Sunday 9/17/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

    Gulfstream Park - Race 1
    $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)
    Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 73 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 12:50
    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SUNROOF is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUNROOF: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own ha lf-mile time in its last race.
    7
    SUNROOF
    8/5
    3/2

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    7
    SUNROOF
    7
    8/5
    Stalker
    97
    92
    85.0
    84.1
    78.1
    5
    DUDEFOOLINGDARLING
    5
    9/2
    Stalker
    66
    63
    63.5
    63.5
    55.5
    3
    GREY PRINCESS
    3
    5/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    71
    68
    66.6
    69.0
    63.0
    1
    STARSHIP SIGRUN
    1
    6/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    57.2
    67.3
    61.3
    2
    ACQUIRED TASTE
    2
    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    70
    65
    77.7
    59.7
    50.7
    8
    APPEAR
    8
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    72
    49
    61.6
    41.7
    31.2
    6
    MERRY GOLD
    6
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    55.9
    37.0
    23.0
    4
    UNIFIEDS PRINCESS
    4
    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    64
    53
    47.0
    43.5
    33.0

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 6 - Allowance - 3.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 73

      QUARTER HORSE 3F, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 4 CONTRABAND (T) 3/1
      # 8 FAST EH (T) 8/1
      # 3 CHINGS PUMBA 7/1
      CONTRABAND (T) is my choice. Calfrobe is serious with this one, wheeling him back quickly. Looks strong for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. Has formidable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in here. FAST EH (T) - He looks quite good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Could beat this field given the 73 speed rating posted in his last outing. CHINGS PUMBA - The average Equibase class figure of 57 makes this one hard to beat. Dennis is very serious with this one, wheeling him back almost immediately.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Emerald Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:52pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 88

        Rating:

        #4 NEW EVERY MORNING (ML=8/1)
        #3 FORTY SMOOCHES (ML=3/1)
        #8 SIX BLESSINGS (ML=6/1)
        #7 ABRAAJ MIRAGE (ML=5/1)
        #2 COOLCROSS (ML=4/1)


        NEW EVERY MORNING - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Alvarado gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. This gelding won on Jun 16th at a higher class level and the same 6 furlongs distance as today. Taking a big drop in class rating points from his September 2nd race at Emerald Downs. Based on that information, I will give this animal the edge. FORTY SMOOCHES - This gelding is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse.SIX BLESSINGS - Have to like this gelding today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite pattern, getting closer with all race. A horse coming back this promptly after a good race is a good signal. This one has increased his Equibase speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking note of. This gelding's last figure is good enough to score here, I'll bet on him right back this time. ABRAAJ MIRAGE - Possibly a peak effort for this gelding today. Been getting closer and the end with each recent start. I like to wager on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp effort within the last month or so.COOLCROSS - Bowen's agent must enjoy anytime Evans gives them a mount; winning percentage together is tremendous. This gelding is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Generally accepted handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a nice one here. This gelding has been trying different distances, but from the looks of things, he ran a nice speed fig last try at this distance.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 UPPER ROOM (ML=5/1),

        UPPER ROOM - The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underlay.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 NEW EVERY MORNING to win if you can get odds of 6/1 or more
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,8]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        [3,4,8] with [2,3,4,7,8] with [2,3,4,7,8] Total Cost: $36
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,4] with [3,4,8] with [2,3,4,7,8] with [2,3,4,7,8] Total Cost: $24

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #19
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

          Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 9
          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
          Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 73 •Purse: $14,200 • Post: 9:26P
          QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * AVICTOR: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. J PERFECT DEAL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. STRAIGHT AND TRUE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LA TARAHUMARA FIRE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LISBON CRYSTAL: Horse ranks in the top three in avera ge Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          7
          AVICTOR
          5/2
          6/1
          4
          J PERFECT DEAL
          7/2
          6/1
          2
          STRAIGHT AND TRUE
          4/1
          7/1
          1
          LA TARAHUMARA FIRE
          4/1
          7/1
          3
          LISBON CRYSTAL
          15/1
          9/1


          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          1
          LA TARAHUMARA FIRE
          1
          4/1
          Average
          80
          70
          5.0
          0.0
          0.0
          2
          STRAIGHT AND TRUE
          2
          4/1
          Slow
          78
          72
          6.4
          0.0
          0.0
          3
          LISBON CRYSTAL
          3
          15/1
          Average
          73
          70
          4.9
          0.0
          0.0
          4
          J PERFECT DEAL
          4
          7/2
          Fast
          73
          71
          2.3
          0.0
          0.0
          5
          VAL PRINCE
          5
          5/1
          Slow
          77
          67
          8.2
          0.0
          0.0
          6
          J LA SULTANA
          6
          6/1
          Slow
          71
          64
          6.6
          0.0
          0.0
          7
          AVICTOR
          7
          5/2
          Average
          79
          73
          0.0
          0.0
          0.0

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #20
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Churchill Downs - Race #2 - Post: 1:14pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 71

            Rating:

            #6 PATCH O'BRIEN (ML=3/1)
            #8 YULETIDE GALLOP (ML=7/2)


            PATCH O'BRIEN - Really believe this magnificent animal is going to be very close near the finish line. YULETIDE GALLOP - Horse didn't get the best of trips in his first race. Expect much better today. It looks like Morales had to become familiar with this colt on July 30th when riding him for the first time. Back aboard again today. Have to forget about that last turf race. This colt should do better hitting the main track in this event.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DEL RAYO (ML=4/1), #7 MASTER SWITCH (ML=4/1), #9 RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE (ML=8/1),

            DEL RAYO - Doesn't appear to be in a comfortable situation this time. MASTER SWITCH - Don't believe this horse will make a winning move in today's race. That last rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating.RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE - This questionable contender made little impact last time out finishing sixth. No reason to expect any improvement today.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #6 PATCH O'BRIEN to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,8]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

            SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:
            Pass

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #21
              Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Delaware County Fair


              CompuBet Free Pick!


              CompuBet 09/17 DELAWARE
              Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
              Race#: 2- - PACE 09/17 DELAWARE
              4 Ib Fancy Like That 5/1 491.52 100 68.3 IM 59.0 1:58.5 Page, Chris 27
              3 Prettygirl Dragon 5/1 454.24 80 48.3 60.0 1:58.5 Henry, Pierce 15
              5 Outspoken Izzy 9/2 453.11 80 65.0 54.0 1:58.9 Irvine, Justin 21
              2 State Of Fear 4/1 452.86 70 X 15.0 59.9 1:58.6 St Louis, Marc Jr 14
              1 Dancin Shani 9/5 451.58 80 58.3 61.6 1:59.4 Hanners, Austin 18

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Red Mile

                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 6
                6 6 BETTER IS NICE 1/1 Mccarthy, Andrew - 17 589.09
                2 2 DANCIN CHAMPION 7/2 Miller, David - 16 549.49
                3 3 IVY PARK 4/1 Gingras, Yannick - 19 540.93
                1 1 TUA MANY CAPTAINS 7/1 Miller, Andy - 14 532.21
                5 5 COURTSHIP 12/1 Tetrick, Tim - 14 525.10
                4 4 SNAP COUNT 15/1 Zeron, Scott - 17 505.84

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Track on 2

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 8 - Post: 4:56 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 49 - Purse:$14300 - COLTS & GELDINGS CLAIMING SERIES FINAL
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 1 TEXASDRIFTER 3/1
                  # 8 CEIA WHEN I CEIA 4/1
                  # 3 IM A MAGIC MAN 6/1
                  The consensus in this event is that TEXASDRIFTER is the one to beat. The consortium saw this horse's name in a dream. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. Hard to put finger on it, but strongly consider him in this one. The number crunching team noted a strong contest out of this contender last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to score. CEIA WHEN I CEIA - Deserves a shot given the above average win percent he sports. Can't pass over based on TrackMaster SRs which have been stellar (54 avg) lately. IM A MAGIC MAN - With a 51 average class rating, this harness racer has one of the finest class advantages in the field. Have to make Giesbrecht the wager here if only for the last thirty days win rate. Big likelihood for the trip to the winner's circle.


                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #24
                    Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Flamboro Downs


                    CompuBet Free Pick!


                    CompuBet 09/17 FLAMBORO DOWNS
                    Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
                    Race#: 4- - PACE 09/17 FLAMBORO DOWNS
                    1 Fear The Dice 8/5 595.96 100 90.0 76.0 1:55.0 Macdonald, Brett A 23
                    2 Hignett 3/1 553.77 70 26.7 77.0 1:55.5 Sorrie, Austin 20
                    4 Sharky 5/2 543.69 70 21.7 76.0 1:55.7 Borth, Tyler J 25
                    3 Mach Jacobs 4/1 539.27 70 >21 40.0 83.0 1:56.0 Thiessen, Daryl 14
                    5 Silver Sea 8/1 518.87 80 51.7 73.0 1:56.6 Henry, Travis J 23

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #25
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rideau Carleton

                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 10
                      8 8 WESTERN PHIL 3/1 Gagnon, Guy - 27 461.94
                      3 3 ALWAYSYOURWAY 2/1 Shepherd, Robert H - 16 434.24
                      9 9 ROCKNROLL NATION 12/1 Roy, William - 5 422.46
                      6 6 TYMAL PEACEMAKER 4/1 Gagnon, Jimmy - 14 421.05
                      7 7 ASSASSINS CREED 10/1 Berube, Pascal - 19 412.32
                      1 1 TAHUYA BREW 5/2 Fillion, Samuel - 17 408.76
                      10 AE JON SNOW N/A Berube, Pascal - 19 402.93
                      4 4 SAUBLE PLAY 9/2 Steacy, Clarke J - 5 399.09
                      5 5 ROAD RUNNER COLONY 8/1 Mercier, Gilbert - 0 394.91
                      2 2 STELIOS 6/1 Guy, Ryan - 9 392.55

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #26
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Shenandoah Downs

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$5750 - NON WINNERS $1,501
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 1 GOTTA MINUTE N 9/5
                        # 4 ELM GROVE QUAIL 5/2
                        # 7 HOOSIER SHARK 9/1
                        GOTTA MINUTE N sure does look ready to take the whole enchilada. Not many knocks against this race horse, let's give him a shot. Can't pass over based on speed ratings which have been stellar (75 avg) recently. A nice class horse can't be ignored. With an average class figure of 79 all signs say this is the one to beat. ELM GROVE QUAIL - That 69 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the last outing puts this harness racer in the mix today. Wagner has been tough as nails the last 30 days, winning at a very good 23 percent. HOOSIER SHARK - With a 80 average class rating, this contender has one of the most compelling class advantages in the pack.


                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #27
                          Free play from Mike Wynn

                          Free Pick: Minnesota w/Gray -160 over Chicago Wsox

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #28
                            Free play from Totals4U

                            Early Sunday Free Selection: Kansas City Chiefs/Jacksonville Jaguars under 51

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #29
                              Free play from #1 Sports

                              Early Sunday's Free Play: Indianapolis Colts + 1

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #30
                                Free play from Easy Money Sports

                                Free Early Sunday Football Selection From Lee
                                GREEN BAY +2.5

                                Comment

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