Friday 6/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    Friday 6/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6-16-23


    June 16, 2023
    “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
    by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
    *
    For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

    *
    Grade Descriptions:
    Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
    Grade B=Solid Play.
    Grade C=Least preferred or pass
    Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Awesome Tiger
    Backups/savers: 5-Golden Again.

    Forecast: Awesome Tiger just won a restricted $32,000 claimer over this course and distance with an ideal stalking trip that produced a solid speed figure, one that makes her dangerous right back in this starter $50,000 affair for fillies and mares over a mile on turf. The daughter of Classic Empire seems most comfortable on the sod and seems more likely than not to duplicate her last performance in this tougher spot. At 7/2 on the morning line, she is reasonably priced. Golden Again has hit the board in each of her three most recent starts while competing at this level and won’t need much improvement to break through with a win. The daughter of Paynter has faced primarily her own age group, but she did finish a good third against older foes under these conditions two races back. She’s a tad shy in the speed figure department but has room to improve. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics but reserve the bulk of the play for Awesome Tiger.

    *

    RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-She’s My Niece
    Backups/savers: none.

    Forecast: She’s My Niece probably can’t beat a real good maiden 2-year-old filly but there may not be one in this five furlong, so rather than spread the race we’ll take a stand and assume that the daughter of Hard Spun is ready to graduate after finishing second in a fast, highly rated affair last month. The Doug O’Neill-trained filly was almost five lengths clear of the rest, and with the likelihood of producing another forward move in her third career start she appears to be a logical top pick, though at 6/5 on the morning line there won’t be any real wagering value to be found.

    *

    RACE 3: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Noble Reflections; 5-Whatmakessammyrun
    Backups/savers: 3-Turn On the Jets.

    Forecast: This abbreviated sprint over the flat turf course officially is an open allowance race, though it contains runners that are graded stakes quality. Noble Reflection was a respectable fourth in the Turf Sprint-G2 on Derby Day at Churchill Downs and faces an easier assignment after returning to his home base in California. A gate-to-wire winner in two of three starts over the local lawn, the speedy son of Lion’s Map clearly is the quickest in the field, and if he can shake loose early without undue pressure he’ll likely lead gate to wire. Whatmakessammyrun is a prototype late-running turf sprinter who had enjoyed major success down the Hillside Course. There’s no reason he can’t duplicate his top form over the flat layout, so with good racing luck he’s certain to be heard from the late. Turn On the Jets, away since December, has a history of firing fresh and projects to enjoy a comfortable pace-stalking position. He’s fast enough on pure speed figures to win for a barn that hits at a powerful 23% with layoff runners.

    *

    RACE 4: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-American Theorem
    Backups/Savers: 7-Kid Corleone.

    Forecast: American Theorem probably is using this second level allowance sprint as a springboard to the Del Mar season (he won the Bing Crosby Stakes-G1 there last year) but that doesn’t mean he won’t outclass this field even if not totally cranked up. First or second in four of six starts over the Santa Anita main track, the son of American Pharoah has trained like he’s fit and ready for his first outing since winding up eighth of 11 in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1 at Keeneland last November. He has won off a layoff in the past, so we’re expecting the George Papaprodromou-trained ridgling to settle off the leaders and then produce a successful late bid. Kid Corleone is another comebacker worth considering on your ticket, at least as a backup. The son of Shackleford has displayed winning form off the bench, has looked solid in the morning for trainer Doug O’Neill, and projects as the controlling speed. He’s not as fast on pure numbers as our top pick but is talented enough to consider in case ‘Pharoah comes up a tad short.

    *

    RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: B-
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Unjokable
    Backups/savers: 2-Sweet Mother Mary.

    Forecast: Unjokable lost a toughie when tagged right on the wire in a similar restricted maiden sprint for fillies and mares, and based on that race combined with today’s slightly shorter trip the daughter of Practical Joke looks all set to graduate at 8/5 on the morning line. She has the kind of early speed to control this race from the start, and in field lacking in effective closers the Doug O’Neill-trained sophomore shouldn’t have any excuses today. Sweet Mother May, a willing but non-threatening sixth in the same race our top pick exits in her debut, has a right to produce a significant forward move for trainer Ron Ellis and should be included on your ticket somewhere. Mike Smith rides her back, a positive sign.

    *

    RACE 6: Post: 3:34 PT Grade: B-
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Harper’s Gallop; 6-True Patriot
    Backups/savers: none.

    Forecast: Harper’s Gallop returns to grass and should regain her best form. In the frame in six of nine starts over the local turf course that includes two wins, the Leonard Powell-trained mare switches to top jockey Juan Hernandez and should have enough tactical speed to get over from her outside draw and secure a comfortable stalking trip. It’s hard to say how much run she had at the time, but whatever chance True Patriot had in a similar turf miler for state-bred fillies and mares was lost when she ran into a severe roadblock at the head of the lane and lost all of her momentum. Perhaps with a clean trip, the Carla Gaines-trained filly would be right there in a fairly decent race won by Eleuthera. Today, with better luck, she may be able to produce a winning late kick, though her record of one win and four seconds from eight starts doesn’t really inspire confidence.

    *

    RACE 7: Post: 4:04 PT Grade: B+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Big Pond; 7-Strange Addiction
    Backups/savers: none.

    Forecast: Big Pond has trained like a good filly for her debut and if she leaves cleanly the daughter of Mr. Big should display enough early speed to gain a favorable early position and then go on with it when it matters. She’s listed at 4-1 on the morning line but we’ll be surprised if she doesn’t go lower. Strange Addiction ran much better than the line will show (slow start, severe traffic midway, good late energy) when third in her first outing last month. That race was on grass, today’s sprint is on the main track, but the daughter of Good Magic shouldn’t have any issue with the surface switch. The Dave Hofmans-trained sophomore should give our top pick plenty of competition. We’ll be surprised if the winner isn’t one or the other and both should be used in rolling exotic play.

    *

    RACE 8: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Annaghlasa; 1-Slam Diego; 2-Cornelia Fort
    Backups/savers: 3-Katerini.

    Forecast: This grass grab bag requires a spread in rolling exotic play; we suggest you include as many as your budget allows. Annaghlasa has been chasing much tougher of late – she actually was entered (and was well-beaten) in the Santa Ana Stakes-G3 two races back – but against this restricted (nw-2) $32,000 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares the Doug O’Neill-trained Irish-bred may have found her friends. Perhaps most effective as the controlling speed, she probably will be relegated to a stalker’s role in this spot but based on speed figure she should be good enough win, nonetheless. Slam Diego is guaranteed an ideal ground-saving trip from her rail post and though beaten at odds-on in a starter allowance race in her most recent appearance she has numbers that fit nicely in this league. Cornelia Fort stretches out for the first time and could be on the front end if her connections opt for that strategy. The daughter of Grazen has room to continue her improvement with just five previous starts, and while her speed figures are a bit light they are at least moving in the right direction. Katerini stretches out again and usually runs well over this grass course. She is re-equipped with blinkers and switches to noted speed rider Edwin Maldonado, so a front-running trip isn’t out of the question.

    *

    RACE 9: Post: 5:04 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Pleasant; 2-Home Cooking
    Backups/savers: 5-Clearly Unhinged.

    Forecast: Trainer Bob Baffert is loaded in this allowance optional claimer restricted to 3-year-old fillies, with highly impressive debut maiden winner Pleasant and the return of Del Mar Debutante runner-up Home Cooking in the lineup that looks much more like a graded stakes then a first level allowance affair. Pleasant won with complete authority while earning a big figure in mid-March and tuned up for her first start since with :58 flat gate work six days ago that was the fastest of 31 for the distance. Home Cooking has been equally impressive in her recent trials and should come back at least as good if not better than she was last summer at Del Mar. Toss in big figure debut maiden winner Clearly Unhinged as a backup for trainer Michael McCarthy (subsequently a distant fourth in the Santa Anita Oaks-G1 but back sprinting where she belongs) and you should have the race pretty much covered.

    *

    RACE 10: Post: 5:31 PT Grade: B-
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Tom and Jazzy; 2-Trusty Rusty; 7-Numero Dix
    Backups/savers: none.

    Forecast: Tom and Jazzy has been encountering much tougher fields of late without much success – most recently he finished sixth (beaten four lengths) in the Snow Chief Stakes – but in this restricted (nw-2) $32,000 claimer the Phil D’Amato-trained gelding appears well-placed to regain his winning form. A previous score over this course and distance last fall charts well with these, and with the switch to top jockey Juan Hernandez the son of Tom’s Tribute looks fairly solid. Trusty Rusty returns to the claiming ranks, is nicely drawn inside, and has speed figures that make him a major player in this league. If he can transfer his main track form to grass, the Doug O’Neill-trained sophomore should be competitive at 6-1 on the morning line. Numero Dix exits a stronger race and didn’t get the best of runs, so we’re anticipating a significant forward move today from the English-bred gelding. He’s been unplaced in all four starts since being imported but has buried numbers that actually make him a solid fit with this group. You have to use him.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358238

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


      June 16, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
      Hoosier Park has a 13-race program featuring Indiana Sires stakes action. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 11

      5-Buzzsaw Russ (5/2)-Made it look easy in the 3rd start off the bench and drew off by 7-length at 3/2. Should be tested in what appears to be a 2-horse race.
      7-Coach Stefanos (2-1)-Was an odds-on choice and fired hot off the bench to beat this kind in Leg 1. Starts outside, has
      been off since 5-29 and this race may still have to go through the Erv Miller trainee.

      Race 12

      5-Art It Is (2-1)-Appeared to need both starts off the bench and will look for an improvement here. Drops to a competitive level and it's doubtful the winner will go in 149.2 this week.
      6-Parklane Odds (5/2)-The one above should be ready to battle to the wire. But Tetrick can have this Trent Stohler entry in the hunt from the word "go". Could take down the morning line choice with the right trip.

      Race 13

      4-Dealers Table's (4-1)-Put in a sharp qualifier on 6-10 of 151.2 on the engine and won by almost 3 lengths. Willing to take a swing that the connections will have this one ready for action. This is a good spot for a picture if dialed on high.
      5-Alwaystellthetruth (3-1)-Gets some class relief and like the one above could benefit. Tetrick is between the pipes for his 2nd straight steer and the 6-year-old has been slow off the gate in the last 2 races. Could dance with these but needs to land near the top of the stack after the wings fold.

      Race 14

      2-Six Again (4-1)-Hoping for some value in this leg and will overlook the last start after landing 11 lengths back at the 1st call. Has a shot for redemption versus this crew if returns to the form of 2 and 3 races back.
      5-Lotsa Knock Us (20-1)-Steps up after putting in a flat line in the 2nd race of the season. Was used hard for the lead in last from post 8 and still closed with a 26.2 last panel. Gets post relief, has the gate speed to be forwardly placed and could surprise.
      6-Mach Seelster (9/2)-Steps up after winning in the NW2 condition. Did benefit from an efficient trip but has the gate speed to get another good early seat. Hopefully, the breaking issues have been resolved, has put in 2 nice efforts, and will look for continued improvement at a nice price.

      0.50 Late Pick 4

      5,7/5,6/4,5/2,5,6
      Total Bet=$12
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358238

        #4
        Laurel Park Pick 4 Ticket | Friday, June 16


        June 16, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
        LAUREL PARK PICK 4
        Friday, June 16

        Favorites dominated in Laurel Park’s 50-cent Late Pick 4 last Friday, but this week’s sequence appears far more difficult and worth playing. Here’s a closer look:

        LRL 6th race (3:03 EST) -- RASCALLY REBEL saved ground until the stretch after a bumpy start and finished third behind a class-rising, repeat winner and a runner-up who earned a 72 Beyer speed figure in a next-out victory. STREET HUSTLE dueled 3-wide to a brief stretch lead and finished between four rivals who were fifth or worse at the first call of the race. NATAGAR was taken 4-wide after breaking last from post 2, failed to respond to urging on the turn, now draws post 10 on the class drop in his first start since February.

        LRL 7th race (3:35 EST) -- NORTHERN GLOW gets Lasix in her debut for Russell; her dam was a multiple stakes-winning Maryland bred who earned $300k. NEW ROME pressed the pace and ran second in her debut behind L STREET LADY, who won the Xtra Heat Stakes at Laurel in her next start and the Jersey Girl Stakes last week at Belmont. She gave way in a follow-up MSW try behind the co-favorites but finished between two next-out winners. She is a must use in her first start for a claiming price.

        LRL 8th race (4:07 EST) -- It’s the shortest field in the Pick 4 sequence, but the six entrants are a combined 38-for-140 and in overall good form recently. Hit the ‘ALL’ button.

        BEL 9th race (4:39 EST) – STORMING CLASS shows a bullet work after a cross-country trip and a troubled trip in a $50,000 turf claimer that produced four next-out winners. NICK’S LITTLE BOY draws post 12 for his debut, but trainer Phillip Capuano is 4-for-9 with first-time starters to launch his career and all but one was dismissed at 7-1 odds or less. BRIDGE TO SUCCESS makes his seasonal debut and at least gets an ideal pace to rally into if he avoids another 7-wide trip when he last raced.

        Suggested 50-cent Ticket
        LRL 6th Race: 7, 8, 10
        LRL 7th Race: 4, 5
        LRL 8th Race: ALL
        LRL 9th Race: 1, 8, 12
        Cost for 50-Cent Ticket: $54
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358238

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Charles Town - Race #6
          #9 Midnight Regret She'll go second off the layoff after an even comeback run, but she turned in a few races here last year that would keep her in the frame with these. Think she's tactical enough to work out a trip.
          #5 Dial Her She's probably the one to beat with a long string of reliable efforts on her page, and she figures to find another perfect first-over trip with these. Tough again with her baseline.
          #1 Queen of Class She is a fairly honest finisher and might be able to save some ground from the inside draw before rallying for a piece, but she might need one of her really top efforts to land this.
          Race Summary Midnight Regret can move forward with the comeback race under her belt, and I think she can sit just a bit more tactical trip tonight than she did last time out. Thinking she might offer a playable enough price.
          Charles Town - Race #7
          #8 Change Your Luck He went to the bench in fairly dull form, but he's got some pace off the layoff today in a race without a ton of other serious front-end speed. Capable of wiring these if the other pressing types lay off him.
          #1 Juba Bound The last two have been pretty sharp, and he's in line with these if he's able to hold that form for another trip to post. Not totally sure how much I trust him on the current run, but anything like his last makes him tough.
          #5 Logstradamus He's a decent fit in here with his regular effort, and he should be in line for a good spying trip. Wouldn't want too short a price, but he seems likely to show up with another good one.
          Race Summary Change Your Luck will need a little help from the other potential tracking types to sit off him early, but he might be a decent enough price to see if he can scoot away from them into the far turn.
          Charles Town - Race #8
          #6 Mama's Eyes Her local debut was solid when she easily handled mid-range maiden claimers, and I like that she showed enough pace to be competitive in the early stages at this abbreviated trip.
          #9 Comida Comida She posted a really sharp score on debut here last month, and she'll rise to double the price for the new connections. Wouldn't be any surprise to see her turn in another good effort.
          #4 Two Step Sally She has turned in a couple even efforts so far this year, but she'll go third off the layoff with a bit of upside. Willing to give her a bit of consideration at a decent price.
          Race Summary Mama's Eyes showed up in a reasonable spot with the locals and produced an easy graduation win, and this feels like a really logical spot for her to come back to try winners for the first time.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358238

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Gulfstream Park - Race #1
            #1 MISS UNCONCERNED (3-1) Well prepped for debut for hot trainer-jockey combo, draws rail.
            #8 MARPIN (6-1) Took some play off slow works in $25k debut but ‘was trying to get out.’
            #7 MARTHAMAYWHOVIER (5-2) Speed mission failed in long sprint, no excuses in here.
            Race Summary MISS UNCONCERNED kept a busy work tab at Palm Meadows to get ready for her debut. Her dam finished second in MSW company first time out for the same barn. She has an 0-for-13 favorite, among others, to beat in here, so make a win and place bet.
            Gulfstream Park - Race #4
            #2 GUARDIAN ANGEL (5-2) Drew away from 2-to-5 favorite in 6F win, tired in pair of 7F follow-up tries.
            #3 SHEZ SPEIGHTFUL (6-1) Rallied for 5/1-2-0 mark since Dec. 22, gets ideal set-up plus added ground.
            #1 FLAG WOMAN (2-1) Changed tactics, tired, could change again off D’Angelo claim.
            Race Summary GUARDIAN ANGEL has tactical speed, won going away at this distance and appears a perfect fit at this level as she resumes her light schedule. Bet to win and place and play 2-1 and 2-3 exactas.
            Gulfstream Park - Race #5
            #7 NETWORKING (4-1) Rallied Into photo-finish view, finished third again, takes class hike.
            #6 CARSOWN (2-1) ‘Lost traction for a few strides early,’ ran second in turf route, switches surfaces.
            #3 RACKET (9-5) Set pace, held second in last two route attempts on all-weather track for higher tag.
            Race Summary NETWORKING steps up in class after a near miss in a blanket finish at this distance. He finished behind the two favorites, returns with similar rest between starts and faces a similar task chasing the two morning-line favorites. Bet to win and place.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358238

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont Park

              PURCHASE
              Belmont Park - Race 1
              Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 1 &2, Pick 3 ($1) (1-3) Early Pick 5 (.50) (1-5)
              Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 CR: 85 • Purse: $75,000 • Post: 1:05P
              (RAIL AT 9 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED). (IF THE STEWARDS CONSIDER IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT FIVE FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Dominant Stalker. TWISTED FILIGREE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TWISTED FILIGREE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the high est average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
              6
              TWISTED FILIGREE
              1/1
              3/2

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              6
              TWISTED FILIGREE
              6
              1/1
              Stalker
              85
              84
              80.6
              79.6
              77.6
              4
              SWEPT
              4
              15/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              0
              0
              72.0
              31.3
              25.8
              5
              TECH DUINN
              5
              30/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              0
              0
              68.3
              17.1
              11.1
              2
              EL GRANDE O
              2
              5/1
              Trailer
              85
              64
              61.6
              60.7
              57.2
              3
              SUBSCRIBED
              3
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              0.0
              0.0
              0.0
              Unknown Running Style: JIMMYTHETOOTH (10/1) [Jockey: Franco Manuel - Trainer: Maker Michael J], SCORE THE ROCK (7/2) [Jockey: Ortiz Jr Irad - Trainer: Maker Michael J], DANCING MISCHIEF (6/1) [Jockey: Castellano Javier - Trainer: Weaver George].

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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358238

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita ParkPURCHASE


                Santa Anita Park - Race 3
                $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta /$2 Rolling Double $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 3-4-5) $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
                Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 108 • Purse: $71,000 • Post: 2:01P
                (RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CAL-BRED OR CAL-SIRED HORSES GET THREE (3) POUND WEIGHT ALLOWANCE.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NOBLE REFLECTION is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NOBLE REFLECTION: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. BURNIN TURF: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TURN ON THE JETS (IRE): Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at le ast 25. SEE THROUGH IT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                2
                NOBLE REFLECTION
                2/1
                9/2
                5
                WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN
                4/1
                7/1
                7
                BURNIN TURF
                12/1
                8/1
                3
                TURN ON THE JETS (IRE)
                5/2
                8/1
                1
                SEE THROUGH IT
                10/1
                9/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                2
                NOBLE REFLECTION
                2
                2/1
                Front-runner
                105
                106
                114.8
                98.0
                91.0
                7
                BURNIN TURF
                7
                12/1
                Stalker
                107
                104
                99.0
                103.4
                93.9
                3
                TURN ON THE JETS (IRE)
                3
                5/2
                Stalker
                104
                104
                92.1
                101.5
                91.5
                1
                SEE THROUGH IT
                1
                10/1
                Stalker
                102
                103
                84.2
                101.0
                94.5
                4
                EARLS ROCK (IRE)
                4
                3/1
                Stalker
                107
                98
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                6
                CHASIN MUNNY
                6
                15/1
                Alternator/Stalker
                105
                104
                96.4
                94.5
                84.0
                5
                WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN
                5
                4/1
                Trailer
                108
                108
                79.0
                104.4
                101.4
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358238

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 9 - Maiden - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 74

                  QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 5 CHAPMANN 3/1
                  # 10 WAGON KISSES 4/1
                  # 3 SWEET DASH 6/1
                  I've got to go with CHAPMANN. He looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. The speed figure of 73 from his most recent contest looks competitive in here. Has a strong shot in this contest if you like back class. WAGON KISSES - Is a solid contender based on figures posted lately under today's conditions. Look for a competitive pace improvement from this equine who enters with second time Lasix today. SWEET DASH - Overall the Speed Figures of this equine look formidable in this competition.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358238

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE


                    Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,100 Class Rating: 59

                    Rating:

                    #10 UPTOWN SERAPHINA (ML=6/1)


                    UPTOWN SERAPHINA - Getting a break of 7 lbs from last race at Penn National. She should make the most of this advantage. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is meeting an easier group than last race out at Penn National.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #9 SEAP (ML=3/1), #6 WEST ABBOTT (ML=4/1), #5 KAZ MUSIC (ML=6/1),

                    SEAP - The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a questionable challenger. WEST ABBOTT - Not probable for this participant to do much running with no success lately in a sprint affair. KAZ MUSIC - The fourth place result in the last race was not the greatest. Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.

                    GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - UPTOWN SERAPHINA - Have to believe that Kulp knows what to do. The addition of blinks should make the difference between winning and losing.




                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #10 UPTOWN SERAPHINA on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: 10 with [5,6]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    None
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358238

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald Downs

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 1 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 81

                      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $3,500 OR LESS SINCE JUNE 16, 2022 AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STARTER ALLOWANCE RACE AT EMERALD DOWNS IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN RACES, CLAIMING RACES AND STARTERS RACES FOR $3,200 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 3 JANERO ROSE 9/5
                      # 1 RED PANTY NIGHT 5/2
                      # 2 DANCE LADY 10/1
                      JANERO ROSE could be the bet in here. Has been constatntly running well lately. In this field, this horse is at the top in earnings per start in dirt sprint events. Has put up reliable speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. RED PANTY NIGHT - Looks respectable against this group of horses and should be one of the early speedsters. Ran a strong last race. DANCE LADY - With a nice class rating average of 82, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group of horses in this race. Has run well when running a dirt sprint race.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358238

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE


                        Belterra Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $11,600 Class Rating: 84

                        Rating:

                        #9 CINDY'S STORM (ML=7/2)
                        #1 EYE BLACK (ML=5/2)
                        #7 T J MUNNINGS (ML=12/1)


                        CINDY'S STORM - This racer could be tough in today's contest, especially since Tapara rode last out and now should be acquainted with this one. 'Horse-for-the-course' is a classic handicapping angle. Since this gelding has won over this course it may give him an edge. EYE BLACK - This speedball should benefit from this race's shorter distance. Last raced at Turfway Park with a poor draw. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today. T J MUNNINGS - When Colon and Hernandez unite on equines the ROI has been fabulous at +31. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average class rating in the bunch.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WILSHIRE DIAMOND (ML=9/2), #4 MIDNIGHT TEQUILA (ML=5/1), #3 HEY RAY (ML=6/1),

                        WILSHIRE DIAMOND - This racer hasn't shown much life in the last couple of events. MIDNIGHT TEQUILA - This gelding is always in the mix, but just doesn't get the job done. Tough to wager on him on the win end. HEY RAY - This horse ran his best speed figure in awhile. May bounce and run poorly off that effort.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #9 CINDY'S STORM on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,7,9]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Box [1,7,9] Total Cost: $6
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,7,9] with [1,7,9] with [1,6,7,8,9] with [1,6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36
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