Thursday 9/7/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #16
    Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 7

    Sep. 06, 2023


    By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
    Hot List Key:
    A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
    *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
    *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
    * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
    1st race – (10) Pine Knoll tired badly last time but can rebound with a big effort here. (3) Parkland will welcome a return to turf. (4) Race Craft has some speed and can last for a major share of the purse. (11) Derby Code could be a threat despite a layoff since February. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-10-11. Doubles: 3-4-10-11 with 2-3-5-12.
    2nd race – (2) Thethrillofvictory gets some class relief here and could work out a winning trip. (5) Insignis debuts for Diodoro and could surprise. (3) Shankar deserves a long look here. (12) Devil’s Harvest could rebound with a solid effort here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-12.
    4th race – (10) Baba Voss used a strong rally to break his maiden and can make it two wins in a row here. (4) Spirit Maker ships in from California and cannot be ignored. (8) Grand Aspen looked sharp in a maiden win. (3) Miranda Rights should be a threat in the stretch. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-8-10. Doubles: 3-4-8-10 with 1-3-7-12.
    5th race – (7) Committee of One was a strong second in his debut and seems on edge for a winning effort here. (12) St. Armands Key seems poised for a solid try in his debut. (3) Tango Yankee had a miserable debut but could rebound here. (1) Act of Mutiny will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-12.
    9th race – (4) Haughty has been competitive in tough company and looks best here. (3) Sinfiltre was hurt by a wide trip last time and should work out a better trip here. (5) Viareggio will appreciate the shorter distance. (7) For the Flag could be hard to catch in this field. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-7.
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    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20513

      #17
      Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Flamboro Downs


      CompuBet Free Pick!


      CompuBet 09/07 FLAMBORO DOWNS
      Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
      Race#: 3- - PACE 09/07 FLAMBORO DOWNS
      5 Kickin Cowgirl 5/2 603.75 100 38.3 80.0 1:54.4 Ryan, Jason D 21
      8 La Petite Grise 10/1 529.58 70 11.7 78.0 1:55.5 Henry, Travis J 23
      4 Sheilas Brush 8/1 527.43 60 38.3 69.0 1:56.8 Mackenzie, Paul G 17
      6 Shemars Lady Havoc 12/1 524.83 70 >21 43.3 79.2 1:55.8 Thiessen, Daryl 14
      3 Wasaga 6/1 522.81 70 25.0 70.4 1:56.8 Sorrie, Austin 21

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #18
        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.



        Race 5 - Post: 2:09 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 67 - Purse:$6700 - CD CLAIM 3-6YO NW 2 EXT PM RACES LIFE CLAIM PRICE: $12,500 W/A
        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
        # 4 LOTTO MAXINE 9/5
        # 3 CRUISIN AGAIN 5/2
        # 7 TARDIS 8/1
        LOTTO MAXINE is the most respectable bet in this contest. Could be considered for this one if only for the great speed rating achieved in the most recent race. Walters will be looking to take the whole enchilada today, has been tough as nails lately. Win percentage this last month is a sparkling 19. A respectable win percent has been recorded by entrants beginning from the 4 position. CRUISIN AGAIN - He has been squaring off very well and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the top in the group of animals. Been battling with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 71). TARDIS - His 67 avg has this gelding among the strongest speed ratings for this race.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #19
          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Scioto Downs

          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
          RACE 14
          7 7 MISSION ACCEPTED 2/1 Page, Chris - 15 565.80
          4 4 FLOYD OF ROSEDALE 7/1 Sugg, Kurt - 7 515.93
          5 5 FUTURE MVP 10/1 Merriman, Aaron - 15 513.48
          3 3 DONTFORGETMASTER 7/1 Smith, Trevor - 8 495.42
          6 6 DELILAH SEELSTER 8/1 Smith, Tyler - 11 494.09
          9 9 REAL DIAMONDS K 10/1 Noble, Dan - 17 493.04
          10 10 BAMBOO 7/2 Widger, Sam - 12 491.95
          1 1 ROSE RUN XTATIC 12/1 Kauffman, Kayne - 8 476.89
          2 2 SPUNKIN'SROCKETMAN 12/1 Hanners, Austin - 8 454.45
          8 8 GO LONG 12/1 Beatty, Hugh - 10 398.97

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #20
            Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Hoosier Park


            CompuBet Free Pick!


            CompuBet 09/07 HOOSIER PARK
            Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
            Race#: 9- - PACE 09/07 HOOSIER PARK
            5 Skyway Masterpiece 6/5 658.68 100 103.3 86.3 1:52.9 Bender, Atlee 18
            3 On Time Ted 9/2 616.99 80 58.3 75.0 1:53.3 Ross, Jordan 18
            6 Donttellmenow 7/2 612.11 80 35.0 78.7 1:52.7 De Long, John 21
            8 Swiss Cotton 12/1 595.18 80 26.7 71.0 1:54.1 Oosting, Michael 19
            2 Mister Hercules 12/1 591.00 80 113.3 66.0 1:53.3 Taylor, Robert 16

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #21
              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
              RACE 4
              3 3 TINOS PULSE 3/1 Huckabone, Justin - 17 448.07
              4 4 COACH CAL 5/2 Parker, Brandon - 14 434.02
              6 6 LIFE IN COLOR 9/2 Taggart, Jim Jr - 19 424.44
              2 2 BOOK BINGE 7/2 Dibenedetto, Kyle - 6 411.46
              1 1 RENO DINERO 4/1 Paquet, Fern Jr - 10 400.88
              5 5 PRINCE OF ART 6/1 Sowers, Mcgwire - 12 398.30
              7 7 NIHILATED TRUTH 10/1 Harp, Rick - 2 376.25
              8 8 IMIDEAL HANOVER 12/1 Merton, Thomas - 6 363.21

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #22
                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 7 - Post: 9:38 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$22600 - ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GRASSROOTS LEG 5. 2 YEAR OLD PACING COLTS & GELDINGS. STARTING FEE $400 CDN
                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                # 6 ENFORCER 7/2
                # 8 T H MCMURRY 2/1
                # 9 MOONWALKER 5/1
                Feel pretty confident putting money down on ENFORCER. This race could very well be controlled by this colt. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will confirm that. He has very good class statistics, averaging 75. Could be considered for a bet today. Should be considered in this one if only for the respectable TrackMaster speed fig achieved in the last race. T H MCMURRY - Has respectable TrackMaster SRs and definitely has to be considered for a wager here. With a 75 avg class rating, this harness racer has one of the strongest class edges in the pack. MOONWALKER - Could surprise us at a reasonable price. Don't leave out.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #23
                  Free play from Mike Wynn

                  Free Pick: Atlanta w/Fried -300 over St Louis



                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #24
                    Free play from Totals4U

                    Thursday Free Selection: Detroit Tigers/New York Yankees under 8

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #25
                      Free play from #1 Sports

                      Thursday's Free Play: Los Angeles Angels -180

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #26
                        Free play from Huddle Up Sports

                        Thursday Free Play
                        Murray State/Louisville under 54'

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #27
                          Free play from Hollywood Anthony

                          Your Free Play from Hollywood

                          MLB Take Atlanta -300

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #28
                            Free play from Platinum Plays


                            Your Free Pick: the LA Dodgers/Miami Game UNDER 8.5 Runs

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #29
                              Free play from Arthur Ralph

                              Free play 106-76 run THURS Cubs w/. Assard -190

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20513

                                #30
                                Free play from Vegas Steam Line

                                Your FREE WINNER for Thursday: SEATTLE/TAMPA BAY UNDER the total of 8.5 runs

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