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Re: 3-8-09
Alatex
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Troy State
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Alatex
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Troy State
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Re: 3-8-09
Ferringo for Sunday. Went 8-7 yesterday.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #839 Florida International (+9) over Western Kentucky (2:30 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
I'm going to try to soak one last score out of Florida International. I think that they are a completely different team now that they are healthy and I think that they have the size to compete with Western Kentucky underneath. The Hilltoppers are out of control most of the time, and pounding the offensive glass is their best offensive weapon. I think FIU can limit those opportunities and can keep this one close.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #826 Toledo (-4) over Northern Illinois (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Toledo was a team I played a lot - clearly too much - early in the year. And I vowed I would be done with them. But if this team is a favorite that clearly means that something fishy is going on. They have four senior starters. And this is a team that was a great home bet in conference last year. NIU has really struggled on the road and
1.5-Unit Play. Take #846 Troy (Pk) over South Alabama (10 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
The Trojans were the better team throughout the regular season and South Alabama has not been a strong road team over the past few seasons. USA is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games and are actually just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Trojans have been a consistent squad all season and I think that they will be ready to advance in this one.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #824 Bowling Green (-4.5) over Ohio (2 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Ohio has been one of the worst road teams in the country over the past several years and still need to be a blind fade away from home. Bowling Green has an upperclassmen-laden team and they have four seniors that will be playing their last game. Ohio is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 4-10-1 ATS as a road underdog.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #857 Charleston (+9) over Davidson (7 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
I know you must think I'm nuts to mess with Stephon Curry today. But I really don't think that it was a fluke that Charleston beat the Wildcats in their last meeting. Charleston has covered both times that they have played Curry's crew this year and I think that they have a decent shot at an outright victory here.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #849 Old Dominion (+5) over VCU (4 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
This is a regional rivalry and ODU has been playing good basketball lately. This one is going to be a very emotional grinder, and the Monarchs have won 10 of their last 11 games outright, including a home win over VCU in the last meeting. I don't think that Eric Maynor will let his team lose. But Gerald Lee and company should make this a one-possession game in the last four minutes tonight and if that's the case we're going to be real happy about having these points.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #829 Arkansas (+8) over Vanderbilt (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Vanderbilt is playing well. No doubt about that. And Arkansas has been a mess in conference play this year. But I'm not ready to say that the 'Dores are going to go out there and lay a double-digit beating on anyone. Arkansas has some athletes, and the SEC has been just shaky enough this year where I could see an outright upset here and not be stunned.
1-Unit Play. Take #832 Buffalo (-3) over Miami, OH (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Buffalo has pretty much falled apart, losing five of their last six games. But I think they will be up for this game with wounded Miami tonight. The Redhawks are without their starting point guard and starting forward and are simply not as strong of a team without two of their top four scorers. Buffalo has several seniors playing in their last game and this Bulls team handled Miami on the road earlier in the year. I think they get it done on their home court and muster the sweep.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 138.5 Virginia Tech at Florida State (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
I'm not a bit totals guy, but I do know that Florida State has been playing great defense and that neither of these teams really want to get out and run up-and-down the court. I think this one will be played in the 60's, and a 67-61 score is more likely than a 74-68 score is. I think this is strong value for a low Unit rating.
Today's Teasers
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #862 Siena (-7) over Fairfield (7 p.m.) AND Take #855 Portland (+13) over St. Mary’s (11:30 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #849 Old Dominion (+10) over VCU (4 p.m.) AND Take #839 Florida International (+14) over Western Kentucky (2:30 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #841 Middle Tennessee State (+7) over North Texas (5 p.m.)
AND Take #860 Chattanooga (Pk) over Samford (8:30 p.m.)
That's it for today. Good luck. If you don't want to play all of these games and want a tighter card, I say play FIU, Portland, Charleston, ODU, Toledo and Bowling Green. Those are my favorite games.Comment
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Re: 3-8-09
INDIAN COWBOY
4 Unit Play. Take Over 197.5 between Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics (Sunday @ 1pm est). Let's take the Over in the NBA today as we look for the Winning Week and our 9th winning week of the last 11. We are 3-3 on the week as I would love to go 4-3 on the week squeezing out a profit in our flat betting while going 5-2 in college hoops today with our winner there for an overall week of 9-5. There is a reason I waited as long as I could to release this play as we get a far better number than the opening price as we get this total at 197.5. What the public remembers in this game is the last contest in which Boston went on the road to defeat this team 90-80. But, there are some key differences in that contest. For starters, Boston was on the road and defense had to be their calling card if they were going to win and they had Garnett in that game. They do not have him this game. Boston without Garnett has been scoring far more points if you have noticed as well. For example, the Cleveland game showed this when the final score was 105-94. If Boston can drop 105 points on the Cavs at home, they can certainly drop that and more against the Magic. Tack on the fact that 72% are on the home favorite here in the Celtics, the Magic having revenge and likely to be an active dog as there is a reason why the line is just +3, you will likely see just that - an active dog and an Over. I actually think the Magic win this game SU but betting against Boston in beantown is suicidal so let's just take the Over and call it a day shall we? We have Orlando with revenge and consequently will look to exceed the total as an active dog, the public likely gets buried which is further indication that Orlando exceeds expectations, the Orlando vs. Chicago game total was 222 and the Bulls attempt to be a defensive team, the Celtics and Pistons even scored 200 in Beantown and there is no reason why the total cannot exceed 200, nevertheless 197.5. The over is 8-2 for the Magic after an ATS loss, the over is 4-1 for the Magic the last 5 road contests and the over is 4-0 for Boston when they play winning teams at home indicative competitive games that go over the posted total for Boston without GarnettComment
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Re: 3-8-09
Adam H. Meyer [Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 6:00 PM.]
Clemson (+6 Points) vs. Wake Forest
***Please note that like "Adam's Best Bets" today's "Daily Previews" are information driven therefore no analysis is necessary.
Play: Clemson (+6 Points)
[ NBA ]
Sam Cheng [Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 3:30 PM]
San Antonio Spurs (-5 Points) vs. Phoenix Suns
***Please note that like "Adam's Best Bets" today's "Daily Previews" are information driven therefore no analysis is necessary.
Play: San Antonio Spurs (-5 Points)
Adam H. Meyer [Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 5:00 PM]
Northwestern (+6 Points) vs. Ohio State
***Please note that like "Adam's Best Bets" today's "Daily Previews" are information driven therefore no analysis is necessary.
Play: Northwestern (+6 Points)Comment
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