Monday 7/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    Monday 7/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis


    July 3, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
    Yonkers Raceway has a 12-race card scheduled and the 0.50 Pick 5 with a $10,000 guaranteed pool starts in Race 5. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 rolls in Race 9, and the sequence will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 9

    3-Division Bell (5/2)-Drops after facing $50K claimers and raced from the back. Now gets post relief after having the 7-hole in the last 2 starts and faces easier. Kakaley should have in striking range and could land in a close-up seat off the gate.
    4-Islandspecialmajor (7/2)-Comes off improved efforts in the last 2 races and showed good gate speed both times. Drops in for a tag and it could be wake-up time. Gingras should have in play when the wings fold and will look for an aggressive steer.

    Race 10

    1-Deep Infatuation N (5/2)-Had a winning Yonkers debut on 6-24, wired the field in the 1st start on Lasix. Faces similar and looks like a major player.
    4-C-Bet Hanover (7/2)-Doesn't offer any value if bet down but willing to take a swing as Gingras could leave and land in the pocket. This is a possible trip out candidate and hopefully won't be over bet.
    6-Family Recipe (5-1)-Recent form has been dull but now drops to a level of past success. This was Holland's pick over #5 who is 7/2 in the morning line. Needs the right set-up but should be a square price if connects.

    Race 11

    2-Jay Bracken A (4-1)-Ships in from Philly, lands in a spot to compete and Bartlett grabs the lines. Has good gate speed and can take control early on and look to make every call a winning one.
    6-Odds On Capitalism (7/2)-There isn't much form to chew on in this race. The 4-year-old has hit the board in 3 straight and had some excuses. Left from the 8-hole and then was 2nd to a winner who went in 152.2. Bumps up but there isn't much depth in this field and at least this Morgan trainee competes. Still looking for the 1st win this year (0-7) but did take 10 pictures in 24 starts in 2022.

    Race 12

    3-Bluebird Recon (6-1)-Almost came to a stop on 6-16 and then looked okay finishing 2nd in 153.3 on 6-23 in a qualifier. The Laterza barn has been cold and there are question marks but could top this crew with an efficient trip if dialed on high.
    5-Vernier Hanover (4-1)-This is another who has struggled this year (0-6). It was a different story in 2022, beating the $75k claimers back in November. Shouldn't blush at the company and Stratton between the pipes won't hurt chances.

    $1.00 Late Pick 4

    3,4/1,4,6/2,6/3,5
    Total Bet=$24
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358238

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Presque Isle Downs - Race #1
      #5 Nature Trail The price will get quite a bit shorter today after the good run last out in which she bothered the 7/5 chalk late and got DQ'ed at 38/1, but that was a solid local debut and she figures to hustle herself into good position early again today.
      #1 Calvary Kat Debuter has a decent enough string of works to her credit ahead of the unveiling, and I'm not sure this is the deepest special weight spot you're going to find here.
      #2 Kotylos He has a claim on this one as well in a spot where the top two choices are fillies in with the boys, and he has pretty honest finishing form that figures to have him in the frame for a piece again.
      Race Summary Nature Trail has some appeal right back in this second start off the layoff, and maybe she can repeat that good try last out while showing some pace again. Think she can do this.
      Presque Isle Downs - Race #6
      #5 Diamond Dust He's dangerous when he's able to find the front, and he's at least quick enough to hassle the guy drawn to his inside in the early stages. Think he can prompt early and land this.
      #3 Court and Spark He's making his third start off the break while bringing some pretty honest finishing form, and I wouldn't argue too much with anyone landing here if the price stayed at something appealing and midrange.
      #4 Nice Ace Nothing wrong with the overall form here, but he's likely to get bet again with what feels like another perfect trip waiting for him on paper. Wouldn't be a surprise, but I wouldn't be thrilled to sign on at anything like the 7/5 ML offering if he goes here instead of the stakes spot later.
      Race Summary Diamond Dust might be quickest of these, but he can also press Nice Ace early on if that guy breaks quickly and wants to make a race of it. Hoping he stays a bit playable with 'Ace taking cash?
      Presque Isle Downs - Race #7
      #7 Closethegame Sugar He was a good second to a class-dropping winner from the Triple Crown Trail, and I bet he has something better to show today in this second run off the layoff. Tactical type might get a perfect trip behind a few sharper pace players.
      #5 Nobals He goes from a 38/1 outsider pulling the Grade II upset on Derby Day to the one to beat while dropping hard for this, but his form isn't always super reliable. and he's meeting some other speed -- including a serious player from his own barn with an ace gate rider named.
      #8 Spirited Sol I was pretty disappointed in his flat route try last time out, but the previous sprint form was pretty solid, and it feels like at least a tiny bit of good news that they're willing to give him a try in stakes company while cutting back off the dull run. Could see it if the pace gets wild.
      Race Summary Closethegame Sugar should be able to settle and watch the race unfold in a spot with a couple potential sharp pace players. Be sure to reconsider this race after scratches -- Rivelli holds the two quickest pace horses and softens the tempo by a bit if he doesn't run them both.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358238

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Emerald Downs - Race #4
        #3 SILENT DECLARATION (8-5) Should declare himself a winner in this spot, key on all tickets.
        #1 NORTHERN BLEND (5-1) Roughed up at break, dueled to stretch, added ground a question.
        #4 PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE (6-1) Raced wide and trailed in $5k return off year layoff.
        Race Summary SILENT DECLARATION takes a magnified class drop in a dreadful field and will have every chance to enhance his 7/2-1-2 record at Emerald Downs. He chased fractions that rivaled a same-day, $15k/nw3 claiming race last out and ‘finished well’ for third. Make him today’s Best Bet.
        Emerald Downs - Race #5
        #2 DRAGON WORKS (6-1) Well-prepped from the gate for debut, gap in training the concern.
        #1 PLATINUM PHANTOM (10-1) Late interest in both starts, price attached, use in gimmicks.
        7 AVANTI LEAH (6-1) Stablemate of ‘Dragon’ rallied 5-wide to finish third behind the favorites.
        Race Summary DRAGON WORKS shows a steady series of works over the track after showing none during a nine-month stretch heading into this year. Her dam was a MSW winner at Keeneland and stakes-placed in her first year of racing. Bet to win and place.
        Emerald Downs - Race #7
        #2 SARGENT KLINE (6-1) Second to 9-5 pace controller in latest, steps up, good value play.
        #8 PESO (2-1) Worked bullets before two allowance tests, tries long sprint for the first time.
        #1 NAPOLEONIC CODE (5-2) Chased fast middle fractions in one-mile allowance in first start as gelding.
        Race Summary SARGENT KLINE is in good form, the lone entrant to win at this distance and worth a win and place bet on the class rise. He gets ample pace to rally into and upgrade his five in-the-money finishes at Emerald Downs to a victory.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358238

          #5
          Los Alamitos Tip Sheet - July 3

          Jul. 02, 2023


          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
          RACE #1 $47,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
          BEST BET: #6 GIVER NOT A TAKER
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 3-1 6 Giver Not a Taker A Fresu
          PLACE 4-1 5 Sir London R A Vazquez
          SHOW 7-2 2 Mor Tequila J J Hernandez
          WILD CARD 5-2 1 Mister Iceman E A Maldonado
          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Patron dOro A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Anmer Hall G Franco
          * EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
          RACE #2 $33,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 4-1 5 Professors Pride A Fresu
          PLACE 5-2 4 Kristis Tiger R A Vazquez
          SHOW 8-5 3 Sadie Bluegrass K Frey
          WILD CARD 9-2 2 Gypsy Lynn G Franco
          ALTERNATE 1 4-1 1 Paleos Princess D A Herrera
          * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
          RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET
          BEST BET: #5 REEF CITY
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 6-5 5 Reef City E A Maldonado
          PLACE 5-1 4 Bye Everybody E Payeras
          SHOW 10-1 3 Acceleray R Ramirez
          WILD CARD 5-2 1 Circle the Moon A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 1 3-1 2 Stella Boy A Alsagoor
          * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
          RACE #4 $47,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 4-1 2 Careless Kitten A Cedillo
          PLACE 3-1 1 Chicknfingerfriday T J Pereira
          SHOW 8-1 3 Bravestone E Hernandez
          WILD CARD 5-2 5 Star Prospect A Fresu
          ALTERNATE 1 8-5 4 Nauvoo R A Vazquez
          * EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
          RACE #5 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET
          BEST BET: #4 TAKE CHARGE CURLY
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 9-5 4 Take Charge Curly G Franco
          PLACE 7-2 5 Lens Luck D A Herrera
          SHOW 5-2 1 L L L Cool R A Vazquez
          WILD CARD 3-1 3 Imperial Hornet A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Moon Time A Fresu
          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Girth C Ortega
          * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
          RACE #6 $10,000 CLAIMING
          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 8-5 6 Octopus A Cedillo
          PLACE 3-1 4 Cajun Treasure R Ramirez
          SHOW 9-2 7 Midnight Special R A Vazquez
          WILD CARD 4-1 5 Blameless E Payeras
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Afternoon Heat E Garcia
          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Pedro Perez F Orduna-Rojas
          * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
          RACE #7 $6,250 CLAIMING
          5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 9-5 2 Ardtrea R Ramirez
          PLACE 6-1 6 Truth Prevails C Ortega
          SHOW 2-1 3 Jaycee A Alsagoor
          WILD CARD 8-1 4 Glitter Lake B Harvey
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Rock N Roll Song E Payeras
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Queen Verrazano D A Herrera
          * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
          RACE #8 $47,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 3 Bochombo K J Desormeaux
          PLACE 2-1 6 Colt Fiction E A Maldonado
          SHOW 9-5 4 Navy Man T J Pereira
          WILD CARD 6-1 5 Moraweth A Fresu
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Subsidize R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 1 Giants Brite Eye R Ramirez
          * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358238

            #6
            Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - July 3

            Jul. 02, 2023


            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
            RACE #1 $10,000 CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-2 9 Never to Many Hugs M Pedroza Jr.
            PLACE 4-1 3 Pumpitupjustice M Franklin
            SHOW 5-1 7 Band of Roses A P Ulloa
            WILD CARD 7-2 4 Snuggler H Leahey
            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Twirling Justice S E Bermudez
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 C F V Tu Brutus E E Perez
            * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
            RACE #2 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 4-5 5 Zippin Pippin M Pedroza Jr.
            PLACE 6-1 3 Midnight Grind D Cannon
            SHOW 15-1 1 Simply Complicated A Burgos
            WILD CARD 4-1 7 Terranova F Arrieta
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 A Star for Cora S Sanjur
            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 9 Uncommon Grace O Mojica
            * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
            RACE #3 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 5 Shagbark M Pedroza Jr.
            PLACE 9-2 10 Reflex E E Perez
            SHOW 6-1 1 Inclined S E Bermudez
            WILD CARD 5-1 2 Hawkeye J Morales
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 9 Hay Bill J D Ramos
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Tremor F De La Cruz
            * EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/5/10 BOX, 1/2/10 BOX
            RACE #4 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 6-1 1 Legal Titan D Cannon
            PLACE 10-1 3 Whos Snow Trouble E Morales
            SHOW 5-2 7 Because the Night M Pedroza Jr.
            WILD CARD 6-1 12 Suga Steve G Lagunes
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Inmydreams A Lezcano
            ALTERNATE 2 4-1 4 Value Engineer F De La Cruz
            * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 3/7/12 BOX
            RACE #5 $40,000 ALLOWANCE
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-2 8 Golddiggendevil J D Ramos
            PLACE 4-1 3 On the Raydar S E Bermudez
            SHOW 7-2 1 Bonne Chere E E Perez
            WILD CARD 5-1 5 Wire the Cash F De La Cruz
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 2 Bruster Justice M Pedroza Jr.
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Follow the Money E Esquivel
            * EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
            RACE #6 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-2 5 Emersons Dream M Franklin
            PLACE 10-1 4 Zipsy Rose Lee J Morales
            SHOW 8-5 10 Tourastar A Achard
            WILD CARD 5-1 1 Little Gray Flower A P Ulloa
            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 7 Birdsofafeather J D Ramos
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 11 Golden Heist R A Prescott
            * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 4/5/10 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
            RACE #7 $12,500 CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
            BEST BET: #2 DARE ME
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-5 2 Dare Me J D Ramos
            PLACE 8-1 4 Splash of Tonic M Pedroza Jr.
            SHOW 4-1 3 Fredericia H Leahey
            WILD CARD 30-1 8 Milk Money F De La Cruz
            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 5 Sister Saint E E Perez
            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 9 Perfect Smokey Eye J Morales
            * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
            RACE #8 $36,000 ALLOWANCE
            7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:50 PM ET
            BEST BET: #4 MANCIATA DORO
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 4 Manciata dOro M Pedroza Jr.
            PLACE 7-2 2 Rockin Justice A P Ulloa
            SHOW 20-1 1 Take Charge Gent E Esquivel
            WILD CARD 6-1 7 Jacksons Gold E E Perez
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Hard Rye Guy J D Ramos
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 12 Akamai R A Prescott
            * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
            RACE #9 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-2 8 Barn Stormer S E Bermudez
            PLACE 2-1 1 Sir Ronaldo R A Prescott
            SHOW 7-2 4 My Baby Grand R Aragon
            WILD CARD 10-1 12 Racing in My Heart M Pedroza Jr.
            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 6 Jack the Bird J Morales
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 San Ronin H Leahey
            * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/4/12 BOX
            RACE #10 $28,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
            7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-1 9 Epimythium M Anderson
            PLACE 7-2 1 Firewater Jake R A Prescott
            SHOW 3-1 10 Race Craft J D Ramos
            WILD CARD 6-1 6 The Queens Jules D Cannon
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Crosstown Shootout E Esquivel
            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 English Tide F Peterson
            * EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/9/10 BOX, 1/6/10 BOX
            RACE #11 $15,000 TRIALS
            400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 4-5 7 The Dirty Wagon G Rodriguez
            PLACE 8-1 9 Sundays Best G Vazquez-Gomez
            SHOW 6-1 6 Flashin Five Bar J D Marquez
            WILD CARD 15-1 2 Rb Ec Mystery Zoom J M Ruiz
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Streakindownthebeach R D Pina
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Seize Greatness S Jackson
            * EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX
            RACE #12 $15,000 TRIALS
            400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:50 PM ET
            BEST BET: #3 PILOTED BY AN ANGEL
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-2 3 Piloted by an Angel J D Marquez
            PLACE 8-5 5 Tachas Secret F Morin
            SHOW 6-1 8 Gv Diamante G Vazquez-Gomez
            WILD CARD 8-1 6 We B Flyin L D Martinez
            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Blacktrain B G Rodriguez
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Miss Corona Star J M Ruiz
            * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
            RACE #13 $15,000 TRIALS
            400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-5 4 Royal Sin G Rodriguez
            PLACE 6-1 3 Fun N Fancy Forrest J D Marquez
            SHOW 3-1 6 Dashtraxx R D Pina
            WILD CARD 20-1 8 Wheres Wilson G Vazquez-Gomez
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Cv Apollitical Chick E Diaz
            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Dna Mr Independent D Villamil Bocanegra
            * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
            RACE #14 $15,000 TRIALS
            400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:50 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 8-5 1 Winner Spirit J D Marquez
            PLACE 5-2 4 Ajk Forgiven J M Ruiz
            SHOW 5-1 2 Cv Struttinforakiss E Diaz
            WILD CARD 8-1 3 Runaway Beach Chic L D Martinez
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Heartofbonojazz R D Pina
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 It Is On D Villamil Bocanegra
            * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358238

              #7
              Belmont Park Tip Sheet - July 3

              Jul. 02, 2023


              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track
              RACE #1 $105,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 1 Mail Order J Lezcano
              PLACE 9-5 3 Roses for Debra J Rosario
              SHOW 3-2 6 Edie Meeny Miny Mo J Castellano
              WILD CARD 8-5 4 Adaay In Asia F Prat
              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Majestic dOro I Ortiz Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Sister Annie J A Gomez
              * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
              RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 11 Mooney Mooney T McCarthy
              PLACE 3-1 1 Nightsaber I Ortiz Jr.
              SHOW 6-1 2 Wonder Girl J A Torres
              WILD CARD 7-2 4 Lexis Spirit D Davis
              ALTERNATE 1 5-2 10 Party At Grants J L Ortiz
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Belleshazza M Franco
              * EXACTA: 11-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
              RACE #3 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
              1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET
              BEST BET: #4 APRIL ANTICS
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 4 April Antics J Lezcano
              PLACE 9-5 2 Reigning Chick J L Ortiz
              SHOW 9-2 6 Sweetie J Castellano
              WILD CARD 3-1 3 Harlans Bond I Ortiz Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Duckphat J A Gomez
              ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Racing Colors D Brown
              * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
              RACE #4 $25,000 CLAIMING
              1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:38 PM ET
              BEST BET: #1 VALENZAN DAY
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 1 Valenzan Day J L Ortiz
              PLACE 9-2 3 Blu Grotto M Franco
              SHOW 6-1 2 Union Lights J A Gomez
              WILD CARD 5-1 4 Bert Bert Bert K Carmouche
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Cheeky Tico A Castillo
              ALTERNATE 2 3-1 7 Cumberland Blues J Rosario
              * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
              RACE #5 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:10 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 5 Strictly Taboo J Rosario
              PLACE 6-1 10 Cerretta J A Torres
              SHOW 3-1 14 Ichiban J L Ortiz
              WILD CARD 8-1 6 Splashy F Prat
              ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Shelly M Franco
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Dream On Cara D Davis
              * EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 5/10/14 BOX, 6/10/14 BOX
              RACE #6 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
              1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:42 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 1 Colloquy J A Torres
              PLACE 3-1 5 Safalows Mission J Lezcano
              SHOW 6-1 7 Lucky Lucky Luke I Ortiz Jr.
              WILD CARD 10-1 6 Cicciobello J Castellano
              ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Pineapple Man D Davis
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Son of an Ex D Brown
              * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
              RACE #7 $65,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
              7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:16 PM ET
              BEST BET: #8 BALTASAR
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 8 Baltasar M Franco
              PLACE 5-1 5 Improper J A Gomez
              SHOW 5-2 2 Ice Road I Ortiz Jr.
              WILD CARD 7-2 3 Leonids J Alvarado
              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Red D G P R R Maragh
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Skylander J Castellano
              * EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
              RACE #8 $125,000 STAKES
              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:48 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 2 Dakota Gold I Ortiz Jr.
              PLACE 6-1 1 Hush of a Storm F Prat
              SHOW 5-2 4 Jerry the Nipper J L Ortiz
              WILD CARD 5-1 5 Cold Hard Cash J Lezcano
              ALTERNATE 1 5-2 10 Dr Ardito M Franco
              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Somelikeithotbrown J Castellano
              * EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
              RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 6-1 13 Atlantas Acuna J Castellano
              PLACE 5-1 9 Barry the Builder J Rosario
              SHOW 9-2 1 Zapruder D Davis
              WILD CARD 4-1 10 Over the Cap J L Ortiz
              ALTERNATE 1 5-1 11 Bad Larry M Franco
              ALTERNATE 2 7-2 7 Maythisbetheone J Lezcano
              * EXACTA: 13-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/9/13 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358238

                #8
                Thistledown Tip Sheet - July 3

                Jul. 02, 2023


                Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.
                RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 4 Holy Saint L M Briceno
                PLACE 3-1 3 Mr Lightning Boy R Feliciano
                SHOW 5-2 1 O Cigano A I Diaz
                WILD CARD 8-1 2 Khalfani L R Rivera
                ALTERNATE 1 9-2 5 Twice as Smart V Severino
                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Tuff Attack R Halledeen
                * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
                RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
                BEST BET: #3 SMUDGE THE CAT
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 3 Smudge the Cat L R Rivera
                PLACE 9-5 5 Murtagh T D Houghton
                SHOW 9-2 1 K P Silver Bullet F Salazar Becerra
                WILD CARD 5-2 4 Bad Little Beast E Barbaran
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 The Wild Flyer J A Bracho
                * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
                RACE #3 $29,700 ALLOWANCE
                1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
                BEST BET: #3 RIGHT TRAPPE
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 9-5 3 Right Trappe L A Gonzalez
                PLACE 5-2 7 High Fire J A Bracho
                SHOW 12-1 4 Incessant R Halledeen
                WILD CARD 7-2 2 Annmaria F Salazar Becerra
                ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Bourbon Buns E Barbaran
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Shes Crafty J J Velez
                * EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
                RACE #4 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 5 Gold Appeal L R Rivera
                PLACE 7-2 3 Wicked Reese J S Toledo
                SHOW 8-1 2 Dees Ky Wildcat A I Diaz
                WILD CARD 5-2 4 Riverandfairmount A Hernandez-Lopez
                ALTERNATE 1 5-1 1 My Two Jakes V R Fernandez
                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Shesanothersong R Halledeen
                * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                RACE #5 $5,000 CLAIMING
                1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
                BEST BET: #4 ALGORIX
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 4 Algorix V Severino
                PLACE 9-2 5 Say Hey Kid J S Toledo
                SHOW 10-1 1 Klaatu A I Diaz
                WILD CARD 6-1 2 Open Out E Barbaran
                ALTERNATE 1 5-2 6 Unidentified Man E Paucar
                ALTERNATE 2 7-2 3 Geh Schnell T D Houghton
                * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
                RACE #6 $28,000 ALLOWANCE
                1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 1 Tyrona L A Gonzalez
                PLACE 5-2 4 Candymonium R Feliciano
                SHOW 7-2 5 Sakonna E Barbaran
                WILD CARD 4-1 2 Gracie Dance F Salazar Becerra
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Unescorted L M Briceno
                ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Jacks Yacht Queen V Salazar Becerra
                * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
                RACE #7 $35,800 ALLOWANCE
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 7-2 1 Ratatat F Salazar Becerra
                PLACE 5-1 6 Dew It With Style R Feliciano
                SHOW 2-1 5 Kat Trax A I Diaz
                WILD CARD 5-2 7 Roaring Ginger E Barbaran
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Titebluejeans L R Rivera
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Kiss Valentina J A Bracho
                * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
                RACE #8 $7,500 CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 9-5 6 Mitesse A I Diaz
                PLACE 5-2 4 Years Ago L R Rivera
                SHOW 4-1 1 Time for Cupid J S Toledo
                WILD CARD 6-1 2 Danzing Chick F Salazar Becerra
                ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Dream to Win R Halledeen
                ALTERNATE 2 5-1 5 May Beau V Salazar Becerra
                * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358238

                  #9
                  Belmont Park Hotlist - July 3

                  Jul. 02, 2023


                  By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
                  Hot List Key:
                  A:
                  A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                  *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                  *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                  * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                  2nd race [Md 40000, 7F TURF] – (2) Wonder Girl (B) lost her two rear shoes in the paddock before the race and ran for purse money only. She pressed the pace going a mile and then faded a bit in the stretch. (8) Keep It Sexy will drop into the claiming ranks for the first time with speed figures that make her a contender in this field. (3) Just a Splash will also drop into a maiden claimer for the first time and cuts back in distance. (5) Belleshazza pressed the pace in her first start of the year and finished fourth behind a horse that came back to win her next start.
                  3rd race [NY, Alw 80000, 1 mi] – (3) Harlan’s Bond returns to the dirt and NY-bred company where he broke his maiden in February at Aqueduct and gets Irad Ortiz on board. (5) Duckphat could get a very similar comment to the top choice, but he goes for much lower profile connections and will be much better odds. (4) April Antics shows no recent races against state-breds but does have four top three finishes in a row including a win at the Big A in April. (6) Sweetie was a debut maiden special weight winner and came right back to run third in an allowance at Aqueduct. She is a 5-year-old that has only three career starts.
                  4th race [Clm 25000B, 1 mi] – (1) Valenzan Day was claimed from his last two starts including most recently by Linda Rice for $32,000. Rice has used this pattern before with lots of success – drop down after a short layoff in the first start for her barn and get a quick profit with a win and Jose Ortiz riding. (6) Super Quality was claimed for $14,000 from his last two races, two weeks ago he set the pace and finished second going a mile for Rice. (4) Bert Bert Bert got an impressive win last time for a $25,000 tag with a surge in speed figures. (7) Cumberland Blues tried the turf last time with poor results and moves back to the dirt where he was second in the prior race.
                  9th race [NY, Md 40000, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (9) Barry the Builder (A) got shut off while stuck on the rail without racing room and probably should have finished second in a similar spot in his second start of the year. (7) Maythisbetheone has a pair of thirds in his two starts this year while moving back onto the grass. (1) Zapruder moves to the barn of Linda Rice, gets first-time Lasix, and drops in for a tag for the first time. (5) Conquist drops in for the $40,000 price in his second start of the year with several starts last year that make him a contender in here.
                  Best bets: Harlan’s Bond (3rd); Valenzan Day (4th). Best value: Wonder Girl (2nd); Barry the Builder (9th).
                  No. Name Letter/
                  last race
                  Today's Race Comments
                  (2) Wonder Girl B on 6/2 2 Lost two rear shoes in paddock.
                  (9) Barry the Builder A on 6/3 9 Stuck on the rail, got shut off, should have run second.
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