Friday 9/15/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

    Charles Town - Race 5
    Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
    Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 77 • Purse: $28,400 • Post: 9:02P
    FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * NOCASHREFUNDS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MA RCHED: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. GRUMPY'S BUDDY: Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at least 18. I'LLTAKECAREOFIT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. JUBA BOUND: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    6
    NOCASHREFUNDS
    6/1
    5/1
    5
    MARCHED
    10/1
    7/1
    8
    GRUMPY'S BUDDY
    8/1
    7/1
    9
    I'LLTAKECAREOFIT
    6/1
    8/1
    2
    JUBA BOUND
    10/1
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    MAKIN' GOLD
    1
    12/1
    Front-runner
    57
    62
    77.6
    62.2
    48.2
    9
    I'LLTAKECAREOFIT
    9
    6/1
    Front-runner
    70
    70
    73.0
    65.0
    56.0
    3
    JAZZ WITH DENIS
    3
    5/2
    Front-runner
    69
    69
    65.0
    63.4
    50.4
    5
    MARCHED
    5
    10/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    88
    81
    64.2
    51.8
    45.3
    6
    NOCASHREFUNDS
    6
    6/1
    Stalker
    77
    76
    68.6
    72.8
    66.8
    4
    REVEREND JACK
    4
    3/1
    Stalker
    66
    68
    40.6
    54.4
    39.4
    2
    JUBA BOUND
    2
    10/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    75
    67
    59.8
    67.2
    57.2
    7
    HAZEDNCONFUSED
    7
    20/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    72
    60
    55.6
    65.6
    53.6
    8
    GRUMPY'S BUDDY
    8
    8/1
    Trailer
    74
    73
    51.2
    69.0
    60.5
    10
    STROLLINGINTHEWIND
    10
    20/1
    Trailer
    71
    74
    35.8
    64.6
    51.1

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 11 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 87

      QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 5 FEARLESS WAGON Z 4/5
      # 7 QUEEN RECORDS 8/1
      # 2 BELGRAVIA 8/1
      FEARLESS WAGON Z looks to be a respectable contender. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet in this event. The Equibase Speed Figure of 82 from her most recent affair looks very good in here. The average Equibase class rating alone makes this entrant a key contender. QUEEN RECORDS - As of late Calderon has been scorching which may give the edge to this filly. BELGRAVIA - Is a key contender - given the 62 speed rating from her most recent race.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 4:27pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $40,200 Class Rating: 83

        Rating:

        #2 ALLEN DIGGS (ML=2/1)
        #3 THE PREDICAMENT (ML=5/2)
        #1 ROYAL MAHOGANY (ML=9/2)


        ALLEN DIGGS - I believe Tharrenos is making a good move here. This gelding can only profit from the shorter distance. In this race here, this thoroughbred has recorded the highest speed fig at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. Earnings per race entered is something that I think can be a vital selection factor. This animal is ranked at the very top in this bunch. THE PREDICAMENT - Last out, this one was in a race at Gulfstream Park in a race with a class rating of 92. Dropping a significant amount in class rating in today's event puts him in a solid position today. This jock/conditioner duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +238. This animal has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Stein, and this one could bound home the winner. ROYAL MAHOGANY - I believe Joseph is making a good move here. This gelding can only be aided by the shorter trip. Vives rode this horse for the first time last race out and comes right back this time. This gelding has been training well, and the recent bullet work says he's primed for a big race today. Lets try to beat the morning-line choices with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty decent race.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GRAND ALLIANCE (ML=7/2), #5 SOUPER RUSH (ML=8/1),

        GRAND ALLIANCE - This mount gave a less than rousing performance last time finishing fifth. Don't see any chance of improvement in today's event. SOUPER RUSH - Hard to support any horse with declining speed figs of 75/72/65. Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last out at Woodbine at 6 furlongs. Don't think this racer will improve too much today.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Doesn't look like any horse is going to be the right price to make a straight wager
        EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 1 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 80

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 15, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $20,000 2 LBS.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 4 GRAND PICK 5/2
          # 3 DELTA RIDGE 4/1
          # 6 WINGED FOOT 9/5
          GRAND PICK looks to be a quite good contender. Has strong speed figures and has to be considered for a wager here. Have to suppose this pony will do well again this time around. The speed rating of 82 from his last affair looks competitive in here. DELTA RIDGE - Has to be given a chance against this field displaying strong figs lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 71 under similar conditions. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in lately. WINGED FOOT - Has been moving in the most competitive company of the field lately. Have to bet on this money-making jock and handler tandem.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #20
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

            Prairie Meadows - Race 10
            Win/ Place/ Show/ Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Minimum Superfecta (.10 Minimum) / Jackpot Super Hi 5 (.20 Minimum)
            Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 CR: 49 • Purse: $17,821 • Post: 9:52P
            FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HOODWICKED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SWEET STROLL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. UNGLUED: Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
            6
            HOODWICKED
            10/1
            7/2
            5
            SWEET STROLL
            5/2
            5/1
            7
            UNGLUED
            5/1
            10/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            6
            HOODWICKED
            6
            10/1
            Front-runner
            66
            58
            61.0
            30.3
            24.8
            7
            UNGLUED
            7
            5/1
            Front-runner
            49
            34
            40.0
            35.2
            25.7
            2
            KYLIES HOPE
            2
            3/1
            Alternator/Front-runner
            46
            42
            45.8
            29.8
            22.3
            8
            DIXIE SHARPIE
            8
            6/1
            Trailer
            60
            19
            35.1
            18.0
            10.5
            5
            SWEET STROLL
            5
            5/2
            Trailer
            57
            49
            30.2
            46.6
            43.6
            4
            SKYLAR'S FIRE
            4
            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            37.9
            19.0
            8.5
            1
            KAMEA
            1
            4/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            47
            37
            30.0
            27.2
            15.2
            9
            LARNED
            9
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            20.9
            3.8
            0.0
            3
            APACHE FLIGHT
            3
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #21
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Belmont at the Big A - Race #4 - Post: 2:39pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $85,000 Class Rating: 97

              Rating:

              #9 OCALA DREAM (ML=8/1)
              #8 CITIZEN K (ML=6/1)
              #3 RINALDI (ML=6/1)


              OCALA DREAM - This gelding has the top turf number in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here racer has a good chance. You'll be making money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this rider/conditioner combination. Maker adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a significant improvement. This horse ran off the board at Saratoga in the last race on the soft turf. He should improve in this event without the off-track conditions. CITIZEN K - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a strong outing last time around the track within the last month or so. RINALDI - I think Belmont at the Big A players know a good thing when they see the jockey/trainer twosome of Davis and Bond. Their winning percentage together has been strong. Jockey hops up atop after getting to know the horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a good tip. Bond, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix today. A positive sign. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. What that tells me is he will be very competitive in this race on the grass.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #14 BREW PUB (ML=3/1), #12 COLLOQUY (ML=7/2), #5 LET'S GO BIG BLUE (ML=7/2),

              BREW PUB - Had to give me a whole lot more in the last race. Never made much of an impact. COLLOQUY - This gelding registered a rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough today. LET'S GO BIG BLUE - Thoroughbred ran a great speed figure last time out, but that was on the soft turf.

              GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - OCALA DREAM - I believe there is a good probability this gelding could win this race based on a strong closing kick.




              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #9 OCALA DREAM to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
              EXACTA WAGERS: 9 with [3,8]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [3,8,9] Total Cost: $6

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #22
                Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Freehold Raceway


                CompuBet Free Pick!


                CompuBet 09/15 FREEHOLD
                Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
                Race#: 1- - PACE 09/15 FREEHOLD
                1 Hold My Tiara 6/1 484.78 100 30.0 75.0 1:58.2 Abbatiello, Eric 9
                7 Sweet Moves 10/1 453.46 80 28.3 79.0 1:58.6 Siegelman, Austin 20
                4 Phelgon 3/1 447.59 60 >21 10.0 74.7 1:58.4 Marohn, Jim Jr 33
                5 Brickyard Beacon 6/1 434.62 80 63.3 71.0 1:58.9 Baynes, Ray 9
                6 Jossie James A 2/1 403.75 80 10.0 80.0 1:59.4 Beckwith, Brett 21

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Century Mile


                  CompuBet Free Pick!


                  CompuBet 09/15 CENTURY MILE
                  Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
                  Race#: 2- - PACE 09/15 CENTURY MILE
                  1 You Promyst 7/2 665.38 100 65.0 54.0 B/F 1:52.3 Gagne, Jean Francois12
                  2 Outlawguns N Roses 1/1 633.28 50 >21 98.3 77.1 1:53.0 Kelly, David A 21
                  6 Severe Turbulence 6/1 618.25 60 65.0 65.0 1:55.1 Campbell, J Brandon 26
                  5 Long Gone Lover 12/1 564.96 70 >21 46.7 75.5 1:55.2 Sobey, Nathan K 21
                  7 My Little Chloe 8/1 497.62 80 61.7 63.0 1:57.1 Gray, Jamie D 12

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #24
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Scioto Downs

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 7 - Post: 8:07 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$9000 - FILLIES AND MARES CLAIMING HANDICAP $8,000-10,000
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 5 FLOSSIE N 8/5
                    # 4 MACHS DRAGON 5/2
                    # 3 AINT SHE PERFECT 5/1
                    FLOSSIE N very likely should be supported as the horse to beat in this race. Overall numbers appear respectable. Can't throw out at this point. Take a look at this standardbred's average speed rating of 78 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a really good wager. Had one of the best TrackMaster speed figs of the field of starters in her last affair. Must use in your wagers. MACHS DRAGON - Really good driver/trainer, winning 19 percent of the time. Looks like a tremendous wager. When the trainer Redder puts Noble up for the drive very nice things happen. Just check out the 36 pct return on investment. AINT SHE PERFECT - Has competitive speed ratings and unquestionably has to be considered for a wager in this event. Good for a win bet just off the great prior class statistics. Have to like this horse.


                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #25
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 12
                      5 5 HIDE YOUR MULA 5/2 Palone, Dave - 24 502.36
                      1 1 DIRTY DREAMS 6/1 Monti, Drew - 8 451.11
                      3 3 DREAM OF DRAGONS 10/1 Johnston, Shawn - 4 430.86
                      6 6 JAZZMATAZZ 8/1 Indof, Jeremy - 11 428.87
                      7 7 PAYCHECK 2/1 Killeen, Jack - 6 418.21
                      8 8 BOOZIN N CRUISIN 12/1 Brown, Brady - 8 408.26
                      4 4 LYONS SHARPIE 20/1 Myers, Hunter - 14 407.76
                      9 9 MALOUCIOUS 20/1 Walters, Justin - 7 406.20
                      2 2 MAJOR MEGAN 12/1 Macdonald, Mark - 10 369.27

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #26
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 9 - Post: 3:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 94 - Purse:$13000 - NON WINNERS $15,250 LAST 5 STARTS PA PREFERRED PER PHRC #2 AND #8 RACE UNCOUPLED
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 5 SPORT SECRET 5/2
                        # 4 I'LL DRINK TO THAT 3/1
                        # 8 THIS IS THE PLAN 5/1
                        Hard not to think about SPORT SECRET as the top contender this time. This interesting entrant achieved a respectable TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. Looks sharp to come right back. Win statistic for this driver/trainer is a sparkling 20 percent - excellent probability. This entrant will be greatly helped with Napolitano controlling. 19 percent winners the last 30 days. I'LL DRINK TO THAT - Squaring off quite well, achieved a bang-up speed rating in his most recent race (85). When starting from the 4 slot, a better than expected win percentage has resulted. THIS IS THE PLAN - Bongiorno is racking up the wins within the recent past. Fantastic win pct makes this horse our choice. His 96 average has this gelding among the most solid speed figs today.


                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #27
                          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

                          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                          RACE 3
                          1 1 MY MIND IS MADEUP 5/2 Marohn, Jim Jr - 10 483.71
                          4 4 OHIO VINTAGE 9/2 Siegelman, Austin - 10 480.47
                          2 2 FOX VALLEY INFERNO 8/5 Kakaley, Matt - 19 465.59
                          3 3 MY DELIGHT 6/1 Bartlett, Jason - 23 458.87
                          6 6 LEAVE AND ROLL 10/1 Bongiorno, Joe - 19 440.63
                          5 5 LETTUCERIPRITA A 8/1 Holland, Brent - 12 423.66

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #28
                            Free play from Mike Wynn

                            Free Pick: Houston w/Javier -190 over Kansas City



                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #29
                              Free play from Totals4U

                              Friday Free Selection: Detroit Tigers/Los Angeles Angels over 7

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #30
                                Free play from #1 Sports

                                Friday's Free Play: New York Yankees - 165

                                Comment

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