Sunday 8/6/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-05-2023, 08:21 PM

Mountaineer Tip Sheet - August 6

Aug. 05, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 61% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $35,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	5	Dichotomy	E Paucar
PLACE	7-2	1	Fragrant	C Oliveros
SHOW	7-5	2	Yankee Dollar	A A Gallardo
WILD CARD	15-1	3	Mandy Green	G Rodriguez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Loopy	J A Leon
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Tout Ensemble	G Whitacre

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

RACE #2 $21,000 ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 LIAMS LASS

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	7	Liams Lass	C Oliveros
PLACE	4-5	9	Kendal Grace	L A Batista
SHOW	6-1	2	Oopsie Doopsie	G Rodriguez
WILD CARD	15-1	1	Machen Mayhem	A A Gallardo

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Donna Lirica	Y Aviles
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	8	Connect It	K Gonzalez

* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX

RACE #3 $35,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 ROYAL COUNTY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	2	Royal County	C Oliveros
PLACE	8-5	7	Secret Fix	L A Gonzalez
SHOW	9-2	6	J Ls Rockette	A Jimenez
WILD CARD	5-2	5	Poetic Verse	E E Perez

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	3	Miss Betty	A R Ramgeet
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Lovely Lisa	L A Batista

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

RACE #4 $35,000 ALLOWANCE 4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	1	Kosher Cowboy	Y Aviles
PLACE	5-2	4	Primal Destiny	L A Batista
SHOW	2-1	6	Storm Boarder	G Rodriguez
WILD CARD	12-1	7	Alfie Solomons	N Vigil

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	8	Youthinkthatsfunny	R Latchman
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Liberate	J Sanchez

* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

RACE #5 $35,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	30-1	7	Malibu Rock Star	C Oliveros
PLACE	5-2	9	Riptide Rock	G Rodriguez
SHOW	12-1	11	Forever Poe	J A Leon
WILD CARD	8-5	1	Accredit	L Machado

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Shy Guy	E Paucar
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Obiwan	L A Batista

* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/9/11 BOX, 1/9/11 BOX

RACE #6 $35,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 MY BUDDY B

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-1	10	My Buddy B	C Oliveros
PLACE	3-1	9	Williston Way	L A Batista
SHOW	15-1	3	Storminunclejack	G Rodriguez
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Minister of Soul	H Hernandez

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	5	Lake Radio	L A Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Baytown Bear	T Heard

* EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	12	Best Actor	K Carmouche
PLACE	3-1	2	OConnor	T Conner
SHOW	10-1	10	King Ottoman	C A Torres
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Buck Moon	G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	8	War Campaign	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Surly Furious	A A Gallardo

* EXACTA: 12-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX

RACE #8 $500,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:15 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	8	One in Vermillion	H Hernandez
PLACE	4-1	3	Tapits Conquest	K Carmouche
SHOW	6-1	2	Lord Miles	A Bocachica
WILD CARD	3-1	11	Raise Cain	L Machado

ALTERNATE 1	10-1	12	West Coast Cowboy	T Conner
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	4	Red Route One	C O Torres

* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/3/11 BOX

RACE #9 $21,000 ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:40 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	2	Timberry Tiddler	G Rodriguez
PLACE	5-2	5	Devils Red	E Paucar
SHOW	10-1	6	Dont Cross Jack	Y Aviles
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Jackson Man	A Jimenez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Shosha	E Jurado
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Wild Wine	A Williams

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-05-2023, 08:22 PM

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 6

Aug. 05, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	8	Weigh the Risks	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	12-1	13	Dancing Spirit	F Geroux
SHOW	9-2	3	Later Darling	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Floribunda	J Rosario

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Sands of War	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1A	Dr. Ray D.	M Franco

* EXACTA: 8-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/13 BOX, 3/7/13 BOX

RACE #2 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	5	Ways and Means	F Prat
PLACE	4-1	3	Value Area	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	15-1	4	Six Pack Senorita	J Rosario
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Calle Amada	J R Velazquez

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	She Called	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Bento	D Davis

* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

RACE #3 $35,000 CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 SHINFULL

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	7	Shinfull	J L Ortiz
PLACE	4-1	3	U Should B Dancing	F Prat
SHOW	5-1	4	Miss Domina	M Franco
WILD CARD	12-1	9	Roja Ligera	T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Chromeplated Heart	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Dufresne	D Davis

* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX

RACE #4 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-2	3	Whatlovelookslike	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	6	Federalist Papers	J L Ortiz
SHOW	9-2	5	Myriskyaffair	D Davis
WILD CARD	8-5	8	Know It All Audrey	I Ortiz Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	4-1	7	Ever Summer	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	4	Talbeyah	I Ortiz Jr.

* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX

RACE #5 $12,500 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	3	Higher Quality	J Alvarado
PLACE	7-2	7	Hammerin Aamer	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	4-1	2	Souper Catch	M Franco
WILD CARD	3-1	1	Grumps Little Tots	J A Torres

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1A	Durkins Call	D Davis
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Goldini	J Rosario

* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX

RACE #6 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	4	Gypsy Tales	J L Ortiz
PLACE	6-1	5	Lady Moscato	J Rosario
SHOW	3-1	9	Before You Go Go	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Helcia	F Prat

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Empire Island	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Holiday Road	J Alvarado

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX

RACE #7 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	1	Addressable Market	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	6-1	12	Fancy Stax	F Prat
SHOW	9-2	13	Volatility	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	9-2	9	It Wasnt Me	F Geroux

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	4	Belleshazza	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Spirit and Fire	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 1-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX, 13-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/12/13 BOX, 9/12/13 BOX

RACE #8 $200,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	10	Beckys Joker	J Castellano
PLACE	5-2	3	Here U Come Again	F Geroux
SHOW	9-2	4	Brightwork	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	9	Copper Em	T Gaffalione

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Saratoga Secret	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Princesa Celina	J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX

RACE #9 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	3	Ruda	J L Ortiz
PLACE	5-2	4	Pentagon	J Lezcano
SHOW	10-1	2	Cant Fool Me	M Franco
WILD CARD	2-1	1	Dontmesswithtess	I Ortiz Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	9	April Antics	Rider TBA
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Miss Kristy	J Castellano

* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

RACE #10 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 FORWARD MOVE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	3	Forward Move	J L Ortiz
PLACE	5-1	7	Barry the Builder	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	6-1	15	Bernardino	F Prat
WILD CARD	7-2	2	Stow On the Wold	F Prat

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	12	Zapruder	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	16	Thatsmyboxer	J A Torres

* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-15 BOX, 15-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/15 BOX, 2/7/15 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-05-2023, 08:22 PM

Del Mar Tip Sheet - August 6

Aug. 05, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	9	Ellie Moore	U Rispoli
PLACE	10-1	3	Poppys Joy	H I Berrios
SHOW	6-1	8	Avoir	A Fresu
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Pacific Rose	M Gutierrez

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	6	Petite Ange	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	10	Next Right Thing	E A Ellingwood

* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX

RACE #2 $7,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:34 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 HANDRSDREAM

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	8	Handrsdream	U Rispoli
PLACE	6-1	13	Secret Touch	A Fresu
SHOW	5-1	3	Jalen Journey	A Ayuso
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Mike Operator	B Harvey

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Dr. Troutman	R Ramirez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	12	Scary Fast Smile	A Aguilar

* EXACTA: 8-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/13 BOX, 1/3/13 BOX

RACE #3 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	9-5	5	Diamonds Danzing	G Franco
PLACE	4-1	1	Bajan Bashert	A Aguilar
SHOW	6-1	10	Jessebear	K J Desormeaux
WILD CARD	5-1	13	Grazen Touch	J Valdivia Jr.

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	3	Hot Thirst Trap	H I Berrios
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Satoshi	U Rispoli

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX, 10-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/10 BOX, 1/10/13 BOX

RACE #4 $83,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:39 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 MICRO SHARE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	4	Micro Share	M E Smith
PLACE	8-1	5	Trouville	A Fresu
SHOW	3-1	2	Kuora	G Franco
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Liberal Lady	D A Herrera

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Magazine	A Espinoza
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Keen Lady	J Valdivia Jr.

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

RACE #5 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:09 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	4	Nothing Like You	U Rispoli
PLACE	6-1	9	Greer My Dear	E A Maldonado
SHOW	6-1	6	Girl of My Dreams	M E Smith
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Bossy Bruin Gal	T J Pereira

ALTERNATE 1	12-1	7	Discrepancy	H I Berrios
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Autumn Chill	K J Desormeaux

* EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX

RACE #6 $28,000 CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:39 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 HOT BOX

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	9	Hot Box	M E Smith
PLACE	6-1	1	My Summer Dream	A Ayuso
SHOW	6-1	14	Chasin Munny	A Espinoza
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Inch	E A Maldonado

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Took Charge	T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	8	Barristan The Bold	R A Vazquez

* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/9/14 BOX, 1/6/14 BOX

RACE #7 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:09 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	6	Drivers Ed	R A Vazquez
PLACE	5-2	1	California Tiger	H I Berrios
SHOW	5-1	2	Mr. Disrespectful	A Aguilar
WILD CARD	10-1	9	Carols Comic	A Espinoza

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Logon to Win	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Torquewrench	A Ayuso

* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX

RACE #8 $82,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:39 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	10	Flame McGoon	D A Herrera
PLACE	4-1	12	Unwritten Code	T J Pereira
SHOW	3-1	2	Dont Ju Forget	R A Vazquez
WILD CARD	12-1	4	Scatchmejamin	H R Lopez

ALTERNATE 1	7-2	14	Stay and Scam	M Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	6	Organic	U Rispoli

* EXACTA: 10-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 2/4/12 BOX

RACE #9 $125,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:09 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-5	3	Pushiness	U Rispoli
PLACE	5-2	2	Grand Slam Smile	F T Alvarado
SHOW	6-1	6	Putt for Dough	M Gutierrez
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Fly a Fantasy	M E Smith

ALTERNATE 1	3-1	7	Crazy Hot	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Its Saul Good	E A Maldonado

* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:39 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	2	Agency	R A Vazquez
PLACE	2-1	5	Panic Alarm	U Rispoli
SHOW	8-1	8	Zalamo	M E Smith
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Henry Q	A Fresu

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	3	Maltese Falcon	J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Smart Mo	J Bravo

* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

RACE #11 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:09 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	4-1	12	The Key Is Unity	R A Vazquez
PLACE	5-1	7	Hard Times	H I Berrios
SHOW	7-2	9	Mt. Zeror	A Alsagoor
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Snapp Daddy	K J Desormeaux

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	Whiskey Vision	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Bluegrass Ryder	R Gonzalez

* EXACTA: 12-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/9/12 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-05-2023, 08:23 PM

Ellis Park Tip sheet - August 6

Aug. 05, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	8-1	9	Reprehend	J Talamo
PLACE	7-2	3	Tricolour	E Morales
SHOW	5-2	4	Mo Moves	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	15-1	5	Cambiaso	G Corrales

ALTERNATE 1	9-2	6	Good News Rocket	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1	Fightertown	J Gilligan

* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

RACE #2 $30,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 TREATY

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	4	Treaty	F Arrieta
PLACE	8-1	8	Longshadow	K J Asmussen
SHOW	5-2	9	Coastal Defense	M Garcia
WILD CARD	10-1	7	Madison Luvs Duke	J Talamo

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	1	Lucky Boss	C A Emigh
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Liam the Brave	G Corrales

* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX

RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 SCATLIE

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	6	Scatlie	D Cannon
PLACE	8-1	10	Snow Princess	J Graham
SHOW	6-1	5	Our Dotsie	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Wild Iris	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Fancy Caber Neigh	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1	Caribbean Beauty	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 6-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX

RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	3-1	9	Shakin Loose	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	8-1	5	Feel the Magic	J Graham
SHOW	6-1	2	Hedge the Risk	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Gettysburg Address	M Chuan

ALTERNATE 1	6-1	10	Uncle Happy	E Morales
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	Remember the Fear	G Corrales

* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

RACE #5 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SOMEBODYS PROBLEM

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	7-2	5	Somebodys Problem	M Murrill
PLACE	5-1	8	Kant Believe It	C J Hernandez
SHOW	10-1	2	Altered Shot	L Saez
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Jag Warrior	M Chuan

ALTERNATE 1	5-2	9	Devious Dame	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Fashion Rage	K J Asmussen

* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX

RACE #6 $200,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	9	One Timer	E T Baird
PLACE	4-1	10	Bad Beat Brian	C A Emigh
SHOW	25-1	11	Pure Panic	W A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	10-1	8	Chiseler	C J Lanerie

ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Charcoal	A Achard
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Let My People Go	R Bejarano

* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/10/11 BOX, 8/10/11 BOX

RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	5-2	2	Henrietta Topham	J Graham
PLACE	15-1	7	Sinfiltre	F Arrieta
SHOW	15-1	3	Fancy Martini	C Landeros
WILD CARD	3-1	9	New Years Eve	L Saez

ALTERNATE 1	15-1	8	Querobin Dourada	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	12	Takntothecleaners	E Morales

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

RACE #8 $300,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	6-1	2	Frontal Attack	G Corrales
PLACE	3-1	4	Safeen	L Saez
SHOW	9-2	1	Bling	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Wonderfull Lady	V Cheminaud

ALTERNATE 1	5-1	7	Lily Poo	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Hang the Moon	F Arrieta

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET

PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY

WIN	2-1	11	Spooky Channel	J Graham
PLACE	7-2	4	Get Smokin	L Saez
SHOW	20-1	13	Vintage Print	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	8-1	8	Kitodan	F Arrieta

ALTERNATE 1	20-1	9	McLovin	A Achard
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	12	Camp Hope	B J Hernandez Jr.

* EXACTA: 11-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX, 13-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/11/13 BOX, 4/8/13 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-05-2023, 08:23 PM

Saratoga Hotlist - August 6

Aug. 05, 2023

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
5^th race [Clm 12500, 1 mi] – (4) Goldini makes a significant drop in class which includes his win for $32,000 on the dirt three races back. He was claimed by Rudy Rodrigues at Aqueduct for $8,000, so the move down makes sense. (3) Higher Quality gets a pass for his last start in a Grade 3 at Monmouth Park when his prior two starts yielded a second and a win for claiming prices of $16,000 and $10,000. (5) Sprinklehead used his early speed to win twice in Kentucky for $20,000 and $10,000 when he was claimed. He is projected to be on the lead again. (7) Hammerin Aamer was a winner for $16,000 at Aqueduct in the winter and was claimed for $20,000 in May. The 9-year-old has 13 career victories.
8^th race [Adirondack (G3), 6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-05-2023, 08:24 PM

Del Mar Hotlist - August 6

Aug. 05, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (3) Poppy’s Joy debuts for D’Amato and seems set for a big effort. (9) Ellie Moore cannot be ignored in her U.S. debut. (2) Pacific Rose seems well-meant here. (8) Avoir is working sharply for her debut. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-8-9.
3rd race – (1) Bajan Bashert had some trouble when third last time. Should work out a winning trip from the rail. (6) Satoshi is worth a long look in her debut. (3) Hot Thirst Trap also merits attention in her debut. (10) Jessebear rallied fast for third. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-10.
5th race – (4) Nothing Like You debuts for Baffert and looks best in this spot. (7) Discrepancy has some interesting credentials and could be a main threat. (6) Girl of My Dreams put in a strong gate work for this. (5) Autumn Chill seems capable of a better try here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-7..
7th race – (1) California Tiger missed by a nose last time and looks like the one to beat. (2) Mr. Disrespectful has plenty of speed and will be tough to catch. (9) Carol’s Comic belongs in the exotics. (4) Logon to Win was second in a claimer and could be competitive here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9. Doubles: 1-2-4-9 with 1-2-9-10.
8th race – (2) Don’t Ju Forget moves back to turf after a beneficial comeback race on dirt and should be able to handle this field. (9) Gritty Girl disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (10) Flame McGoon is working smartly after a freshening. (1) Queen of Pompeii could be a factor on her best try. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-9-10.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:04 AM

Jeremy Plonk: Mountaineer WV Derby Day Pick 4 Analysis

August 6, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
Sunday night’s West Virginia Derby Day card at Mountaineer includes the Grade 3 West Virginia Governor’s Stakes among the late pick 4. I’ve got some highly narrowed opinions on the sequence for a focused ticket. First post is 5 pm ET and the featured pick 4 gets underway in Race 6 at 7:05 pm ET.

Let’s get to work.

Mountaineer | Race 6 | allowance

Outside pair look extremely strong here in #9 Williston Way (3-1 ML) and #10 My Buddy B (5-1 ML). Williston Way comes off back-to-back romping wins and jockey Luis Bautista is the meet’s top pilot in 6-furlong sprints in both wins (15) and win percentage (22%). My Buddy B is 5-for-7 lifetime sprinting, 3-for-4 at Mountaineer and hits a typically productive second-off-the-layoff spot in his form cycle.

Mountaineer | Race 7 | Grade 3 West Virginia Governor’s Stakes

While the far outside is no picnic here at 1-1/16 miles on dirt, #12 Best Actor (6-1 ML) should be ready to romp in his second start at age 4. Dueled a 4-5 favorite into submission June 30 at Ellis and would up second-best at a tough 7-furlong trip off a break. Superb route form at age 3 for trainer Brad Cox, who is 12-29 shipping horses to Mountaineer over the years. The threat would be speedy #6 Buck Moon, who relished the tight turns at Fonner and could clear those inside him easily here and slingshot out of the clubhouse turn with confidence onto the backstretch.

Mountaineer | Race 8 | Grade 3 West Virginia Derby

The Derby sets up as fleet-footed #8 One in Vermillion (4-1 ML) on a catch-me-if-you-can mission and #3 Tapit’s Conquest (4-1 ML) the expected presser to make him sweat late. Really like the company lines Tapit’s Conquest exits that are better-than-they seem. Should get a great trip from a fantastic draw and give Cox a chance to sweep both stakes.

Mountaineer | Race 9 | allowance

Play of the day is #5 Devil’s Red on the move to turf. Trainer Wallace Jenkins has a crazy 11-28 turf record at Mountaineer over the past 3 years, including a 13: 5-3-0 mark with those exiting dirt races like Devil’s Red. More than capable even if this race was to be washed off the turf and onto dirt. Single to close it out.

The Tickets
9,10 with 12,6 with 3,8 with 5 = $4 for $.50 play
9,10 with 12 with 3 with 5 for $1 additional tickets as the preferred play

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:05 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 8/6/23

August 6, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 9-Ellie Moore
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The opener is a five furlong grass sprint for juvenile fillies that attracted 10 entrants, eight of which are making their racing debuts. Ellie Moore is one of the two that has a prior outing, and it was a good one in April at The Curragh in Ireland, where she finished in a dead heat for second (beaten a neck after a very slow start) and was assigned a fairly decent (60) Timeform rating. Hopefully, she’ll leave with her field today and if so the Phil D’Amato-trained daughter of Starspangledbanner will be difficult to beat, unless there’s a real good one that we’re not aware of waiting in the weeds.

*

RACE 2: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Handr’sdream; 3-Jalen Journey
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Handr’sdream plummets to the bottom and should be on or near the lead throughout in this extended sprint for $8,000 claiming older horses. A repeat of his highly rated win at Pleasanton two runs back beats this field, but the class drop from $20,000 to $8,000 clearly means he’s for sale. Jalen Journey is a New York shipper eligible for valuable ship-and-win money and at this level the veteran gelding must be respected. This will be his 39th career start (with 10 wins) and most of his best work have been done from off the pace, so at this extended sprint distance he should be heard from late.

*

RACE 3: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Diamonds Danzing
Backups/savers/Underneath: 1-Bajan Bashert; 1-Jessebear.

Forecast: Diamonds Danzing was very well-meant in her local debut at Santa Anita in mid-June but fell short when second to next out winner Big Pond in a fast race for the level while finishing more than six lengths clear of the rest. A repeat of that effort today in this maiden special weight sprint for older fillies and mares should be more than good enough. Additionally, she was stakes placed in her previous start in New Mexico last November and is deserving of her morning line price of 9/5.

*

RACE 4: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Micro Share; Kuora
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Micro Share earned a confidence building win at Pleasanton in late June and did so with a giant speed figure, by far a career top. Local workouts since that race have been excellent, so we’re expecting the Richard Mandella-trained filly to run at least as well today and perhaps even better. Always well regarded – she brought $450,000 at auction two years ago – the daughter of Upstart is the logical 8/5 morning line favorite. The one she should fear the most is the old pro from Peru, Kuora. She is seeking her third straight win while stretching out to a distance we know she can handle, so if our top pick fails to fire, this nine-time career winner may be able to extend her streak.

*

RACE 5: Post: 4:09 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Greer My Dear; 4-Nothing Like You; 8-Cheeky Gal

Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Bob Baffert has a first time starter in this maiden juvenile sprint, so that is where we and just about everybody else will start. Nothing Like You, a $190,000 OBS April sale purchase, breezed a furlong in a quick :10 flat in a good looking drill that helped boost her purchase price. Her dam was a multi stakes winner and produced South of France, a stakes winner in New York, so the daughter of Malibu Moon has a right to be a decent type. That said, her local works have been solid but not overwhelming and our impression is that she rates no better than the second level of 2-year-olds in the barn. Cheeky Gal was a $135,000 purchase in that same OBS April sale, where she previewed in :10 flat. However, we don’t consider her to be a particularly quick type. Our actual preference in the field is the Richard Mandella-trained Greer My Dear, who has trained well enough to be plenty fit and ready for a winning effort in a race containing no world beaters. The daughter of Medaglia d’Oro has breezed like a straightforward, professional type, and from her good outside draw she can load last and hopefully break first under top speed rider Edwin Maldonado. She is listed at 6-1 on the morning line and against this group we believe she’s better than that.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:39 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Took Charge; 9-Hot Box
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Took Charge was a strong runner-up in a starter allowance $25,000 turf sprint at Santa Anita in his most recent start and returns in a $32,000 seller, a proper placement for the hard knocking Take Charge Indy gelding. He is a strong fit on numbers, looks on paper to be the quickest of the quick, and he should really like this five furlong trip. Hot Box is the other committed speed in the field but must leave cleanly from his outside 9-hole draw. He’s been chasing tougher without much success of late but has a right to improve against this group, though we wonder if his best days are behind him.

*

RACE 7: Post: 5:09 PT Grade:
Main ticket (in order of preference): 10-Bigofromfresno; 1-California Tiger
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Driver’s Ed.

Forecast: Bigofromfeesno is a debuting gelding finally making it to the races at age four and is doing so while being protected in maiden special weight company when he just as well could have been entered at the bottom maiden claiming rung. A good sized son of Vronsky, the Dan Blacker-trained California-bred isn’t a quick sort but can turn it on late, and if doesn’t have too much to do from the quarter pole home he could easily outrun in morning line of 10-1. California Tiger was nosed out in a similar state-bred affair at Santa Anita in May in a much improved performance over his debut the previous month, and with a repeat of that effort today he will be tough to deny. A recent sharp five furlong drill over the Del Mar really caught the eye.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:39 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Don’t Ju Forget; 10-Flame McGoon
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Don’t Ju Forget, in her second start off a layoff, was sharp when second at Los Alamitos at this level last month in a race that produced a career top speed figure. Always most effective around one turn, the Peter Miller trained filly gets ideal conditions to settle in the second flight and then kick home when given her cue. Flame McGoon has been away since December, but the barn has solid stats with layoff runners and this California-bred daughter of Stanford has trained well enough to be fit and ready. Her prior outing over this course and distance resulted in a fast finishing third, and if she runs back to that race from last year the Mark Glatt-trained filly should be capable of posing a serious threat in the final furlong.

*

RACE 9: Post: 6:09 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Grand Slam Smile; 3-Pushiness
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Grand Slam Smile was a visually pleasing winner of the Fasig-Tipton Debutante Stakes in mid-June at Santa Anita after thoroughly impressing in her maiden win at Golden Gate Fields the previous month. She has trained in sharp style at her home base at Pleasanton while preparing for this year’s edition of the C.T.B.A Stakes so we suspect she’ll run as well if not even better today. The Smiling Tiger filly certainly is made of the right stuff. Pushiness won as expected in her debut, though there probably wasn’t a whole lot behind her. She’s always been well regarded and is the quickest of the quick. We’re expecting the winner will be one of these two, with preference on top to Grand Slam Smile.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:39 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Smart Mo
Backups/savers: 2-Agency.

Forecast: Let’s take a flyer with Smart Mo at 8-1 on the morning line in this year’s renewal of the La Jolla Handicap. This will be just his third career start, and his first on grass, but as a son of Mo Town he really should like it. Drawn nicely inside in a race that projects to have easy early fractions, the John Shirreffs-trained colt is fast on numbers and continues to impress in the morning. The well-regarded sophomore could easily be this good, so let’s make him a win play and a strong push in the various rolling exotics.

*

RACE 11: Post: 7:09 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Hard Times; 3-Snap Daddy
Backups/savers: 9-Mt. Zeror; 12-The Key Is Unity.

Forecast: Hard Times vans down from Northern California after shaking off the rust when third in an abbreviated sprint against a bit tougher at Pleasanton. That race should tighten him up for this extend sprint, and against this group of bottom-rung ($20,000) maiden claimers the Andy Mathis-trained son of Goldencents appears to have found his friends. The addition of blinkers is another positive factor. Snap Daddy is a first time gelding and therefore eligible to leave his previous form behind. He takes a significant class drop from the maiden $50,000 ranks and has a closing style that should be effective at this seven furlong distance.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:05 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/6/23

August 6, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Weigh the Risks
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Weigh the Risks was scratched recently from an off-the-turf maiden event so she makes her debut today in this middle distance inner grass course affair for juvenile fillies. The daughter of Mendelssohn has done everything in the morning like a quality prospect - View Workout - and should be fit and ready for a major effort in this contentious affair that contains several nice prospects. The Chad Brown barn hits at a powerful 24% with first time starters, so with Irad Ortiz, Jr., taking the call and at 7/2 on the morning line she’s a strong win play and rolling exotic single.
*

RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Ways and Means; 7-Bento; 8-Managing Mischief
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.
Forecast: Ways and Means has been fairly impressive in her preparation leading up to her debut and this daughter of Practical Joke looks live and extremely well meant in her debut. She’s a quick actioned, athletic juvenile filly and really caught the eye in a recent training track breeze - View Workout - in which she came the final quarter mile on our watches in :23 4/5 without being asked. The Chad Brown-trained filly is a half-sister to stakes winners Highly Motivated and Surge Capacity and looks the part of a real good prospect. Bento is a first timer by Tapit from a graded stakes winning, graded stakes producing mare and was pleasing in a sharp local gate breeze - View Workout - last month. A $600,000 yearling purchase, the Mark Casse-trained filly should be fit enough to be competitive and definitely is worth including on your ticket. Managing Mischief has a nice gate breeze last week - View Workout that gave indication of some talent. From the first crop of the promising Into Mischief stallion Maximus Mischief, she’s a half-sister to the quick sprinter Static Fire and may be better than her morning line of 8-1 gives her credit for.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:20 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Shinfull; 3-U Should B Dancing; 4-Miss Domina
Backups/savers/Underneath: 2-Chromeplated Heart.

Forecast: Here’s a grass grab bag that requires considerable coverage in rolling exotic play. Shinfull makes a trainer change to Linda Rice and surfaces in a restricted (nw-3 turf sprint claimer for fillies and mares, so we’ll operate under the assumption that the New York-bred filly is set to produce a significant forward move. She’s run well over this course and distance in the past and switches to Jose Ortiz, positive factors that are reflected in her 3-1 morning line. She projects to be within striking range throughout and have her chance to tag the leaders close home. U Should Be Dancing is another dangerous class dropper that should improve against this level of competition. She generally prefers to finish second or third (9 times) rather than win (twice) but with some help up front she should make an impact in the final furlong. Miss Domina was overmatched when facing allowance foes last month but should go much better in this league. She has excellent previous form at the Spa and certainly has a right to be a player with this group.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Ever Summer; 5-Myriskyaffair; 1-Frivole
Backups/Savers/Underneath:

Forecast: Ever Summer was tagged right near the wire when second at 21-1 in a Grade 3 stakes at the mini-marathon 11 furlong distance at Delaware Park last time in a career top performance. Previously, she won a first level allowance event at this trip at Belmont Park and clearly has established herself as a prototype marathoner. She returns to the allowance ranks and offers an attractive wager at 4-1 on the morning line. Her uncoupled Christophe Clement-trained stablemate b>Myriskyaffair has beaten ‘Summer in the past and based on her current consistent form has a solid chance to do it again. She’s especially dangerous on the front end and could take this field a very long way if not respected. Frivole won her U.S. debut at Churchill Downs in promising fashion but then was disappointing when flattening out to wind up seventh as the favorite in her most recent appearance at this level at Delaware Park. Perhaps the soft condition of the course can be blamed, so let’s give the Graham Motion-trained French-bred filly another chance.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Souper Catch; 5-Sprinklehead; 3-Higher Quality.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Souper Catch finished a game second in a $10,000 seller over this track and distance last month and from his rail draw probably will be sent to establish the lead. He’s an admirable old timer with 17 career wins but his recent speed figures are just moderate. Maybe his winning spirit can carry him through. Sprinklehead may be a bit quicker than ‘Catch and if he can make the running he could get brave and never look back. A repeat of his race before last (or the one before that) could be good enough. Higher Quality was a voided claim for $16,000 two races back and completely overmatched in the Monmouth Cup-Ge3 (beaten 22 lengths) last time out. He has races that can win at this level, but his low percentage connections are hard to have confidence in.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Gypsy Tales 9-Before You Go Go
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Gypsy Tales missed by a nose in her debut at Ellis Park last month but earned a huge figure in defeat while winding up nine lengths clear of the third place finish. The Steve Asmussen-trained daughter of Munnings returns in four weeks showing three nice breezes over the Saratoga training track, so we’re expecting a similar performance if not better in this maiden juvenile sprint. It should take a pretty nice filly to beat her. Before You Go Go is bred to win right now (Mtole) and brought $310,000 at the Timonium May Sale after she impressed breezing a furlong in a swift :10 1/5. She also caught the eye in team gate drill last week - View Workout - and from her cozy outside draw could pop the gate and display dangerous early speed. Listed at 3-1 on the morning line, the Todd Pletcher-trained filly is a “must use” and the one to fear most.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Addressable Market; 9-It Wasn’t Me; 5-Get Respect
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Addressable Market< was beaten as the choice in a similar maiden $40,000 claiming turf router in mid-May, but she earned a career top number in her third career start and could produce another significant forward move after her nearly three month vacation. Her inside draw guarantees and second flight, ground saving trip, so in a soft affair we’ll prefer the Chad Brown-trained Irish-bred on top. It Wasn’t Me shows up in a seller after finishing a distant second in a maiden special weight affair at Horseshoe Indianapolis. On pure numbers, this is where she fits, and with just two starts on her resume the daughter of Blame has room to step forward. Get Respect stretches out in her second start off a layoff and is another trying maiden claimers for the first time. We like the blinkers off angle and suspect this Barclay Tagg-trained filly with employ gate to wire tactics.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Here U Come Again; 9-Copper Em
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Brightwork.

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the Adirondack S.-G3 for juvenile fillies may boil down to a pair of very impressive Ellis Park debut winners. Here U Come Again showed speed and class in her highly rated five furlong score last month, pressing the pace and then producing a strong second move when straightened for home to win with authority and with plenty left. Since arriving at the Spa, the Brad Cox-trained daughter of Liam’s Map has been impressive in the morning - View Workout - and should thoroughly enjoy this extended sprint distance. Copper Em left at nearly 16-1 in her debut at the Pea Patch in late June but blew away her rivals like an odds-on favorite. She also has looked very sharp in the a.m. since arriving at the Spa - View Workout - and actually may be a tad quicker than her chief rival. It may be significant, though, that Florent Geroux, who was aboard both fillies, opts for Here U Come Again.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Dontmesswithtess; 2-Ruda
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Pentagon.

Forecast: Dontmesswithtess may have moved too soon when worn down close home in a similar starter allowance turf router at Belmont Park last month, but she certainly ran a winning race in defeat after finishing early seven lengths clear of the rest. The Michael Maker-trained mare will get plenty of cover from her inside draw, and with a well-timed ride should be a major player late. The only concern is her dependability; she has failed to deliver the last four times she was sent to the post as the favorite. Ruda is lightly raced with room to improve and with numbers that put her in the hunt. The Monmouth Park shipper should be running on strongly late.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Myles; 3-Forward Move; 2-Stow On the Wold
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Myles has improving numbers, and in just his fourth career start the Creative Cause gelding should be capable of stepping forward again in this maiden claiming turf router for New York-bred runners. Freshened since mid-May, the Christophe Clement-trained 4-year-old has good tactical speed to ensure a trouble-free trip, and while he’ll need improvement in the speed figure department we suspect he has more upside than the other main players. Forward Move finished a respectable third in his debut facing straight maidens but today drops in for a price, somewhat suspiciously so given that he was originally purchased for $225,000 as a yearling. Sounds like they’re giving up on him pretty quickly. Stow On the Wold is another showing up in a seller for the first time, but having finished off the board in four of his first five starts the class drop seems justified. On numbers, he’s right there with the rest of them.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:06 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 6, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race program with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

3-Elliot Moose (3-1)-Makes the 3rd start for Rhoades, gets post relief and this time comes back in sequence. Could be sitting on a big try.
4-Elver Hanover (4-1)-Was bet and was used a couple of times in the last win. Now steps-up but this field could be had and gets a positive driver change in Davis Jr.
7-The Longest Yard (8-1)-Drew off at Batavia versus Open I company. Ships back and lands in a competitive level and has cashed checks versus better. The post helps the price and has enough gate speed to get a decent seat off the gate.

Race 12

3-One Last Laugh (2-1)-Beat Open Handicap company here back in April and hasn't taken a picture since. Drops and was off 4 weeks between the last 2 starts and now comes back in sequence. Gets a positive driver change in Davis Jr and looks like a player.
4-Honali (12-1)-Ships in from the Meadows and previously was facing better here. Should fit and has hit the board in 5 of 8 at Nfld with 3 pictures. Willing to take a swing at the morning line price.
9-Lancaster Hill (6-1)-Starts from the 2nd tier but when good can pass horses down the lane. The #1 or #2 could leave, if Day can land in decent seat this veteran could get sucked around and use one nice move down the lane to surprise.

Race 13

2-Turbo Hill (9/5)-Takes a big step up after drawing off by 5 lengths in a 150.4 with the trainer between the pipes. The Krieser barn has posted 29% winners over the last 30 days and now Davis Jr is at the controls. Not loving the short price but could double up.
3-Moved Bythe Spirit (2-1)-Chris Page takes over for Wrenn Jr and the Burke trainee steps up a notch. Comes off a sharp win, should be racing near the top of the stack and could battle #2 to the wire.

Race 14

3-Favorite Aunt (7/2)-Here's another Burke entry and this mare has won 2 of 3, and 4 of 11 at Nfld. Could get a pocket ride behind the one below and trip out.
4-Fashion Chocolate (2-1)-Comes off a win versus this kind and showed some guts doing it. Davis Jr sticks, he should be out and rolling to land on the point. Could get the lead without burning much gas and might be tough to catch.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,4,7/3,4,9/2,3/3,4
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:07 AM

Race of the Week: Sunday's West Virginia Derby

August 3, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:
It's true: Put the word 'Derby' in front of me and I'll bite. Sunday's West Virginia Derby puts second-half sophomores in the spotlight for a half-million dollars at Mountaineer. The 1-1/8 miles test will be Race 8 on a 9-race card that also features the Grade 3 West Virginia Governor's Stakes in the preceding heat. This 14-horse affair, which includes a pair of also-eligibles, boasts runners from no less than 8 different venues last time out. Let's hit the crossroads.

Field Depth:
LORD MILES is Grade 2 winner of the Wood Memorial and holds the field's signature score. RAISE CAIN is a Grade 3 winner. DREAMING OF KONA, ONE IN VERMILLION and RED ROUTE ONE are the field's listed stakes winners, the latter of which is Grade 1-placed. RED ROUTE ONE has kept the strongest company lines in the field, followed by RAISE CAIN and LORD MILES. Those 3 certainly have the class edge.

Pace:
DREAMING OF KONA should show early foot from the rail, but it's ONE IN VERMILLION who is the field's committed early speed. Wide-drawn WEST COAST COWBOY could be used harder early to avoid ground loss and contribute to what looks to be an average-to-modest pace for the class and distance. Deep closers will be against the race flow.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

1-DREAMING OF KONA: All 3 wins have come around 1 turn, and he's 0-for-3 around a pair of bends, much less never attempting a race this far. Lasix added will help, but 9F will stretch him.

2-LORD MILES: First Lasix for 59-1 Wood Memorial upsetter, who is sure to be an underlay price compared to his past form. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. won this race last year with Skippylongstocking, whose form felt a bit stronger than this. Bullet workout at Gulfstream before heading north and drawn very well.

3-TAPIT'S CONQUEST: The Brad Cox barn is 12-29 shipping to Mountaineer, but winless in 4 bids in the West Virginia Derby. Good second to top-class Arabian Lion in Pimlico's Sir Barton on Preakness Day, a race much stronger than it looks on paper. Determined Ellis allowance winner vs. $450K Asmussen who is well-regarded in preparation for this.

4-RED ROUTE ONE: Deep closer is devoid of any early speed and will need some pace help to deliver. Preakness fourth was blasted in the Belmont by 33+ lengths and diverted here vs. Haskell or Jim Dandy ... not a confident sign. No trainer has more WV Derby wins than Steve Asmussen's 5, so he does know which horses fit here. Prefer others.

5-LOOKA LOOKA: Recent $4,000 claim is wildly placed over his head.

6-MY MAN BIGGIE: Stakes-placed in Arizona and Colorado, this is a tough spot for his longest and biggest career test.

7-TIMESATAPPIN: Six straight losses at Thistledown don't inspire confidence for Mahoning Valley maiden breaker.

8-ONE IN VERMILLION: Speedball showed his Arizona form to be genuine when finishing just 4-1/2 lengths back in the Santa Anita Derby and then winning the Laz Barrera at Santa Anita. Tough-luck DQ loser in hard-fought Iowa Derby isn't one to back down. They will have to run him down to win.

9-GROVELAND: Added Lasix in Hawthorne allowance win and returns with it in this stakes reappearance. Grade 3 Sam F. Davis runner-up hit the sidelines after poor showing in the Tampa Bay Derby. Should be legged up after training on the Tapeta at Turfway all summer.

10-FARTLEK: Bombed in 3 straight at the $4,000 claiming level and totally overmatched.

11-RAISE CAIN: Had worst trip of all to this eye in the Kentucky Derby when eighth, a sneaky-good effort. Came back for decent runs in the Matt Winn and Indiana Derby, but admittedly expected more from this Grade 3 Gotham winner. Stronger closing kick in shorter races, making it questionable if he'll deliver a knockout punch at this 9F trip.

12-WEST COAST COWBOY: Third in February's Grade 3 Holy Bull, he didn't show much in the Florida Derby or Iowa Derby since that time. Longer-shot of the Saffie Joseph uncoupled pair in this race compared to Lord Miles. Top Penn National jockey Tyler Conner is a curious rider assignment, and he's got a tough task from this post.

13-RUSSIAN HAMMER (AE): Maiden claiming graduate from Hawthorne being asked a lot.

14-KNOCKOUT GUY (AE): 20-race local maiden would be without any chance if he draws in.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
TAPIT'S CONQUEST has a great draw, running style and recent company lines for success.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
GROVELAND should get a decent trip just behind the main speed and has only one poor race on his ledger.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$60 win TAPIT'S CONQUEST. $40 daily double BEST ACTOR to TAPIT'S CONQUEST in a Race 7-8 stakes sweep for Brad Cox.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:07 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #9

#3 Pushiness	Nothing clever here for me, just guessing she's too fast and/or good for these right now off that debut run. I wouldn't argue too much with anyone standing against as the class and pace waters both get deeper today.
#6 Putt For Dough	Think she has a real claim on this one, especially if a contested early pace leaves several of them in tough late in the lane. She's a logical alternative.
#1 Fly a Fantasy	She might be just a little overlooked in here, but she might be able to work out a pretty cozy trip from the inside if a couple quicker fillies clear and cross her early. Think she's worth considering on the tickets, especially if you're standing against the chalk.
Race Summary	Pushiness is likely favored here off a super sharp debut, and I think that sort of effort would probably handle these. Putt For Dough and Fly a Fantasy look like the most reasonable ones to use if the shorter price isn't for you today.

Del Mar - Race #10

#8 Zalamo	He'll need better today than he showed last out, but he's probably sitting a touch better trip today if he can get away better and brings enough upside to jump in at a midrange price.
#5 Panic Alarm	He seems well meant in here while making his North American debut, and I'm not sure this is the deepest Grade III you're ever going to see here. Bet he's a good fit.
#3 Maltese Falcon	He hasn't been able to clear easier, but he stacks up nicely in here and just shared with stakes company last time out. Worry that the price will be a bit too short.
Race Summary	Zalamo had a rough start in his local debut last time out, and I'm hoping a better break will put him in a spot to avoid closing from way downtown today. Price should be ok.

Del Mar - Race #11

#7 Hard Times	He was a better fit when trying claimers for the first time last out, and now he runs second off the bench in what feels like another reasonable spot. Forward player can be tough today.
#9 Mt. Zeror	He moved up on the dirt in that second trip to post, and he's probably close to the pace again here while taking another step down the claiming ladder. No surprises here.
#1 La'och Aloysius	He has had plenty of chances and is tough to love too much on top, but he has occasionally shown a little chasing pace interest in these longer trips, so maybe he'll get a good break and hang around for a piece at a big number.
Race Summary	Worth giving a look to #12 The Key Is Unity if you need to get through this leg, as he has some appealing enough finishing form while still having questions to answer on the drop. Think Hard Times can be a pretty tough presence in the finale with some upside today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / .50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $7,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 5:57P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 6, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 6, 2023 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CHIKARA: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Pow er Rating. FLY CONDOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HARRIET'S DREAM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Hor se ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
11	CHIKARA	8/1	7/2
3	FLY CONDOR	4/1	6/1
1	HARRIET'S DREAM	5/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	HARRIET'S DREAM	1	5/1	Front-runner	81	79	87.6	74.2	67.2
5	HURRICANE TIZWAY	5	12/1	Front-runner	73	68	85.3	65.4	48.4
4	DARE TO WISH	4	8/1	Front-runner	70	77	81.2	60.6	44.6
6	THINKITASADONATION	6	9/2	Front-runner	75	71	74.4	75.6	66.1
3	FLY CONDOR	3	4/1	Stalker	78	82	77.2	78.0	67.5
7	TELLING THYME	7	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	83	69	61.8	75.2	62.2
9	TAY TAY'S BABY	9	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	88	74	54.3	64.6	54.1
11	CHIKARA	11	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	90	80	56.2	80.6	75.6
8	FETCHING	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	77	63.0	51.9	35.4
10	KEWPIE DOLL	10	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	55	59.6	42.8	27.3
2	PROUD VALENTINE	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	75	35.6	65.8	55.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-06-2023, 07:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Wyoming DownsPURCHASE

Wyoming Downs - Race 7	$2 Quinella / $2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta ($.10 Box)
Claiming $7,500 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 3:35P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SCOTTY WHO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SCOTTY WHO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ALPINE HYPNOSIS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LOUIE ZAMPERINI: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	SCOTTY WHO	7/2	5/2
5	ALPINE HYPNOSIS	3/1	5/1
4	LOUIE ZAMPERINI	5/2	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SCOTTY WHO	2	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	82	78	0.0	71.6	66.1
5	ALPINE HYPNOSIS	5	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	74	29.3	65.1	60.6
4	LOUIE ZAMPERINI	4	5/2	Trailer	81	62	0.0	73.0	69.5
6	AFTER BURN	6	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	63	45	87.0	52.4	43.9
7	MUSKET POWDER	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	67	0.0	53.4	44.4
1	PRESS BRIEFING	1	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	88	86	0.0	41.2	30.2
3	COWBOY JOE	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	45	0.0	37.4	23.4