3-4-09

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#539 - NCAA - 3 units on Saint Louis +7.5
#543 - NCAA - 3 units on Miami Florida -4
#557 - NCAA - 3 units on Vanderbilt +9.5
#585 - NCAA - 3 units on UL Monroe +10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

charliessports wednesday march 4, 2009 plays.

cbb. tulsa-9 (500*)
cbb. central michigan-7 (30*)
cbb. marquette+10 (20*)
cbb. oklahoma+4 (20*)
nba. cleveland-13' (10*)
nba. new jersey+6' (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Marc Lawrence
Playbook plays.These 5* been hot all year



5* Utah Jazz Wednesday March 4

5* Xavier Thursday March 5

4* Utah Jazz Friday March 6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Dave Molinski

6- Virginia tech

6- marq/pitt Under

5- missouri

4- Miami heat

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Red Wings/Avalanche over 6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

California Sports
4* Marshall
4* Fla. Int'l
3* S Hall
3* Tulsa
3* wisc
3* Milw Bucks

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston College over NC State slated to start at 7:00 EST. NC State has not been an aggressive type of team as reflected by the fact that they get fewer foul calls than their opponents. They tend to be a perimeter team and play a pain area zone defense. Note that BC is a solid 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games since 1997. BC is a solid foul shooting team and NC State is just 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games versus good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. NC State is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Take BC.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

RAS Sides

#564 UTEP +1 2.0 rating
#583 FLA Int. +5.5 1.5 rating
#578 Middle Tenn. -8.5 1.0 rating

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kansas Jayhawks @ Texas Tech Red Raiders - Wednesday March 4, 2009 9:30 pm
Pick: 5 units ATS: Kansas Jayhawks -10.5 (-110)



Kansas is one of the hottest teams in the country, and they have a chance to wrap up the Big 12 regular season championship with a win in this game. The Jayhawks play Texas in their last game of the season, so they won’t want to leave anything to chance in this game. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has really struggled this season and has been routinely blown out at home, with never in doubt losses to Texas, Oklahoma State, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. Kansas has gone 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games, including double digit road wins. Texas Tech has given up on the season, and they won’t be able to keep this game close against a motivated Kansas team.

5 UNIT SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Tom Freese

20* No Brainer

Houston at Utah
Play: Houston +8.5

Utah is in a 53-22 ATS System that says to Play On home favorites if they shoot 47.5% or better from the floor if their opponent allows teams to shoot 43.5% to 45.5% from the floor if both teams have a +3 to -3 rebounding margin a game. Houston is in a 95-50 ATS Play Against System that says to Go Against teams who won three of their last four games if in this game both teams have a win percentage of 60% to 75%. 20* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON UTAH

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Mark Fox

Boston at New Jersey
Play: Boston -7

In this NBA matchup between the Boston Celtics and New Jersey Nets, lay the points on the road with the CELTICS!!!

# The Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their L13 ROAD games
# The Celtics are 14-2 ATS in their L16 ROAD games where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points
# The Celtics are 6-2 ATS this season as a ROAD favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
# The Celtics are 9-2 ATS this season when playing with 2 days rest
# The Celtics are 8-1 ATS this season after allowing 105 points or more

# The Nets are 3-5 ATS this season vs. a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season
# The Nets are 12-19 ATS in their L31 March games
# The Nets are 14-17 ATS this season at HOME

The Celtics have WON 7 STRAIGHT games SU & ATS vs. the Nets INCLUDING 2 BLOWOUTS this season (105-85 in NJ on 1/17/09 & 118-86 at home on 1/14/09)!!!!! The Celtics have WON 6 STRAIGHT games SU & ATS vs. the Nets in NJ!!!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Matt FAGRO

BYU at Wyoming
Play: Wyoming

We often see this situation late in the season. Teams that are in the thick of conference regular season championships tend to be extremely overvalued with their lines and that is the case with BYU. Following New Mexico?s win last night over Utah, the Cougars are still within reach of the MWC Championship and because of that, the linesmakers have made this line larger than it should be. BYU is no doubt playing good basketball right now as it is 7-1 it is last eight games and has beaten up on the bad teams in the conference, going 5-0 combined against TCU, Colorado St. and Air Force, with one game still remaining against the Falcons on Saturday. The Cougars are just 5-4 against the rest of the conference with all of those teams having at least a .500 record in MWC action. That includes Wyoming who is sitting at 7-7 and is one of the hottest teams in the conference. Since losing four straight games, the Cowboys have bounced back with four straight wins including the last two on the road which is huge considering they came into those games 19 on the road. They are now back home for the final two games and both will be tests for sure but considering they are 15-1 at home, they do have a big home court edge. On the season, the home team is 24-4 in Wyoming games and those teams that the road team won were by an average of just 5.8 ppg. With a pair of victories in their final two games and some outside help, the Cowboys still has a shot at finishing in a tie for fourth place. To get there, they would have to win both of their games, UNLV would have to lose against Air Force but beat San Diego St. and San Diego St. would have to lose each of their final games. The scenario is a bit of a stretch, but the fact that the Cowboys are in that situation with one week to play says a lot about how far they've come in the past two weeks. The Cowboys are in good position to play in either the College Basketball Invitational or the newly formed College Insider Tournament. A win would solidify those chances, and possibly move them into consideration for the National Invitational Tournament. The place should be electric as Wyoming is hoping for its largest crowd of the season with one of its biggest rivals coming to Laramie. There is a lot of talk about who the best player is in the conference and in my opinion, he resides in Laramie. In the 10-year history of the Mountain West Conference, no player has ever led the league in both scoring and assists. With two games remaining, senior guard Brandon Ewing is on pace to become the first with a league-best 18.6 ppg and 5.2 apg. This is not his final home game but it is his final shot as defeating hated BYU. His Cowboys are 0-8 in the eight games they have played against the Cougars with him in a Wyoming uniform. One of those road losses for the Cowboys came against BYU. The Cougars cruised to an 84-60 victory against the Cowboys on Jan. 31, shooting 57 percent from the field and leading wire to wire. That sets up a big revenge matchup here and this team is obviously much better when playing in the confines of Arena-Auditorium. Wyoming is 21-10 ATS in home games over the last three seasons and that includes a 15-6 ATS record against conference opponents. The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams that are forcing fewer than 14 turnovers per game while going 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games against teams that turn it over 12 or fewer times per game. This Wyoming team is playing with confidence and while the Cougars are the superior team, anything can happen in this building. It should be a close battle and the large number of points at home is a huge bonus. 5* Wyoming Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Docs***** NBA
3-Unit Play #508 Take Miami -2 ½ Over Phoenix (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

This will be the Suns third tough game in four nights and we think this team is overrated right now to begin with. Last night in Orlando they fell apart in the fourth quarter and we see that fatigue continuing tonight against a rested Miami team that has played just one game in the last three nights and are at home. We liked Orlando last night because they can score when playing an up-tempo team like the Suns and they also play very strong defense at home, and this is the same trait that the Heat possess. They allow just 94 PPG at home while the Suns defense is putrid regardless of venue. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Miami has won two straight in the series (both in Phoenix, no less) and covered three straight.



3-Unit Play #514 Take Dallas -2 ½ Over San Antonio (9 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

We always talk about how revenge isn’t that big of a factor in the NBA but in certain situations it can be huge and we feel that is the case tonight. Last week the Mavericks got smacked around in San Antonio and managed only 76 points while shooting 34 percent from the field and only 15 percent from behind the arc. That is more than 10 percentage points under their season shooting average and more than 15 under their three-point shooting average. We just see those numbers coming way up tonight in a revenge situation against a major rival in front of the home fans, where Dallas has played very well lately. They have won 10 of their last 11 at home with the only loss coming against Boston. We expect an inspired effort tonight and an east Dallas cover.



4-Unit Play #515 Take Houston/Utah UNDER 201 ½ (9 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Both teams have been playing excellent defense lately and we are hoping for a defensive battle tonight. The Rockets have allowed 93 PPG in their last five while Utah has allowed just 95 PPG during the same span. Utah has held four of their last six opponents in the 80s. Houston has allowed only one team to score more than 100 in their last nine games. Five of the last six games for Utah have gone under and they have been concentrating more on defense and we feel the oddsmakers have not caught up with the totals.



3-Unit Play #520 Take LA Clippers -2 Over Memphis (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

We have been burned with the Clippers a couple times lately but we can’t resist taking them here laying the small number against a team that has only won three games on the road all season. The Clippers have not done much better at home but they have struggled with injuries more than any other team in the NBA and tonight they will have the services of Baron Davis, Marcus Camby and Al Thornton. We just think that there is a lot more seasoned talent on this side tonight and that the home court edge is not really reflected in the line. The Clippers have won two of their last five, against Boston and Golden State, while Memphis has dropped nine straight. The Clippers have covered in eight of the last 10 meetings.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

NSA's Selection
CBB Oklahoma @ Missouri 9:00 PM EST 20* Oklahoma +4.5
CBB Marquette @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM EST 10* Marquette +10.5
CBB Memphis @ Houston 8:00 PM EST 10* Memphis -7
CBB Kansas @ Texas Tech 9:30 PM EST 10* Kansas -10.5
NBA Boston @ New Jersey 7:30 PM EST 10* Boston -6
NBA Atlanta @ New York 7:30 PM EST 10* Atlanta Pk

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-4-09

Bob BaLF
NBA Basketball
Nets +7 over Celtics

NCAA Basketball
Mississippi +4.5 over Arkansas