Friday 7/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #16
    Saratoga Tip Sheet - July 21

    Jul. 20, 2023


    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track
    ACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 2 Shards L Saez
    PLACE 7-2 4 Every Four Years M Franco
    SHOW 5-2 7 Same Old Fears J L Ortiz
    WILD CARD 8-1 1 Billy the Greek I Ortiz Jr.
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Reverend Moon J Rosario
    ALTERNATE 2 5-2 9 Foxhole I Ortiz Jr.
    * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
    RACE #2 $162,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET
    BEST BET: #1 BRAGANZA
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 1 Braganza L Saez
    PLACE 9-5 3 Rosebug J Alvarado
    SHOW 7-2 6 Headland J L Ortiz
    WILD CARD 9-2 5 Top Gun Girl J R Velazquez
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Edie Meeny Miny Mo J Castellano
    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 2 Hey Mamaluke T McCarthy
    * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
    RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING
    1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
    BEST BET: #5 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 5 Order of Magnitude L Saez
    PLACE 9-5 7 Classic Mark J L Ortiz
    SHOW 5-2 3 Portos J Alvarado
    WILD CARD 8-1 4 Empire Ride T McCarthy
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Cumberland Blues J Rosario
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Bodock R Santana Jr.
    * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
    RACE #4 $135,000 STAKES
    1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET
    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $135,000 CURLIN STAKES
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 4 Scotland J Alvarado
    PLACE 4-5 3 Blazing Sevens F Prat
    SHOW 4-1 2 Lost Ark I Ortiz Jr.
    WILD CARD 8-1 1 Perform J L Ortiz
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 5 Il Miracolo L Saez
    * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
    COMMENTS: SCOTLAND has shown talent now needs to show that he can get the distance and face better. BLAZING SEVENS is the class of the field but will be coming off the pace. LOST ARK second start off layoff and has plenty of talent. PERFORM is the only horse in the field with a win at this distance.
    RACE #5 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
    5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET
    BEST BET: #7 SINALOA
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 7 Sinaloa J L Ortiz
    PLACE 4-1 3 Ripe for Mischief L Saez
    SHOW 6-1 8 War Prince M Franco
    WILD CARD 8-1 6 Academy Choice K Davis
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 1 Bankingonachance F Prat
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 11 Vaunted D Davis
    * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
    RACE #6 $149,500 ALLOWANCE
    1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 8-1 2 Danzigwiththestars L Saez
    PLACE 5-1 6 Irwin J L Ortiz
    SHOW 6-1 7 Good Medicine F Prat
    WILD CARD 7-2 9 Catch That Party M Franco
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 C Falls R Santana Jr.
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Royal Spirit J Lezcano
    * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX
    RACE #7 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 5 Abadin I Ortiz Jr.
    PLACE 4-1 9 Coalville J L Ortiz
    SHOW 6-1 2 Big Night Out D Davis
    WILD CARD 8-1 11 Create Trouble T Gaffalione
    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 6 Treaty Obligation F Prat
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Lucency J R Velazquez
    * EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/9/11 BOX
    RACE #8 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 2 Speed Bias L Saez
    PLACE 5-2 7 Artorius I Ortiz Jr.
    SHOW 9-2 6 Bright Future J L Ortiz
    WILD CARD 6-1 1 Curbstone M Franco
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Constitutionlawyer D Davis
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Kuchar J Lezcano
    * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
    RACE #9 $175,000 STAKES
    1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET
    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $175,000 LAKE GEORGE STAKES GIII
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 7 Utilization Rate I Ortiz Jr.
    PLACE 5-1 3 Tax Implications M Franco
    SHOW 3-1 4 Liguria F Prat
    WILD CARD 5-1 5 Revalita T Gaffalione
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Queen Picasso J L Ortiz
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Surge Capacity J Rosario
    * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
    COMMENTS: UTILIZATION RATE should get to the front early and was real impressive last time out. TAX IMPLICATIONS always there at the end. LIGURIA might be the one to beat but not willing to take low price. REVALITA still looking for the first win on turf but is always around at the end.
    RACE #10 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 9 All Good Here F Prat
    PLACE 8-1 7 Prix de West J Alvarado
    SHOW 8-1 12 Lt. Mitchell J L Ortiz
    WILD CARD 5-1 11 Stow On the Wold T Gaffalione
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Bourbon Chase I Ortiz Jr.
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Mission Hill J Rosario
    * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 7/9/12 BOX, 7/11/12 BOX
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #17
      Woodbine Tip Sheet - July 21

      Jul. 20, 2023


      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
      RACE #1 $36,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 7-5 2 Stormy Soul R M Hernandez
      PLACE 4-1 7 Maximus Momentus L Salles
      SHOW 3-1 5 Tricky Magician S Vives
      WILD CARD 8-1 1 Big Investment J L Campos
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Racing in the Rain E Wilson
      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Sea Scout J Crawford
      * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
      RACE #2 $7,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
      6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET
      BEST BET: #6 MY SONG BABY
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 3-1 6 My Song Baby R W Walcott
      PLACE 5-2 1 Video Vida A Vandermeersch
      SHOW 7-2 7 Unexpected Outcome E Flores
      WILD CARD 8-1 3 J M R Turek S Jadoo
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Sing Dixie S Chernetz
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Its Me Mario J Stein
      * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
      RACE #3 $111,600 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
      6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET
      BEST BET: #4 ALPHA MEISTER
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 2-1 4 Alpha Meister D Carroll
      PLACE 9-2 6 Kid Marvelous K Kimura
      SHOW 7-2 1 Towns Warrior E Wilson
      WILD CARD 3-1 7 Royal Quality R M Hernandez
      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 5 The New Maybe S Chernetz
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Star Redemption L Contreras
      * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
      RACE #4 $41,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:40 PM ET
      BEST BET: #2 JACK THE CAT
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 2-1 2 Jack the Cat K Kimura
      PLACE 9-5 3 Solar L Contreras
      SHOW 8-1 4 H C Holiday S P Husbands
      WILD CARD 8-1 8 Reliability J Hoyte
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Dixie Giant D Moran
      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Native Prince J L Campos
      * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
      RACE #5 $7,000 CLAIMING
      6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:13 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 3-1 7 Big Warden J L Campos
      PLACE 7-2 2 Tall Water J Crawford
      SHOW 2-1 3 Foresters Turn E Flores
      WILD CARD 10-1 4 Supremeaction K Johnson
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Bokermin R Munger
      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 5 Upstart Gentleman D Bynoe
      * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
      RACE #6 $111,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      5 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 3 Silent Reserve E Flores
      PLACE 10-1 4 Discreet Tune S Civaci
      SHOW 2-1 6 Napa Spirit E Wilson
      WILD CARD 9-2 7 Determined Fury R M Hernandez
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Abisko P Husbands
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Western Trouble K Kimura
      * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
      RACE #7 $23,500 CLAIMING
      1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:17 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 2-1 5 Quiet Out East R M Hernandez
      PLACE 9-5 6 Kiddie Holiday P Husbands
      SHOW 6-1 4 Sand Dancer S Civaci
      WILD CARD 3-1 1 Lion Kingdom O Moreno
      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Just Start Me Up A Vandermeersch
      ALTERNATE 2 5-1 7 Full Extreme R W Walcott
      * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
      RACE #8 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 4-1 7 Torys Holiday S Civaci
      PLACE 7-5 2 Mentoring K Nicholls
      SHOW 12-1 3 Palace Ring A Vandermeersch
      WILD CARD 6-1 4 Gizmos Mission S Vives
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Dancin Deputy J Stein
      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 8 Chunky Monkey E Wilson
      * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        Ellis Park Tip Sheet - July 21

        Jul. 20, 2023


        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
        RACE #1 $16,000 CLAIMING
        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
        BEST BET: #5 NOTION
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 5 Notion G Saez
        PLACE 2-1 6 Batukhan C A Torres
        SHOW 5-1 3 Tropic Storm R Bejarano
        WILD CARD 9-2 1 Cronus K J Asmussen
        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 2 Blame Shifter C A Emigh
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Navy Soul W A Rodriguez
        * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
        RACE #2 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 4-1 1 Ransam Paynter C A Torres
        PLACE 3-1 3 Mr. Commander M Murrill
        SHOW 9-5 6 King of Kentucky K J Asmussen
        WILD CARD 9-2 5 The Big Mozz T C Stevens
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Cravensworth Y Navas
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Redhill W A Rodriguez
        * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
        RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
        BEST BET: #4 MENA
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 4 Mena F Geroux
        PLACE 4-1 3 Omex M Chuan
        SHOW 3-1 5 Pass the Hat E Morales
        WILD CARD 6-1 2 Phreddie Mac C A Torres
        ALTERNATE 1 7-2 7 Hey Joe Joe B J Hernandez Jr.
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Lead Foot F Arrieta
        * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
        RACE #4 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 4-1 3 Curlins Incharge M Chuan
        PLACE 10-1 4 Fightertown J Gilligan
        SHOW 3-1 2 Just a Photo B J Hernandez Jr.
        WILD CARD 8-1 8 Coal Boss F Geroux
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Fightn Ready E Morales
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Sapelo Sound G Saez
        * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
        RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING
        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
        BEST BET: #7 APOLLO RISING
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 7 Apollo Rising G Corrales
        PLACE 4-1 1 Single Ruler D Cohen
        SHOW 6-1 4 Seven Flat R Bejarano
        WILD CARD 7-2 5 Constitutional Law F Arrieta
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Princely C A Torres
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Jewelstown M Murrill
        * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
        RACE #6 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 7 Timberlake F Geroux
        PLACE 6-1 4 Northern Flame B J Hernandez Jr.
        SHOW 5-2 6 Can Group R Gutierrez
        WILD CARD 8-1 2 Card Trick C A Torres
        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 1 West Saratoga R Bejarano
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 9 Black Diamond C Landeros
        * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
        RACE #7 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 1 Gregorys Pride J Talamo
        PLACE 4-1 6 Atras C A Torres
        SHOW 9-2 11 Willtorun L Machado
        WILD CARD 7-2 3 Field Day B J Hernandez Jr.
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Tilted Towers C A Emigh
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Bourbon Heist Y Navas
        * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/6/11 BOX, 3/6/11 BOX
        RACE #8 $74,000 ALLOWANCE
        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 1 Havildar F Geroux
        PLACE 6-1 3 Cant Hush This M Chuan
        SHOW 10-1 8 Redemption Time R Gutierrez
        WILD CARD 4-1 9 Family Man C J Lanerie
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Shotshell K J Asmussen
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Maasai Warrior R Bejarano
        * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX
        RACE #9 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 9 Under Advisement D Cannon
        PLACE 5-2 7 Sassy Walker J Talamo
        SHOW 8-1 6 Inventing Anna F Geroux
        WILD CARD 10-1 8 Islandinthestream E Morales
        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 4 Evergrande C A Torres
        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Pure Country R Bejarano
        * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          Del Mar Hotlist - July 21

          Jul. 20, 2023


          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
          Hot List Key:
          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
          1st race – (8) Net Revolt already owns three wins at Del Mar and comes off a big score at Los Al. Gets the nod here. (4) Big Buzz looms a stretch threat in this field. (1) Tone Feelin should work out a good trip from the rail. (2) Far West is worth a look off the Miyadi claim. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-8. Doubles: 1-2-4-8 with 3-5-6-7.
          2nd race – (3) Bye Bye Ray was second in his first two starts and then faded to ninth. Hasn’t raced in five months but seems ready for a strong showing here. (5) Uncle Reg was second last time and should be the main rival. (6) Dr. Venkman is an interesting first-time starter. (7) Dazzlemesilver was third in three of four starts and should be in the picture again. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6-7.
          6th race – (4) Liberty Forever is speedy and returns to turf and may not look back in this field. (9) Chasin Munny adds blinkers and is worth a look. (8) Rexford was second last time and belongs in the exotics. (6) Ambivalent should be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-8-9.
          8th race – (10) Escape Artist had a nice prep for this in an allowance race and seems primed for a big effort. (1) Classical Cat has the rail and seeks a third straight win but has not raced since December. (9) Conclude has plenty of speed and could be tough to catch here. (11) Panic Alarm could make some noise in his U.S. debut. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-9-10-11. Doubles: 1-9-10-11 with 1-3-5-7.
          9th race – (3) Hard to Figure exits stakes company and should appreciate the class relief here. (1) Del Mar Jerry will appreciate the cutback to a sprint. (5) Sir Atticus was an impressive maiden winner and merits attention here. (7) Reiquist romped last time and cannot be ignored here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-7.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #20
            Saratoga Hotlist - July 21

            Jul. 20, 2023


            By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
            Hot List Key:
            A:
            A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
            5th race [NY, Md 40000, 5
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #21
              WNBA

              Friday, July 21

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              New York @ Washington
              New York
              New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
              Washington
              Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #22
                WNBA
                Dunkel

                Friday, July 21


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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #23
                  MLB
                  Weather Report

                  Friday, July 21


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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #24
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) when playing on Friday in the current season.

                    COLORADO is 85-57 SU (22.3 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

                    TAMPA BAY is 55-36 SU (15.4 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

                    SAN DIEGO is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) in July games in the current season.

                    SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 Under (11.6 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.

                    KANSAS CITY is 65-88 SU (-31.8 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

                    CINCINNATI is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the current season.

                    CLEVELAND is 14-1 Under (12.9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

                    NY METS are 19-43 SU (-28.3 Units) in an inter-league game in the last 3 seasons.

                    LA DODGERS are 16-5 SU (10.5 Units) in road games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the current season.

                    MILWAUKEE is 91-65 Under (19.5 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

                    MINNESOTA is 17-44 SU (-31.4 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

                    PITTSBURGH is 94-104 SU (-20.4 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

                    OAKLAND is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) revenging 6 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years over the last 2 seasons.

                    SEATTLE is 40-82 SU (-50.2 Units) in home games as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #25
                      MLB
                      Long Sheet

                      Friday, July 21


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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #26
                        MLB

                        Friday, July 21


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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #27
                          MLB
                          Armadillo's Write-Up

                          Friday, July 21

                          National League
                          St Louis
                          (44-53) @ Cubs (45-51)
                          — Flaherty is 4-0, 3.24 in his last four starts.
                          — Cardinals are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
                          — over 4-1 last five
                          — allowed run in first inning: 6-18
                          — record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
                          — He is 1-3, 5.71 in nine starts at Wrigley.


                          — Cardinals are 9-2 in last eleven games.
                          — Cardinals are 22-27 on road.
                          — over 10-4 last 14 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 32-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 40-39-18
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-4


                          — Steele is 1-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
                          — Cubs are 10-7 in his starts.
                          — under 4-2 last six starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
                          — record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
                          — He is 2-0, 3.00 in two starts vs St Louis this year.


                          — Cubs are 7-6 in their last 13 games.
                          — Chicago is 4-10 in last 14 home games.
                          — over 13-2 last 15 games.
                          — scored run in first inning: 24-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 41-42-13
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5.1


                          Colorado (37-59) @ Miami (53-45)
                          — Rockies haven’t named a starter.


                          — Colorado is 3-2 in their last five games.
                          — Colorado is 1-12 in its last 13 road tilts.
                          — under 7-1 last eight games
                          — scored run in first inning: 29-95
                          — record in first 5 innings: 32-50-13
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-3-x


                          — Garrett is 3-0, 3.26 in his last seven starts.
                          — Miami is 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
                          — over 6-2 last eight starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 4-18
                          — record in first 5 innings: 6-4-8
                          — He is 0-1, 3.29 in three starts vs Colorado.


                          — Miami is 0-6 since the All-Star break.
                          — Marlins are 30-18 at home.
                          — over 9-3-2 last 14 games.
                          — scored run in first inning: 19-98
                          — record in first 5 innings: 43-35-20
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-2


                          San Francisco (54-43) @ Washington (38-58)
                          — Wood is 2-1, 3.71 in his last four games.
                          — Giants are 7-3 in his starts.
                          — over 6-0 last six starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 3-10
                          — record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
                          — He is 6-5, 3.17 in 15 starts vs Cincinnati.


                          — Giants are 6-3 in their last nine games.
                          — San Francisco is 28-21 on road.
                          — under 14-3-1 last 18 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 26-95
                          — record in first 5 innings: 41-38-16
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 10-2-3.2


                          — Irvin is 1-1, 5.49 in his last four starts.
                          — Washington is 4-9 in his starts.
                          — over 8-3 last 11 starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 5-13
                          — record in first 5 innings: 2-9-2
                          — He threw 6.1 scoreless IP in his one start vs San Francisco May 8.


                          — Nationals are 1-4 in last five games.
                          — Washington is 15-32 at home.
                          — over 7-1 last eight games
                          — scored run in first inning: 33-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 35-50-11
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-x


                          Arizona (54-43) @ Cincinnati (52-46)
                          — Henry is 2-1, 2.20 in his last five starts.
                          — Arizona is 10-4 in his starts.
                          — under 3-1 last four starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 4-14
                          — record in first 5 innings: 8-3-3
                          — He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.


                          — Arizona is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
                          — Arizona is 28-19 on the road.
                          — under 11-5-1 last 17 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 36-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 42-38-17
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-1


                          — Lively is 1-1, 2.79 in his last four starts.
                          — Reds are 4-5 in his starts.
                          — over 5-4
                          — allowed run in first inning: 5-9
                          — record in first 5 innings: 35-4
                          — He 0-2, 9.22 in three starts vs Arizona.


                          — Reds are 3-7 in their last ten games.
                          — Cincinnati is 25-26 at home.
                          — under 6-1 last seven games
                          — scored run in first inning: 32-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 37-38-22
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 10.2-3-1


                          Atlanta (62-33) @ Milwaukee (54-43)
                          — Soroka is 2-1, 5.40 in four starts.
                          — Braves are 3-1 in his starts
                          — over 2-1-1
                          — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
                          — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
                          — He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.


                          — Atlanta lost four of last five games.
                          — Braves are 30-14 on road.
                          — under 11-7 last 18 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 39-95
                          — record in first 5 innings: 56-26-13
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3.1-3


                          — Peralta is 1-1, 3.74 in his last four starts.
                          — Brewers are 7-3 in his home starts.
                          — over 4-2 last six home starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 3-18
                          — record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
                          — He is 3-1, 3.09 in four starts vs Atlanta.


                          — Brewers are 13-5 in their last 18 games.
                          — Milwaukee is 28-22 on the road.
                          — under 7-0 last seven games
                          — scored run in first inning: 29-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 43-40-14
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-1


                          American League
                          Baltimore
                          (59-37) @ Tampa Bay (60-40)
                          — Bradish is 4-1, 1.44 in his last five starts.
                          — Orioles are 11-6 in his starts
                          — under 5-2-2 last nine starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 2-17
                          — you’re reading armadillosports.com
                          — record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
                          — He is 1-1, 7.98 in three starts vs Tampa Bay


                          — Orioles won 10 of last 12 games.
                          — Baltimore is 29-17 on road.
                          — over 15-7-3 last 25 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 22-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 44-37-15
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-4.1-4


                          — Eflin is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
                          — Rays are 9-1 in his home starts
                          — under 6-3 last nine starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 5-18
                          — you’re reading armadillosports.com
                          — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
                          — He is 1-2, 4.74 in three starts vs Baltimore


                          — Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 14 games.
                          — Rays are 35-16 at home.
                          — under 8-2-1 last eleven games
                          — scored run in first inning: 34-100
                          — record in first 5 innings: 55-35-10
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-3


                          Kansas City (28-70) @ Bronx (50-47)
                          — Marsh is 0-3, 6.00 in three starts.
                          — Royals are 0-3 in his starts
                          — under 2-1
                          — allowed run in first inning: 2-3
                          — record in first 5 innings: 0-3
                          — He hasn’t pitched against New York.


                          — Royals are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
                          — Royals are 13-34 on rad.
                          — under 9-3 last 12 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 31-98
                          — record in first 5 innings: 28-55-15
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-5


                          — Schmidt is 3-0, 4.41 in his last three starts.
                          — New York is 7-12 in his starts.
                          — under 8-2 last ten
                          — allowed run in first inning: 6-19
                          — record in first 5 innings: 5-9-5
                          — This is his first start vs Kansas City.


                          — New York is 2-9 in its last 11 games.
                          — Bronx is 28-23 at home.
                          — under 4-2 last six games
                          — scored run in first inning: 26-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 42-36-18
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-x


                          White Sox (41-57) @ Minnesota (50-48)
                          — Lynn is 2-0, 4.42 in his last three starts.
                          — Chicago is 7-4 in his last eleven starts.
                          — over 10-4 last 14 starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 8-19
                          — record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
                          — He is 2-2, 4.50 in nine starts vs Minnesota.


                          — Chicago is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
                          — White Sox are 20-32 on the road.
                          — under 9-3 last dozen games
                          — scored run in first inning: 23-98
                          — record in first 5 innings: 36-48-14
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-3.1


                          — Ryan is 0-2, 7.58 in his last four starts.
                          — Twins are 11-8 in his starts.
                          — over 3-0 last three
                          — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
                          — record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
                          — He is 0-0, 1.80 in two starts vs Chicago.


                          — Twins are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
                          — Minnesota is 26-22 at home.
                          — over 7-1 last eight games
                          — scored run in first inning: 28-98
                          — record in first 5 innings: 40-41-17
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-3


                          Toronto (54-43) @ Seattle (48-48)
                          — Kikuchi is 1-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
                          — Blue Jays are 13-6 in his starts.
                          — over 3-1 last four starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 6-19
                          — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
                          — He threw 6 shutout IP in his one start vs Seattle.


                          — Toronto won nine of last 12 games.
                          — Blue Jays are 27-23 on road.
                          — under 13-4-1 last 18 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 24-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 39-41-17
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3


                          — Miller is 3-0, 2.45 in his last five starts.
                          — Seattle is 7-5 in his starts.
                          — under 8-4
                          — allowed run in first inning: 2-12
                          — record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
                          — He hasn’t pitched against Toronto


                          — Seattle is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
                          — Mariners are 27-24 at home.
                          — over 3-1 last four games
                          — scored run in first inning: 28-98
                          — record in first 5 innings: 44-39-13
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2


                          Houston (54-43) @ Oakland (27-72)
                          — Valdez is 0-1, 5.50 in his last three starts.
                          — Astros are 8-3 in his last 11 starts
                          — under 4-2 last six
                          — allowed run in first inning: 2-18
                          — record in first 5 innings: 8-4-6
                          — He is 2-0, 0.60 in two starts vs Oakland this year.


                          — Astros split their last ten games.
                          — Houston is 29-21 on road.
                          — over 4-3 last seven road games
                          — scored run in first inning: 34-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 48-35-14
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-1.2


                          — Sears is 0-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
                          — A’s are 5-14 in his starts
                          — under 7-3-1 last 11 starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 7-19
                          — record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
                          — He is 0-0, 4.00 in two games (1 start) vs Houston.


                          — A’s are 2-9 in their last 11 games.
                          — Oakland is 14-37 at home.
                          — over 9-3 last dozen home games
                          — scored run in first inning: 27-99
                          — you’re reading armadillosports.com
                          — record in first 5 innings: 27-56-16
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-3


                          Interleague games
                          San Diego
                          (46-51) @ Detroit (44-52)
                          — Lugo is 0-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.
                          — Padres are 2-8 in his last ten starts.
                          — over 3-1 last four starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 3-13
                          — record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
                          — He hasn’t pitched against Detroit


                          — Padres lost four of last six games.
                          — San Diego is 21-28 on road.
                          — over 11-5-1 last 17 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 33-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 45-40-12
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3


                          — Olson is 1-1, 2.92 in his last three starts.
                          — Tigers are 3-3 in his starts
                          — over 3-3
                          — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
                          — record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
                          — He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.


                          — Detroit is 6-3 in its last nine games.
                          — Tigers are 20-25 at home.
                          — under 7-2 last nine games
                          — scored run in first inning: 24-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 34-45-17
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2


                          NY Mets (45-51) @ Boston (51-46)
                          — Senga is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
                          — Mets are 5-8 in his last 13 starts.
                          — under 11-2 last 13 starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
                          — record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
                          — He hasn’t pitched against Boston.


                          — Mets won three of last four games.
                          — Mets are 22-29 on road.
                          — under 14-6-3 last 23 games
                          — scored run in first inning: 19-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 42-42-12
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-1-4


                          — Paxton is 2-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
                          — Red Sox are 5-6 in his starts.
                          — over 4-1 last five
                          — allowed run in first inning: 2-11
                          — record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
                          — He is 1-1, 4.30 in three starts vs New York.


                          — Red Sox won 11 of last 15 games.
                          — Boston is 26-22 at home.
                          — over 4-2 last six games
                          — scored run in first inning: 30-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 36-49-11
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-4-x


                          Philadelphia (52-44) @ Cleveland (47-49)
                          — Suarez is 1-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.
                          — Phillies are 7-5 in his starts.
                          — over 3-1-2 home starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 4-12
                          — record in first 5 innings: 7-5
                          — This is his first start vs Cleveland.


                          — Phillies are 26-12 in their last 38 games.
                          — Phillies are 26-25 on road.
                          — over 6-3 last nine games
                          — scored run in first inning: 28-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 40-44-12
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-4-3


                          — Williams is 1-2, 4.76 in his last three starts.
                          — Cleveland is 3-2 in his starts.
                          — under 3-1 last four starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 1-5
                          — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
                          — He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.


                          — Guardians are 2-5 in their last seven games.
                          — Cleveland is 23-27 on the road.
                          — over 6-1 last seven games
                          — scored run in first inning: 28-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 40-38-18
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-x


                          Los Angeles (55-40) @ Texas (58 -39)
                          — Gonsolin is 1-1, 5.75 in his last four starts.
                          — Dodgers are 7-7 in his starts.
                          — over 6-2 last eight
                          — allowed run in first inning: 1-14
                          — record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
                          — He gave up a run in 3 IP, in his one start vs Texas.


                          — Dodgers won nine of last 12 games.
                          — Dodgers are 26-24 on the road.
                          — over 12-5 last 167games
                          — scored run in first inning: 38-95
                          — record in first 5 innings: 46-38-11
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x


                          — Heaney is 1-2, 6.63 in his last four starts.
                          — Texas is 10-8 in his starts.
                          — under 3-1-1 last five starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 5-18
                          — record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
                          — He is 1-2, 5.67 in six starts vs Los Angeles.
                          — He pitched for the Dodgers last season.


                          — Texas is 6-0 since All-Star break.
                          — Rangers are 33-18 at home.
                          — under 4-1 last five games
                          — scored run in first inning: 29-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 59-28-10
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4.2


                          Pittsburgh (42-54) @ LA Angels (49-48)
                          — Oviedo is 0-4, 4.83 in his last five starts.
                          — Pittsburgh lost his last seven starts.
                          — under 7-2-1 last nine starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 9-19
                          — record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
                          — He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.


                          — Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 games.
                          — Pittsburgh is 19-28 on road.
                          — over 10-2-1 last 13 home games
                          — scored run in first inning: 22-96
                          — record in first 5 innings: 35-45-16
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3.1


                          — Ohtani is 0-2, 9.00 in his last two starts (10 IP).
                          — Angels are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
                          — over 5-2-1 last eight starts
                          — allowed run in first inning: 5-18
                          — record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
                          — He hasn’t pitched against the Pirates.


                          — Angels are 4-1 in their last five games.
                          — Angels are 27-22 at home.
                          — over 8-3 last eleven games
                          — scored run in first inning: 26-97
                          — record in first 5 innings: 41-39-17
                          — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-x
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #28
                            MLB
                            Dunkel

                            Friday, July 21


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