Wednesday 8/30/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - August 30

Aug. 29, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2^nd race [Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (3) Bento (A) pressed the pace in her debut at Saratoga last month and finished fourth. There was some buzz about this filly heading into that race. The Stonestreet Farms entry are both win contenders. (1) Justice Julia is a half-sister of Nest and is trained by Todd Pletcher. (1A) Emery was a weanling purchase at auction from the barn of Brad Cox. (4) Before You Go Go was third in her first start for Pletcher at 7-2. (7) Waskesiu will make her second start for Bill Mott after racing a bit greenly at 9-2.
4^th race [Alw 149500 N1X, 6

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Du Quoin State Fair

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 08/30 DUQUOIN STATE FAIR
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 11- - PACE 08/30 DUQUOIN STATE FAIR
6 Super Taco 5/2 580.21 100 93.3 66.0 1:55.3 Franco, Juan 10
9 Major Harley 6/1 547.65 80 76.7 67.0 1:55.9 Knox, Phillip 3
4 Sunmaster 12/1 520.60 70 58.3 62.0 1:56.6 Husted, Kyle 18
2 Mystic Revenge 15/1 505.94 70 50.0 71.2 1:57.5 Cox, Mike 10
8 Dandy's Card Shark 9/1 497.74 80 13.3 67.0 1:56.9 Leonard, Casey 15

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at The Meadows

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 08/30 THE MEADOWS
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 5- - PACE 08/30 THE MEADOWS
3 Deja Jade 6/5 595.27 100 53.3 77.0 1:54.0 Macdonald, Anthony 19
6 Ante Up 3/1 548.29 90 56.7 64.0 1:55.8 Monti, Drew 14
4 Swartz Bros Emily 12/1 543.00 80 46.7 61.0 1:56.1 Myers, Hunter 19
7 Hit It 15/1 518.49 80 26.7 64.0 1:55.7 Walters, Justin 12
8 Motivated 10/1 485.28 90 10.0 64.0 1:56.9 Wilder, Mike 24

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 12 - Post: 4:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$11700 - 2 YEAR OLD COLTS AND GELDINGS NON WINNERS 2PM RACE LIFETIME

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 LAST GOODBYE 2/1
# 8 AMERICAN WARRIOR 5/2
# 7 CORN FLAKES 4/1

The contender in this one is LAST GOODBYE. Worth looking at here looking at the numbers in the speed rating department alone. Could dominate this group of animals, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 75 - from his most recent affair. When the starter calls, contenders starting out of the 4 post have more wins than normal. AMERICAN WARRIOR - Cannot put a finger on it, but support this gelding for a bet. CORN FLAKES - Can't gloss over based on TrackMaster SRs which have been outstanding (71 avg) of late. It's often dangerous to consider based only on class, but this gelding has among the strongest class statistics of the grouping.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Hoosier Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
3	3	JK'S DESIRE	5/2	Bender, Atlee - 10	482.66
1	1	LUCKY BENNY	3/1	Miller, Lewayne - 9	466.98
8	8	BLUEBIRD ZANTRAX	10/1	De Long, John - 16	443.47
4	4	ER RAMBO	9/2	Eash, Don - 5	427.18
2	2	SWISS ROCKET	10/1	Wrenn, Peter - 14	410.96
6	6	GO MR JOHNNY	8/1	Ross, Jordan - 11	366.08
7	7	PACKEDWITHLUCK	20/1	Oosting, Michael - 13	366.08
5	5	THE WAR ROOM	7/2	Tetrick, Trace - 22	0.00

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Post: 1:27 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$7800 - CD ALL AGES F& M NW $3050 L4 STS. W/O $45,000 IN 2023 NE.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 SEA ROSE 2/1
# 1 CALLIOPE HANOVER 4/1
# 5 GRAY SKIES 6/1

Really keen on the likelihood of SEA ROSE taking down the winner's share in this event. May provide us a triumph based on really strong recent speed figs - earning an average of 80. Has a very promising shot today, if she can race to her back racing class. Running very well, earned a formidable TrackMaster Speed Rating in her last outing (74). CALLIOPE HANOVER - She's battling in fine form, recording sharp TrackMaster speed figs. An excellent selection. Positive idea - battling well enough to contend in this race. GRAY SKIES - Has one of the most solid win percents in the group and may be able to add to those stats right here. Can't overlook this nice horse, especially in exotics. Pace statistics put her in the mix in this contest.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Track on 2

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 6
6	6	YOU CAN HAVE ITALL	9/2	Kelly, David A - 41	450.94
2	2	ORDER ONE TO GO	3/1	Gray, Jamie D - 6	413.85
4	4	CAME A CAVALIER	7/2	Hoerdt, Kelly O - 6	386.08
5	5	PTSMAGICMARK	4/1	Sobey, Nathan K - 11	380.20
1	1	CEIA WHEN I CEIA	7/2	, - 0	368.80
3	3	A BETTOR MOMENT	5/1	Jungquist, James D - 8	352.18

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Baltimore w/Gibson -165 over Chicago Wsox

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Free play from Totals4U

Wednesday Free Selection: Tampa Bay Rays/Miami Marlins under 8

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Free play from #1 Sports

Wednesday's Free Play: Washington Nationals +200

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Free play from Huddle Up Sports

Wednesday Free Play
Tampa Bay Eflin -115

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Free play from Hollywood Anthony

Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Minnesota -155

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Free play from Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, August 30, 2023
MLB
918. Seattle Mariners -1.5 Runs (1:10 PT / 4:10 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Roz Wins

ROZ FREE Selection WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 30, 2023
MLB
903. Brewers -1.10 (11:20 PT / 2:20 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick:the Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -110 over Washington