Sunday 7/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:50 AM

Jeff Siegel: What You Need to Know - Saratoga | Sunday, July 23

July 23, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Makia; 4-Katherine Thomas
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Makia has trained well enough to win at first asking in a race in which the known element doesn’t inspire. The daughter of Street Sense is bred more for dirt than turf, but the Clement-Rosario always is dangerous, and we suspect this $200,000 Keeneland yearling purchase will turn up a hot item. Katherine Thomas breezed nicely in blinkers under a tight hold – View Workout Video – to prove best in a three horse gate drill eight days ago, and based on the visuals from the video we suspect she will display good speed going long on the grass. The barn rarely wins with first timers, but this one may prove to be the exception to the rule and her morning line of 6-1 represents a bit of a gambling number.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Set Sail; 5-Top Secret
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Set Sail has been away for more than a year but returns in a winnable spot for trainer Bill Mott, who hits at a strong 21% with layoff runners. This was a colt that trained like a stakes type for Richard Mandella last year before he ever started, and his maiden win was impressive enough to gain him the favorite’s role at 2-1 in the Peter Pan S.-G3 (he got beat 20 lengths). We’ll put him on top but not with a high degree of trust due to his pattern of inactivity. Top Secret is developing nicely with experience, and in his first try stretching out the son of Uncle Mo could find himself as the controlling speed. His maiden win at Ellis Park was solid, and if he can build on that today the Steve Asmussen-trained colt could step up and win again.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:25 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Itsakeyper
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Let’s take a stand and single Itsakeyper in this turf sprint for state-bred second level allowance fillies and mares. She’s exiting the claiming ranks and tackling tougher foes, but the daughter of Brilliant Speed is a prototype late-running grass sprinter in peak form and just earned a career top Beyer speed figure in her 35th career start. Not much better will be needed today. There is plenty of speed signed on to compliment her style and she’s won over the course in the past, so at 6-1 on the morning line the seven year old mare is worth a play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 4: Post: 3:00 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: We’re going to pass this year’s renewal of the Shuvee S.-G2 and just enjoy it. Clairiere has the benefit of recent racing and that may give her a slight edge over track specialist Nest, who makes her seasonable bow on a surface that produced runaway wins last year in both the C.C.A. Oaks-G1 and the Alabama S.-G1. Is she ready off the bench? The works are okay, nothing great. The bottom line is that there’s little wagering value to be found even if you pick a side and wind up being right.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:33 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Spankhurst; 4-Alcools; 2-Cash Now
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Spankhurst seems as good as any in the fifth race, a $12,500 main track claiming sprint for older horses. Exiting a pair of tougher starter’s allowance races and showing up cheap after being claimed for $32,000 three runs back, the son of Speightster looks very much like he’s being culled from the barn, but even if true that doesn’t mean he can’t outrun this bunch. Freshened since March, the Norm Casse-trained gelding has been carefully campaigned in recent months but against this bunch – his easiest spot ever – he should enjoy the pace flow that calls for moderate early splits. Alcools moves up a level after getting tagged right on the line in a $10,000 seller in the mud last month over a distance of ground at Belmont Park. He’s probably most comfortable sprinting so we’re expecting the Bruce Levine-trained gelding to be prominent throughout and have every chance. Cash Now, runner-up in his last pair with solid figures, drops from $20,000 to $12,500 but moves from his preferred surface of turf to dirt, so we’re not quite sure what to expect. Toss him in somewhere.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:06 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 10-Camera
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Mystical Chant; 6-Love to Eat.

Forecast: Camera may be one of the more promising juvenile fillies on the grounds at this stage, and the $1.05 million purchase out of the multiple Grade-1 placed Cassies Dreamer makes her debut following a string of impressive drills that should have her fit and ready. The Todd Pletcher-trained juvenile easily disposed of her workmate in a recent gate drill – View Workout Video – and appears to be blessed with a bit more early speed than you’d normally see from a daughter of Curlin. Drawn comfortably outside, she is listed as the 5/2 morning line favorite, but we suspect she will go a bit lower than that. In a race in which those that have raced don’t overwhelm, let’s go with this fresh face and hope that performs up to expectations.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:39 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Colonel Bowman
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Caramel Chip.

Forecast: Colonel Bowman is a pro’s pro and appears well-placed to secure his fifth consecutive win. The son of Curlin earned a career top speed figure when opening up in mid-stretch before barely surviving close home (moved too soon?) last time out and simply should outclass this starter allowance ($20,000) field with anything close to that race, or any of his others in 2023. Listed at 6/5 on the morning line, the David Jacobson-trained gelding won’t offer any wagering value in the win pool but can be used as a rolling exotic single.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:14 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-R Calli Kim; 4-Tass; 8-Lucky Peridot
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Blue Times.

Forecast: This $32,000 claiming middle distance turf affair for fillies and mares is quite challenging. For every positive among the main players, there’s a glaring negative, so maybe the best strategy is to spread deeply and hope to land a price. R Calli Kim launches a comeback – she’s been away for more than a year – but if ready the veteran mare can act at this level and is squarely priced on the morning line at 6-1. She vans in from Turfway Park, where her work tab was strong and consistent, and she’s won fresh in the past. Tass has the proper closing style for a race that projects to have faster than average early splits, but she’s had five prior runs over the Saratoga lawn and has yet to hit the board (yeah, that’s a minus). Perhaps most effective when given a patient ride, she could produce a dangerous late kick if such a strategy is utilized. Lucky Peridot switches to Flavian Prat and is another capable of making some noise with her best effort. She was dull when unplaced as the favorite in her last outing but a repeat of her race before last – a good runner-up effort at Gulfstream Park – puts her in the fray at 10-1 on the morning line.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:47 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Majority Partner
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Majority Partner drops for the money run while returning to his favorite main track – he’s two-for-two at Saratoga – and the Linda Rice-trained gelding seems fairly solid at 9/5 on the morning line in this seven furlong event for allowance optional claiming ($45,000) older horses). His recent speed figures are strong’ it’s just that he’s just been in a tad too tough. Not today. Let’s go with the Linda Rice-trained son of Unified in the win pool and as a key in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 10: Post: 6:20 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Dance With Me Babe; 4-Three Girls
Backups/savers: none. 12-Gotham Gray

Forecast: Dance With Me Babe finished second under these conditions in her last two starts with rising speed figures, so with any kind of forward move the daughter of War Dancer should be able to earn her diploma. Irad Ortiz, Jr. rides her back and projects to have her on or near the lead throughout. Three Girls, away since December, returns without blinkers and with Lasix and could easily be a better type this time around for new trainer George Weaver. This will be her first start for a tag, so the softer company shouldn’t hurt, either. The works aren’t flashy but are steady and should have her fit enough.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:50 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 7/23/23

July 23, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-She’s Resilient
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: She’s Resilient has been meticulously campaigned during her career while compiling a record of three wins from four starts. She had her perfect record snapped when she finished third in a tough starter’s allowance sprint at Santa Anita in mid-June but should get back on the proper today with this realistic class drop to the $40,000 level in a race restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Regular rider Umberto Rispoli stays aboard, and with a bullet workout (:46.4h) at San Luis Rey Downs just eight days ago the daughter of Exaggerator looks like a logical rolling exotic single at or near her morning line of 8/5.

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RACE 2: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Colonel Vargo; 6-Too Much Info
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Colonel Vargo is a Pleasanton shipper with form good enough to win at this level on this circuit. He looks a little cheap on paper but has speed figure that fit nicely at this $20,000 level and his numbers have risen in each of his last six starts, so he’s probably not done improving. We’ll put him slightly on top at 4-1 on the morning line. Too Much Info is a dangerous Lone Star Park shipper from Robertino Diodoro’s barn. It’s possible that he prefers grass but on numbers he’s competitive and he’s making his first start since being gelded, his first with blinkers on, and his first in a claimer. Also, with the valuable ship-and-win money available, you know he’s live and well-meant.

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RACE 3: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Runningwiththeboyz; 1-Eddie’s New Dream
Backups/savers/Underneath: 6-Paris Peacock.

Forecast: We’re not quite sure if Runninwiththeboyz wants any part of nine furlongs but she’s a quality filly and the projected controlling speed, so given the circumstances the daughter of Liam’s Map looks like the one to beat in this allowance optional claiming turf affair for fillies and mares. She’s a tad shy in the speed figure department but at 7/2 on the morning line she’s worth the gamble. Eddie’s New Dream is another that appears to prefer a shorter trip, but she’s always been thoroughly consistent and genuine (first or second in 14 of 24 career starts) and seems likely to inherit a comfortable stalking trip. On pure speed figures, she’s strictly the one to beat.

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RACE 4: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Don’t Fight the Fed; 1-Cowboy Mike
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Ship and Scam.

Forecast: Don’t Fight the Ed was victimized by a miserable trip in his debut (off slowly, in heavy traffic most of the way, very wide into the lane) and did much better than he had a right to do when closing with interest without being knocked about to wind up fourth in a maiden state-bred sprint at Santa Anita last June. Low profile connections notwithstanding, the son of Nyquist deserves another chance today while stretching out to a mile. With good racing luck, he should pose a serious threat and is a wager for us at or near his morning line of 4-1. Cowboy Mike has burned money in his first three starts but adds blinkers while trying two turns for the first time and seems likely to gun for the lead from his rail post. We’re not sure if he really wants to run this far, but if he can ever win at this distance it’ll probably be in his first attempt.

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RACE 5: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Kissed by Fire; 5-Just Nails
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 9-Sultry Kitten.

Forecast: Kissed By Fire finished a strong second in a hot race in her comeback in May and today shortens up a furlong while adding Lasix in this abbreviated grass dash for maiden fillies and mares. A bullet half mile workout (:46.1h) over the Santa Anita training track two weeks ago should have her primed and ready. Just Nails displayed some talent in her debut more than a year ago when a very good second in her debut at Los Alamitos, but then disappeared. If she returns as well as she left for trainer Marty Jones, the daughter of Twirling Candy will have a legitimate look, the long layoff notwithstanding. It’s hard to make much of her recent workout pattern but if fit she can be a major pace factor.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Kiss Today Goodbye; 2-Bye Bye Bobby
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Azul Coast; 7-Kitten Mischief

Forecast: Kiss Today Goodbye has never run this far but strikes us as a marathon type and could improve enough in this year’s edition of the Cougar II Stakes-G3 regain his winning form. You have to go back to December of 2020 to find his last win (Santa Antonio S.-G2 at Santa Anita), but this may be his best chance for success after consistently falling short when facing the best older handicap runners in the West. Bye Bye Bobby moves up from Double A to face the big boys after compiling a rather impressive race record in New Mexico (first or second in eight of 13 career starts). His numbers are just okay but what makes him interesting is the mile and one-half distance, which we suspect he’ll handle just fine. At 6-1 on the morning line under Mike Smith, the son of Quality Road is worth including on the main ticket.

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RACE 7: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Smart Code
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Almendares, 10-Boss Sully

Forecast: Smart Code probably hit the front too soon, went to idling, and then got nailed on the line by stable mate Agency in an excellent sprint comeback last month at Santa Anita. The Mark Glatt-trained colt earned a career top number in defeat, has trained extremely well since, and proved last year he could handle a distance of ground. The lightly raced son of Honor Code has upside that most of the others in here don’t, so at 7/2 on the morning line he offers an excellent wagering opportunity in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): Pony Express; 1-Mirahmadi
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Pony Express has trained like an exceptional prospect for John Sadler and looks quick enough to be very effective at this five furlong distance. A :59 2/5 gate work - View Workout Video - could not have been more impressive, so we’re expecting a major effort first time out. Mirahmadi ran below expectations when a distant second at 3/5 in the Fasig-Tipton Futurity on debut last month and never really looked like the hot shot prospect he was supposed to be. He broke a bit slowly in that race – a small excuse – and then he did so again in a subsequent gate work - View Workout Video - so he may be vulnerable again at a short price. We’ll be surprised if the winner isn’t one or the other, but we’ll prefer Pony Express on top.

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RACE 9: Post: 6:08 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Salesman; 1-Cathkin Peak; 7-Du Jour
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 11-Irideo

Forecast: The Wickerr S. always seems to be a contentious affair and this year is no different. Salesman didn’t get the best or runs when ninth (beaten six lengths) in his U.S. debut for trainer Richard Mandella after impressing in a series of sharp drills leading up to the Shoemaker Mile-G1 in late May. He’s much better than that race shows, and with a clean break and a good second flight trip the veteran gelding can step forward considerably. Based on his European form and a recent powerful workout - View Workout Video - he’s a legitimate long shot gamble at 8-1 on the morning line. Cathkin Peak has looked terrific in the morning for trainer Phil D’Amato - View Workout Video - and projects to enjoy a soft, ground-saving trip from his good rail draw. He was Grade-1 placed over this course a couple of years ago and if he can return to that form today he’ll be hard to beat. Du Jour switches to top rider Juan Hernandez, continues to drill impressively, and has races that make him quite dangerous. Toss him in.

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RACE 10: Post: 6:38 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Ipanema Girl; 5-Zoe’s Pride
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: A little will go a long way in this wide-open maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for California-bred fillies and mares. Ipanema Girl has had just one start, so she’s far less exposed than the others and that outing was late year facing straight maidens sprinting on turf. Hopefully, she’s a better type this time around, and from a favorable outside draw (where the best lanes have been during the first two days of the season), the Carla Gaines-trained daughter of Strong Mandate seems quite a bit more dangerous than her 12-1 morning line might indicate. Zoe’s Pride finished third in maiden special weight company at Pleasanton earlier this month and earned a number that makes her highly competitive in this soft spot.

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RACE 11: Post: 7:08 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Overdue; 10-Jacks Outlaw; 11-Give Me the Lute
Backups/savers: 2-Irish Heatwave; 7-Comradery.

Forecast: The finale is a typical grass grab bag, this one for older $25,000 claiming milers. Anything can happen, so use as many as your budget allows in rolling exotic play. Overdue is a three time winner over the local lawn and that alone makes him dangerous. The Phil D’Amato-trained gelding needs to be held up early and get cover and given that kind of trip/ride today the veteran gelding should fire one of his good shots. Jacks Outlaw is a dangerous Bay Area shipper who can win as the controlling speed or from a stalking position. He’s a fit on speed figures and offers a good price chance at or near his 10-1 morning line. Give Me the Lute is a first off the claim for Andy Mathis (powerful 25% with this angle) and lands top rider Juan Hernandez. Freshened since February, he’s been primarily a front runner throughout his career, but he could appreciate patient handling over a course we know he likes very much.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:51 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 23, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race card to begin the week. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 sequence starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

3-Te Amo Blue Chip (7/2)-Got the pocket in last versus this kind but couldn't catch a well-meant winner on 6-9 who set swift fractions throughout. Recent form is sharp and could get the same trip with a better outcome.
4-Turbo Blue Chip (7/2)-This field mostly consists of horses who are camera shy this year or are coming into the race in questionable shape. Didn't get off the gate in quick fashion last time and that isn't typical. Now bumps up and can compete if its usual gate speed is there.
7-Cyclone Banner N (25-1)-The last race was similar to #3, faced a strong winner on 6-16 who set quick fractions throughout and couldn't be caught. This veteran bumps up in class and starts outside so that gives us a 25-1 morning line. Has won 7 of 24 here, if Lems leaves aggressively and lands on the point or in the 2-hole the gelding could surprise.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

3-Roger Rabbit (9/2)-This is Merriman's choice over #1, who he won with last time and is stepping up. This Sarah Andrews trainee has hit the board in 14 of 20 races and has posted 7 wins at Nfld. Ships in from the Meadows and came 2nd here versus better on 5-21 with the same pilot in command.
6-Shine All The Way (3-1)-Has only 2 wins in 27 starts this year but does good work here posting 11 wins in 38 races. This is a soft spot and could take an overdue picture if Wrenn provides a sharp steer.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

1-Johnny Chip (5/2)-Landed in a soft spot and won at first asking for the Braiden Rhoades barn. Led from gate to wire in last and Merriman could work the same plan. Steps up but should fit like a glove against this kind.
5-Not Today (7-1)-Drops out of Open company and should relish this kind. Probably doesn't have enough gate speed to land on the point but a pocket ride behind #1 could work for a picture.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

6-Fashion Chocolate (3-1)-Willing to take a couple of swings to beat #3 the 8/5 morning line chalk. This beaten favorite tried to go gate to wire and fell short by a neck on 7-16. Comes right back, faces the same kind and now Davis Jr is in the bike. That's a positive driver changes and could be the winning difference.
7-Manofmanymuscles (5-1)-Stepped up and was 15 lengths back at the first call last time. That trip didn't end well, comes right back at the same level and the price might be better than 7/2. Not sure if Merriman leaves alongside #6 or ducks and then comes after the lead later. Either way this 6-year-old should be in striking range around the last turn.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,4,7/3,6/1,5/6,7
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:51 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #9

#13 Hit the Road	Maybe he's never getting back to his better stuff from a couple years back, but he also seems like a pretty good fit with these and has done some good work over the local course. Possible, and the price should be right.
#11 Irideo	Nothing wrong with his form so far this year, but the big prices from the last few are going to disappear as he drops out of Grade I company. His connections are likely thrilled to get away from Exaulted for the first time in a couple starts.
#1 Cathkin Peak	He's a pretty reliable finisher and should be in the frame again late, and I think this is a pretty reasonable spot for him to return off the layoff. Dangerous if he's ready.
Race Summary	Hit the Road has some appeal at a decent price, as he might be able to find a decent enough trip from the wide draw and has a ceiling high enough to win this -- if he can ever find it again.

Del Mar - Race #10

#6 Twin Soul	She classed up well when racing for this price last out off the Delta and Sam Houston form, and I like that her tactical pace should have her in a great spot while everyone sorts it out early.
#5 Zoe's Pride	She drops in for the first time and seems like a reasonable enough fit off the special weight tries up North, and she makes a lot of sense to come along late for a piece or more of this.
#2 Lone Mountain Girl	Wouldn't be a total shock to see her land this, but I feel like she's probably going to find one or two of these a little too tough. That said -- she has some pace and might be able to keep in the mix into the turn with this group.
Race Summary	Twin Soul looks like a good fit while racing from close range, and I think something similar to her first California start would be good enough to keep her in the picture with these.

Del Mar - Race #11

#6 Overdue	Wouldn't want to be here if the price got too short, but I do think he's going to be tough here after just missing with a tough trip last time out and a barn that excels with local runners like this.
#4 Nero Tulip	He goes second off the bench while dropping into the claiming ranks, and he will probably still get overlooked on the board based on some modest form. Could see him plugging away to hang for a piece late.
#1 Light Fury	Tactical type might appreciate getting a break from Gulfstream and figures for a cozy trip from the fence, and I think he's probably a pretty good fit at the local level.
Race Summary	Overdue has been tough when facing this kind of company over the last year or so, and most of his flatter running lines came against tougher. Thinking Nero Tulip or Light Fury might add a little spice.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:52 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grand Prairie

PURCHASE

Grand Prairie - Race 5	Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta
SS • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:55P
DISTAFF SERIES S. - THOROUGHBRED STAKE FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD & UPWARD. HORSES MUST HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2022 / 23 OR HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED TWICE ON A CLASS B TRACK IN 2022 / 23. ENTRY FEE OF $150 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY. ALL ENTRY FEE MONIES RECEIVED FOR EACH OF THE LEGS OF THESE SERIES WILL BE COLLECTED AT TIME OF ENTRY. ALL ENTRY FEE MONEY WILL BE POOLED TOGETHER FROM ALL THREE LEGS AND DISTRIBUTED USING A POINTS SYSTEM. ONLY THE TOP THREE HORSES OF EACH SERIES WILL BE ELIGIBLE TO RECEIVE THE BONUS MONEY. POINT SYSTEM BREAKDOWN CAN BE FOUND ON THE PREFERENCE LIST FOR EVERGREEN PARK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GET BAKK is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAUSIN MISCHIEF: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designatio n or an "L" designation. GET BAKK: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at least 18. JUST CLASSY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a la yoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WAR MAIDEN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
1	CAUSIN MISCHIEF	8/5	7/2
6	GET BAKK	12/1	7/1
8	JUST CLASSY	3/1	8/1
4	WAR MAIDEN	9/2	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	GET BAKK	6	12/1	Front-runner	62	61	62.8	54.6	42.1
1	CAUSIN MISCHIEF	1	8/5	Stalker	74	79	0.0	78.4	75.4
4	WAR MAIDEN	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	66	71	68.5	56.8	47.8
3	LANDRY KYLE	3	8/1	Trailer	67	64	33.0	60.6	52.1
8	JUST CLASSY	8	3/1	Trailer	67	68	0.0	70.2	63.7
2	TIMBERLAKE GAGE	2	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	56	69.0	56.2	49.7
5	KISSABLE U	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	61	61.4	47.8	36.8
7	ROTTEN TO THE CORE	7	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	59	44.5	54.2	40.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:52 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe ParkPURCHASE

Arapahoe Park - Race 1	W/P/S/ Quinella / Exacta / DD (Races 1-2) / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 58 • Purse: $6,300 • Post: 1:00P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FELL OFF THE WAGON: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DADDYS VELVET CARTEL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" desig nation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	J BEST QUEEN	7/2	3/1
5	FELL OFF THE WAGON	6/1	9/2
2	DADDYS VELVET CARTEL	10/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SA SHEZA FAST MOON	1	9/2	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	DADDYS VELVET CARTEL	2	10/1	Slow	59	58	6.6	0.0	0.0
3	J PERRYS BEST	3	15/1	Slow	59	23	7.3	0.0	0.0
4	J BEST QUEEN	4	7/2	Average/Trouble-prone	77	66	5.6	0.0	0.0
5	FELL OFF THE WAGON	5	6/1	Average	67	55	6.0	0.0	0.0
6	IMPRESSIVE BROOK	6	8/1	Slow	0	0	8.6	0.0	0.0
7	MS EIRELI	7	5/2	Slow	0	0	7.8	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:52 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Wyoming Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 77

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT . 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 BELLA LADY 5/2
# 7 AGOLDEN EAGLE SPRING 6/1
# 4 SILVER N NAVY 4/1

I think BELLA LADY is a solid choice. She looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. She must be considered given the competitive speed figures. Has to be given consideration versus this field displaying decent numbers recently and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 76 under similar conditions. SILVER N NAVY - Has to be given a shot - I like the figs from the last competition.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:53 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 NOISEY BURGLAR 7/2
# 2 CAL 5/2
# 3 QUEEN VERRAZANO 2/1

NOISEY BURGLAR supports the bet in here. I like Ortega on this filly to give her a very strong chance to hit the wire first. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this filly. She should have a strong outing versus this less demanding lot. CAL - She has been running strongly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group of horses. This jock and conditioner team has produced some very strong return on investment numbers at this track. QUEEN VERRAZANO - Has been constatntly racing well lately. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:53 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:49pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#5 PROVOCATIVA (ML=3/1)
#2 GINGER SPARKLE (ML=2/1)
#1 KATIESDREAMGIRL (ML=30/1)

PROVOCATIVA - A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a strong outing is a good omen. The rest of the bunch may trail this mount all the way around the track. Getting a weight break of 5 pounds from last race at Gulfstream Park on June 25th. Certainly could make the difference right here in this race. GINGER SPARKLE - A repeat of that most recent performance on Jun 4th where she recorded a speed rating of 70 looks strong enough to score in this affair. Barboza gets a break on this horse carrying 5 pounds less than last out. Should help in this event. KATIESDREAMGIRL - Don't throw this animal out due to her last event at Gulfstream Park where she finished seventh on a sloppy track. Should improve this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DISCO QUEEN (ML=5/2), #3 SHE NASTY (ML=9/2), #4 DOMINEERING (ML=8/1),

DISCO QUEEN - Could be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. SHE NASTY - Won't be easy for this horse to beat this field off of that last rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued equines list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 PROVOCATIVA to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:53 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 4:33pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#3 LORD DRAGON (ML=8/1)
#8 BIG POWER RED (ML=4/1)

LORD DRAGON - You probably should throw out that last event at Oaklawn Park on the mud where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this race on a fast track. Another way to identify class is EPS (earnings per start). This thoroughbred has the uppermost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish line. BIG POWER RED - This horse's last race was at Lone Star Park in a race with a class rating of 96. Dropping drastically in Equibase class figure in today's event puts him in a solid position in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 OPTIMISTIC (ML=7/2), #4 SPHEROID (ML=9/2), #10 RIVER KAT (ML=5/1),

OPTIMISTIC - Even though victorious in last, didn't finish the way you'd like to see when stepping up to face stiffer competition. Last effort was too nice. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'bounce' this time. SPHEROID - Difficult to take this racer at the odds after the finish (ninth) in the last event. This pony ran a common speed rating last race out. He shouldn't improve and will likely get beat in today's race running that figure. RIVER KAT - That was simply not a very good exhibition in the last affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 LORD DRAGON on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:54 AM

Saratoga Tip Sheet - July 23

Jul. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	2	Hard to Justify	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	13	Buchu	T Gaffalione
SHOW	4-1	7	Appellate	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Makia	J Rosario

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	12	Justdeny	L Saez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Katherine Thomas	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 2-13 BOX, 13-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/13 BOX, 6/7/13 BOX

RACE #2 $149,500 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:46 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 LEDDY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	1	Leddy	J Castellano
PLACE	3-1	4	Mount Up	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	2-1	2	Slip Mahoney	L Saez
WILD CARD	5-2	3	Set Sail	J Alvarado

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	5	Top Secret	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Western Ghent	K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

RACE #3 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:25 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-5	8	Amandas Folly	J L Ortiz
PLACE	2-1	7	Get the Candy	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	10-1	5	Social Whirl	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Fontanafredda	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Palace Gossip	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	1	Howdyoumakeurmoney	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

RACE #4 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-5	2	Nest	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	3-5	4	Clairiere	J Rosario
SHOW	20-1	1	Skratch Kat	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	15-1	3	Pistol Liz Ablazen	K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #5 $12,500 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 ALCOOLS

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	4	Alcools	F Prat
PLACE	12-1	8	Printrack	J A Torres
SHOW	12-1	7	Three Two Zone	O Hernandez Moreno
WILD CARD	5-2	6	Spankhurst	R Santana Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Cash Now	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1	Durkins Call	D Davis

* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX

RACE #6 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:06 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	9	Sams Treasure	J L Ortiz
PLACE	5-1	2	Mystical Chant	J Rosario
SHOW	5-2	10	Camera	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Love to Eat	T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Alpine Princess	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Colonial Rose	J R Leparoux

* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/9/10 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX

RACE #7 $50,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:39 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-5	2	Colonel Bowman	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	6-1	7	Glory Road	J Lezcano
SHOW	3-1	5	Caramel Chip	L Saez
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Lord Captain	J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Float On	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Amanis Eagle	R Santana Jr.

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

RACE #8 $32,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:14 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	10	Cafe Fleur	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	4-1	6	Blue Times	L Saez
SHOW	6-1	7	R Calli Kim	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	12-1	5	Strong Odor	D Davis

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	4	Tass	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	11	Peace Seeker	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/10 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

RACE #9 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 MAJORITY PARTNER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	5	Majority Partner	J Lezcano
PLACE	5-1	4	Andiamo a Firenze	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	3-1	2	Big Engine	L Saez
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Oceans Reserve	J Castellano

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Market Alert	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Scilly Cay	F Prat

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #10 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	10-1	6	Mo Damorninggrouch	D Davis
PLACE	7-2	7	Dance With Me Babe	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	4-1	4	Three Girls	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Red Butterfly	J L Ortiz

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	8	Lakeside Getaway	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	12	Gotham Gray	F Prat

* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:54 AM

Del Mar Tip Sheet - July 23

Jul. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $35,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SILVER LIGHTENING

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	5	Silver Lightening	A Fresu
PLACE	8-5	4	Shes Resilient	U Rispoli
SHOW	5-2	1	Just a Little Luck	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	10-1	3	Bella Baby	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	6	Anybodys Choice	J Valdivia Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Dont Get Pickled	G Franco

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 $18,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	2	Straighten Up	J J Hernandez
PLACE	4-1	5	Colonel Vargo	A Cedillo
SHOW	5-1	4	Goldenspa	R Diaz
WILD CARD	3-1	6	Too Much Info	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	7	President Z	D Van Dyke
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Reign Over Me	G Franco

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

RACE #3 $84,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 EDDIES NEW DREAM

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Eddies New Dream	M Gutierrez
PLACE	7-2	3	Runninwiththeboyz	H I Berrios
SHOW	6-1	8	Freedom Lass	K Frey
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Paris Peacock	J J Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	5	Oakhurst	U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Shared Future	T J Pereira

* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

RACE #4 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:38 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	1	Cowboy Mike	J J Hernandez
PLACE	3-1	2	Ship and Scam	D Van Dyke
SHOW	5-1	6	Silver N Black	K J Desormeaux
WILD CARD	4-1	4	Dont Fight the Fed	M Gutierrez

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	8	Lord Tripping	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Coppertunity	T J Pereira

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

RACE #5 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:08 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 KISSED BY FIRE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	2	Kissed by Fire	M E Smith
PLACE	6-1	4	Christinas Candy	K J Desormeaux
SHOW	6-1	9	Sultry Kitten	R A Vazquez
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Just Nails	H I Berrios

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Calabrian Queen	A Fresu
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	11	Sparrow	J J Hernandez

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX

RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES 1 1/2 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:38 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Azul Coast	J J Hernandez
PLACE	5-2	4	Kiss Today Goodbye	H I Berrios
SHOW	6-1	2	Bye Bye Bobby	M E Smith
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Order and Law	K J Desormeaux

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	7	Kitten Mischief	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Rimprotector	K Frey

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

RACE #7 $83,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:08 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	3	Horace Mann	R A Vazquez
PLACE	7-2	8	Smart Code	K Frey
SHOW	10-1	2	Bolt Supremacy	G Franco
WILD CARD	8-1	9	X J Rascal	U Rispoli

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	10	Boss Sully	K J Desormeaux
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Themainprotagonist	T J Pereira

* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX

RACE #8 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:38 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	1	Mirahmadi	J J Hernandez
PLACE	4-1	2	Tall Paul	U Rispoli
SHOW	5-2	8	Pony Express	H I Berrios
WILD CARD	8-1	9	Boltage	R A Vazquez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	10	Miracle Mark	J Bravo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Raging Torrent	A Fresu

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX

RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:08 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	2	Evening Sun	H I Berrios
PLACE	7-2	11	Irideo	A Cedillo
SHOW	4-1	1	Cathkin Peak	U Rispoli
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Du Jour	J J Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	13	Hit the Road	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	14	Count of Amazonia	T J Pereira

* EXACTA: 2-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 1/7/11 BOX

RACE #10 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:38 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	1	Ryders Candy	G Franco
PLACE	7-2	5	Zoes Pride	A Espinoza
SHOW	10-1	10	Rosie Ann Rules	A Aguilar
WILD CARD	4-1	9	Camp Bashors Candy	J Bravo

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Twin Soul	K J Desormeaux
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Kaylas Joy	H I Berrios

* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/10 BOX, 5/9/10 BOX

RACE #11 $22,500 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 10:08 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	6	Overdue	U Rispoli
PLACE	6-1	11	Give Me the Lute	J J Hernandez
SHOW	8-1	3	Mo Them Down	R Diaz
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Comradery	T J Pereira

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Jacks Outlaw	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	14	Hembree	E A Maldonado

* EXACTA: 6-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/11 BOX, 3/7/11 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:55 AM

Ellis Park Hotlist - July 23

Jul. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	3	Abbreviation	R Bejarano
PLACE	9-5	1	Shes Magic	C Landeros
SHOW	2-1	6	No Guilt	G Saez
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Evies Encore	E Morales

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Steel Racer	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Overindulgence	M Chuan

* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

RACE #2 $40,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 GUANA CAY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Guana Cay	A Beschizza
PLACE	2-1	3	Mercy Warren	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	8-1	1	La Tourista	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Waters of Merom	E Morales

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Music Amore	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Mirth n Merriment	F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	10-1	2	Pharoahs Wine	M Chuan
PLACE	7-2	5	Federalism	D Cannon
SHOW	6-1	6	Raconteuse	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Gold Del Mar	W A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	9	Youre Kitten Me	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	Panthera	K J Asmussen

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 PONCE DE LEON

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	9	Ponce de Leon	A Beschizza
PLACE	5-2	1	Balta	G Corrales
SHOW	5-1	3	Stoke the Fire	E Morales
WILD CARD	15-1	4	Sabres	R Bejarano

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	5	Henro	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Flotation Station	K J Asmussen

* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #5 $37,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	4	Deep State	G Saez
PLACE	3-1	1	Arabian Prince	R Gutierrez
SHOW	5-1	9	Secret Pocket	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Moon Cat	D Cannon

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Idratherbeblessed	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Tiz of Thee	R Miranda

* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX

RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	6	Non Violence	R Gutierrez
PLACE	3-1	3	Last Leaf	C J Lanerie
SHOW	1-1	7	Wicked Halo	C A Torres
WILD CARD	15-1	4	Speedometer	K J Asmussen

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Gunning	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Tap Dance Fever	F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

RACE #7 $74,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	6	Misread	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	3-1	5	Exit Soul	J Graham
SHOW	4-1	1	Clever Joke	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Fiddle	L Machado

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	8	Lucys Cakes Fly	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	4	Loved Reiko	M Garcia

* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

RACE #8 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 HEARTBREAKER

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	5	Heartbreaker	M Chuan
PLACE	8-1	4	Tiwanaku	E Morales
SHOW	3-1	3	Presidential	C A Torres
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Roman Centurian	F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Allege	K J Asmussen
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	8	Kings Ovation	M Garcia

* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

RACE #9 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	4	Baba Voss	R Bejarano
PLACE	5-1	3	Noises Off	C A Torres
SHOW	4-1	9	My Boy Tony	D Cannon
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Royal Salute	J Graham

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	12	Orbi One	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Brigade Commander	A Beschizza

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/5/9 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2023, 07:55 AM

Monmouth Park Tip Sheet - July 23

Jul. 22, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $68,750 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	8	Carats Forever	S Marin
PLACE	2-1	9	Sunnyridge Jaime	L J Luzzi
SHOW	6-1	1	Exclusive Champion	J Rendon
WILD CARD	5-1	11	Singleberylbourbon	G Huayas

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Paint Me Beautiful	P Lopez
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	10	Without a Net	J A Gomez

* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/8/9 BOX, 1/9/11 BOX

RACE #2 $6,500 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:07 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	5	Rerally	J A Vargas Jr.
PLACE	5-2	7	Bourbon Thunder	M Olver
SHOW	9-2	3	Gonna Be Epic	A A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Tapaterm	R Parish

ALTERNATE 1	2-1	2	Brindisi	A Adorno
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Bam Bam Warrior	P L Cotto Jr.

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

RACE #3 $71,875 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	4	Post Command	J A Vargas Jr.
PLACE	7-2	7	Spiritinthenight	R F Moya
SHOW	5-2	2	Electric Eel	P Lopez
WILD CARD	4-1	1	J. T. Three	J A Gomez

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Frankie G	J Torres
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Legendary Thunder	J C Ferrer

* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX

RACE #4 $75,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:03 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	2	Steel Drivin Man	P Lopez
PLACE	8-1	6	Lemon Creek Louie	J Rendon
SHOW	2-1	3	Cash Kid	A Adorno
WILD CARD	9-2	5	Hello Pop	I Castillo

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	4	Forever Chocolate	J A Vargas Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	8	Royal Coup	L A Rodriguez Castro

* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

RACE #5 $71,875 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:31 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	8	Dont Rock the Boat	R R Maragh
PLACE	9-2	4	Charlies Express	I Castillo
SHOW	5-2	5	Optical Bijou	A A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Zava	J Rendon

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	Jaspers Pride	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	See the Truth	S Marin

* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

RACE #6 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:59 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 SIR GOOSA

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	2	Sir Goosa	P Lopez
PLACE	3-1	8	Win No Joke	J Torres
SHOW	6-1	5	Brads Bet	L R Rivera Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Liotta	J Rendon

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Keep Dem Talking	M Iorio
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	10	Staff Sergeant	R Mitchell

* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

RACE #7 $62,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	3	Castle Chaos	J Rendon
PLACE	9-2	2	Kobe B	N Juarez
SHOW	5-1	7	Senate Chamber	A A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	6-1	8	Adero	A Adorno

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Greatheart	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	2-1	5	High Connection	P Lopez

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX

RACE #8 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 EAST SIDE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	4	East Side	R R Maragh
PLACE	9-2	11	Get Khozy	J Rendon
SHOW	10-1	6	Saratoga Sky	D Brown
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Subversive	P Lopez

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	12	Interchanger	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Word for Word	J Rendon

* EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/11 BOX, 1/6/11 BOX

RACE #9 $78,125 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	10	Great Navigator	P Lopez
PLACE	7-2	5	Amatteroftime	A A Rodriguez
SHOW	8-1	6	Last Romance	A S Arroyo
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Kaz Sweet Heist	J Torres

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Irish Meadow	C E Rojas
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Starstruck Notion	J Rendon

* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

RACE #10 $30,000 CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:51 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 ONE AMERICA

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	9	One America	J A Gomez
PLACE	9-2	1	Larger Than Life	J A Vargas Jr.
SHOW	4-1	7	Generals Duty	R Silvera
WILD CARD	15-1	4	Kingdom On Paws	J Rendon

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Neutral	D Centeno
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Face Abarrio	S Marin

* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/9 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

RACE #11 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:19 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	5	Kashan	S Marin
PLACE	2-1	2	Ninja Abarrio	A S Arroyo
SHOW	3-1	3	Del Rey Dolly	M Olver
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Moving in Stereo	A A Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Field Letters	K De Jesus
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Champagne Sister	G Huayas

* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX