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Re: 3-5-09
Bob Balfe
Missouri State +4
Bob Balfe
Missouri State +4
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Re: 3-5-09
Jake Timlin
Thursday's Action
300? South Carolina Gamecocks
I see nothing but revenge for the Gamecocks tonight at home.
You see thanks to being a great home team at 16-1 straight up and doing so by an average of 15 points per game the Gamecocks are the only choice tonight in the SEC. After all given that revenge will be on the Gamecocks mind after losing by 3 points at Knoxville early this season after rallying from 14 points down at the half I look for South Carolina to put two good haves together tonight.
Meanwhile, for Tennessee given their 3-7 ATS record away from Knoxville this season it’s tough to imagine them winning on the road tonight against a better team in South Carolina.
Flat out, if not for a bad first half in the first meeting South Carolina would be eyeing a season sweep, but thanks to being at home tonight they will settle for the revenge.
All South Carolina minus the points!Comment
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Re: 3-5-09
Mark Franco
Dallas at New Orleans
Play: New Orleans -6
The Mavericks were 0-5 last season in New Orleans, including three losses in a first-round playoff series.
The Hornets won their only previous meeting with the Mavericks this season, outscoring them 25-18 in the fourth quarter to take a 104-97 road victory. Point guard Chris Paul had 33 points, 11 assists, 10 rebounds and seven steals for his second consecutive triple-double against Dallas.
Dallas is off a big win vs. the Spurs last night and does not play well in their second of back-to-back nights.Comment
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Re: 3-5-09
Stu's 100 Dime College Hoops Trio Game #1 (SF1)
Providence (159) at Villanova (-10') - 7 p.m. EST
Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown
VILLANOVA (-10') 100 Dimes
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Stu's 100 Dime College Hoops Trio Game #2 (SF2)
Tennessee (+2) at South Carolina (158') - 7 p.m. EST
Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown
TENNESSEE (+2) 100 Dimes
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Stu's 100 Dime College Hoops Trio Game #3 (SF3)
Illinois (117') at Penn State (+1')- 9 p.m. EST
Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown
PENN STATE (+1') 100 DimesComment
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Re: 3-5-09
John Ryan
Money Line: -120 Florida Panthers
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Florida as they host Pittsburgh slated to start at 7:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 74-58 making 43.3 units since 1996. Play against any team against the money line off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more and with a winning record in the second half of the season. Pittsburgh is just 6-14 against the money line (-10.9 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game this season. Florida in a very strong role noting they are 11-4 against the money line (+7.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year this season; 20-7 against the money line (+11.4 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opposition in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is off a 3-1 win at TB and were 160 favorites. That win though places them into a horrid role for this game. Note that Pittsburgh is just -12 against the money line (-10.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season. Take Florida.Comment
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Re: 3-5-09
Marc Lawrence Playbook plays.These 5* been hot all year
5* Utah Jazz Wednesday March 4..(loser last night)
5* Xavier Thursday March 5
Week 7 Record: 5* (3-0) 4* (1-2) 3* (2-1) +14 stars for the week
Year to Date: 5* (14-6-1) 4* (10-11) 3* (7-14) +15 stars for the year
Last Four Weeks: 5* (11-0-1) 4* (8-4) 3* (5-8) +65 stars last 4 weeksComment
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Re: 3-5-09
Al DeMarco
Thursday's Pick 10 Dime - South Carolina
Tennessee barely got by Miss State at home (81-76 laying 8') and beat an average Florida team in Gainesville its owned over the years prior to arriving in Columbia tonight where the Gamecocks are 16-1 SU on the season and seeking their first undefeated SEC home campaign since 1997. The Volunteers have not won three straight conference games all season.
Prior to their mini two-game winning streak, Tennessee had gotten crushed at Kentucky (77-58) and at Ole Miss (81-65). That's the same Kentucky team South Carolina destroyed at home last Wednesday 77-59, and the same Ole Miss squad the Gamecocks beat in late January at home by 11.
The season's first meeting went to Tennessee 82-79, a game in which the Vols led by as many as 19 points in the first half and 17 with 8 1/2 minutes remaining before South Carolina woke up and nearly pulled off the furious comeback, taking advantage of Tennessee's careless ball-handling as it converted 22 turnovers into 25 points.
South Carolina is a big, physical team, the type that gives Tennessee match-up problems, and one that is coming off a 16 blocked-shot performance in its victory against Kentucky last week.
Tennessee is just 7-6 SU on the road this season - allowing 76 points an outing - heading into this near pick'em game, which is expected to be played before South Carolina's third sellout of the season and fourth in the past seven years overall.
b>Speaking of the line.... As I post this play late Thursday afternoon, South Caroina is between -1 1/2 and -2.
My advice: If you've got South Carolina at -1 1/2, buy down the 1/2 point, making the Gamecocks -1 so you get the win should they prevail by two or a push if they win by one.
At -2, don't do anything, but if the line goes to -2 1/2, even after shopping around, buy down the 1/2 point to make South Carolina -2 so you get a push should the Gamecocks only win by two.
With that being said above, don't for a minute think that I don't realize that I'm asking you to spend additional funds - over and above the purchase of this selection - to essentially buy insurance on this pick. Myself, to be honest, I feel that the breaks always even out over the course of the year and in such situations it's a 50-50 proposition. Obviously there are no guarantees in gambling, but again, when you have the chance to hedge the odds in your favor for a small cost, it's worth the investmentComment
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Re: 3-5-09
Indian Cowboy.
4 Unit Play. #707. Take Providence +10.5 over Villanova (Thursday @ 7pm est).
I'm glad we cashed with the 5* on Missouri as that is now 6 straight 5* Winners as we come off December cbb gom, Jan cbb gom, Feb cbb gom and March cbb gom winners. We are 5-1 on the week and 6-2 in March so let's keep our "Madness" run going. You can probably get 11 for this line if you wait or shop around. But, I see mostly 10.5 with spotted "11's" so just wait as the public will likely raise this price higher which is fine as we take the underdog. I like the fact that Villanova comes off such a huge and dominating win over Notre Dame on the road. No, Providence is not ranked 16th in the country like Nova is and no, Providence is not 12-5 in the conference like Nova nor do they get anywhere close to the press coverage. But, yes, this Providence did take 'Nova to the wire earlier this year losing 91-94. In fact, in that game, Nova was up at the half 49-34 only to see that lead dwindle as Providence made a spirited comeback. Granted, if Nova was coming off a loss to Notre Dame, I would have stayed away from this game. But, Nova comes off a big 17 point win at the eyes of the public after the outright loss to Georgetown at home which undoubtedly stung for this team. Heck, GT had 25 turnovers and still managed to win the game and for a team that learns discipline from a solid coach, this was hard to take. Hence, their big win at Notre Dame. I understand it is senior night, but coming off such a big win over Notre Dame, I think this is a wash. Tack on the fact that Providence has gained confidence from what they did right in the second half against this team at home, plus, the fact that this Friar team is playing better defeating Pittsburgh and their #1 ranking 81-73 at home and following it up by not having a let down and defeating Rutgers on the road sweeping them on the season. I'm not taking anything away from Nova, but I think Providence will sneak inside the number here as Villanova has not covered back to back games since February 10th. The Friars are 9-4 ATS as underdogs of 7 to 12 points and the Wildcats are 1-4 ATS when facing teams with a road winning % of less than 40% - meaning they have trouble covering big spreads at home.
4* NBA: Dallas +6.5
Make that 5 straight NBA Winners for us as we have won 5 straight days in the Association. Let's go for #6 in a row and keep a perfect March as we are 4-0 in March NBA today as we look to cash with the Mavs on the road at New Orleans. I will tell you right off the bat that I have been hard on the Mavs all year long. I think Devin Harris is the far better player than Jason Kidd and I think Cuban is a fool for giving up Harris for Kidd. Having said that, I think Dallas is going to show up big today in New Orleans for several reasons. For starters, people have forgotten about Dallas a bit and they are playing with a chip on their shoulder. Remember, when we think of the West, we do not think of the Mavericks anymore and rightfully so. But, also bear in mind, that when Dallas is healthy, and that includes having Kidd and Howard both in ballgames, they be potent. Keep in mind Jason Kidd needs to take part in the scoring as he cannot have all the work go toward Dirk, Howard and Terry off the bench. Now, Kidd did score 17 points against the Spurs and this is why the Mavs beat them. Kidd needs to step up once again tonight. But, more importantly, the last time these two teams played, Dallas went into the half up 56-51. But, the Mavs collapsed and ended up losing 97-104. Why? Well, because this team did not have Howard that game and therefore, their legs were tired and the key players in Dirk, Terry and Kidd had to take more of the load. Consequently, this team failed. Remember, the Mavs are not like the Lakers who have an endless sea of quality players off the bench it seems. The Mavs need to have all four, and all four healthy to be potent like they were against the Spurs. Howard came back and has been playing well as he was key to the Spurs win the other day scoring 29 points and picking up 7 boards in the process. Look for Howard to have a big game and for him to make the difference. Remember, the Mavs lost by 7 to the Hornets without Howard - imagine what they will do with Howard - with revenge. I wouldn't be a bit surprised to see the Mavs win this game Outright on the road as I have that as 40% possibility, but I will gladly take the offered points as well. The Hornets cannot be trusted laying points as they are 0-4 ATS when laying 5 to 10 points as this team is infamous for letting teams back into the game - just check the Bucks game at home the other night. Dallas will be coming all night long with that revenge after they took the home loss to the Hornets just earlier this year.Comment
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