Sunday 10/22/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20787

    #61
    Sean Murphy

    Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' 37 between Atlanta and Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

    The 'under' has cashed in each of the Falcons last four games and three straight contests involving the Buccaneers. With that being said, I'll go the contrarian route and back the 'over' as these two NFC South rivals do battle in Tampa on Sunday. Note that the 'over' is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in this series and two of the three matchups that stayed 'under' the total over that stretch still reached at least 45 total points. Falcons QB Desmond Ridder could be on a short leash on Sunday as he continues to struggle in his sophomore campaign. His benching would likely benefit us greatly with Taylor Heinicke an 'over' bettor's friend. I don't expect either team to bang its head against the wall trying to run the football here. Instead look for plenty of splash plays through the air, whether good or bad, ultimately helping this one 'over' the total. Take the over.

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    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20787

      #62
      Totals Guru

      Free Total Annihilator On Raiders vs Bears over 37.5

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      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20787

        #63
        Alex Smart

        Free Play: Falcons+3 -115

        Atlanta out-gained their last opponent the Commanders by 211 yards and still found a way to lose. They out yarded their previous opponent as well by more than 100 yards in a win vs Texas . However despite of their statistical domination the Falcons are still being under rated vs a Tampa Bay side that according to power rankings is also over rated as was evident last week when they only put 6 points on the board. The Bucs have averaged just 14.5 ppg at home this season in offense, and look like weak favs in this spot play situation.

        TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

        NFL team vs the money line (TAMPA BAY) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-22 L/10 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate.

        NFL Home favorites (TAMPA BAY) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, in the first half of the season are 40-90 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate.

        Play on the Atlanta Falcons to cover

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        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20787

          #64
          Rob Vinciletti

          Sunday card has the 100% Divisional Game of the Year going early and our Executive Level Tier going later on with our Top total. We also have the Sunday night Football Winner and Game 6 of the A.L.C.S. NFL Comp play below

          The NFL Comp play is on the Indy Colts + the 3-4 points at 1 eastern.
          The Browns apply to the 0-8 road favorite system below that pertains to Non divisional Sunday Road favorites on Artificial surfaces if they were a home dog last week and 3 or less penalties. The Browns are off a huge upset win as an 8 point dog to SF and lost their only road game of the season. The Colts were leveled by the Jags last week but were solid in a home win prior over Tennessee and lost in Over time here to the Rams 3 back. The Colts have Taylor back and ready to take on a bigger role and should be much better on defense here. Cleveland may bounce a bit after the big win so we will back the Colts. On Sunday Rob has 5 best bets up including his Divisional Game of the Year, an Executive Level Tier 1, a Top Late totals play and Game 6 of the A.L.C.S. Jump on now as Rob ends the week big. For the NFL Comp play. Take the Points with the Colts. Rob V

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          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20787

            #65
            Info Plays

            1* FREE INFO PLAY on Gualaceo +220 (Soccer)

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            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20787

              #66
              Rocky Atkinson

              Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 10-22-23

              Arizona @ Seattle (4:05 PM EST)
              Play On: Arizona +8 1/2

              The Arizona Cardinals travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon. Arizona is 1-5 overall this year while Seattle comes in with a 3-2 overall record on the season. Arizona's bright spot on offense is they average 141 rushing yards per game. Seattle is allowing 28.5 points per game at home this season. Seattle has played one division game and they were beat 30-13 by the Rams. Seattle is 4-10 ATS last 14 games overall. We'll recommend a small play on Arizona on Sunday afternoon! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20787

                #67
                Brandon Lee

                7* NFL Steelers/Rams Free Pick

                PLAY ON LOS ANGELES RAMS -3

                I got to lay the 3-points at home with the Rams against the Steelers. If Pittsburgh wasn't coming off a bye week, this would be a much stronger play. With that said, I don't think the extra time to prepare is going to matter. The Steelers offense is putrid. They can't run the ball and the pass game isn't much better. Not to mention the play-calling is sub-par. They are averaging just 268 ypg and 4.8 ypg thru their first 5 games. They are getting outgained on the season by 121 ypg and 1.0 yards/play. Their defense has some good players and makes some splash plays, but are giving up 144 ypg and 4.8 yards/carry vs the run and 389 ypg and 5.8 ypp. Rams are only giving up 19.5 ppg and 5.3 yards/play. You could argue LA is better on both sides of the ball, have a massive edge at QB and at worst a wash at head coach. Give me the Rams -3!

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                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20787

                  #68
                  Ray Monohan

                  UNDER 44.5

                  The Steelers (3-2, 3-2 ATS) take on the Rams (3-3, 4-1-1 ATS) this Sunday at SoFi Stadium in NFL Week 7 action. Kickoff is at 4:05 p.m. EST, and you can watch it on FOX. In the NFL Week 7 odds, the Rams are favored by 3.5 points over the Steelers. The moneyline odds show the Rams at -175 and the Steelers at +145. The total points for the game are set at 42.5.

                  We’re on the under in this one.

                  This has a lot to do with Pittsburgh’s offense. They have had far too many issues moving the ball. And when they do find the red zone, it’s been ugly as they’ve settled for 3 a lot.

                  The Rams don’t move at a quick pace either, which should benefit us here. Los Angeles loves to work the run game and will have a lot of short passing plays, which keeps the clock moving.

                  This is the kind of game where possessions will chew big chunks of the clock and result in potential field goals. Scoring chances will be at a premium, giving the edge to the under.

                  Some trends to note, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's L5 games, and 4 of their L5 vs. NFC teams. For LAR the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their L7, and 13 of their L14 against AFC North teams.

                  These teams have clashed 27 times in their history, including one playoff game. The Steelers have won 10 times, the Rams 15, and they've tied twice. In their L3 h2h games they've combined to score 29, 18, 27 (1 team, as it was a shutout), dating back to 2011.

                  Back the UNDER on Sunday

                  Good Luck, Razor Ray.

                  Sunday 5* FREE NFL O/U Play

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                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20787

                    #69
                    Steve Janus

                    1* Free Sharp Play on Steelers+3.5 -115

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                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20787

                      #70
                      John Martin

                      1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

                      The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall winning all three games outright as underdogs. Mike Tomlin is now 52-32 ATS as an underdog as the coach of the Steelers. Now we are getting the Steelers +3.5 over the key number of 3 in a game they should play well considering they are coming off their bye. They have also been without WR Diontae Johnson and TE Pat Freiermuth in recent weeks, which has really hampered their offense. They get both back this week and this Pittsburgh offense should be much better moving forward. The Rams just lost RB Kyren Williams and backup RB Ronnie Rivers. Williams has been huge for them, rushing for 456 yards and 6 TD while averaging 4.7 per carry while also catching 13 balls for 105 yards and another score. The Rams could be one-dimensional, which won't be good against this Steelers pass rush. Give me the Steelers.

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                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20787

                        #71
                        Jack Jones

                        Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Green Bay Packers -1

                        I love the spot for the Green Bay Packers this week. They are coming off their bye week following consecutive losses. They needed the bye week to regroup and get healthy. Now they come out of the bye as healthy as they have been all season.

                        Jordan Love has been getting a ton of criticism, and most of it is deserved. However, Love has had his two best playmakers in Aaron Jones and Christian Watson on the field at the same time for a grand total of 11 snaps this season. Jones returns from a hamstring injury this week and should be 100% coming off the bye, and Watson is back to 100% as well.

                        The Packers are in line for their best offensive output of the season since their 38-20 season-opening win at Chicago. The Bears and Broncos have been neck-and-neck for worst defense in the league honors this season. The Broncos take the take, allowing 33.3 points per game, 440 yards per game and 7.0 yards per play this season.

                        This Denver offense has fallen off a cliff in recent weeks as well. The Broncos managed just 311 total yards against the Bears three weeks ago, 308 total yards and three turnovers against the Jets two weeks ago, and 197 total yards and three more turnovers against the Chiefs last week. The train is coming off the rails in Denver for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson as the Broncos are now 1-5 SU & 0-5-1 ATS this season.

                        The Packers have been pretty good defensively this season allowing 338 yards per game and 5.1 per play. They have been particularly good against the pass, allowing 194 passing yards per game and 6.0 per attempt. That's good news going up against the pass-happy Broncos. Both S Darnell Savage and LB Quay Walker returned to practice and should be back this week, though they will likely still be without LB De'Vondre Campbell. Walker leads the team with 51 tackles, which is 16 more than second place.

                        Matt LaFleur is 11-2 ATS following a road loss as the coach of Green Bay. The Packers are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a road game. Denver is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams that force one or fewer turnovers per game.

                        Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Green Bay) - after failing to cover the spread in two of their last three games, in the first half of the season are 35-11 (76.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Broncos won't have a very big home-field advantage for this one with how poorly they have started this season. Don't be surprised to hear the boo birds come out early. Bet the Packers Sunday.

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                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20787

                          #72
                          Dave Price

                          Dave's Sunday Free Play:

                          1* on Chargers/Chiefs OVER 47.5

                          The Key: The weather in Kansas City looks much better than their last game against the Broncos which was very windy. The wind is only expected to be 10 MPH inside Arrowhead Stadium Sunday and 66 degrees at kickoff. The Chargers and Chiefs always play in shootouts, and I think it will be more of the same Sunday. The last 4 totals between the Chargers and Chiefs were all set at 52.5 or higher, so we are getting a cheap price here at 47.5. The Chiefs and Chargers have now combined for at least 51 points in 5 consecutive matchups. The OVER is 12-3 in Chargers last 15 games off a loss. Kansas City is due for a breakout offensive performance and it should come against this soft Chargers defense. I expect Herbert and company to keep pace. Take the OVER.

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                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20787

                            #73
                            Bobby Conn

                            1* Free Play on Dolphins+3 -115

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                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20787

                              #74
                              Kenny Walker

                              Free Pick on Dolphins+3 -115

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                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20787

                                #75
                                Timothy Black

                                1* Best Bet on Dolphins+3 -115

                                No analysis provided.

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