Service Plays Saturday 10/7/23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas High Rollers

50* Notre Dame –6.5

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Oskeim

3* TX A&M +2.5
2* C FL +2.5
2* MO +6.5

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Alleghenies Analysis

3* IA
3* UT St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AJ Apollo

3* ULL -1
3* MO +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

3* Total of Week Mizzou/LSU Over 64

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

2 Unit Play. Take #356 Ohio Bobcats -26 over Kent State Golden Flashes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 ESPN+) The Bobcats have been a covering machine the last two years, going 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games. The Golden Flashes are 1-4 on the season, and their only win came against FCS Central Connecticut. Their other four games have been losses by 50, 22, 43, and 20 points. Ohio has revenge in this game, having lost their last two games against Kent State. Ohio is coming off a bye and will be healthy and rested to blow out Kent State. We will lay the wood with the home team.

6 Unit Play. Take #379 Washington State Cougars +3 over UCLA Bruins (3p.m., Saturday, October 7 P12N) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEKEND Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game. Washington State has the better resume and they are on an us against the world type of run that we will back on Saturday. Their future is still unclear, but the talent level in this game, especially on offense, sides with the visitor. UCLA got exposed by Utah and they hardily get a home field advantage playing at the Rose Bowl. UCLA is starting a freshman quarterback, and Wazzou has a major edge with Cam Ward behind center. The Cougars continues to make noise, and getting them as a dog in this game is too good to pass up.

3 Unit Play. Take #394 Texas A&M Aggies +1 over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 CBS) Never like to fade Nick Saban, especially with Jimbo Fisher on the other side, but this is more about Alabama really struggling on offense this season. Coach Fisher gets up for this game, and a victory today can get some of the fan base off of his back. A&M has not been as talented as Alabama the last few years, yet this game is one they always play their best. Look for the Aggies to shut down the running quarterback and make them beat them through the air with long, sustained drives. A&M has a wizard as offensive coordinator, and they will have some wrinkles that Alabama has yet to see. Grab the points with the more talented offensive team at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

4-Unit CFB: (331) Boston College +130 [ML] over Army (10/7/2023 @ 12:00PM ET) Long-term subscribers know us by now, and know how we love to buy-low on teams that are undervalued based on recent performance and public perception. Boston College are 1-4 ATS so far this season, and failed to cover in their last game as six point favorites against UVA. In fact, BC are 0-3 ATS so far this season when being listed as the favorite. That's ugly stuff. However, the market often over-adjusts in such situations. In database history; teams in Week 6 that have covered a maximum of one game, are 54.1% ATS on the blind for a +5.1% ROI. This is across a large 1,200 game sample size and has shown impressive consistency over the years. This trend improves to 58% ATS for a +12.5% ROI when the team is listed as the underdog, and 60.1% ATS for a +16.5% ROI when also on the road. This gets even more impressive when looking at teams that are listed as less than 6 point favorites. Such situations have managed to deliver a 65.9% ATS win rate for a +27.1% ROI with an average cover margin of +4.58 points per game. Impressive stuff. Thomas Castellanos hasn't shown his best stuff yet, and we like some of the matchups for the Eagles on both ends of the field against an overvalued Army team. We're going to take them SU on the ML here at +130 as it provides more value from a derivative conversion standpoint, compared to the +3.


6-Unit CFB: (360) Texas -5 -110 over Oklahoma (10/7/2023 @ 12:00PM ET) Love this spot for Texas against an Oklahoma team that are being vastly overvalued based on their 5-0 start both SU and ATS. The Sooners haven't been challenged at all this season with their average line being -23.1 with -14 being the low-point. Here they find themselves as underdogs for the first time, and it's for good reason. The Longhorns are also unbeaten SU on the season with a record of 5-0, but have shown some cracks which is the reason for their 3-2 ATS record. Having said that; there is no denying that they have played the much tougher, and proven strength of schedule. Quinn Ewers has been nothing short of stellar. The chemistry between him and Jonathon Brooks is palpable, and we believe they will be able to move the ball on this Oklahoma defense that is likely overvalued at this point. There is a reason the total for this game is up above 60. Texas are finding their rhythm and showed what they can do last weekend when they blasted 24th-ranked Kansas by 26 en route to scoring 40 points. This number is low as we made it slighly above a touchdown. Ample value.


4-Unit CFB: (345) UTSA -14 -110 over Temple (10/7/2023 @ 2:00PM ET) Everyone hates UTSA right now, and that's exactly why we love 'em. There is no doubt that The Roadrunners are one of this seasons biggest disappointments. They are 1-3 SU, and 0-4 ATS despite being favored in three of their four games. They lost outright as seven point, and fourteen point favorites, before Tennessee stomped them last week 45-14. However, there is a reason they opened as an 11 point favorite, and have been pushed all the way up to the current market price. Temple are simply awful, and have not played a particularly difficult strength of schedule. UTSA have many mismatches up and down the field, and also have a clear motivational edge, not to mention the athleticism gap between the two teams. In database history; teams that failed to cover their first four games of the season, are 55.9% on the blind in the next game. We expect UTSA to take out all of their frustration on a far inferior team. Hold your nose.


4-Unit CFB: (380) UCLA -3 -115 over Washington State (10/7/2023 @ 3:00PM ET) It seems as though everyone wants a piece of Washington State this week after last weeks rough performance by UCLA. However, despite that awful offensive showing; this is still a team that managed to average 40.33 points per game prior to that loss. This is a Cougars team that have shown issues on the defensive end wit blown coverages, and the odd mental lapse allowing chunk rush plays up the middle. We expect the Bruins to bounce-back strong here, especially on the offensive end. Despite being undefeated; there is a reason that WSU are being listed as the small dogs in this one. We like UCLA to get back in the win column and win this by a touchdown.


4-Unit CFB: (367) Purdue +2.5 -110 over Iowa (10/7/2023 @ 3:30PM ET) That was some bounce-back performance from Purdue last time out with a 44-19 beatdown of Illinois as small underdogs. We expect them to carry that momentum over here against an Iowa team that are being overvalued. Iowa have shown issues on the offensive end time and time again this season, and that was before Cade McNamara went down with a torn ACL. We can't get behind the Hawkeyes being favored here with Deacon Hill at QB. They have injury concerns in multiple key positions and should have issues moving the ball down the field. Too much has been made of their turnover issues, and we expect that to tighten up as the season progresses. This is a must-win game for them sitting 2-3 on the season. We also have connections with many sharp groups that have been hitting the Boilermakers in every which way. That's all the confirmation we need.


4-Unit CFB: (394) Texas A&M +100 [ML] over Alabama (10/7/2023 @ 3:30PM ET) All the sharp money is on the Aggies, and we couldn't agree more. Both teams are 4-1 SU on the season, but it's Alabama that haven't shown enough for us to believe they should be road favorites in this situation. The Crimson Tide showed some clear struggles against Texas and USF, and we aren't willing to write them off just yet based on a few big weeks. They're still unproven on the road despite a good showing last week and Texas A&M have been dominant at home, albeit against weaker competition. The Aggies are 3-0 at home both SU and ATS with an average win margin of 34.33 points per game, while only allowing an average of 7.67 points per game. Alabama have dominated the head-to-head over the years, but the average line in the last 10 has been Alabama -16.85. This is a new era, and we're all about it. Max Johnson has stepped up to the plate and is taking full advantage of this opportunity. Solid value on the home dogs.


4-Unit CFB: (376) USC -21.5 -110 over Arizona (10/7/2023 @ 10:30PM ET) USC are coming off another questionable showing as they barely escaped with a win as 22.5 point favorites over Colorado. That's now two-straight weeks where they've failed to cover as big favorites while allowing far too much ground on the defensive end. Having said that; both those games were on the road, and they are an entirely different beast at home. So far this season, The Trojans are 3-0 SU, and 2-1 ATS when playing at home, with an average win margin of 42 points. Arizona have played a very weak strength of schedule for the most part, and will be in a touch situation after a hard fought game last weekend against Washington. We're expecting USC to carve up the Wildcats in any way they please. Arizona don't have enough in the tank to hang with this offense over the course of 4Q. It's a big number, but one we are willing to lay. Go Trojans.

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari

Soccer
Germany Bundesliga
Stuttgart -102

[Somkit]

Marco
Louisville +6.5

[ConleyPicks]

fixedtips uk
ROMANIA: LIGA 1
FC Botosani – FCSB
FCSB -0.75 @ 2.00

premierleaguetips uk
ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE
Fulham – Sheffield Utd
Fulham -1

gpt4bets eu
ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester Utd – Brentford
Both to score : YES

basketball-totals eu
FRANCE – LNB
Le Portel – Roanne
Over 170

fixedteamgoals eu
ROMANIA: LIGA 1
FC Botosani – FCSB
FCSB Over 1.5 @ 2.10

over35tips de
GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA
Wehen – Hamburger SV
Over 3.5

[FATMANWINS]

strike point
7 wash st

[BONTRAGER]

Jimmy Adams from wagertalk.com
[LIST][*]Game: (511) Colorado at (759) Arizona State
Date/Time: Oct 7 2023 6:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Odds: -110
Play: Colorado -4.0 (-110)

The last few weeks have been tough for a Colorado team with so much hype surrounding it. Losses were expected as they had to step up in class big time with games against Oregon and USC. Now the Buffaloes head to Tempe to take on the 1-4 Sun Devils, a “get right” spot for this program. The emphasis in practice this week has been on starting the game strong and winning the 1st and 2nd quarters. Coach Prime’s team is hungry for a win, and ASU has no chance of slowing down Shedeur Sanders and this offense. The Sun Devils have played better the last few weeks, but this team has offensive line issues, which will help a Colorado defensive unit that hasn’t been great. ASU also has a major turnover problem, as they gave the ball away 8 times against Fresno alone. Expect the Buffaloes to start the game strong, and in the end their offensive firepower will be too much for ASU to handle. Take Colorado.

[2trikpony]

Brandon Lang

LANG'S PICK: IOWA STATE CYCLONES +7 (-130) Bought Half Point Up

Easy 75 Dime Winner last night on Nebraska (+3) OUTRIGHT at Illinois, 20-7.

[crimsontide]

Root

chairmans Oklahoma
contrarian UCLA
gold standard Texas AM
reserve Arizona St
pinnacle Louisville

MLB. Texas Rangers

[CLAW]

KELSO’S BEST BETS FOOTBALL CLUB
Saturday, October 7
15 Units


#22 MISSOURI TIGERS (5-0) +6 over #23 LSU Tigers (3-2)


Prediction: Missouri by 6-7
12:00 Noon ET…Home Team in CAPS…ESPN


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15 Units


#13 Washington State Cougars (4-0) +3 over UCLA BRUINS (3-1)


Prediction: Washington State by 6-7
3:00 ET…Home Team in CAPS…Pac-12 Network


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15 Units


#25 LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (5-0) +6.5 over #10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-1)


Prediction: Louisville by 6-7
7:30 ET…Home Team in CAPS…ABC




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KELSO’S CHAIRMAN’S FOOTBALL CLUB


Saturday, October 7


50 Units
Side/Total Parlay
20 Units


TEXAS A&M AGGIES (4-1) +2 over #11 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1)


Prediction: Texas A&M by 6-7
3:30 ET…Home Team in CAPS…CBS




20 Units
Texas A&M-Alabama UNDER 46 Points
Prediction: 42 or less points will be scored




10 Units
Parlay of Texas A&M and the UNDER