Sunday 6/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:42 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/11/23

June 11, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Seismic Spirit; 7-Doncic
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Seismic Spirit is one of a several that could win this starter allowance extended turf sprint over the flat course, and in a race that projects to have soft early fractions a forwardly placed trip is recommended. The Irish-bred gelding was given a bit too much to do when fourth beaten less than a length in a similar affair last month, but a repeat of his nice win two races back could be good enough. Doncic is winless in six starts on grass, though he has finished second three times, so we can’t say he doesn’t like it. The son of Cairo Prince earned a career top speed figure when narrowly missing over the local lawn two races back but then never really picked up is feet when a distant third at odds-on in an off-the-grass dash last time out. We’ll give him a chance to bounce back today. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Seismic Spirit.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Last Call London
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Last Call London displayed improvement in his second career start when finishing a distant but decent second in fast, highly rated juvenile dash won by the promising Refocus. This field doesn’t appear to contain anything even remotely as good as that colt, so we’re expecting the son of Stay Thirsty to earn his diploma, though at 4/5 on the morning line there’s no real value to be found. In a race that probably should otherwise be left alone, we’ll make him a logical but short priced rolling exotic single.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Casia; 6-Midnight Silence
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Casia was a voided claim when third in a bottom rung maiden $20,000 claiming sprint last month so she returns to the same barn, but this time stretches out to a mile. The Vladimir Cerin-trained filly surely will be the controlling speed if the connections employ that strategy, and after a solid five furlong drill in 1:00 1/5 (third fastest of 23) the daughter of Acclamation appears fit, healthy, and capable of wiring the field. Ramon Vasquez, one of the “go to” riders for the Vladimir Cerin stable, picks up the mount. Midnight Silence, second in her last pair and with clear edge in the speed figure department, is the likely choice and one to beat. She projects to inherit a comfortable pace stalking position and then have every chance from there. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the preference on top to the front running Casia.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:38 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Trumped; 7-Forgiving Spirit
Backups/Savers: 3-Goldensunrise

Forecast: Trumped lost a toughie in his turf debut when narrowly missing in a similar spot last month while earning a career top speed figure. First or second in five of six lifetime starts, the lightly raced son of Midshipman likely has further improvement in him, so let’s give him a slight edge on top while projecting the Vann Belvoir-trained gelding to be forwardly placed throughout. Forgiving Spirit has the route to sprint angle that we like and is a four time winner over the Santa Anita turf course. The Peter Miller-trained son of Shaman Ghost should settle in the second flight and then kick home when called upon. Goldensunrise is an intriguing Bay Area shipper fresh from a quick maiden win over the all-weather surface at Golden Gate Fields. These are considerably tougher, but the son of Goldecencents may shake loose early and take this group a long way. Toss him in as a backup.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:12 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Mr. Chivas
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Mr. Chivas was nosed out in a similar juvenile dash last month when winding up more than four lengths clear of the others. Unless there is a better than par newcomer in the field (doesn’t look like it), the son of Stay Thirsty looks set to graduate, but at a very short price. You can use him as a no-value rolling exotic single or simply pass the race.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:44 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): Escape Artist; 6-Ransomware
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Escape Artist is progressing nicely with experience, and after finishing a highly respectable third in the Singletary Stakes when beaten less than a length last month the son of Good Magic tackles easier foes in this entry level allowance grass miler. He’s capable of running well on the front or from a second flight, stalking position, so hot riding Kent Desormeaux can assess the early pace flow and then choose the proper strategy. Ransomware, a strong third in the Desert Code Stakes down the hill in his first outing since December, stretches out to his preferred distance and should be capable of settling into a second flight early position and then quickening when give his cue. The first time Lasix user retains regular pilot Ramon Vasquez and should be doing his best work close home. We’ll try to get by using just these two in our rolling exotics, with top preference to Escape Artist.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:14 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Essential Business; 3-Tenacious Lady
Backups/savers: 5-Fried Asparagus

Forecast: Essential Business shows up in a seller in her first outing since October and seems properly spotted in this abbreviated sprint for restricted (nw-2) $32,000 claiming fillies and mares. The Peter Miller-trained daughter of Practical Joke lacks gate quickness but can turn it on late, and with this return to dirt and with a series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs that should have her fit, she may be capable of tagging the speed in the final stages. Tenacious Lady and Fried Asparagus, two-three finishers in a similar affair last month, both have reasonable looks right back. ‘Lady has steadily improving speed figures but like our top pick lacks tactical speed, while ‘Asparagus had a quick recent workout (:46 2/5, fastest of 33) that catches the eye and may be set to produce a forward move. Challenging race, tread lightly.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:45 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Worcester; 4-Mi Hermano Ramon
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Worcester is still a maiden after five starts, most recently going down at 30 cents on the dollar in a main track miler to the well regarded first-timer Smart Mo. Yet, the son of Empire Maker remains extremely fast on speed figures and on pure form looks good enough to win this year’s edition of the Cinema Stakes over 10 furlongs on grass. This will be his first start on turf, and with Giant’s Causeway on the bottom side of his pedigree he should at least handle, maybe even move up on it. Certainly the distance should be within his range, so with leading rider Juan Hernandez staying aboard let’s put him on top. Mi Hermano Ramon, fresh from a clever score in the Singletary Stakes at nine furlongs, won’t be bothered by the step up in trip and at 2-1 on the morning line is the deserved favorite and one to beat. These are the two we’ll be using in our various rolling exotics.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:14 PT Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Missed the Cut
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: The highly regarded and extremely talented Missed the Cut has looked quite good in morning preps leading up to his U.S. debut, appearing comfortable training over the Santa Anita conventional dirt track that he’s bred to thoroughly enjoy. The son of Quality Road has done all of his previous racing on either grass or synthetic in France, Ireland, and most recently in Saudi Arabia, and based on his form over those surfaces and the Timeform Ratings that he was assigned, the John Sadler-trained colt should absolute fit in this open allowance mile affair. Two races back in this listed Churchill Stakes at Lingfield he defeated Algiers, who subsequently finished second in the Dubai World Cup. Making his first start with Lasix and with top rider Juan Hernandez taking the call, he’ll offer excellent wagering value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics at or near his morning line of 3-1.

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RACE 10: Post: 5:44 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Ridin’thestormout; Make It Snow.
Backups/savers: 7-Sultry Kitten.

Forecast: Here’s a challenging turf sprint for maiden fillies and mares that offers several unknowns, question marks, and other possibilities. Ridin’thestormout flashed good speed before being tagged late in her debut last summer at Del Mar before being stopped on. She returns for trainer John Sadler with a work tab that should have her plenty fit, and with top jockey Juan Hernandez staying board in a race that projects to have a soft opening quarter this daughter of Candy Ride appears well spotted to fire a big shot off the bench. Make It Snow failed to duplicate her promising debut run when finishing a distant third behind subsequent Summertime Oaks-G2 in an off-the-turf mile maiden affair in mid-March, but she’s back sprinting, returns to grass, and therefore must be given a chance to repeat her first start, a closing third place effort that earned a good number. Sultry Kitten is a debuting daughter of American Pharoah from the Phil D’Amato stable with a couple of intriguing workouts on her resume. The barn has low stats with first timers but at 10-1 on the morning line she’s probably worth including on your ticket somewhere.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:43 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 11, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race program with the $1.00 Late Pick starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

3-Just Bookem (7/2)-Should be racing on the lead or close to it. Gets class relief and might be able to wire this field.
4-Captainofrocknroll (5/2)-Dropped to this level and came a beaten 2nd to a well-meant winner who isn't in this group. Should be in front or just behind the one above turning for the wire.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

1-Bettor In Cash (5-1)-Not sure leaving from the rail is the best slot for this 6-year-old and the pilot will need to do his part. But can be in the hunt if in striking range turning for the wire and should offer a square price.
3-Tick's A Yankin (5/2)-Has beaten better here and likes the track (70-17-11-8). Merriman should have in play off the gate and could offer a fair price.
4-Elver Hanover (9/5)-Took the long way around versus this kind in last and that trip didn't work well. Gets a positive driver change in Wrenn, that could make a winning difference but can't completely trust. Will be a small price, is 0-10 this year and no excuses allowed tonight.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

4-One Last Laugh (9/2)-Steps up but has beaten this kind before and was a close 2nd on 5-21. Myers should be racing with the leaders and could beat this bunch with a sharp steer.
6-Lancaster Hill (6-1)-Has won 3 straight and the case could be made this is a drop in class, either way fits with this crew. Hasn't gotten much respect at the windows and Davis Jr has provided flawless drives in every victory. Won't win forever but best to respect again.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

2-Fear The Blaze (9/5)-Skimmed the pylons, got an efficient trip and it led to a picture. That was the 1st win in 6 starts, may have gotten a confidence boost and should be a main player again.
5-Stay Special (2-1)-Was driven aggressively in its Nfld debut from the 8 hole but was hung and then faded. Could rebound here, not liking the short price but can be put in play off the gate this time.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,4/1,3,4/4,6/2,5
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:46 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #1

#6 Angel Express	She ran ok when splitting a field in a similar spot in her debut here last fall, and she'll return with blinkers on and an experience edge on some of these. Lots to like.
#3 Moment to Shine	No doubt she's going to take a little cash for a top team, and she has a big claim on this while moving onto an easier circuit today. Still, the first two aren't much to write home about, so I wouldn't want to be here at too short a number, win or lose.
#4 Desired Legacy	She hasn't shown much through two starts, but this turf sprint offers a little hope for improvement, as mom really enjoyed these types of trips back in the day. Price for a small piece?
Race Summary	Angel Express went pretty evenly in the debut run here last year, but I think that try was useful, and she might have a little upside as a 3-year-old while getting blinkers for the first time.

Hawthorne - Race #6

#1 Easy Fast	Second timer debuted in a spot that felt ok for the level, and he has some upside with that race under his belt. Mild concern about him working out a trip with a bit of pace from here, but he's right there if he steps up today.
#3 Larry the Poet	He wasn't particularly live for a Rivelli firster when kind of flat at 5/1 in the debut run here last month, and it'd be no surprise to see him take a move in the right direction today.
#8 Tahoe Run	He couldn't hang last out when returning from Oaklawn at even money, but his baseline form looks pretty tough with these with a great draw for his pace-spying style.
Race Summary	Easy Fast was in the mix throughout last time out before just giving way late, and he might be a bit tighter with that debut try out of the way.

Hawthorne - Race #7

#2 W W Scout's Honor	He gets the slight edge in a really fun race, as he's fast enough to sit close early while settling just in behind a few more committed pace players. Think he might offer a slightly better price today somehow.
#7 Omaha Red	He's a really reliable type with some pretty tough company lines on his page, and he's another who should be in line for a pretty solid trip tracking the pace. Can win right back.
#6 Tape to Tape	He might prove best of the speed and just run these off their feet, but there are a couple other potential forward players lined up in here who might make him work for it without a real breather. Capable.
Race Summary	Tough to know what to do with a couple talented pace players in here who might do battle early, and I'm hoping that sets the table for W W Scout's Honor, who exits a good race chasing solid pace last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:46 AM

Ellis Park Hotlist - June 11

Jun. 10, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (7) Recker Point disappointed last time but can rebound at this claiming level. (8) Reinvest flopped in a stakes but can bounce back here. (6) Fight Fiercely merits attention off the Sharp claim. (1) Single Ruler should be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-8. Doubles: 1-6-7-8 with 1-7-9-11. Pick 3: 1-6-7-8 with 1-7-9-11 with 1-4-6.
2nd race – (7) Barstool Babe looks best here against claimers. (9) Best Coast could be the main competition in her debut for Cox. (1) Check Engine Light moves into Cox’s barn and should contend here. (11) Take Shape is worth a look in this field. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-9-11. Doubles: 1-7-9-11 with 1-4-6.
3rd race – (1) Anejo is in great form and should handle this bunch. (6) Decision Maker figures to like the cutback in distance. (4) Eleven Central will appreciate the return to dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.
6th race – (6) Smile Mon (B) turned in a career-best effort to start 2023 and adds blinkers. Seems primed for a winning effort. (5) Mapper was second in both career starts and can complete the exacta again. (1) Create Trouble is working in promising fashion for his 3-year-old debut. (10) Trumpstatic disappointed last time but should be capable of a better try here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-10.
9th race – (2) Disarm was a closing fourth in the Kentucky Derby and should be well-suited by the conditions here to get an initial graded stakes win. (4) Verifying tired badly in the Derby but will be on his toes here. (6) Raise Cain skipped the Belmont for this spot and deserves respect. (7) King Russell is another Derby also-ran who will enjoy some class relief here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(6)	Smile Mon	B, 5/14	6 EP	Exits an improved 2023 debut

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:46 AM

Belmont Park Hotlist - June 11

Jun. 10, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (7) Recker Point disappointed last time but can rebound at this claiming level. (8) Reinvest flopped in a stakes but can bounce back here. (6) Fight Fiercely merits attention off the Sharp claim. (1) Single Ruler should be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-8. Doubles: 1-6-7-8 with 1-7-9-11. Pick 3: 1-6-7-8 with 1-7-9-11 with 1-4-6.
2nd race – (7) Barstool Babe looks best here against claimers. (9) Best Coast could be the main competition in her debut for Cox. (1) Check Engine Light moves into Cox’s barn and should contend here. (11) Take Shape is worth a look in this field. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-9-11. Doubles: 1-7-9-11 with 1-4-6.
3rd race – (1) Anejo is in great form and should handle this bunch. (6) Decision Maker figures to like the cutback in distance. (4) Eleven Central will appreciate the return to dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.
6th race – (6) Smile Mon (B) turned in a career-best effort to start 2023 and adds blinkers. Seems primed for a winning effort. (5) Mapper was second in both career starts and can complete the exacta again. (1) Create Trouble is working in promising fashion for his 3-year-old debut. (10) Trumpstatic disappointed last time but should be capable of a better try here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-10.
9th race – (2) Disarm was a closing fourth in the Kentucky Derby and should be well-suited by the conditions here to get an initial graded stakes win. (4) Verifying tired badly in the Derby but will be on his toes here. (6) Raise Cain skipped the Belmont for this spot and deserves respect. (7) King Russell is another Derby also-ran who will enjoy some class relief here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(6)	Smile Mon	B, 5/14	6 EP	Exits an improved 2023 debut

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:48 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

PURCHASE

Lone Star Park - Race 9	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.20 Jackpot Super HI-FIVE
Allowance • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $33,500 • Post: 5:19P
(RAIL AT 20 FEET). (PLUS UP TO $6,700 OPEN ATB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TEXAS BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 11, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH.)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * GET SERIOUS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has ru n a Good Race within the last 30 days. GLITTERARY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DEAR BEAU (IRE): Horse has run a Good Race within t he last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	GET SERIOUS	2/1	4/1
6	GLITTERARY	9/5	5/1
3	DEAR BEAU (IRE)	12/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	GHOST BAYOU	9	20/1	Front-runner	70	74	84.4	65.9	56.4
5	CLAIRE JUNE	5	6/1	Front-runner	71	72	70.8	69.6	57.6
4	GIRL ON THE GO	4	12/1	Stalker	81	75	68.7	60.1	46.6
2	GET SERIOUS	2	2/1	Stalker	89	85	62.4	78.4	73.4
3	DEAR BEAU (IRE)	3	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	74	80.6	81.8	74.8
6	GLITTERARY	6	9/5	Trailer	86	82	58.6	80.4	75.4
7	OH DOO DAH DAY	7	8/1	Trailer	74	70	48.3	64.5	53.5
8	RIVERCREST GIRL	8	8/1	Trailer	64	77	33.2	65.4	54.9
1	LOLLIPOP GUMDROP	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	72	60.1	55.7	41.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:48 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cross Country Pick FourPURCHASE

Cross Country Pick Four - Race 5	Leg E of the Cross Country Pick 5
Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Inner Turf • Age 3 • CR: 97 • Purse: $200,000 • Post: 5:50P
WONDER AGAIN S. BEL - R10 - GRADE 2 INNER TURF FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SPANSIVE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * REVALITA (FR): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SPANSIVE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf ) is at least 50. BE YOUR BEST (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THIRTY THOU KELVIN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JUNIPER'S MOON: Horse has run a Good Race wi thin the last 30 days.
2	REVALITA (FR)	5/2	5/1
8	SPANSIVE	7/2	5/1
7	BE YOUR BEST (IRE)	8/1	7/1
6	THIRTY THOU KELVIN	30/1	9/1
4	JUNIPER'S MOON	6/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	SPANSIVE	8	7/2	Front-runner	87	89	66.3	85.0	79.5
7	BE YOUR BEST (IRE)	7	8/1	Stalker	86	83	84.6	88.6	80.1
4	JUNIPER'S MOON	4	6/1	Stalker	92	86	66.4	80.2	68.2
5	PREREQUISITE	5	6/1	Stalker	83	79	60.5	74.0	61.5
6	THIRTY THOU KELVIN	6	30/1	Alternator/Stalker	93	93	95.5	70.8	61.8
1	ALLAMERICANBEAUTY	1	8/1	Trailer	86	82	65.0	80.5	70.5
2	REVALITA (FR)	2	5/2	Trailer	102	89	46.6	85.0	83.0
3	VENENCIA (FR)	3	7/2	Trailer	92	88	39.8	77.7	68.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:48 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race #8 - Post: 4:25pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,700 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#5 STAGE DOOR (ML=5/1)
#7 FORGOTTEN VOWS (ML=5/2)
#3 THE GREATEST EAGLE (ML=4/1)

STAGE DOOR - Hasn't run at today's trip recently but does have a speed rating registered last time he tried this distance good enough to win. This animal wins a lot of cash per start. Tops in this race. FORGOTTEN VOWS - This gelding's last speed figure is strong enough to score here, I'll wager on him back again this time out. A racer coming back this quickly after a nice race is a good sign. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that positive trend to continue right here in this race. THE GREATEST EAGLE - When Aguilar and Ibanez partner up on animals the ROI has been great at +147. Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a solid outing last out within the last month.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 AFLEETASHA (ML=7/2), #2 JERSEY LUTE (ML=6/1), #6 AUSTIN'S ACE (ML=6/1),

AFLEETASHA - Didn't finish in the money on May 19th at Miles City. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort. This mount ran a mediocre fig last time around the track. He shouldn't run much better and will probably lose in today's race running that rating. JERSEY LUTE - Would have to move up off that seventh place finish last time to make an impact here. Finished seventh in his most recent effort with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. AUSTIN'S ACE - 6/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when examining the most recent efforts.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - STAGE DOOR - Taking a very big class rating tumble today. Let's make some cash on the drastic descent.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 STAGE DOOR is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:48 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Hour Wagers

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Turf. Purse: $61000 Class Rating: 89

SA - R10 - FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CAL-BRED OR CAL-SIRED HORSES GET A FIVE POUND WEIGHT ALLOWANCE.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 ANNIE'S JOY 6/1
# 2 JAI HO 8/1
# 9 STRIKINGLY 4/1

ANNIE'S JOY is my choice. Looks respectable against this group and will most likely be one of the front-runners. Glatt has this filly racing well and is a very good pick based on the strong Speed Figures put up in sprint races recently. JAI HO - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent speed figures with an average of 83. Look for a very strong pace improvement from this racer who enters with second time Lasix today. STRIKINGLY - The speed rating of 85 from her latest contest looks respectable in here. Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:49 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Stakes - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 88

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, RUIDOSO QUARTER HORSE JUVENILE S. - GRADE 3 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH QUALIFIED FOR THE 2023 RUIDOSO QUARTER HORSE JUVENILE FROM THE TRIALS. WEIGHTS: 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SONNY CORONA 12/1
# 2 YIPPEE KI YEY 15/1
# 1 JONES HERO 5/2

SONNY CORONA looks to be a strong contender and is a strong value bet given the line at 12/1. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the recipe to a return to the track. May best this field here, showing decent numbers of late. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. YIPPEE KI YEY - Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. Might best this group here, showing strong numbers of late. JONES HERO - He looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Put up a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-11-2023, 08:49 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race #2 - Post: 2:57pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#2 LITTLE BELLA (ML=7/2)

LITTLE BELLA - This mare has impressed last two times out posting solid speed figs. With a repeat performance, she'll probably win this race. Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than last time out at Keeneland. Recent speed ratings show powerful pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BALI BABY (ML=9/5), #3 SWEET FRAULEIN (ML=5/2), #5 RUNNERS HEAT (ML=3/1),

BALI BABY - Hard to back any equine with decreasing Equibase speed figures of 68/54/41. SWEET FRAULEIN - Mediocre speed rating last time out at Hawthorne at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much today. RUNNERS HEAT - Can't wager on this mount in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint contest recently. Didn't end up on the board on April 27th at Hawthorne. Followed it up with another lackluster performance.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LITTLE BELLA - With the highest last speed rating of 84, this mare looks exceptional against these horses.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 LITTLE BELLA to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None