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Sunday 5/28/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
1* MLB - Reds/Cubs FREE Pick on Cubs -150 at circa
Sunday's Free MLB Pick is on the Chicago Cubs as a -150 home favorite against the Reds. This might seem like a big price to lay on Chicago after a couple of ugly losses in the first two games of this series. Reds won 9-0 on Friday and then 8-5 on Saturday. Cincinnati had ace Hunter Greene on the mound Friday and then had a big edge on Saturday with Williamson vs Taillon. That's not the case on Sunday. Graham Ashcraft has a 5.57 ERA and 1.481 WHIP in 10 starts. He's got a 9.76 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 0-4 with a 11.88 ERA and 2.101 WHIP in 4 career starts vs the Cubs. Chicago will have Drew Smyly on the mound. He's 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 10 starts. Bet the Cubs -150!
The Colorado Rockies have won four of their last six games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in all four wins. Lefty Austin Gomber is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in three previous starts against the Mets and beat them earlier this season as a +190 road underdog to Tylor Megill. He allowed 2 earned runs in 6 innings of that 5-2 victory, while Megill gave up 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 2/3 innings. Megill is 2-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in five road starts this season, giving up 14 earned runs and 6 HR in 22 2/3 innings. The Mets are hitting .214 and scoring 3.1 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. New York is 7-13 (-11.5 Units) against left-handed starters this season as a result. Give me the Rockies.
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Los Angeles Angels today as they try and take Game 3 to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Miami Marlins. Patrick Sandoval is 3-3 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 9 starts this year and has only yielded 3 HR in 49 1/3 innings. Eury Perez is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 3 starts for the Marlins and has already yielded 3 HR in 14 innings. The Marlins are 13-38 in their last 51 road games against a left-handed starter. The Angels are 16-6 in their last 22 home games against a right-handed starter. Take Los Angeles.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Boston Red Sox. They should be bigger favorites today given this motivation and their advantage on the mound.
The underrated Merrill Kelly goes for the Diamondbacks today to stop the bleeding. He is 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 10 starts this season, following up a 2022 in which he went 13-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 33 starts. He'll be opposed by Tanner Houck, who is 3-3 with a 4.99 ERA in nine starts this season.
The Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Boston is 17-39 in its last 56 games after scoring two runs or fewer in its previous game. The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Diamondbacks Sunday.
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