3-3-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the New Jersey Nets as they travel to face Milwaukee slated to start at 8:05 EST. AiS shows a 70% probability that NJ will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and also has a 50% probability of winning the game. AiS also projects an 85% probability that NJ will shoot between 43 and 47%. Note that NJ is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 29-7 ATS for 81% winners since 2003. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 45.5-47.5% and after 3 straight games and allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or higher.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

erin rynning
over timberwolves/playmaker
over bucks/regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Seabass
Steam 100 Ind/Sac over
300 Toronto
30 OK State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Craig Davis
Tuesday's Lineup
40 Dime ---- RAPTORS

15 Dime ---- PACERS

10 Dime ---- ST. JOHN'S

TORONTO RAPTORS --- Guys, I realize I’ve been in a funk the last four or five days, and sometimes that happens to the best of us. I’ve also seen day after day after day of winning selections in the recent past and it always begins with a big selection. Today I have another one of those big plays and it probably has you scratching your head. Toronto? Seriously? Absolutely. To be completely honest with you, just about every trend in the book says the Raptors are the wrong side of this game, and I’m guessing a LOT of people are going to play the Rockets laying the points at home because they’ve dropped just six games there all season. Toronto is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 overall. They just got whipped in Dallas Sunday night and were beaten by 20 two nights before that in Phoenix. Houston, on the other hand, has won seven of their last eight overall and their last nine games played at home, covering four of their last six home games. So why back Toronto in this one?

Well, aside from having just an enormous gut feeling the Raptors are due for a breakout performance, I feel the Raptors are playing looser than the Rockets right now and I believe Houston will look past this team… and why shouldn’t they? As previously stated, Toronto has been just plain bad recently. Can they really be excited about playing this game with a trip to Utah coming up next, followed by Phoenix and Memphis at home, the Nuggets on the road and the Lakers back at home? Trust me, they are looking way ahead of this game and will be lucky to come out of the Toyota Center with a win. Let’s also not forget the Raptors have played the Rockets extremely well the last five years, covering 8 of the last 11 meetings including a 94-73 blowout win back in early January. Toronto has also taken two of the last three SU in Houston and covered three of the last five there.

And one final note… Toronto C Chris Bosh was recently referred to as the “RuPaul of big men in the NBA” by Shaq after Bosh complained about Shaq’s 45-point performance vs. the Raptors was aided by officials failing to call Shaq for three seconds in the lane. What better way to motivate a player than calling him RuPaul?? Bosh comes out on fire and will give Yao Ming everything he has to offer. The Raptors shoot free throws as well as anyone in the NBA and will take the Rockets by surprise, easily covering this high number on the road.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Matt Rivers

100,000* SEC EZ MONEY LOCK Plus Bonus Lock

Your winners here are on:



1. 100,000? Auburn

2. 50,000? Florida State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Brian King


Indiana Pacers(214')at Sacramento Kings (+2') - 10:05, ET
Brian King's 25 Dime NBA Non Conference Game of the Week Winner is....
Sacramento Kings (+2') 25 Dim

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Donnie Black

20* ACC GOY Florida State +12.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Pacers/Kings over 214
3* Houston Rockets -8
5* Warriors/T-Wolves over 227

NCAA:

2* Cincy -2.5
4* Oklahoma St -5
6* Auburn/Alabama over 144

NHL:

2* Capitals -170
5* Flyers/Bruins over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Bucks -4 over Nets

NCAA Basketball
Auburn +1.5 over Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Ferrringo NCAA (coming back down to Earth since his lucky day on 2/21)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #742 New Mexico (-4.5) over Utah (9 p.m.)
Home court has been an unbelievable advantage in the Mountain West and this is a great number for us to get on. Utah is coming of a very emotional Holy War game at BYU over the weekend in which they got rocked in the second half. Now they head to The Pit to take on a Lobos team that is still looking to make a case for an at-large bid. This is a veteran New Mexico team and they have been exceptional as a home favorite (23-11 ATS). New Mexico is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and 7-3 ATS in the last 10. They only lost by one point at Utah earlier in the year - also following an emotional game against BYU for the Utes - and I think that they lay the lumber here. Utah has not been a good road team and their only recent road wins have come over the three weakest teams in the league.

2-Unit Play. Take #747 Detroit (+17) over Cleveland State (7 p.m.)
This is too many points for a team coming in off a bit of a letdown - CSU lost a tough one to Butler over the weekend - and playing against a team that can defend and has nothing to lose. This is what conference tournaments are all about: giving Little Guys a one-shot deal to knock off a top team in the conference. Everyone is playing for their life and I think that will make this game a bit tighter. Besides the letdown, Cleveland State just beat Detroit by 17 in their last meeting. I don't think they will top that effort. That 17-point win was the largest margin in this series in the last 10 meetings and I think the Titans manage to hang around and lose by about 13 tonight.

2-Unit Play. Take #721 Ohio State (-1.5) over Iowa (9 p.m.)
Must win game. And normally I'm all for fading "must win" teams, but I think this Buckeye team is a bit undervalued right now because they've ripped through a rough schedule recently. They are coming off an embarrassing loss at Purdue and now get a crack at one of the Big 10 bottom feeders. Iowa has been on an 8-3 ATS tear, but they are just 3-11 SU in their last 14 games. In order to cover here they have to win outright, and I don't think they will. This is the same team that lost to Indiana for crying out loud. OSU has faltered - no doubt about that - but I think they can man up and get a road win here.

2-Unit Play. Take #733 Georgetown (-6) over St. John’s (7:30 p.m.)
Georgetown just took down Villanova and they didn't even play that well. This completely fits my "tier" theory about the Big East (I'm so damn pissed I didn't take Nova last night it's making me sick) and I think that the Hoyas show no mercy against the Johnnies. St. John's is coming off an uncharacteristic blowout over the pathetic Blue Demons but they are about to come back to reality. In their last three games against teams that Georgetown has beaten or played with (Syracuse, Duke, Louisville) the Red Storm have lost by 29, 7, and 13 and the "7" wasn't nearly that close. Hoyas big.

1-Unit Play. Take #739 Wake Forest (-1.5) over Maryland (9 p.m.)
Wake Forest is all over the map these days but I still am just not buying the Maryland bandwagon. They are tough at home, but the Terps really don't have the firepower to consistently beat the top teams in their league and in the country. Yeah, they might fluke out a game now and then, but I think that Wake's problem is lack of motivation. They will be "up" for this game. The crowd and the situation will dictate it. And if the Deacons come to play I think they just have more firepower and that the Terps will play right into their hands. If Wake is a serious Sweet 16 threat, they win this game. If they don't win this game then we will make 5x as much playing against them this month.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #760 Tennessee-Martin (-6) over Tennessee Tech (8 p.m.) AND Take #762 Austin Peay (-6) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m.)
The OVC tournament gets underway and I have no problem playing down two of the top teams against significantly weaker foes. Eastern Illinois is one of the worst teams in the country, while UT-Martin is my pick to win the whole tourney. Granted, matching up against an in-state rival in the opening round is tough. But Martin has the benefit of playing on its home court. I don't trust them to cover the 11, but a medium number like this is ripe.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #735 Florida State (+17.5) over Duke (8 p.m.) AND Take #733 Georgetown (-1) over St. John’s (7:30 p.m.)
Florida State is going to get bombed here, but I think they play too hard and play too good of defense to get ripped by 18 or 20 points tonight. I also LOVE the 'under' in that game. I don't think that Georgetown is going to lose this game at St. John's. They aren't suffering from a lack of motivation or a lack of focus, so I think they will take care of business against the Red Storm.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Indian Cowboy

IOWA +1.5 (POD)
GSW/MINNI under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

NSA's Selection
CBB Auburn @ Alabama 9:00 PM EST 20* Alabama -1.5
CBB Wake Forest @ Maryland 9:00 PM EST 10* Maryland +1.5
CBB Utah @ New Mexico 9:00 PM EST 10* New Mexico -4.5
CBB Cincinnati @ South Florida 7:00 PM EST 10* Cincinnati -3
NBA Chicago @ Charlotte 7:05 PM EST 10* Charlotte -2.5
NBA Indiana @ Sacramento 10:05 PM EST 10* OVER 213.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

malinsky
4- Cincy
4- Aub/Bama Over
4 Det/Denver Under
4 Indy/Sac Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

Paul Leiner:

300* NBA Over 208 LAL/Mem

50* CBB Oklahoma State -5.5

25* CBB Over 119 Ohio State/Iowa

10* CBB Cincinnatti -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-3-09

RAS

#764 Tennessee State/Murray State (Under 144.5)
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