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Bob Balfe:
MLB
12:05 PM EST
Rotation #921
Rangers -1.5 runs over Nationals -125
Dunning/Corbin
The Rangers are on the last game of their road trip and will start Dane Dunning today. Dunning has been great the entire season, and the Rangers offense has been consistent. Texas has the best slugging percentage in the American League against left-handed pitching and will face the struggling Patrick Corbin. We will take the run line since the money line is too high to play. Take the Rangers -1.5 runs.rite up comingComment
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RICK TORINO
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 75 Dime - Texas Rangers (Dunning) -1 1/2 runs over the Washington Nationals (Corbin).
The Line: The Rangers are -1 12 runs, -130 at 7:00 am eastern time.
Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or this is a no play.
Today's AnalysisNo question the Rangers are limping to the All-Star Break, as Texas comes into this rubber game with the Washington Nationals having gone 6-10 over their last 16 games, and they have suffered losses in 5 of their last 7 overall!
Today I expect the Rangers to get healthy though as they have Dane Dunning going to the bump to face Patrick Corbin.
Dunning has been stellar this first half with an 8-1 record and an ERA of just 2.61. He happens to be coming off one of his best starts of the year as he held the Boston Red Sox to 1 run on 6 hits in 6 full innings worked.
For the year he has allowed more than 3 runs only once in his 11 starts, so you can see why I believe Washington is going to be stuck on 1 or 2 runs max today.
Conversely, Patrick Corbin is just 5-10 with an over 5 season ERA, and he was just shellacked in his last start against the Cincinnati Reds.
Prior to yesterday's 8-3 win, the Nats had been losers of 5 in a row.
Back to the loss column for Washington today.
Take Texas on the Run Line.
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CHRIS JORDAN
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 1000♦ N.Y. Mets
The Line: At 5:15 am pacific, the line is +110.
Instructions: Scherzer and Musgrove MUST GO.
TODAY'S ANALYSIS
A clear pitching showdown at Petco Park tonight, with New York Mets starting pitcher Max Scherzer facing San Diego Padres starter Joe Musgrove.
Both have pitched impressively of late, but I'm going to side with the veteran here, as I'm confident he'll be backed by an angry lineup out for revenge after losing Saturday 3-1, and seeing a six-game win streak come to an end.
I'll start with Scherzer, who is 6-0 since May 14 with a 3.45 ERA. And over that stretch the Mets have won seven of his 10 starts, during which he's allowed an average of 2.4 runs per outing.
He'll put the handcuffs on a Padres team that has lost 11 of 18, and a franchise he's had success against. Scherzer is 7-3 with a 2.76 ERA against San Diego, including a victory in his lone start against the Padres this season, when he threw five scoreless innings.
I realize Musgrove is 6-0 in his last eight starts, and that he's been pretty efficient at home. But I also know he's 1-5 with a 5.83 ERA lifetime against the Mets, including going 0-5 with a 6.33 ERA in his last five starts against them.
So, a pitching showdown? Maybe, on paper.
But Scherzer and the Mets are the right side in this one.Comment
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ANSON MUNSON
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 150 DIME - Toronto Blue Jays (Bassitt) over the Detroit Tigers (Skubal).
The Line: At 6:15 am eastern time, the Blue Jays are -130
Note: Both listed pitchers must go, or NO ACTION on this release.
Your Analysis
Yesterday Matt Manning worked the first 6-plus innings, while Jason Foley and Alex Lang closed out the backend of the 9 innings played as the Tigers no-hit the Blue Jays in a 2-0 win. That no-hitter coming a night after the Jays had plated a dozen runs at Comerica Park in a 12-2 thumping of Detroit.
I am expecting the Jays to bounce-back with the "W" today and go to the break headed in the positive direction they have been moving in for a while here in the month of July.
Toronto is still 7-3 overall in the last 10 series meetings versus Detroit, and prior to yesterday's no-show, the Blue Jays had won 4 in a row.
On the flip side, the Tigers had dropped 3 of its previous 4 prior to yesterday's surprise result.
Tarik Skubal will make just his 2nd start of the season, as he is working his way back from flexor tendon surgery. In his 1st start, the southpaw worked a positive 4 no-hit innings against Oakland. I would guess he may go a little longer today, but I doubt they let him work deep into the game.
Chris Bassitt will get the ball for Toronto as he tries to get his club back in the win column, and Bassitt has looked sharp in his last pair of efforts, logging 12 innings with 3 runs allowed, while sporting a 1-0 mark.
Toronto to rediscover its offense this afternoon as they head to the break with the win.Comment
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AL DEMARCO - GM
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 20 DIME on the Guardians on the Run Line
The Line: The Guardians are -115 laying -1 1/2 Runs at 9:30 am pacific
Today's Analysis
Time to fade Kansas City again.
As you know on Wednesday I had Minnesota on the Run Line against the Royals and Pablo Lopez fired a four-hit shutout with 12 strikeouts in a 5-0 win.
In Thursday's series opener at Cleveland I backed the Guardians on the Run Line and they rolled, 6-1. Friday it was more of the same; another Run Line win on the home team, this time as a +115 pup in a 3-0 victory.
Cleveland didn't need my help on Saturday as it banged out a season-high 18 hits en route to a 10-6 victory that dropped the Royals' road record to 12-34 on the year.
The Guardians are 31-13 in the series dating back to the start of the 2021 season, including 15-5 at Progressive Field.
As I noted previously this week, Cleveland was on a 9-4 roll before opening its homestand by losing two-of-three to Atlanta. No shame in going 1-2 against the best team in baseball. Now, the club is on the verge of a four-game sweep with Shane Bieber heading to the hill.
Bieber was roughed up (4.2 IP, 4 R, 5 BB) in his last outing by the visiting Braves on Tuesday, yet his ERA in eight home starts is still 3.02. And the 28-year-old right-hander's previous start came at Kansas City and it was a strong effort as he pitched six innings of two-hit, shutout ball with eight strikeouts.
Bieber went 2-0 with a 1.02 ERA in three starts against Kansas City last seasonComment
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GUS AUGUSTINE
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 60 Dime Philadelphia Phillies
The Line: At 8:35 am eastern, the number is +100
Instructions: Nola and Luzardo MUST GO.
Your Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies had their road win streak come to an end with yesterday's loss at the Miami Marlins. Time to bounce back and head into the All-Star Break on a winning note.
Despite Saturday's loss, the Phils have still on 23 of 31. Their offense has been consistent since June 3, hitting .268 and scoring more than 5 runs per game. They've shown their power with 40 homers in the 31 games, and shown their diversity with 9.4 hits per game - 36.3% of them for extra bases.
[COLOR=#000000][FONT=Arial]I expect them to get to Miami's Jes
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MATT RIVERS
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 50 Dimes - Marlins
The Line: The Marlins are -120 at 10:10 am here on Sunday morning in Miami where I live.
Notes: Both starters - Luzardo for Miami and Nola for Philadelphia - are listed.
My Analysis:
Jesus Luzardo won at Philadelphia back on April 11. Not a great performance (6 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 5 K), but good enough for the W.
I expect more today with the 25-year-old left-hander back at home where he's got a 2.39 ERA through 10 starts. In 60.1 IP pitching here in Miami he's allowed only 43 hits (4 homers) and fanned 72 batters with only 17 walks.
Luzardo is coming off a dominant performance Tuesday at home against St. Louis: 6 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 8 K.
The Marlins snapped the Phillies' 13-game road win streak with Saturday's 5-3 victory.
Aaron Nola carries a 4.90 ERA through his first 11 road starts into the game. He was on the losing end of the April 11 game against Luzardo as he was tagged for 4 runs in 5.2 innings.Comment
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WUNDERDOG
MLB
San Diego -124 v NY MetsComment
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RAS free play live release
NBA summer league
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