* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
RACE #8 $8,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:13 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	4	Mr. Cellular	L R Rivera Jr.
PLACE	12-1	8	Thruster	A Cruz
SHOW	5-1	7	Jones Falls	F Boyce
WILD CARD	6-1	5	The Thinker	B L Butterfly
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Mercury Ten	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Don Bernardo	A Concepcion
* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 25

May. 24, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (5) Regimental returns to dirt and should have a class edge. (1) Divining Stone could be a factor despite the layoff. (2) Bon Bueno drops a notch and should be a main threat. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5. Doubles: 1-2-5 with 1-3-6-9.
2nd race – (1) Go Otto Go debuts for Asmussen and put in a bullet gate work. (9) Liberal Arts should be a factor in his debut. (3) Beaudacious Colton rallied for third and may welcome the added distance. (6) Fifth Avenue is another firster who seems to have some talent. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6. Exactas: 1-6 over 2-4 and 2-4 over 1-6.
5th race – (1) Whisper Now (B) had some trouble and rallied for third. Merits a second chance here. (2) Mr. Thunderstruck missed by a nose on a wet track and should be helped by a dry track. (8) Market Analysis is worth a look off the Sharp claim. (3) Easy Time will be a stretch threat here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-8.
7th race – (7) Dawny has never been worse than second in four career starts and deserves top billing. (3) Cancel This makes her 2023 debut and will be a force if there’s no rust from the break. (2) Beauxs Artes could be tough to catch in this spot. (1) Non Violence should work out a good trip from the rail. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7. Exactas: 3-7 over 1-2 and 1-2 over 3-7. Doubles: 1-2-3-7 with 2-7-9-10.
8th race – (9) Creative Minister took a nice step forward and seems to be rounding into form for a big effort. (7) Commandperformance is worth a look in his debut for Sharp. (10) Gilded Age drew a tough post but fits in well here. (2) Cooke Creek should be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-7-9-10.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(1)	Whisper Not	B, 5/5	5 CD	Was a troubled third

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

PURCHASE

Remington Park - Race 5	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 64 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 7:48P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MR JESS JONES: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PAINT MY JESSIE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MP FAST PILOT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. COLD AS YOU: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8	MR JESS JONES	15/1	4/1
7	PAINT MY JESSIE	4/1	7/1
10	MP FAST PILOT	3/1	8/1
1	KOOL SUSIE	12/1	9/1
4	COLD AS YOU	9/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	KOOL SUSIE	1	12/1	Average	65	63	4.0	0.0	0.0
2	DOCRUDTUZ 21	2	15/1	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	BLUE TWO	3	8/1	Average	67	57	4.7	0.0	0.0
4	COLD AS YOU	4	9/2	Average	65	60	5.5	0.0	0.0
5	PAINTED MY LADY	5	5/1	Fast	0	0	2.2	0.0	0.0
6	LOUISIANASLUCKYCHARM	6	20/1	Slow	0	0	9.1	0.0	0.0
7	PAINT MY JESSIE	7	4/1	Fast	70	59	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	MR JESS JONES	8	15/1	Slow	75	70	7.3	0.0	0.0
9	ONE FAMOUS MOLLY	9	10/1	Average	55	50	0.0	0.0	0.0
10	MP FAST PILOT	10	3/1	Average	65	63	5.7	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline DownsPURCHASE

Evangeline Downs - Race 1	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 53 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 5:30P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FLASHY BOY GOES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EASY EDDIE A: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TRIPLE RED ACES: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. SACRED NATION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	FLASHY BOY GOES	8/1	3/1
3	EASY EDDIE A	4/1	4/1
2	TRIPLE RED ACES	3/1	6/1
6	SACRED NATION	9/2	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	FLASHY BOY GOES	5	8/1	Front-runner	52	45	62.0	37.0	31.0
2	TRIPLE RED ACES	2	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	0	0	62.7	31.9	24.4
6	SACRED NATION	6	9/2	Trailer	58	44	15.4	36.0	29.5
3	EASY EDDIE A	3	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	53	50	23.8	45.0	40.5
1	FREE FALLING NATE	1	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	0.0	26.5	21.5

Unknown Running Style: POWER MASTER (7/2) [Jockey: Nieves Emanuel - Trainer: Bourgeois Keith G].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Churchill Downs - Race #6 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $56,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating:

#2 TETSU (ML=5/1)
#8 DOUBLY BLESSED (ML=4/1)
#9 UPSTRIKER (ML=7/2)


TETSU - Rider jumped on this gelding's back for the 1st ride on May 4th. Should know the equine even better today. Have to like the way Manley has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a good effort on May 4th. DOUBLY BLESSED - This gelding's last speed fig earned on Apr 16th is at the top in last race speed figures. When this rider and conditioner combine forces you have to take a look. Lanerie and Vance have been great together. Ranked at the very top in earnings per start (EPS). Another indication that this horse outclasses this field. UPSTRIKER - Faced tougher last time around the track at Oaklawn Park. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT (ML=5/1), #6 KHOZAN'S SUCCESS (ML=6/1), #3 CAN'T HUSH THIS (ML=8/1),

HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT - All types of crazy early speed on board for this event. Little chance for this early speedster. The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced equine. KHOZAN'S SUCCESS - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from thoroughbreds in sprint races that haven't hit the board in sprint affairs lately. CAN'T HUSH THIS - A runner should have more early speed at 1 mile to get me riled up about his likelihood of winning at 7 furlongs.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 TETSU is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,8,9] with [2,8,9] with [2,6,7,8,9] with [2,6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	[2,8,9] with [2,8,9] with [2,6,8,9] with [2,3,6,7,8,9] with [2,3,6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Pimlico

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $58000 Class Rating: 96

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE SIRED OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 - $32,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 ALOGON 6/1
# 3 MOMOS 5/1
# 9 ZYRAMID 3/1

I've got to go with ALOGON. Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved quickly to the lead recently. With a decent 96 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this outing. Solid average Speed Figures in turf sprint races make this racer a definite contender. MOMOS - Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 91 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group of animals. Ran a solid last race. ZYRAMID - This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 3 for 4 in his races lately. Will probably go to the front end and should never look back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 51

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 HIAWAFFEE ROAD 2/1
# 3 ALANA MY LOVE 4/1
# 2 ANUALIZADA 7/2

HIAWAFFEE ROAD is the best bet in this race. Is a solid choice - given the 51 Equibase speed fig from her most recent race. She has very strong class ratings, averaging 56, and has to be given consideration in this competition. This mare with Diaz in the saddle makes her a solid choice. ALANA MY LOVE - She looks solid in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this one a key contender. ANUALIZADA - Will almost certainly compete very well in the early speed battle which bodes well with this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race #1 - Post: 2:30pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#11 T J MUNNINGS (ML=6/1)
#4 PINBALLER (ML=10/1)


T J MUNNINGS - I expect this horse to astonish some railbirds this time out. PINBALLER - Using this rider/handler combination is a good decision. Based on this gelding's recent efforts, he should benefit from today's shorter trip.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 FORWARD CURVE (ML=3/1), #7 GATE CREW (ML=7/2), #1 MEMPHIS PRAYER (ML=6/1),

FORWARD CURVE - Tough to bet on any thoroughbred in a short distance affair at 3/1 when he hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last couple of months. Can't play this favorite off the extended layoff. GATE CREW - The fifth place result in the last event was not the best. In any race of 7 1/2 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been on the board in short distance events lately. MEMPHIS PRAYER - 6/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any animal in a sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance clash lately. Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #11 T J MUNNINGS to win if we can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday’s 6-pack

— Phillies 6, Arizona 5 (10)— Arizona led 5-0 in sixth inning.
— Orioles 9, New York 6— Baltimore scored 8 runs in seventh inning
— Braves 4, Dodgers 3— LA had 12 hits, but was 1-10 with RISP.
— Reds 10, Cardinals 3— Steer went 4-5, with 2 RBI, 2 runs scored.
— White Sox 6, Cleveland 0— Kopech tossed seven shutout innings.
— Florida 4, Carolina 3— Panthers are in Stanley Cup Final for first time since 1996.

Quote of the Day
“I’ve always said I worry about legacy and winning rings more than making money at this moment. We see what’s going on around the league, but at the same time, I’ll never do anything that’s going to hurt us from keeping the great players around me. So it’s kind of teetering around that line.”
Patrick Mahomes

Thursday’s quiz
Which Arena Football team did Kurt Warner play for?

Wednesday’s quiz
St Louis Hawks drafted Hall of Fame center Bill Russell in 1956; they traded him to the Celtics for Cliff Hagan and Ed Macauley.

Tuesday’s quiz
Bob Uecker won a World Series ring as a backup catcher for the 1964 Cardinals.

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Thursday’s Den: Schedule notes for AFC teams…….

AFC East

Buffalo
— Visit New Jersey in Week 1 Monday nighter, Aaron Rodgers’ Jets’ debut.
— Play Jaguars in England in Week 5.
— High expectations; play only five games at 1:00 Sunday.
— Have only two home games in last seven weeks of season.

Miami
— Start season with road games at Chargers/Patriots; visit Buffalo in Week 4.
— Finish season with four home games in five weeks.
— New Year’s Eve in Baltimore could be a cold weather game.
— Play Chiefs in Germany in Week 9.

New England
— Open season with home games vs Eagles, Dolphins.
— Week 10, they play the Colts in Germany.
— Weeks 14-16, play three straight primetime games, two of them on road.
— Last seven games are all potentially cold weather games.

Jets
— Five primetime games, plus the Black Friday game vs Buffalo.
— Only six of their 16 listed games are 1:00 Sunday games.
— Two games with Miami aren’t until Weeks 12, 15.
— Finish regular season with road trips to Cleveland, Foxboro.

AFC North

Baltimore
— Play their three AFC North road games in Weeks 2-4-5.
— Weeks 11-16, play four primetime games, with their bye week mixed in. — Play 49ers in Santa Clara on Christmas night.
— Finish regular season with home games vs Dolphins, Steelers.

Cincinnati
— Open, close season with games against Cleveland.
— Have four primetime games; two at home, two on road.
— Host Buffalo in Week 9 Sunday night game.
— Visit Chiefs in Arrowhead on New Year’s Eve.

Cleveland
— Have four home games and a bye in first six weeks of season.
— Only two primetime games: Week 2 at Steelers, Week 17 vs Jets.
— Weeks 7-13, play five road games in seven-week span.
— Weeks 12-13, they have consecutive western trips, to Denver/LA Rams.

Pittsburgh
— Open season with home games vs 49ers, Browns.
— Have four primetime games, three of them at home.
— Bye week is in Week 6, fairly early.
— Finish season with road games at Seahawks, Ravens.

AFC South

Houston
— Low expectations; 15 of their 16 listed games are at 1pm Sunday.
— Games with the Colts are in Week 2, then in Week 18.
— Play consecutive road games only one time, Weeks 14-15.
— Bye week is in Week 7; when will rookie QB Stroud become a starter?

Indianapolis
— No primetime games for the Colts.
— 13 games at 1:00 Sunday; low expectations.
— They play New England in Germany in Week 10.
— Three of their last four games are at home.

Jacksonville
— Weeks 4-5, they play consecutive games in England, vs Falcons/Bills.
— Also have three primetime games, two of them at home.
— Only one of their last six games (Week 18 vs Titans) is a divisional game.
— Week 14 in Cleveland is likely a cold weather game.

Tennessee
— 14 games at 1:00 Sunday indicate low expectations.
— Play Ravens in England in Week 6.
— Two primetime games: at Steelers in Week 9, at Dolphins in Week 14.
— Five of their last seven games are in Nashville.

AFC West

Denver
— Sean Payton era opens with home games vs Raiders/Commanders.
— Start season vs Raiders; finish regular season in Las Vegas vs Raiders.
— Four primetime games, including visits to Kansas City, Buffalo.
— Weeks 13-15, three consecutive road games, all in domed stadiums.

Kansas City
— Super Bowl champs open at home on Thursday of Week 1 vs Lions.
— Have six primetime games, plus game in Germany vs Miami.
— Two games with Denver are close together, in Weeks 6-8.
— Week 13 in Green Bay, Week 15 in Foxboro figure to be cold weather games.

Las Vegas
— Open season with road games at Denver, Buffalo.
— Four of their primetime games are at home; go figure.
— Giants/Jets visit Las Vegas in consecutive weeks (Weeks 9-10)
— Eight of their last ten games are in domes.

LA Chargers
— Have six primetime games, four of them at home.
— Play consecutive road games only one time, Weeks 2-3 at Titans/Vikings.
— Two games against Denver are in Weeks 14, 17, both in December.
— Week 13 in Foxboro, Week 17 in Denver are potential cold weather games.