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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372270

    #16
    Woodbine Tip Sheet - September 9

    Sep. 08, 2023


    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 $14,000 CLAIMING
    7 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
    BEST BET: #8 MAP
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 8 Map S Vives
    PLACE 12-1 4 Silver Sign A Vandermeersch
    SHOW 5-2 9 No More Diamonds K Kimura
    WILD CARD 6-1 3 Alberta Be Mine R M Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Speedy Johny J Crawford
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 7 Ashlees Ring L Salles
    * EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX
    RACE #2 $61,800 OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:34 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 4 Quiet Sunday D Fukumoto
    PLACE 6-1 6 Quiet Intent K Kimura
    SHOW 20-1 3 Killary L Salles
    WILD CARD 8-1 8 Under Surveillance J Stein
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Graceful Fighter R M Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 Leslie Chow E Wilson
    * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
    RACE #3 $36,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:05 PM ET
    BEST BET: #4 ROCKSTAR RO
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 4 Rockstar Ro R M Hernandez
    PLACE 3-1 1 Blue Max E Flores
    SHOW 6-1 7 Tranquility Base R W Walcott
    WILD CARD 10-1 9 Alicias Kid J Stein
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Foresters Turn L Salles
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Kid Forester K Kimura
    * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/7/9 BOX
    RACE #4 $111,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
    BEST BET: #1 ROSEBUDS HOPE
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 1 Rosebuds Hope E Wilson
    PLACE 4-1 2 Kittens Romance R M Hernandez
    SHOW 3-1 8 Lady Brew R Munger
    WILD CARD 8-1 3 Amazin Queen D Fukumoto
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Wicked Mercury K Kimura
    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 Retail Therapist J Hoyte
    * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
    RACE #5 $111,600 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 4 Hockey P Husbands
    PLACE 7-2 8 Lunch With Bernie S Civaci
    SHOW 8-1 5 Twisting Pistons S Vives
    WILD CARD 6-1 2 My Girl Della K Kimura
    ALTERNATE 1 3-1 3 Vucchella R M Hernandez
    ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Magic Token D Bynoe
    * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
    RACE #6 $61,800 OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:41 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 4-1 5 Blueberry Fields K Nicholls
    PLACE 12-1 3 Repeat the Heat S Civaci
    SHOW 2-1 10 Nonnos Little Boy D Carroll
    WILD CARD 5-2 6 Hunt Master K Kimura
    ALTERNATE 1 3-1 2 Point to the Stars R Munger
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Twowaycrossing R M Hernandez
    * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/10 BOX, 3/6/10 BOX
    RACE #7 $111,600 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 12-1 10 Legs Like Flatter K Kimura
    PLACE 3-1 9 Luxuriate S Vives
    SHOW 15-1 3 Stolen Valour J L Campos
    WILD CARD 7-2 6 Road to Water S Civaci
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 1 Sleepwalker P Husbands
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Sounds Practical R Munger
    * EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX
    RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
    1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:48 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 6 Palazzi S Civaci
    PLACE 10-1 7 Town Cruise K Nicholls
    SHOW 8-1 1 Ready for the Lady E Wilson
    WILD CARD 6-1 8 Malibu Mambo D Davis
    ALTERNATE 1 2-1 4 Rockemperor K Kimura
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 3 British Royalty P Husbands
    * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
    RACE #9 $117,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:22 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 5 Arties Storm K Kimura
    PLACE 7-2 1 Gaston E Wilson
    SHOW 8-1 4 Frosted Over S Civaci
    WILD CARD 6-1 7 Luckman L Salles
    ALTERNATE 1 5-2 6 Dreams of Tomorrow P Husbands
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Avoman L Contreras
    * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
    RACE #10 $200,000 STAKES
    1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 8-5 1 Fev Rover P Husbands
    PLACE 5-2 3 Miss Dracarys D Davis
    SHOW 3-1 2 Moira R M Hernandez
    WILD CARD 20-1 7 Ready Lady E Wilson
    ALTERNATE 1 15-1 6 Talbeyah P Husbands
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Skims J R Velazquez
    * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
    RACE #11 $114,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 1 Star Candy P Husbands
    PLACE 3-1 5 Verdejo K Kimura
    SHOW 8-1 3 Pleasures Gold R M Hernandez
    WILD CARD 5-2 7 Ambassador Luna S Civaci
    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Owens Tour Guide S Vives
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Tap the Tittles L Contreras
    * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
    RACE #12 $111,600 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:04 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 4-1 5 Good News Money K Kimura
    PLACE 10-1 2 Princessonamission E Wilson
    SHOW 3-1 9 Morning Run D Carroll
    WILD CARD 6-1 6 Cocos Dream S Civaci
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 10 Super Sicily L Salles
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Money Beets R Munger
    * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372270

      #17
      Monmouth Park Tip Sheet - September 9

      Sep. 08, 2023


      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
      RACE #1 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:40 PM ET
      BEST BET: #4 NEVER SO LUCKY
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 7-2 4 Never So Lucky L J Luzzi
      PLACE 5-1 5 Capture This A A Rodriguez
      SHOW 5-1 11 Aperol Spritz N Juarez
      WILD CARD 8-1 2 Silver Sprinter M Iorio
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Dixie Groove A Adorno
      ALTERNATE 2 3-1 10 Here We Go Again S Camacho
      * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 4/5/11 BOX, 2/5/11 BOX
      RACE #2 $75,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
      BEST BET: #5 RUNNING RIGHT BY U
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 5 Running Right by U S Camacho
      PLACE 8-1 8 Im On Fire J Rendon
      SHOW 7-2 4 Country Miles N Juarez
      WILD CARD 5-1 3 Forever Chocolate J A Vargas Jr.
      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Steel Drivin Man L R Rivera Jr.
      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Cash Kid A A Rodriguez
      * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
      RACE #3 $10,500 CLAIMING
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:40 PM ET
      BEST BET: #8 COCO SHELL
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 9-5 8 Coco Shell J Torres
      PLACE 7-2 2 I Run C E Rojas
      SHOW 8-1 5 Financial Strength S Marin
      WILD CARD 3-1 6 El de Chimi J Rendon
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Saltin the Rim S Camacho
      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Shouldhavebeengone M Olver
      * EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
      RACE #4 $75,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 9-2 4 Carats Forever M Iorio
      PLACE 7-2 6 Beatubyachubinose J Torres
      SHOW 3-1 9 Violets Smile S Marin
      WILD CARD 6-1 1 Random Luck R F Moya
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 Wicked Jane C E Rojas
      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 8 Caliente Rum F Gonzalez Jr.
      * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX
      RACE #5 $10,500 CLAIMING
      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:40 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 4-1 10 Magic Moonstar S Camacho
      PLACE 6-1 3 Ruvies in Time S Marin
      SHOW 7-2 5 Threatlevelmidnite M Olver
      WILD CARD 8-1 1 Twirling Wind J Torres
      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Bahama Pearl C E Rojas
      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Ninja Abarrio N Juarez
      * EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 3/5/10 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
      RACE #6 $60,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:10 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 5-2 6 Buff Hello N Juarez
      PLACE 3-1 1 Just Beat the Odds L R Rivera Jr.
      SHOW 9-2 5 Allaboutthemoney J A Vargas Jr.
      WILD CARD 4-1 3 Amity Road A Hernandez
      ALTERNATE 1 15-1 8 One Whirlwind Ride C E Rojas
      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 No Quit L J Luzzi
      * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
      RACE #7 $14,000 CLAIMING
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 7-2 2 Triple Start N Juarez
      PLACE 6-1 7 Proven Hope A Adorno
      SHOW 4-1 3 Larger Than Life J Rendon
      WILD CARD 5-1 12 I Lucked Out J A Vargas Jr.
      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 10 Go Green S Marin
      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 8 Cantankerous Cat J Torres
      * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/12 BOX
      RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:10 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 3-1 8 Bookem Danno S Marin
      PLACE 5-1 5 Beachfront Breeze
      SHOW 4-1 2 Buccherino D Haddock
      WILD CARD 5-2 7 Shea D World J Rendon
      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Ship to Shore J A Vargas Jr.
      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Bingos Boy S Camacho
      * EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
      RACE #9 $57,500 ALLOWANCE
      1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 6-1 4 The Peninsula S Camacho
      PLACE 5-1 1 Great King M Olver
      SHOW 10-1 8 El Hermano C E Rojas
      WILD CARD 9-2 10 Arties Angel J Rendon
      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Cicciobello W R Kay
      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 11 Speightspercomete N Juarez
      * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX
      RACE #10 $10,500 CLAIMING
      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
      WIN 7-2 6 Arrow Shape S Marin
      PLACE 3-1 1 Song Saver J Rendon
      SHOW 4-1 2 Kashan J Torres
      WILD CARD 8-1 9 Pure Elegance C E Rojas
      ALTERNATE 1 9-2 8 Sweet Surprise A A Rodriguez
      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Bullet On Tap J C Ferrer
      * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372270

        #18
        Kentucky Downs Tip Sheet - September 9

        Sep. 08, 2023


        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 52% of the time at this track.
        RACE #1 $150,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET
        BEST BET: #5 PERMED
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 5 Permed I Ortiz Jr.
        PLACE 4-1 13 Into Stars F Geroux
        SHOW 8-1 11 Pinotslilgirl J Gilligan
        WILD CARD 5-1 8 Noto F Geroux
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 10 Two Sip Sally D Cannon
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 14 Charm of the Song I Ortiz Jr.
        * EXACTA: 5-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 5/11/13 BOX, 8/11/13 BOX
        RACE #2 $150,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
        BEST BET: #12 DOUBLE YOUR MONEY
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-2 12 Double Your Money K J Asmussen
        PLACE 6-1 8 British Sea T Gaffalione
        SHOW 4-1 16 Tireless I Ortiz Jr.
        WILD CARD 9-2 9 Vivaldi I Ortiz Jr.
        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Thomas Aquinas B J Hernandez Jr.
        ALTERNATE 2 5-1 2 Uncle Truly D Cannon
        * EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-16 BOX, 16-9 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 8/12/16 BOX, 8/9/16 BOX
        RACE #3 $1,000,000 STAKES
        1 5/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:40 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 2 Personal Best I Ortiz Jr.
        PLACE 2-1 5 Vergara J Rosario
        SHOW 4-1 1 Sinfiltre J R Velazquez
        WILD CARD 3-1 3 Transient T Gaffalione
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Lady Rockstar D Cannon
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Glenall R Gutierrez
        * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
        RACE #4 $160,000 ALLOWANCE
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 11 Frontal Attack I Ortiz Jr.
        PLACE 5-2 6 Lilac Girl F Geroux
        SHOW 4-1 7 Pawky G Corrales
        WILD CARD 6-1 13 Fiddle L Machado
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Lemon Bomb D Cannon
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Holy Foley J Graham
        * EXACTA: 11-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-13 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 6/7/11 BOX, 6/7/13 BOX
        RACE #5 $150,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:51 PM ET
        BEST BET: #15 WICKED AGAIN
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 2-1 15 Wicked Again T Gaffalione
        PLACE 5-2 2 Torigo I Ortiz Jr.
        SHOW 6-1 8 Athens Moon R Gutierrez
        WILD CARD 10-1 7 St. Johns J Lezcano
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 16 Command Oro E Morales
        ALTERNATE 2 7-2 11 Brigade Commander A Beschizza
        * EXACTA: 15-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/8/15 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
        RACE #6 $170,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
        1 5/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:27 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-2 11 Corelli R Gutierrez
        PLACE 6-1 7 Henleys Joy A Beschizza
        SHOW 6-1 13 Tatanka R Gutierrez
        WILD CARD 9-2 4 Dripping Gold T Gaffalione
        ALTERNATE 1 3-1 10 Balladeer F Geroux
        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Stolen Base I Ortiz Jr.
        * EXACTA: 11-7 BOX, 7-13 BOX, 13-4 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 7/11/13 BOX, 4/7/13 BOX
        RACE #7 $150,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:04 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-2 12 Blessing the Flag V Cheminaud
        PLACE 9-2 13 Mirabella J R Velazquez
        SHOW 6-1 15 Kara and Colleen F Geroux
        WILD CARD 7-2 8 Hola Gata I Ortiz Jr.
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Le Beau J Rosario
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Heartstruck M Chuan
        * EXACTA: 12-13 BOX, 13-15 BOX, 15-8 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 12/13/15 BOX, 8/13/15 BOX
        RACE #8 $1,000,000 STAKES
        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-2 2 Private Creed J Rosario
        PLACE 6-1 11 Closethegame Sugar J Lezcano
        SHOW 5-1 7 Sweet Cherry Pie I Ortiz Jr.
        WILD CARD 10-1 6 Playlist J R Velazquez
        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 8 Mo Stash R Bejarano
        ALTERNATE 2 4-1 14 Mischievous Angel I Ortiz Jr.
        * EXACTA: 2-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/7/11 BOX, 6/7/11 BOX
        RACE #9 $1,000,000 STAKES
        1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 15-1 4 Querobin Dourada J Talamo
        PLACE 5-2 7 New Years Eve T Gaffalione
        SHOW 12-1 5 Henrietta Topham J Graham
        WILD CARD 9-5 3 White Frost J Rosario
        ALTERNATE 1 3-1 1 Regal Realm F Geroux
        ALTERNATE 2 4-1 2 Haughty I Ortiz Jr.
        * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
        RACE #10 $1,000,000 STAKES
        6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:54 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-2 1 One Timer E T Baird
        PLACE 5-1 8 Nobals G Corrales
        SHOW 10-1 4 Bad Beat Brian C A Emigh
        WILD CARD 8-1 5 Anaconda J Rosario
        ALTERNATE 1 30-1 9 Gear Jockey J Lezcano
        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Front Run the Fed R Gutierrez
        * EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
        RACE #11 $1,000,000 STAKES
        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-5 6 Bay Storm F Geroux
        PLACE 5-1 2 Quaria Comet J Talamo
        SHOW 10-1 4 Train to Artemus G Corrales
        WILD CARD 10-1 7 Our Flash Drive J R Velazquez
        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 3 Wakanaka J Rosario
        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Tony Ann T Gaffalione
        * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
        RACE #12 $1,700,000 STAKES
        1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 4-1 2 Red Knight T Gaffalione
        PLACE 9-2 3 Verstappen D Cannon
        SHOW 12-1 7 Kitodan I Ortiz Jr.
        WILD CARD 7-2 11 Therapist J Castellano
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 15 Highest Honors I Ortiz Jr.
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 14 Cellist M Garcia
        * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/11 BOX
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372270

          #19
          Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 9

          Sep. 08, 2023


          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
          Hot List Key:
          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
          1st race – (5) Permed gets back on turf and merits top billing here. (2) Lite It Up Louie is an interesting first-time starter. (3) Spiritual Lady should thrive on turf. (6) Sotona had trouble in her debut and deserves a second chance. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-6. Doubles: 2-3-5-6 with 4-8-9-12.
          2nd race – (4) Dirbas was washed off the turf in his debut and is worth a long look here. (8) British Sea missed by a nose in his debut and looms as the one to fear. (9) Vivaldi could be a factor in his career debut for Brown. (12) Double Your Money was third in his debut and can move forward here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-8-9-12.
          4th race – (6) Lilac Girl was second after a long layoff and should take a step forward in this spot. (7) Pawky missed by a neck last time and could be the main rival. (11) Frontal Attack may turn in a bounce-back effort here. (1) Lemon Bomb might explode from the rail. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-11.
          7th race – (7) King’s Secret woke up with a solid third last time and should graduate from the maiden ranks today. (8) Hola Gata missed by a neck and figures to be the main rival. (2) Le Beau fell short by a neck last time but has not raced since March. (4) Frothy was an improved second and cannot be ignored in this spot. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-7-8.
          12th race – (2) Red Knight was third in a Grade 1 stakes last time and likes this course. Merits top billing here. (3) Verstappen will be dangerous on his best try. (4) Santin was second in the Arlington Million and belongs in the exotics. (11) Therapist has blossomed since the Maker claim and will be a major factor here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-11.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372270

            #20
            Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | September 9, 2023

            Sep. 08, 2023


            Race 12 at Kentucky Downs | Saturday September 9 | Post Time 7:05 PM Eastern
            Kentucky Turf Cup Stakes – Grade 2 | Purse $1.7 million | One Mile and One Half on Turf | Three Year Olds and Upward
            Analysis and Top contenders:
            Three trainers who have entrants in this race have proven to have their horses ready for this mile and one-half test over the past 10 years. Paulo Lobo, who saddles Nautilus (9), won this race in 2021 with Imperador. However, Nautilus has just an allowance win to his credit in four starts since coming to the U.S. and that was on dirt. Chris Block won this race in 2014 with Suntracer and will have Another Mystery (10) this year. Another Mystery finished third in this race last year, beaten just a neck for the win. I’ll have more to say about him later.
            Then there’s trainer Mike Maker, with five wins in the past 10 years, including Red Knight (2) last year, who returns to defend his crown off a third place finish in the Grade 1 United Nations Stakes in July. In addition to Red Knight, Maker also entered Therapist (11) and Me and Mr. C (6), with Therapist having just won the United Nations and with Me and Mr. C recently winning the Kentucky Cup Preview Turf Cup Stakes.
            Among the group above, Me and Mr. C (6) is the most intriguing as he enters the Turf Cup on a three race winning streak and has now won 10 of 33 starts in his career. Jockey Gerardo Corrales has ridden Me and Mr. C in his last two races and stays aboard, although he was the one who guided Red Knight to win the 2022 Turf Cup. Additionally, Me and Mr. C appears to be on the same pattern as Red Knight last year. Me and Mr. C earned a 96 Equibase Speed Figure winning in June, then improved to 103 with his victory in July before earning a career-best 109 figure taking the Kentucky Downs Preview Turf Cup last month. Last year, Red Knight earned a 108 figure in his previous start before a 112 figure when victorious in this race. As such, Me and Mr. C appears capable of posting the upset win just as his stablemate Red Knight did in this race last year.
            Verstappen (3) proved he belongs in the top turf marathon division with a strong win this past April in the Elkhorn Stakes, which earned a career best 112 figure at the mile and one-half distance of the Turf Cup. Prior to that he won two races in a row at a mile and one-quarter and finished second in the Kentucky Cup Classic Stakes at the shorter distance of one mile and one-eighth. Following a seventh place finish behind Red Knight in the Man O’War Stakes in May, Verstappen was beaten only a little over a length by Me and Mr. C in the Kentucky Downs Preview Turf Cup in July, then improved to be second at the end of that month in the Bowling Green Stakes, earning a 107 figure which suggests he is ready to take another step forward as he stretches out back to the distance of the Elkhorn.
            Red Knight (2) has now banked over $1.8 million, winning 12 of 33 career races on turf. Two races after winning this race last year, Red Knight won the William L. McKnight Stakes at the distance with a 113 figure similar to the 112 earned in the 2022 Turf Cup. Then two races later he won the Man O’War stakes. In his most recent race on July 22 in the United Nations Stakes, Red Knight was last of eight for most of the race but managed to pass a number of horses and finish third. That race was a mile and three-eighths, so now returning to his favorite distance of a mile and one-half, where he has won or placed six times, Red Knight has a strong chance to become the third horse in history to win this race in back-to-back years, following in the footsteps of Rochester (2002-2003) and Da Big Hoss (2015-2016).
            Other possibilities, particularly for exacta bets:
            Another Mystery (10), who rallied from 10th of 12 last year to miss winning by a nose and a neck at 15 to 1, hasn’t won since so has now not won since June of 2022 going back nine races. However, he can close well late, has been first or second in five of 12 races at this 12 furlong trip, and could be part of the exacta at high odds. Kitodan (7) is another interesting horse, with North American leading jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. named to ride. Ortiz, Jr. also is named to ride also-eligible Higher Honors (15) for Chad Brown, so if that one gets into the race Kitodan will be looking for another jockey. However, Kitodan deserves a look no matter who rides him as he had a horribly trip just 10 days ago at Kentucky Downs in the Tapit Stakes or might have been a lot closer than seventh, and he has a won over the course. Santin (4) has won four of 12 on grass including the Arlington Million last month, but that was at a mile and one-quarter and he’s never run this far, although his pedigree suggests he can. It must be noted Tyler Gaffalione, who has ridden the horse in 10 of his last 12 races, including two wins and two second place finishes, gets off to ride Red Knight. Cellist (14) has the credentials to be competitive if he gets in from the also-eligible list, as he won the similar Louisville Stakes at 12 furlongs in 2021 and was just second, beaten only a neck, by Me and Mr. C. In these situations where I like one horse coming out of a particular race and another was close behind, it is difficult to ignore the other horse. Therapist (11) and Spooky Chanel (12) are two more who might run well though I think they are a cut below the top three in terms of probability to win. Each has 13 career wins, almost exclusively on grass. Therapist just won the United Nations Stakes and at the age of eight is the same age Red Knight was last year when winning this race off another stakes win. Spooky Channel has never run at Kentucky Downs but has won three of six lifetime at the distance on turf, including the similar Sycamore Stakes at Keeneland. He ran poorly in the race won by Me and Mr. C last month but has rebounded off poor efforts in the past and a horse which has won nearly half of his total races (13 for 30) may be difficult to discount as a contender.
            Bets:
            Win: Me and Mr. C (6) at odds of 3 to 1 or more.
            The same minimum/fair odds of 3 to 1 apply to Verstappen (3) and to Red Knight (2) but they open at much lower odds than Me and Mr. C and might not offer the same return for the risk.
            Exactas: Red Knight (2), Verstappen (3) and Me and Mr. C (6) over Red Knight (2), Verstappen (3), Me and Mr. C (6), Santin (4), Kitodan (7), Therapist (11), Spooky Channel (12) and Cellist (14).
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            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20787

              #21
              Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Freehold Raceway


              CompuBet Free Pick!


              CompuBet 09/09 FREEHOLD
              Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
              Race#: 9- - PACE 09/09 FREEHOLD
              1 Exotic Sand 2/1 623.16 100 65.0 89.0 1:55.1 Marohn, Jim Jr 33
              2 My Carbon Copy N 3/1 576.89 90 48.3 92.0 B/F 1:56.1 Dauplaise, Jeff 9
              4 Always B Billy 5/1 569.30 80 58.3 85.0 1:54.7 Abbatiello, Eric 9
              5 Woodmere Harriet 7/1 562.56 90 40.0 83.9 1:54.9 Ginsburg, Vincent 17
              3 El Le Tissier N 3/1 562.35 80 40.0 91.3 1:55.2 Smith, Steve 13

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20787

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Loop

                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 5
                4 4 GRAY ZEE 4/1 Remillard, Richard A - 13 415.18
                3 3 LIL SCREAMER 2/1 Piwniuk, Blake F - 59 410.43
                2 2 SASSY LIBBY 3/1 Grundy, Tyler D - 13 343.00
                6 6 BUDDY LIGHT 7/1 Rey, Michel - 12 329.09
                7 7 IGOT SOCKS 5/1 Fillion, Marc J - 17 302.46
                1 1 B SPECIAL 6/1 Rey, Dean L - 14 276.18
                5 5 CENALTA DURAMAX 8/1 Braybrook, Clayton H - 10 274.12

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20787

                  #23
                  Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at North Side Downs

                  P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                  RACE 8
                  4 4 ROTTEN RONNIE 5/2 Doucet, Redmond Kc - 20 538.83
                  1 1 THUNDER ALLEY 4/1 Kennedy, John Gerard - 15 498.61
                  3 3 RUNAWAY MYSTERY 9/2 Leblanc, Harold J - 20 486.81
                  6 6 Q TS CHARLIE 7/2 Lynk, Shawn R - 11 484.76
                  7 7 REVENANT 3/1 Pezzarello, Mark J - 10 460.99
                  2 2 RED RUM SHE WROTE 5/1 Bates, Angus M - 17 458.01
                  5 5 KEEPEROFTHEREALM 6/1 Campbell, Ryan C - 25 436.29

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20787

                    #24
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 2 - Post: 6:58 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 59 - Purse:$6000 - 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES -NW OF A RACE OR $5000 LIFETIME
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 2 DRINKSINTHESAND 5/2
                    # 3 LAZAR MANIA 6/1
                    # 1 PINK GEE 3/1
                    DRINKSINTHESAND quite possibly looks the contender to beat here. Overall statistics look respectable. Can't throw her out of the picture. Many harness players know speed is is key. This standardbred has credentials with a 60 avg rating. Has a sharp shot in this event, if she can race to her back class. LAZAR MANIA - This race could be controlled by this filly. Just one look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will confirm that. A really strong class horse can't be overlooked. With an average class rating of 64 all signs point to yes. PINK GEE - Cannot put a finger on it, but favor this filly for a wager. This horse earned a really strong TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out. Looks in fine form to come right back.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20787

                      #25
                      Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Century Mile


                      CompuBet Free Pick!


                      CompuBet 09/09 CENTURY MILE
                      Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
                      Race#: 1- - PACE 09/09 CENTURY MILE
                      8 Over The Horizon 2/1 714.64 100 96.7 62.0 B/F 1:51.2 Sobey, Nathan K 12
                      4 Opulent Dragon 4/1 680.81 80 75.0 59.0 1:52.0 Gillis, Logan 12
                      9 Catfish Jack 7/2 674.16 70 73.3 56.0 1:51.9 Miller, Thomas Micha12
                      1 Thoughts Of A Fool 8/1 654.79 80 53.3 53.0 B/F 1:52.8 Gagne, Jean Francois12
                      3 Blue Star Mercury 6/1 647.94 80 53.3 62.0 1:52.3 Hennessy, Michael R 21

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20787

                        #26
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 11 - Post: 4:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$225000 - NYSS 3 YO COLT & GELDING PACE FINAL
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 5 HUNTINTHELASTDOLAR 2/1
                        # 2 METAL MAN 5/2
                        # 1 THUNDER HUNTER JOE 5/2
                        We've got a vibe HUNTINTHELASTDOLAR is going to get the win. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the sulky one of the best drivers in win percentage over the last 30 days. Have to give the nod to a race horse coming out of the Yonkers Raceway 5 position. The win figure is fantastic, way above normal. METAL MAN - Has to be given a look based on the formidable TrackMaster speed fig earned in the last race. Driver/handler are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the group of animals. THUNDER HUNTER JOE - This race horse looks very good. Check out the 91 avg speed figure. Could beat this group, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 91 - from his last outing.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20787

                          #27
                          Free play from Mike Wynn

                          Free Pick: St Louis w/Thompson -135 over Cincinnati



                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20787

                            #28
                            Free play from Totals4U

                            Early Saturday Free Selection: Western Michigan/Syracuse under 56 1/2

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20787

                              #29
                              Free play from #1 Sports

                              Early Saturday's Free Play: Syracuse Orangemen -24 1/2

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20787

                                #30
                                Free play from Easy Money Sports

                                Free Early Saturday Football Selection From Lee
                                IOWA -4

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