Sunday 9/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Kentucky Downs

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 9 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $170000 Class Rating: 104

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $30,000 TWICE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $30,000 ON THE TURF SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500 (RACES WHERE

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 12 KENTUCKY GHOST 6/1
    # 16 FAIR DINKUM 8/1
    # 15 COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 12/1
    I think KENTUCKY GHOST is a very good choice. This selection will feel the med change - on Lasix today. Cox has a reliable 22 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. If you gander closely, this entrant has some longshot potential. FAIR DINKUM - Could beat this field given the 100 Equibase Speed Figure earned in his last outing. Has been racing soundly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) - This horse enters today's race with second time Lasix.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 1 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 63

      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 7 HIGH ARABIAN 7/2
      # 10 PUGLIA 9/2
      # 11 MUCHMORETHANREADY 3/1
      HIGH ARABIAN is the strongest wager in this race. Has performed well as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 64 avg Equibase Speed Figure. PUGLIA - Has to be carefully examined against this group of animals displaying decent numbers as of late and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 60 under similar conditions. Has a strong shot in this contest if you like back class. MUCHMORETHANREADY - Shows formidable speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of horses. Put up a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

        PURCHASE


        Prairie Meadows - Race #8 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,725 Class Rating: 66

        Rating:

        #3 TWIRLING CHIEF (ML=3/1)
        #8 STAR OF MINE (ML=7/2)
        #5 ONE LAST CHANT (ML=12/1)


        TWIRLING CHIEF - I like that recent race on August 19th at Prairie Meadows where he ran second. STAR OF MINE - This speed freak is shortening up today. Should increase his chances to win. Earnings per race is something that I think can be an important handicapping factor. This horse is ranked the highest in this field. ONE LAST CHANT - Widely used angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Today could be the day. Edwards and Jacquot partnered up are a horse gambler's friend.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #7 LURCH (ML=5/2), #6 PURE CRYSTAL (ML=4/1), #2 SOLE SURVIVOR (ML=6/1),

        LURCH - You think this horse is going to win today just because he's always close. Just doesn't win regularly. PURE CRYSTAL - Would have to improve off that fifth place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. SOLE SURVIVOR - This entrant just hasn't looked fit of late. I find it hard to wager on any mount in a sprint event at 6/1 when he hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last 60 days.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 TWIRLING CHIEF is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,5,8]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [3,5,8] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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