Wednesday 7/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:48 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 7/19/23

July 19, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The Wednesday opener is the A. P. Smithwick Memorial Handicap, a Grade-1 event for hurdlers. We will pass the race.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Cloud Forest; 3-Happy Bob
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The two morning line favorites will get the bulk of the play in this maiden $40,000 main track miler. Cloud Forest (7/5) drops to his lowest level ever and seems well-spotted to earn his diploma in his seventh career start. He is superior on speed figures to Happy Bob (8/5), but the latter is a first-off-the-claim play for Linda Rice (a massive 27% with this angle), who took the Runhappy gelding for this price out of a moderate third place performance in a sprint at Belmont Park in late May and today attracts “go-to” rider Jose Ortiz. Improvement is almost assured. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise skip.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:19 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Maddie’s Grace
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Maddie’s Grace (6/5 on the morning line) broke her maiden sprinting on turf at Aqueduct in April while earning good figure and then stayed on willingly to be second in a solid performance at this level in mid-May at Belmont Park. A repeat of either one of those two races in this starter allowance abbreviated grass dash for fillies and mares will be good enough for a return to the winner’s circle. The switch to Irad Ortiz, Jr. certainly doesn’t hurt. A complete standout on speed figures, the daughter of Hard Spun is a logical short-priced, no value, rolling exotic single.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Back Ring Luck/2b-Musical Heart
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Dontbelate

Forecast: Owner/trainer David Jacobson has two strong entrants in this bottom-rung $10,000 claiming main track miler but we suspect one will scratch. Back Ring Luck nosedives in class following a starter’s allowance win at Delaware Park and three races back he was out photo’d in a $50,000 seller at Belmont Park. With Irad Ortiz, Jr., taking the call, he’ll logically be odds-on if he can pass the pre-race vet. Stable mate Musical Heart clearly is off form, but he has won over the Saratoga main track in the past and is a former stakes winner now racing cheap. Against this group he might perk up. The other legit player in the race is Dontbelate, a winner of three of his last four starts but from a low percentage outfit and a voided claim out of a six length romp at this level in mid-May. Best advice is to tread lightly, or simply sit it out.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Excess Demand; 3-Run Smitty Run
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Excess Demand, a former $400,000 yearling buy, won a maiden claiming $10,000 event in his second career start in mid-May at Monmouth Park by nine lengths with a good number, but after being ambitiously raised to the $50,000 level in his most recent outing in which he displayed speed but faded readily he’s back facing cheap types in this main track restricted $16,000 claiming miler. The Chad Brown-trained son of Candy Ride projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking/prompting trip outside and then have his chance to kick on when asked for his best. Run Smitty Run has a look against this group off his easy five length maiden $40,000 win two races back at the Big A. He was a non-factor on turf in a restricted (nw-2) $30,000 seller last time out but with this class drop and a return to dirt he should be reasonably competitive.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Ilikefunsize; 7-Ginuccha
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Ilikefunsize was given too much to do after being knocked back at the start to trail her rivals but then put together an extended run to finish strongly behind Wine on Tap to finish an eager runner-up in an excellent debut effort last month at Belmont Park. The barn has superior stats with the second time starter angle (26%) so we’re expecting the Laurel Park-based daughter of Upstart to graduate in this restricted maiden special weight sprint for juvenile fillies. Hopefully, she can leave cleanly and secure a reasonable early position. Ginuccha is a sneaky first timer shipping in from Parx. The barn is powerful with debut runners (29%) and daughter of the promising first crop stallion Maximum Mischief lands Irad Ortiz, Jr., so we suspect she’ll turn up a live item.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Collaboration; 9-Im Just Kiddin
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Lisa’s Vision; 8-Toolcat

Forecast: This grass grab bag requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go four deep and hope that will be sufficient to survive and advance. Collaboration is a progressive filly with a pair of recent first place finishes (disqualified two races back) to rate top billing in this second level state-bred allowance affair. The Linda Rice-trained filly has good tactical speed and should be able to adjust to any pace scenario. Genuine and consistent and never off the board in five career grass outings, she is quite likely to fire another big shot today. Im Just Kiddin was awarded the win when crossing the wire second behind our top pick in late May and should be somewhere in the fray once again. She can be trouble prone and a tough ride, but if she can get some cover early and relax, the daughter of Justify has the ability to win.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Sixtythreecalibur
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Gerrymander

Forecast: Sixtythreecalibur exits a series of much stronger stakes races and has recent speed figures that are stronger than par for this three-other-than allowance condition. The Gun Runner filly will greatly appreciate the class relief in this main track miler for fillies and mares and projects to enjoy a comfortable second flight, stalking position. She’s the legitimate 8/5 morning line favorite and may go a bit lower.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Cadencia
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Anna Karenine; 8-Flatfooted

Forecast: Cadencia has the route-to-sprint angle that we like, and after being worn down late over a mile at Belmont Park last time out she shortens in trip and projects to enjoy a second flight, stalking position. She’s always been happier finishing second (seven times) than winning (twice) but that record might be nothing more than a function of being raced at distances longer than she really prefers. The abbreviated dash seems perfect for her style.

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RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Mz Big Bucks
Backups/savers: 1-Red Moon

Forecast: Mz Big Bucks just wired a similar field over seven furlongs on turf at Belmont Park and today will try to do the same when stretching out to a two-turn mile for the first time. She easily projects as the controlling speed once again and her pedigree suggests today’s trip should be well within her range, so at 5/2 on the morning line the daughter of War Dancer looks like a logical win play and a main push in the various rolling exotics.

For a video analysis of this race, click this link: New York Stallion Series Stakes

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:49 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#3 Honey Hauler	Cutback player meets a couple pace players who might set things up for a late rally here, and I like her reliable form over the local footing. Think she's got a late claim on this.
#2 Diamond Dust	He's one of the more capable forward players lined up in here, and he caught a pretty classy and tough winner last time out. Something similar keeps him in the mix, but I worry he might have some company up top in the early going.
#6 Sogno Di Campione	Nothing wrong with his form since arriving in the country, but he's at least a mild question over the local surface, and he is another who should be in that early battle. Wide draw gives him some benefit.
Race Summary	Honey Hauler is in really good form right now and cuts back while looking for a third straight score, and she isn't overmatched here while facing the boys.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#10 Night Ride	Nothing wrong with his recent local form, and I think his running style should leave him in a great spot to track the pace and get an early jump on the deeper finishers. Interesting riser at a square price?
#5 E Minor	He should be in a spot to get a similar tactical trip, and his form took a nice step in the right direction in that local debut. Wouldn't be a surprise here.
#1 Van	He ran a good one behind a tough and well-meant winner last time out, and he has that reliable finishing form that might be enough to get him along late for a piece of this again.
Race Summary	Night Ride woke up when getting some class relief with the locals, but I think he stacks up well enough with these while rising again, even if he loses Morales this time around.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#8 Marsac	He's not all that reliable late, but I think he might be able to stick around for a piece of this if he can find the front without taking too much heat. Wouldn't be a total shock at a nice number.
#10 Cathmoor	He's an honest enough kind of grinder, but I'm not totally sure how his recent sprint pace is going to transfer around two turns. He's there if that one-paced effort extends here.
#5 Side Tracked	He's supposed to be tough in here while cutting the price tag after trying a better group last out, and one of his better tries probably keeps him in the frame again. Dangerous.
Race Summary	Marsac has some pace appeal in a race without a ton of super serious early burn, and he has some chance to relax this field behind him and try to find something late. Price should be ok.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:49 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Penn National - Race #1

#5 OBJET D’ART (5-1)	Worked pair of 5F bullets from the gate for first start; dam was win-early type.
#4 WISE CHOICE (2-1)	Saved ground, bulled through opening in mid-stretch, good finish for second.
#7 WEST ABBOTT (5-2)	Sat decent trip, floated out for stretch drive, beaten fave against Wise Choice.
Race Summary	OBJET D’ART debuts on turf for a barn that is 6-24 with a positive ROI the last 30 days. Her dam, Item (5-20, $210k), was a first-out winner at Penn National, second-out stakes winner at Laurel Park and a two-time allowance victor at Parx, albeit all on the main track.

Penn National - Race #4

#2 TWIST OF FAITH (7-2)	Leads for as far as he goes in first long-distance test.
#3 MIDNIGHT STRIKES (5-2)	Finished last in heavily-bet return from a nine-month layoff, sheds blinks.
#6 SIR STEELE (3-2)	Piling up the checks at this level but has yet to cash in on a win.
Race Summary	TWIST OF FAITH could be long gone on the front end if he handles his first route assignment. He set the pace in a pair of higher-tagged sprints out of town last year but came up empty chasing the longshot winner in his second start back this season. His dam was a Maiden Special Weight and two-time allowance winner at one mile. Bet to win and place.

Penn National - Race #6

#5 ABHAR (3-1)	Carried his speed the distance for first win in two years, can do it again.
#1 INNUENDO (6-1)	Been coming up short in the stretch in route races, still winless on fast track.
#7 COFFEE WITH ALEX (5-2)	Romped on switch to Kreiser barn, runs for cheapest tag of career.
Race Summary	ABHAR opened a long lead and won geared down, finishing 2/5 of a second slower than a same-day sprint under these conditions. He’s clearly a different horse of late and can make good use of his speed in a repeat bid. Bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:52 AM

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - July 19

Jul. 18, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 K JS LEGACY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	6	K Js Legacy	F De La Cruz
PLACE	5-1	1	Yolo Santiago	S Sanjur
SHOW	5-2	3	Neoking	A P Ulloa
WILD CARD	9-5	4	Jahez	R Mojica Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	5	Blazen Justice	J Morales
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Cant Say Elly Mae	R A Prescott

* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 $15,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 RIVER ANT

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	3	River Ant	J D Ramos
PLACE	5-2	5	Bumpy	O Mojica
SHOW	8-1	4	Dulce Victoria	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Sticker	R A Prescott

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Conquered	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Passing Attraction	S E Bermudez

* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

RACE #3 $42,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	5	Mintchocolatechip	J D Ramos
PLACE	6-1	1	Climber	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	3-1	3	Botox Katie	S Sanjur
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Miss Luv Shack	F De La Cruz

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Fashion Diva	H Leahey
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	No More Fake News	M Franklin

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

RACE #4 $43,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	4	Tay	A Burgos
PLACE	12-1	2	Bruster Justice	S Sanjur
SHOW	4-1	7	Wire the Cash	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Bonne Chere	J Morales

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	One Way Ray	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	5	Good Forever	M Pedroza Jr.

* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX

RACE #5 $38,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	3	Timeless Rose	M Pedroza Jr.
PLACE	5-2	11	Pretti Xtreme	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	6-1	4	Bumble of Love	R A Prescott
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Queridinha Leca	J D Ramos

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	10	Good Penny	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	5	Covenant Lady	A P Ulloa

* EXACTA: 3-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/11 BOX, 1/4/11 BOX

RACE #6 $36,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	8	Doros Wish	S E Bermudez
PLACE	9-2	7	Tabeguache	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	12-1	3	Me and Chili	O Mojica
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Call of Honor	W A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Jrs Gift	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Dog Red	F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

RACE #7 $32,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:36 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Ocean Pointe	J D Ramos
PLACE	10-1	11	Great Coolness	O Mojica
SHOW	7-2	1	Nerves of Steel	J Talamo
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Rockin Justice	A P Ulloa

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	14	Circle Back Jack	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Jacksons Gold	J Morales

* EXACTA: 2-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 1/6/11 BOX

RACE #8 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	5	Baytown Bama Girl	H Leahey
PLACE	9-2	6	Aim Higher	S Sanjur
SHOW	6-1	9	Tidbit	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	9-5	2	Dooblay	D Cohen

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	3	Catholic Gal	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	13	All the Glory	M Pedroza Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX

RACE #9 $17,000 MAIDEN 250 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	9	Apollitical Ocean	F Morin
PLACE	7-2	3	Fueled by Ivory	S Jackson
SHOW	20-1	2	Tw Love Speed Racer	J M Ruiz
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Mocha Corona	L D Martinez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	8	Divine Miss B	M Munoz
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	4	Miss Royally Jettin	R D Pina

* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:52 AM

Saratoga Hotlist - July 19

Jul. 18, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $150,000 STAKES 2 1/16 MILES ON THE HURDLE - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Freddy Flintshire	P Hendriks
PLACE	9-2	8	Welshman	G Watters
SHOW	8-1	6	West Newton	S Mulqueen
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Noah And The Ark	H Beswick

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Redicean	R Dunne
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Historic Heart	D Mullins

* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:46 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	2	Cloud Forest	J Lezcano
PLACE	8-5	3	Happy Bob	J L Ortiz
SHOW	12-1	5	Steady Progress	D Davis
WILD CARD	6-1	1A	Vigano	T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	4	Union Tap	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	7	Memphis	I Ortiz Jr.

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #3 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	4	Golden Dagger	D Davis
PLACE	9-5	11	Sa Foradada	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	6-5	1	Maddies Grace	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Flip My Id	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	7	Boss of All	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	5-2	10	Mursal	M Franco

* EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/11 BOX, 1/3/11 BOX

RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	1-1	2B	Musical Heart	F Geroux
PLACE	8-1	3	Bourbons Hope	J L Ortiz
SHOW	12-1	8	Souper Catch	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	15-1	6	Grumps Little Tots	E Greenidge

ALTERNATE 1	1-1	2	Back Ring Luck	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	5	Treasure Trove	J A Gomez

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 EXCESS DEMAND

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	9	Excess Demand	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	2	Dees Speedstre	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	15-1	4	Ginnsu Warrior	G Huayas
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Rock the Weekend	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	8	Magical Ways	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	1	Little Frappucino	L Saez

* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #6 $83,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	9	Khozy Colby	J L Ortiz
PLACE	6-1	7	Ginuccha	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	7-2	3	Ilikefunsize	J Toledo
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Queens Martini	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Lisas Palace	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Crazy Cami	I Castillo

* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX

RACE #7 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET
BEST BET: #11 AMANDAS FOLLY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	11	Amandas Folly	J L Ortiz
PLACE	3-1	7	Collaboration	D Davis
SHOW	7-2	9	Im Just Kiddin	L Saez
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Golden Rocket	J A Gomez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Lisas Vision	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	2	Masterof the Tunes	I Ortiz Jr.

* EXACTA: 11-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/9/11 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX

RACE #8 $162,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 GERRYMANDER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Gerrymander	J Rosario
PLACE	6-1	6	Favor	L Saez
SHOW	8-5	4	Sixtythreecaliber	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Nostalgic	J Alvarado

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Midnight Stroll	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

RACE #9 $149,500 ALLOWANCE 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	1	Miss Domina	J L Ortiz
PLACE	5-1	8	Fleetfooted	J Castellano
SHOW	8-1	6	Little Mombo	F Geroux
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Cadencia	M Franco

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1A	Cupids Heart	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	5-2	4	Anna Karenine	I Ortiz Jr.

* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	6	Little Linzee	K Davis
PLACE	5-2	3	Mz Big Bucks	J A Gomez
SHOW	2-1	1	Red Moon	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	9	Orange Freeze	J Rosario

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Camp Akeela	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Bernt Again	M Franco

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:52 AM

Thistledown Tip Sheet - July 19

Jul. 18, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $7,500 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	1	Not a Wild Brat	J A Bracho
PLACE	2-1	2	Star Mabee	L R Rivera
SHOW	7-2	3	Boogie Boogee	G Rodriguez
WILD CARD	9-2	5	Gails Dancer	A I Diaz

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Front Circle	F Salazar Becerra
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	City Signs	R Halledeen

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

RACE #2 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	6	Joshn	R Diaz
PLACE	6-1	7	Cantrunwithbigdogs	L R Rivera
SHOW	8-1	5	Cant Crashmyparty	E Barbaran
WILD CARD	5-2	4	My Buddy Micah	R Halledeen

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Election Integrity	V R Fernandez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Marks Buddy Jacin	A I Diaz

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

RACE #3 $12,500 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 WARHORSE WEST

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	4	Warhorse West	J Sanchez
PLACE	2-1	5	Misterchilliwilli	R Feliciano
SHOW	3-1	1	Armor Piercing	V Severino
WILD CARD	4-1	2	C J All the Way	A I Diaz

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	6	Dominar	D Smith
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Turbo Power	E Paucar

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #4 $33,900 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	5	Halo Effect	J Torrealba
PLACE	3-1	1	Vamonos Piacente	V Salazar Becerra
SHOW	8-1	2	Broken Jewel	F Salazar Becerra
WILD CARD	5-1	8	Snazzy	L R Rivera

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	3	My Two Jakes	V R Fernandez

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX

RACE #5 $28,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	2	Wicked Warrior	R Feliciano
PLACE	5-1	4	Speighty War	A R Ramgeet
SHOW	2-1	7	Baytown Bear	G McEntee
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Good On Ya	L M Briceno

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Tragically Quewick	Y Yaranga
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Tomato Bill	J A Bracho

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

RACE #6 $35,800 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 DEW IT WITH STYLE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	5	Dew It With Style	R Feliciano
PLACE	4-1	2	Mandolin Breeze	T D Houghton
SHOW	3-1	6	Kat Trax	A I Diaz
WILD CARD	5-2	3	Secrets Untold	J Torrealba

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Pistol Packin Bos	E Paucar

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

RACE #7 $7,500 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	6	Getoutoftheharem	J Sanchez
PLACE	5-2	3	Titebluejeans	L R Rivera
SHOW	6-1	7	Dees Ky Wildcat	A I Diaz
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Ladybuggin	E Barbaran

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	2	Busybeing Fabulous	J Torrealba
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Birdies Chantz	L A Batista

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX

RACE #8 $7,500 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 MR CLINE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	1	Mr Cline	R Feliciano
PLACE	5-1	7	Murtagh	T D Houghton
SHOW	5-2	6	Fishing for Fun	A I Diaz
WILD CARD	9-2	3	Silver Matt	A Guerere

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Bad Little Beast	L M Briceno
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Grand Deal	J A Bracho

* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:53 AM

Delaware Park Tip Sheet - July 19

Jul. 18, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 72% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	1	Divine Promise	K Trotman
PLACE	2-1	3	Providing	J Rodriguez
SHOW	10-1	4	Destined to Dance	J F Hernandez
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Chasing Artemis	K Gomez

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	5	Bounty Killah	J Mendoza
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Touch of Madness	J A Gomez

* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 $35,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 BORRACHO

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	3	Borracho	J Rodriguez
PLACE	6-1	1	Chief Ron	J Hiraldo
SHOW	6-1	5	Jeopardy James	R E Mena
WILD CARD	8-5	8	Stage Left	A Cruz

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	John the Bear	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Holy Synchronicity	J C Alvelo

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 SULLIVAN STREET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	9	Sullivan Street	J Rodriguez
PLACE	6-1	1	Peace Fire	A Cruz
SHOW	8-1	3	Lady Lancer	A S Arroyo
WILD CARD	9-2	7	Best Worst Idea	J Hiraldo

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	12	Ariana Valentina	A A Marin
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Sks Heart	K Gomez

* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX

RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Jardani	J Rodriguez
PLACE	4-1	1	Stacks of Silver	A Concepcion
SHOW	2-1	3	Conspiracy Fact	C Cedeno
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Deep Faith	J Torres

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	Mission Key	A A Marin
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Winters Ghost	R E Mena

* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

RACE #5 $38,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	7	Delta Charm	J Hiraldo
PLACE	3-2	2	Mo Traffic	J Rodriguez
SHOW	6-1	6	Irish Coco	M Rowland
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Cherished Wish	J Rose

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	10	Angie From Kulm	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Tipsy Girl	J Rodriguez

* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

RACE #6 $28,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-2	7	Biogenic Babe	J Rodriguez
PLACE	8-1	5	Youre the One	J Alicea
SHOW	3-1	2	Sansa Ariel	A S Arroyo
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Touisset	R E Mena

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	My Cajun Lady	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Blaze On	A Concepcion

* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

RACE #7 $38,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Systemic Risk	A Castillo
PLACE	5-1	5	Expect Ours	K Gomez
SHOW	8-1	7	Insightful	R E Mena
WILD CARD	9-2	9	Chloe Rose	K Trotman

ALTERNATE 1	3-2	3	Shinelikeadiamond	J Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Asue	A Cruz

* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX

RACE #8 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 SUTTON VALLEY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	8	Sutton Valley	A Crispin
PLACE	4-1	9	Superstitieux	J Alicea
SHOW	8-1	7	Seeing Red	J Rose
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Notion to Tapit	C Marquez

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Trophy Room	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	1	Lost a Legend	A S Arroyo

* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2023, 06:53 AM

Saratoga Hotlist - July 19

Jul. 17, 2023

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3^rd race [Alw 50000, 5