Wednesday 8/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359028

    Wednesday 8/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359028

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/16/23


    August 16, 2023
    “What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
    by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst


    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Saratoga Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
    *
    For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
    *
    Grade Descriptions:
    Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
    Grade B=Solid Play.
    Grade C=Least preferred or pass
    Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B-
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Denver’s Alley
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Bernietakescharge.

    Forecast: The known element in this state-bred juvenile filly maiden turf route is thoroughly unimpressive, so let’s try a fresh face with credentials to be better than her 10-1 morning line. Denver’s Alley has done some decent work leading up to this race and appears to be a willing type, at the very least. Her final times haven’t been flashy, but she’s done everything in hand while finishing with something left, so in a below par race for the level the daughter of Algorithms should be at least competitive and perhaps good enough to pull off a surprise.

    *

    RACE 2: Post: 1:44 ET Grade: C+
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Thestral
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

    Forecast: Thestral seems to be the best of a bad lot and rates top billing by default in this maiden claiming main track affair for fillies and mares. The Midwest invader has been facing straight maiden foes of late and actually finished third in such a race last winter at Turfway Park that earned a speed figure good enough to beat this group. We’re expecting her to inherit a soft pace stalking trip outside and then have her chance from there, but at 9/5 on the morning line she really won’t offer much wagering value at a price shorter than that.

    *

    RACE 3: Post: 2:20 ET Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Timed Out; 6-Vitaemi
    Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

    Forecast: Timed Out is a Finger Lakes shipper with numbers that can win at this level, so let’s go with veteran mare who has finished first or second in 11 of 18 career starts. She’s a fairly versatile type that can win on the front end if the situation presents itself or from a second flight, stalking position. With Irad Ortiz, Jr., taking the call, she should be a live item on the tote. Vitaemi is another old timer (12 wins from 61 starts) that can win a race like this based on her present form. The David Jacobson-trained mare stretches out from a sprint and seems likely to be the controlling speed. If not pressured early, she could roll all the way to the wire.

    *

    RACE 4: Post: 2:53 ET Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Three Girls; Maddie’s Grace; 5-World Traveler
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Explosive Exchange.

    Forecast: Three Girls looked sharp breaking her maiden in a $40,000 event last month over this course and distance and could score right back with a similar effort in this starter’s allowance event for fillies and mares. It was her first start since last December, so a forward move is possible for her new connections. Based on her last race, she appears to prefer stalking tactics, but she does have enough early zip to make the lead in a field lacking in front running types. Maddie’s Grace has a look off her best race but had no visible excuse when failing as the odds-on favorite in a similar local dash last month. Perhaps she didn’t care for the give in the ground but may do better on a firm surface. World Traveler, in from Monmouth Park, may be the most dangerous of the late runners and has speed figures that put herl in the picture.

    *

    RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: C
    Main ticket (in order of preference): Shinsun; 10-Unleash the Power; 7-Jarreau
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Front Man.

    Forecast: This starter’s allowance nine furlong turf event is borderline inscrutable. Best advice is to spread as deeply as your budget allows. Shinsun is lightly raced with room to improve that most of the others don’t have. Second in a similar affair at Belmont Park in his last start in early July, the Barclay Tagg-trained gelding lacks tactical speed but can turn it on late, so with just a little bit of help up front he could produce a successful late bid. Unleash the Power draws the disadvantageous outside draw but has hit the board in his last three starts and really won’t have to improve much to win. However, you should be aware that he doesn’t always give it to you when the pressure is turned on close home. Jarreau hasn’t won since who knows when, but he is exiting a series of tougher races on the Kentucky circuit and lands Iran Ortiz, Jr. With numbers that fit, the Michael Maker-trained gelding could perk up against this group.

    *

    RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Cupid’s Heart; 8-Portage; 4-Cuz Ur Pretty
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

    Forecast: Cupid’s Heart was four lengths clear of the rest in a fast, highly rated race at this level last month and if he doesn’t regress off what was a hard, taxing effort the Bruce Levine-trained filly should beat this field. That race was at seven furlongs, this one’s at six, but the daughter of Cupid might actually prefer this distance, having won two of three previous outings at this trip. Portage is drawn just outside of our top pick and may be the one to fear most. She earned a big number in her recent maiden score here last month, and with just four career starts on her resume the daughter of Tonalist has plenty of room for further advancement. Based on her Finger Lakes form, Cuz Ur Pretty may be the quickest of the lot and could take some catching if she can get away with a softish opening quarter. She’s clearly facing tougher foes on this circuit but as a first time Lasix user and with speed figure that fit, the daughter of Sharp Azteca is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.

    *

    RACE 7: Post: 4:36 ET Grade: X
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-South Street
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

    Forecast: South Street drops well below his claim level – as many in the Linda Rice claiming corps often do – so there’s always a question of condition, but if this gelding shows up with this best stuff he’ll handle this $25,000 claiming group. An okay third in a much tougher starter allowance ($50,000) over a mile on the local main track six days ago, the son of Quality Road returns on short rest and stretches out to nine furlongs, but at even money on the morning line he won’t be offering any wagering value. Basically, he’s a rolling exotic single by default.

    *

    RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Silver Skillet; 7-Orange Freeze
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

    Forecast: Silver Skillet moves into state-bred stakes company after a clever win over the local lawn last month when facing first level allowance fillies and mares. The Christophe Clement-trained daughter of Liam’s Map can be tough as the controlling speed or in a stalk and pounce position, and with speed figures that continue to rise with each start this lightly raced sophomore should be capable of handling the class hike in stride. Joel Rosario stays aboard and knows her well. Orange Freeze is another facing tougher after graduating for maiden $40,000 two races back (and claimed by her present connections) and then winning a New York Stallion Stakes here last month. She’s not quite as fast on figures as our top pick but with another forward move she’ll be a legitimate threat to win her third straight. She’s a deep closer and will be especially dangerous if the pace comes up faster than par.

    *

    RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Red Butterfly
    Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Mo Damorninggrouch.

    Forecast: Red Butterfly threw a fit in the gate and then ran below her true form when fourth in a similar maiden ($40,000) claiming sprint over this course and distance last month but a repeat of her race before last – a solid runner-up at Belmont Park – probably will be good enough to earn her diploma. None of these are dependable, and that includes our top pick, so if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead.

    *
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359028

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Hawthorne - Race #1
      #1 Border Patrol He has so far found the waters a touch too deep in New York, but he probably still has some upside on the grass. Doesn't hurt that he has shown a flash of pace while meeting a group with almost zero proven speed. Gone into the lane?
      #7 Even the Wind He's probably the one to beat on overall form right now, but his tendency to settle for underneath pieces doesn't inspire a ton of confidence. Interested to see how the prices shake out between this guy and his stablemate inside.
      #6 Dapper Dude The previous connections had absolute rock bottom expectations for this guy despite being out of a talented and productive dam and having a New York pedigree that could have been lucrative if he was any good at all. The new team took a chance on him and protects him here.
      Race Summary Top three bring together a couple of capable players from the Block barn and a runner who debuted on the cheap for that same team and now races for new connections. Border Patrol might be playable enough even if he gets bet below the ML price.
      Hawthorne - Race #5
      #7 Rietta There are a lot of fun players lined up in this juvenile sprint, and this one races with a big turf pedigree out of a super productive Illinois female family. She might be a real handful going a mile down the road, but I bet she can win here. As always, get a look at her on the tote and track.
      #5 Moms Channel She chased and settled underneath in the debut run, but she can probably handle the move to the grass just fine, and even a small move forward off that first try would make her tough.
      #4 Miss Saint There are a few fresh faces in here from the Block, Harty, and Robertson barns that probably merit a look ahead of this one, but I like that she took a step forward in that second career start, and she might not be out of her league here if she has more upside today. For a piece?
      Race Summary Rietta brings a consistent and appealing tab to this first trip to post, and she's bred to do good work pretty much anywhere they run here, but this family has been tough on any turf courses they've found in Illinois over the last decade.
      Hawthorne - Race #7
      #4 Bizzee Channel Think this one runs through a handful of older-timers who have all seen better days, and this guy comes back fresh to find the softest spot he has seen in some time. Rested today, he has shown some ability to press and finish that might give him a perfect first-over trip.
      #8 Captivating Moon He's still an honest enough finisher even if he's never getting back to his best, and he might get a decent enough setup to rally late today. Wouldn't argue with anyone giving him a chance today.
      #1 Sailing Solo His baseline keeps him in the frame today, but he's meeting some other pace in what would be just his fifth start in the last three calendar years, and the best form on his page came when he got good and ran three times in 10 weeks in 2020. Obvious player who wouldn't surprise, but I don't see all the best signs and wouldn't be at all excited to take another uninspiring price.
      Race Summary I think #6 Midnight Escape might have some sneaky appeal in here, too, in a fun race. Bizzee Channel has plenty of room to bounce back after a string of mostly dull races, as he's not meeting anyone like Set Piece, Spooky Channel, or Two Emmys today -- all horses in his company lines last year. Thinking if anything wakes him up right now, it'll be getting back in with Rivelli who has had some time to get him right.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359028

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Penn National - Race #1
        #5 JOHNNY WITT (3-1) Can carry speed closer toward $250k in earnings at this distance.
        #2 YES IT’S ROO (8-1) Steps up off the claim while in top form, price attached.
        #3 JOKER BOY (5-2) Claimed at Santa Anita in May, worked at Saratoga, vet scratch here July 7.
        Race Summary JOHNNY WITT pressed hard-hitting Pictor (17-40, $325k) early, then slipped through inside to beat him for his sixth win at 6F. He hasn’t raced since he was claimed out of that race five weeks ago but he runs well fresh and can make good use of his speed tonight as the light-weight in the field. Bet to win and place.
        Penn National - Race #2
        #9 GINETTES ON FIRE (6-1) Meets elders, duplicate of turf route victory fits well for solid connections.
        #1 SASSY MARTINI (9-2) Finished second for higher tags twice in June on Penn National lawn.
        #4 COMPLETE (5-2) Made ‘strong bid’ at winning stablemate but came up empty late at 7-1/2F.
        Race Summary GINETTES ON FIRE drew away in the final furlong of a maiden win three starts back for $32,000 at Tampa, ran into trouble in a deep $40,000 claimer on the Monmouth lawn two back, now enters a barn in the midst of a 5-for-14 run the last month. Bet to win and place.
        Penn National - Race #4
        #5 ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT (4-1) Plagued by bad starts, gets class relief, meets mostly nw/4 types.
        #8 COFFEE WITH ALEX (8-5) Romped in first two starts for Kreiser, with and without blinkers.
        #4 HEALY’S HOPE (6-1) Five seconds in 11 starts this year as long winless drought continued.
        Race Summary ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT overcame a bumpy start to set a clear pace, only to come up short in the final eighth of a mile. He’s well-spotted to get back on the winning track and pad his six-figure Penn National bankroll. Bet to win and place.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359028

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

          PURCHASE
          Thistledown - Race 6
          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.10 Superfecta
          SO $20,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 86 • Purse: $27,400 • Post: 3:20P
          FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JUNE 16 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * HENRY MAC: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VISUAL MISSION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RECKLESS L J: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SEND ME ON: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
          3
          HENRY MAC
          2/1
          5/1
          5
          VISUAL MISSION
          6/1
          6/1
          2
          RECKLESS L J
          5/2
          7/1
          6
          SEND ME ON
          9/2
          7/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          2
          RECKLESS L J
          2
          5/2
          Stalker
          80
          82
          80.6
          67.3
          59.3
          3
          HENRY MAC
          3
          2/1
          Stalker
          86
          84
          69.8
          77.6
          75.1
          5
          VISUAL MISSION
          5
          6/1
          Trailer
          85
          76
          72.8
          74.8
          69.3
          6
          SEND ME ON
          6
          9/2
          Trailer
          84
          84
          47.2
          72.4
          66.9
          1
          RAVEN MOON
          1
          7/2
          Alternator/Non-contender
          78
          68
          71.1
          69.8
          60.8
          4
          OAKEN
          4
          10/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          73
          72
          62.0
          66.8
          55.8
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359028

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia DownsPURCHASE


            Assiniboia Downs - Race 7
            $1 CLASSIC HI-5 / .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR
            Claiming $3,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 62 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 10:05
            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000 (RACES WON FOR LESS ARE NOT CONSIDERED FOR ELIGIBILITY PURPOSES).
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Lone Trailer. ENJAY'S BRASS is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ENJAY'S BRASS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TAPITURE WAY: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. KNOW WHA T I MINA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MERMAID KISSES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. WHAT UP NOW J T: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
            5
            ENJAY'S BRASS
            6/1
            5/1
            3
            TAPITURE WAY
            4/1
            6/1
            6
            KNOW WHAT I MINA
            9/5
            7/1
            8
            MERMAID KISSES
            20/1
            8/1
            1
            WHAT UP NOW J T
            5/2
            10/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            6
            KNOW WHAT I MINA
            6
            9/5
            Front-runner
            66
            60
            79.2
            52.0
            45.5
            4
            SOME WOULD SAY
            4
            10/1
            Front-runner
            57
            53
            63.7
            35.6
            24.6
            3
            TAPITURE WAY
            3
            4/1
            Alternator/Front-runner
            69
            60
            54.8
            50.8
            45.8
            8
            MERMAID KISSES
            8
            20/1
            Stalker
            75
            75
            71.5
            51.0
            41.5
            1
            WHAT UP NOW J T
            1
            5/2
            Stalker
            57
            57
            56.6
            53.8
            47.8
            5
            ENJAY'S BRASS
            5
            6/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            76
            75
            56.6
            52.6
            46.1
            9
            LADY SUNSET
            9
            30/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            71
            65
            65.2
            41.8
            29.8
            2
            HEY HEY RUN AWAY
            2
            50/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            60
            62
            58.4
            36.2
            22.2
            7
            VALLENTAY
            7
            40/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            65
            56
            37.2
            34.2
            19.2
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359028

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 6 - SO - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 99

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $27,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 8 LAMPLIGHTER JACK 2/1
              # 4 BLESS THE KITTEN 5/1
              # 1 NERVES OF STEEL 3/1
              LAMPLIGHTER JACK is my choice. Might best this field here, showing respectable figs of late. This animal enters today's race on Lasix. Could best this field based on the speed rating - 90 - of his last race. BLESS THE KITTEN - Has to be given consideration here if only for the respectable speed rating earned in the last competition. His 93 average has this gelding with among the most respectable Speed Figures in this contest. NERVES OF STEEL - Has been moving admirably and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. Should definitely be given a chance in this contest if only for the respectable speed rating earned in the last contest.


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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359028

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE


                Delaware Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 75

                Rating:

                #7 TOUCH CODE (ML=6/1)
                #6 WOOTDAREITIS (ML=8/1)
                #4 JEST ABOVE (ML=3/1)
                #2 MEAN TWEETS (ML=2/1)


                TOUCH CODE - I wouldn't worry too much about the vacation; this gelding is ready to run today. Was in a $10,000 Claiming race at Oaklawn Park last time around the track. That event had a class rating of 87 and he is moving down in this field. A certain contender. Earnings per start is something that I think can be an important factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this group. WOOTDAREITIS - It looks like Alicea had to learn about this gelding on July 27th when riding him for the first time. Back aboard again today. This gelding's last speed rating is high enough to score here, I'll bet on him back again in today's event. JEST ABOVE - Popular angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. This horse is live today. Entered a $7,500 Claiming race at Parx Racing last time around the track and raced on a track listed as good finishing fifth. Will do better right here. MEAN TWEETS - Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. This gelding recorded a strong figure of 62 in his last race. That speed rating should be high enough to win this time out.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FATHER GLADO (ML=4/1), #3 DUCK DUCKY GOOSE (ML=8/1),

                FATHER GLADO - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. DUCK DUCKY GOOSE - Didn't hit the board on June 10th at Parx Racing. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. The Brain always warns me to stay away from ponies in sprint affairs that haven't hit the board in short distance contests recently. Unlikely that the speed rating he garnered on Jul 17th will be good enough in this clash.


                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #7 TOUCH CODE to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,7]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Pass
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359028

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Retama Park

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 78

                  QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 10 STABBY JOE 5/2
                  # 5 MR CANAS 6/1
                  # 1 RIOS ROYAL ROSE 15/1
                  I think about STABBY JOE here. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in short races recently. He has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the most favorable in this group of horses in this race. Has to be considered - I like the figures from the last contest. MR CANAS - Should compete soundly in the pace battle which bodes well with this field.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359028

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE


                    Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:29pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,400 Class Rating: 79

                    Rating:

                    #4 COMPLETE (ML=5/2)
                    #6 LADY BREXIT (ML=8/1)


                    COMPLETE - Taking a trip down in class ranks; has the class ability to make her presence felt. Average class rating is tops in this group. I think that is a big advantage for a grass race. LADY BREXIT - I undeniably see favorable signs for this mount right here.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SASSY MARTINI (ML=9/2), #11 TEACHER DRAMA (ML=5/1), #9 GINETTES ON FIRE (ML=6/1),

                    SASSY MARTINI - Recent decreasing speed ratings of 72/58/36 give an indication that this animal may be going off form. TEACHER DRAMA - On a downward sequence. Equibase speed figures keep lessening. The lack of drills has to make one concerned despite the strong performance in the last event. Don't feel this mount will do much running today. That last speed fig was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. GINETTES ON FIRE - Recent declining speed figures of 72/47/44 give a sign that this equine may be going off form.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 COMPLETE to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    4 with 6 with [1,2,7] Total Cost: $3
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359028

                      #11
                      Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - August 16

                      Aug. 15, 2023


                      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track
                      RACE #1 $15,000 CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 6-1 9 Elusive Warrior E Morales
                      PLACE 2-1 4 He B Ready J D Ramos
                      SHOW 15-1 3 Do Ya Wanna Dance S Sanjur
                      WILD CARD 7-2 2 Brentspence A Burgos
                      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Overthetopjustice S E Bermudez
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Sticker R A Prescott
                      * EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                      RACE #2 $20,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                      1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:04 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 5-2 2 He Takes Charge J D Ramos
                      PLACE 4-1 7 Mulberry Street M A Perez
                      SHOW 7-2 4 Nordic Light E Esquivel
                      WILD CARD 5-1 3 Inherent Powers M Franklin
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Bluemoon Justice F De La Cruz
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Dropped Anchor A P Ulloa
                      * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
                      RACE #3 $36,000 ALLOWANCE
                      1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:38 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #1 GIADA
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 7-2 1 Giada E Esquivel
                      PLACE 5-2 4 Jazzy Lady J D Ramos
                      SHOW 6-1 2 Sad Cafe E Morales
                      WILD CARD 4-1 6 Skylerville A Burgos
                      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 5 Selina Kyle L Machado
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Night Kiss R A Prescott
                      * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
                      RACE #4 $28,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 5-2 4 River Redemption S Sanjur
                      PLACE 7-2 2 Summer Assault J D Ramos
                      SHOW 5-1 8 Graceful Kitten E Esquivel
                      WILD CARD 3-1 7 Race Craft A Burgos
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Major Sparks F De La Cruz
                      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Firewater Jake R A Prescott
                      * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
                      RACE #5 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:46 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 5-2 3 Favorable Return J Morales
                      PLACE 6-5 1 Action Seeker O Mojica
                      SHOW 4-1 4 A Lot Like Lute S Sanjur
                      WILD CARD 10-1 5 Hastings Sunrise S E Bermudez
                      ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Domhnall M Franklin
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Fire Bryan A Burgos
                      * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
                      RACE #6 $31,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                      7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 8-1 3 Cadet Corps E Esquivel
                      PLACE 3-1 1 Nerves of Steel J Talamo
                      SHOW 5-1 4 Bless the Kitten F De La Cruz
                      WILD CARD 8-1 6 The Queens Jules D Cannon
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Arties Rumor R A Prescott
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Red Flag Alert A Burgos
                      * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
                      RACE #7 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:53 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 9-2 3 Bella Francesca R Arrieta
                      PLACE 5-2 8 Hard Truth Wins S E Bermudez
                      SHOW 5-1 9 I Made It F De La Cruz
                      WILD CARD 8-1 4 One Finale R Aragon
                      ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Sky My Lady J D Ramos
                      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 10 Juicy Justice A P Ulloa
                      * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX
                      RACE #8 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #11 SCENIC JUSTICE
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 2-1 11 Scenic Justice J D Ramos
                      PLACE 6-1 6 Epic the Legend F De La Cruz
                      SHOW 9-2 7 Porkyismyname E E Perez
                      WILD CARD 5-1 4 Sargent Hulka A Burgos
                      ALTERNATE 1 20-1 12 Nine Pointer E Morales
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Star Review J Morales
                      * EXACTA: 11-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 6/7/11 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
                      RACE #9 $21,000 ALLOWANCE
                      0 ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:53 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #1 INVITED
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 8-1 1 Invited L D Martinez
                      PLACE 5-1 5 Country Celebration M Munoz
                      SHOW 4-1 9 Ajk Enthusiasm J M Ruiz
                      WILD CARD 5-2 2 Bv Seleect Beach G Laurianis
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Gv Diamante H Macias
                      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Miri V D Villamil Bocanegra
                      * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359028

                        #12
                        Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 16

                        Aug. 15, 2023


                        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track
                        RACE #1 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 6-1 2 Bernietakescharge K Davis
                        PLACE 9-2 5 Run for Your Honey D Davis
                        SHOW 3-1 6 Once an Eagle F Prat
                        WILD CARD 5-1 9 Grab the Glory J L Ortiz
                        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Alittlebitnaughty L Saez
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1A Speights Dance K Carmouche
                        * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX
                        RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 2-1 1 Dark Princess J L Ortiz
                        PLACE 6-1 3 Graceful D Davis
                        SHOW 9-5 6 Thestral J Rosario
                        WILD CARD 3-1 2 Dont Tell Amy J A Torres
                        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Tres Chic J R Leparoux
                        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Tooshay K Davis
                        * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
                        RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
                        1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #1 SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 6-5 1 Suspended Campaign J L Ortiz
                        PLACE 4-1 7 Its Cold in Dehere L Saez
                        SHOW 9-2 6 Vitaemi M Franco
                        WILD CARD 7-2 2 Timed Out I Ortiz Jr.
                        ALTERNATE 1 10-1 5 Vegas Weekend J Lezcano
                        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Greatest Love J A Torres
                        * EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
                        RACE #4 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 6-1 8 Three Girls R Santana Jr.
                        PLACE 5-1 10 Proud Foot J L Ortiz
                        SHOW 6-1 9 Saratoga Gaze F Prat
                        WILD CARD 4-1 7 Maddies Grace I Ortiz Jr.
                        ALTERNATE 1 7-2 5 World Traveler J Lezcano
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Explosive Exchange J Rosario
                        * EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX
                        RACE #5 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                        1 1/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 10 Unleash the Power L Saez
                        PLACE 6-1 5 Front Man J Alvarado
                        SHOW 10-1 1 Splendid Summer M Franco
                        WILD CARD 7-2 7 Jarreau I Ortiz Jr.
                        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Shinsun K Carmouche
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Lord Flintshire J Castellano
                        * EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/10 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
                        RACE #6 $149,500 ALLOWANCE
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #7 CUPIDS HEART
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 9-5 7 Cupids Heart F Prat
                        PLACE 7-2 8 Portage J Lezcano
                        SHOW 9-2 4 Cuz Ur Pretty L Saez
                        WILD CARD 8-1 3 Sa Foradada I Ortiz Jr.
                        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Three Rivers J Alvarado
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 2 Mursal M Franco
                        * EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
                        RACE #7 $25,000 CLAIMING
                        1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:36 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 1-1 7 South Street J L Ortiz
                        PLACE 8-1 9 Happy Bob F Prat
                        SHOW 4-1 3 Freeze Pop R Santana Jr.
                        WILD CARD 20-1 6 Boys Code K Davis
                        ALTERNATE 1 15-1 4 Break the Ice J A Gomez
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Achilles Heel J A Torres
                        * EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX
                        RACE #8 $125,000 STAKES
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 2-1 5 Silver Skillet J Rosario
                        PLACE 5-1 7 Orange Freeze F Prat
                        SHOW 9-5 10 Amandas Folly I Ortiz Jr.
                        WILD CARD 6-1 1 Kosuke J L Ortiz
                        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Collaboration J Lezcano
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Im Just Kiddin L Saez
                        * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX
                        RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #6 MO DAMORNINGGROUCH
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 8-1 6 Mo Damorninggrouch J A Gomez
                        PLACE 7-2 4 Red Butterfly R Santana Jr.
                        SHOW 2-1 11 Marleys Ghost J Lezcano
                        WILD CARD 6-1 5 True Martini J L Ortiz
                        ALTERNATE 1 2-1 2 Showemyourheels L Saez
                        ALTERNATE 2 5-1 1A Pauciloquent J Alvarado
                        * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 4/6/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359028

                          #13
                          Thistledown Tip Sheet - August 16

                          Aug. 15, 2023


                          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.
                          RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
                          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #4 DEBDURITE
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 4 Debdurite A I Diaz
                          PLACE 5-2 1 Shell Fire L R Rivera Jr.
                          SHOW 9-2 2 Rosas Way V R Fernandez
                          WILD CARD 8-1 6 Algorix V Severino
                          ALTERNATE 1 9-5 3 Its Fate R Feliciano
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Skidstream G Rodriguez
                          * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
                          RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING
                          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 2 Larsa L A Batista
                          PLACE 2-1 5 Boogie Boogee G Rodriguez
                          SHOW 9-5 1A Perfectingtheview A I Diaz
                          WILD CARD 5-1 3 Diva Power R Halledeen
                          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Bossy Lady L R Rivera
                          ALTERNATE 2 9-5 1 Sarah Jane L R Rivera Jr.
                          * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
                          RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 2-1 3 Mambo Dancer R Feliciano
                          PLACE 5-2 6 Carols Royalty H L Rosario Jr.
                          SHOW 4-1 4 Black Butte A I Diaz
                          WILD CARD 3-1 5 Cascabria D J Haldar
                          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 La Muneca A Bracho
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Sweet Belen L A Batista
                          * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
                          RACE #4 $31,400 ALLOWANCE
                          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #1 FIT TO FLY
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 8-5 1 Fit to Fly G Corrales
                          PLACE 5-1 2 Speighty War A R Ramgeet
                          SHOW 5-2 6 American Prince L R Rivera
                          WILD CARD 6-1 4 Agnellos Dream E Barbaran
                          ALTERNATE 1 7-2 3 Doctor Wu V Severino
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Lucky Nineteen R Diaz
                          * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
                          RACE #5 $20,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #4 RAISON KARTER
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 4 Raison Karter J A Bracho
                          PLACE 4-1 1 Auger G Rodriguez
                          SHOW 3-1 5 Bourbon Wisdom F Salazar Becerra
                          WILD CARD 6-1 6 Lauda Speed L A Batista
                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Auld Lange Syne J S Toledo
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Lexatoga A I Diaz
                          * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
                          RACE #6 $27,400 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 2-1 3 Henry Mac L R Rivera
                          PLACE 5-2 2 Reckless L J H Berrios
                          SHOW 9-2 6 Send Me On E Barbaran
                          WILD CARD 6-1 5 Visual Mission A I Diaz
                          ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Raven Moon E Paucar
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Oaken A Guerere
                          * EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                          RACE #7 $12,500 CLAIMING
                          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 7 Happilea L R Rivera Jr.
                          PLACE 6-1 5 Rock On Kitten F Salazar Becerra
                          SHOW 5-1 1 Montauk Cove L A Batista
                          WILD CARD 2-1 2 Lazarus Project R Halledeen
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 More Than Good Y Aviles
                          ALTERNATE 2 9-2 4 Wile E Peyote E Barbaran
                          * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
                          RACE #8 $32,500 ALLOWANCE
                          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 5 Johns Rock B Tapara
                          PLACE 4-1 7 Comply L R Rivera
                          SHOW 6-1 2 Good On Ya R Mejias
                          WILD CARD 2-1 4 Dream Keeper J A Bracho
                          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 So Dialed In L R Rivera Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Night Time Ruler F Salazar Becerra
                          * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359028

                            #14
                            Delaware Park Tip Sheet - August 16

                            Aug. 15, 2023


                            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 73% of the time at this track.
                            RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                            5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 3-2 3 Rebel Joke A Concepcion
                            PLACE 9-5 5 Tuna N Stamps E Ignacio
                            SHOW 4-1 6 Unxpected Tiger A S Arroyo
                            WILD CARD 8-1 4 Morales Little Kid A Crispin
                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Union Park D Haddock
                            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Sun of Silver C Marquez
                            * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
                            RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
                            BEST BET: #2 MEAN TWEETS
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 2-1 2 Mean Tweets J Mendoza
                            PLACE 4-1 5 Father Glado J Rodriguez
                            SHOW 3-1 4 Jest Above J Correa
                            WILD CARD 8-1 6 Wootdareitis J Alicea
                            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 Touch Code K Gomez
                            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 I Am It K Trotman
                            * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
                            RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
                            1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 10-1 4 Im Your Papi J Alicea
                            PLACE 8-5 3 Papa Jimmy D Centeno
                            SHOW 5-2 5 Hessosubtle L A Rodriguez Castro
                            WILD CARD 4-1 2 Code Name Brody K Trotman
                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Starship Gotham F Gonzalez Jr.
                            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Power D L Rodriguez
                            * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
                            RACE #4 $38,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                            5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 2-1 6 Inchon W Humphrey
                            PLACE 3-1 8 Orange Juice C Cedeno
                            SHOW 9-2 5 Nightscape J Rodriguez
                            WILD CARD 6-1 1 Taporical J Mendoza
                            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Drinkin N Dreaming D Centeno
                            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Hoya A S Arroyo
                            * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
                            RACE #5 $28,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
                            BEST BET: #3 TIPSY GIRL
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 5-2 3 Tipsy Girl J Rodriguez
                            PLACE 9-5 1 Mo Traffic J A Batista
                            SHOW 8-1 6 Penny Polka A S Arroyo
                            WILD CARD 7-2 5 Touisset D Centeno
                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Ritabook R E Mena
                            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Jesss Gypsy Girl S Marin
                            * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
                            RACE #6 $31,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                            7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET
                            BEST BET: #8 PARKERNESS
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 9-2 8 Parkerness J Rodriguez
                            PLACE 7-2 4 Mission Man J Ruiz
                            SHOW 6-1 9 King of Song J Toledo
                            WILD CARD 5-1 6 Wrecking Ball S Marin
                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Rush Center J Laprida
                            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Coronova C Cedeno
                            * EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX
                            RACE #7 $38,500 ALLOWANCE
                            1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 2-1 2 St Andrews K Gomez
                            PLACE 8-1 1 Stacks of Silver A Concepcion
                            SHOW 3-1 6 Aint Wasting Time R E Mena
                            WILD CARD 8-1 4 Greyzer A A Marin
                            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 7 Awesome Launch L A Rodriguez Castro
                            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 Bretts World D Haddock
                            * EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
                            RACE #8 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 5-2 4 Appendage A Crispin
                            PLACE 9-2 7 Estilo Favorito E Villasmil
                            SHOW 7-2 2 Seax J Mendoza
                            WILD CARD 6-1 5 Cape Cod Summer K Gomez
                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 My Big Drama R E Mena
                            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Vegas Playboy J Rose
                            * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359028

                              #15
                              Saratoga Hotlist - August 16

                              Aug. 14, 2023


                              By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
                              Hot List Key:
                              A:
                              A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                              1st race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (6) Once an Eagle (A) was the 3-1 favorite in her debut at Saratoga just 2 weeks ago and was unable to do much running because she was stuck in traffic the entire race. (2) Bernietakescharge comes out of the same race as the Hot List horse when he moved from eighth to finish third. (4) Bossy Jeans had a less than ideal trip in her first start which was in June at Horseshoe Indiana and Irad gets the mount. (8) Alittlebitnaughty will debut for Danny Gargan as a $350,000 yearling purchase.
                              2nd race [Md 40000, 1 mi] – (6) Thestral will drop back to a maiden claimer and ship up from Indiana where she made her turf debut. Her first three starts were on the dirt and include a close second at Keeneland. (1) Dark Princess was third two races back when she raced at this level the only time. (2) Don’t Tell Amy tried the turf last time and that did not work out so she now makes another drop in class. (3) Graceful has some races scattered in her PPs that make her a contender in this small field.
                              4th race [Alw 50000s, 5
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