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BRYAN POWER
Event: (141) Florida at (142) South Carolina
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 14, 2023 3:30 PM EDT
Free College Football Pick Today: South Carolina -2.0 (-110)
3% South Carolina (3:30 ET): Looking at the SEC East, we obviously know who the best team is (Georgia) and who the worst team is (Vanderbilt). But I think there’s a lot of question marks with the rest of the division including these two teams. We’ve got conflicting trends here as, going back to his time at Louisiana, Florida HC Billy Napier is 17-6-1 ATS as an underdog with 10 outright upsets. That includes what was a nice 5% winner for me a couple weeks ago when the Gators upset Tennessee. But, since becoming the head coach at South Carolina, Shane Beamer has been very profitable as a favorite, going 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in that role.
The Gamecocks are short home favorites here and I am going to lean on two things. One is they are coming off a bye. The last four times the Gamecocks have played with rest, they are 3-1 SU and ATS. That includes three wins against SEC opponents, all outright as underdogs where they covered the spread by an average of 21 PPG. Interestingly enough, this will be the first of three straight SEC games for Florida where the opponent is off a bye. (Though they too will have a week off before the Georgia game).
Rest is one key here. Homefield advantage is the other. Six of the last seven meetings between these schools have seen the home team prevail. South Carolina is also on a 12-4 SU/11-5 ATS run here in Columbia while Florida is a pitiful 1-13 SU its last 14 games outside of Gainesville. Earlier, I mentioned Florida’s upset of Tennessee. That was at home, obviously. On the road this year, the Gators are 0-2, losing by double digits to Utah and Kentucky. They scored just 25 points in those two losses. Meanwhile, this is just the third home game for South Carolina, who has had to face North Carolina, Tennessee and Georgia all away from home. Led by QB Spencer Rattler, the Gamecocks have put up 37 and 47 points in the first two home games. Rattler is much better than Florida QB Graham Mertz and I’m very confident the home team wins this one by more than a field goal. 3% South Carolina (Play to -3)
Event: (141) Florida at (142) South Carolina
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: October 14, 2023 3:30 PM EDT
Free College Football Pick Today: South Carolina -2.0 (-110)
3% South Carolina (3:30 ET): Looking at the SEC East, we obviously know who the best team is (Georgia) and who the worst team is (Vanderbilt). But I think there’s a lot of question marks with the rest of the division including these two teams. We’ve got conflicting trends here as, going back to his time at Louisiana, Florida HC Billy Napier is 17-6-1 ATS as an underdog with 10 outright upsets. That includes what was a nice 5% winner for me a couple weeks ago when the Gators upset Tennessee. But, since becoming the head coach at South Carolina, Shane Beamer has been very profitable as a favorite, going 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in that role.
The Gamecocks are short home favorites here and I am going to lean on two things. One is they are coming off a bye. The last four times the Gamecocks have played with rest, they are 3-1 SU and ATS. That includes three wins against SEC opponents, all outright as underdogs where they covered the spread by an average of 21 PPG. Interestingly enough, this will be the first of three straight SEC games for Florida where the opponent is off a bye. (Though they too will have a week off before the Georgia game).
Rest is one key here. Homefield advantage is the other. Six of the last seven meetings between these schools have seen the home team prevail. South Carolina is also on a 12-4 SU/11-5 ATS run here in Columbia while Florida is a pitiful 1-13 SU its last 14 games outside of Gainesville. Earlier, I mentioned Florida’s upset of Tennessee. That was at home, obviously. On the road this year, the Gators are 0-2, losing by double digits to Utah and Kentucky. They scored just 25 points in those two losses. Meanwhile, this is just the third home game for South Carolina, who has had to face North Carolina, Tennessee and Georgia all away from home. Led by QB Spencer Rattler, the Gamecocks have put up 37 and 47 points in the first two home games. Rattler is much better than Florida QB Graham Mertz and I’m very confident the home team wins this one by more than a field goal. 3% South Carolina (Play to -3)
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