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Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - November 3
Nov. 02, 2023
Nov. 02, 2023
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
| RACE #1 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 QATAR GOLDEN MILE STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4-1 | 1 | Ace of Clubs | A Fresu |
| PLACE | 5-2 | 5 | Go With Gusto | J Rosario |
| SHOW | 6-1 | 6 | Mo Fox Givin | F Prat |
| WILD CARD | 3-1 | 4 | Ultra Power | L Dettori |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 4-1 | 8 | Asean | T Gaffalione |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 6-1 | 3 | Lord Bullingdon | U Rispoli |
| * EXACTA: 1,4,5,6 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,5,6/1,5,6/1,4,5,6,8 | ||||
| COMMENTS: ACE OF CLUBS should be involved from start to finish here and have more endurance in the second route run. GO WITH GUSTO ran better fractions in her second career start and has a quartet of works between starts. MO FOX GIVIN had a little bit of a funky start in her last and still rallied to second. ULTRA POWER ran the highest last race speed figure and will need to take that form to turf for the first time. | ||||
| RACE #2 $175,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $175,000 GOLDEN STATE JUVENILE FILLIES STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 8-5 | 5 | Mirinda | M E Smith |
| PLACE | 5-2 | 7 | Grand Slam Smile | F T Alvarado |
| SHOW | 10-1 | 1 | Recalcitrant | L Dettori |
| WILD CARD | 5-1 | 11 | Crazy Hot | J R Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 12-1 | 3 | Satellite Heart | U Rispoli |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 6 | Prancingthruparis | A Fresu |
| * EXACTA: 5/1,7,11 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 5/1,7,11/1,3,6,7,11 | ||||
| COMMENTS: MIRINDA won her debut with ease with fractions and pace figures of horse with graded stakes ability. GRAND SLAM SMILE had troubled trips in two of her three races and still managed to win two of three. A clean trip is all she needs. RECALCITRANT could be the pacesetter but will have to hold her speed longer as she is stretching out today. CRAZY HOT has a pair of wins and thirds in four races. She will be most dangerous on the lead. | ||||
| RACE #3 $150,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 SENATOR KEN MADDY STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4-1 | 12 | Playlist | J R Velazquez |
| PLACE | 6-1 | 4 | Elm Drive | F Prat |
| SHOW | 8-1 | 13 | Rose Maddox | T J Pereira |
| WILD CARD | 3-1 | 2 | White Moonlight | O Murphy |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 10-1 | 10 | Brandonsmylawyer | J Rosario |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 12-1 | 5 | Eddies New Dream | M Gutierrez |
| * EXACTA: 2,4,12,13 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 4,12,13/2,4,12,12/2,4,10,12,13 | ||||
| COMMENTS: PLAYLIST should get off to a quick start and usually makes a robust mid move which should give her every chance to win. ELM DRIVE has proven she can win at this level as five of her last 10 speed figures are at or above par for this level. ROSE MADDOX hit the board in six of seven on Santa Anita turf usually with a strong late move. WHITE MOONLIGHT makes her US debut and should appreciate the fast and firm going at Santa Anita. | ||||
| RACE #4 $175,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $175,000 GOLDEN STATE JUVENILE STAKES | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 6-1 | 11 | Magic Spoon | T J Pereira |
| PLACE | 8-1 | 6 | Private Gem | F Prat |
| SHOW | 4-1 | 10 | Last Call London | J J Hernandez |
| WILD CARD | 7-2 | 1 | Dr. No No | R A Vazquez |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 12-1 | 8 | Going Mobile | I Ortiz Jr. |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 5-1 | 12 | Micis Express | J Rosario |
| * EXACTA: 1,6,10,11 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,6,10,11/6,10,11/1,6,8,10,11 | ||||
| COMMENTS: MAGIC SPOON debuted with the top last race speed figure and many horses improve in their second career starts. PRIVATE GEM is another with plenty of upside potential in the second career race. LAST CALL LONDON hit the board in five of six races and could benefit from being gelded since his last race. DR NO NO has a good chance to be the early pacesetter and should be fit with 24 furlongs of works between starts. | ||||
| RACE #5 $1,000,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BC JUVENILE TURF SPRINT GRADE I | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4-1 | 1 | Crimson Advocate | J R Velazquez |
| PLACE | 3-1 | 4 | Big Evs | T Marquand |
| SHOW | 12-1 | 8 | Cherry Blossom | R L Moore |
| WILD CARD | 8-1 | 11 | Slider | H I Berrios |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 4-1 | 2 | No Nay Mets | I Ortiz Jr. |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 9 | Amidst Waves | F Prat |
| * EXACTA: 1,4,8,11 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,4,8/1,2,4,8,11/1,2,4,8,11 | ||||
| COMMENTS: CRIMSON ADVOCATE is unbeaten in two grass short sprints and has the most impressive win for this group. BIG EVS should be out of the gates in a hurry and is a horse on the upswing. CHERRY BLOSSOM has raced well on a good surface and this race could set up nicely for her stalking skills. SLIDER has some of his best workouts prepping for today and could be sitting on a big effort. | ||||
| RACE #6 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BC JUVENILE FILLIES GRADE I | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4-5 | 7 | Tamara | M E Smith |
| PLACE | 4-1 | 1 | Candied | L Saez |
| SHOW | 8-1 | 12 | Just F Y I | J Alvarado |
| WILD CARD | 15-1 | 2 | Jodys Pride | F Prat |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 6 | Chatalas | A Fresu |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 20-1 | 11 | Life Talk | I Ortiz Jr. |
| * EXACTA: 1,7/1,2,6,7,12 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 1,7/1,2,7,12/1,2,6,7,11,12 | ||||
| COMMENTS: TAMARA is the only horse to hit triple digits on the speed gun and is likely to take it higher after some rest. CANDIED rides the hot rail and would likely record a speed figure of a 100 or more with any improvement in the second start after a layoff. JUST F Y I had to go way wide in both of her races to score wins. The outside post does not hurt. JODYS PRIDE should be right off the pace and should make a strong run out of the turn heading for home. | ||||
| RACE #7 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BC JUVENILE FILLIES TURF GRADE I | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 8-1 | 14 | Les Pavots | M Barzalona |
| PLACE | 5-1 | 6 | Porta Fortuna | O Murphy |
| SHOW | 6-1 | 9 | Carlas Way | J Doyle |
| WILD CARD | 4-1 | 11 | She Feels Pretty | J R Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 6-1 | 12 | Hard to Justify | F Prat |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 6-1 | 3 | Buchu | M Garcia |
| * EXACTA: 14/3,6,9,11,12 KEY BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 6,9,14/6,9,14/3,6,9,11,12,14 | ||||
| COMMENTS: LES PAVOTS has never run a bad race and has only been beaten by horses that came back to win and most at the Group level. PORTA FORTUNA has raced very well on good surfaces in Ireland and England. She might really find the footing over here to her liking. CARLAS WAY improved her final time nicely in her last and should be involved from start to finish. SHE FEELS PRETTY improved a ton in her second career start. The same move forward here would be enough. | ||||
| RACE #8 $2,000,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $2M BC JUVENILE | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4-1 | 10 | Muth | J J Hernandez |
| PLACE | 4-1 | 4 | Timberlake | F Geroux |
| SHOW | 7-2 | 6 | Locked | J L Ortiz |
| WILD CARD | 4-1 | 2 | Prince of Monaco | F Prat |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 6-1 | 9 | Fierceness | J R Velazquez |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 1 | The Wine Steward | L Saez |
| * EXACTA: 2,4,6,10 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 2,4,6,10/4,6,10/1,2,4,6,9,10 | ||||
| COMMENTS: MUTH has a grade I win with some of the best early and late pace numbers for this group. It can be hard to pass what you cannot catch. TIMBERLAKE showed brilliant late pace in his last run and has a swift workout since. LOCKED has some trip versatility and can press or come from off the pace. PRINCE OF MONACO is undefeated in three and won the Garde I Del Mar Futurity as the 1 to 20 favorite. | ||||
| RACE #9 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET |
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| ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M BC JUVENILE TURF GRADE I | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 3-1 | 2 | River Tiber | R L Moore |
| PLACE | 5-1 | 9 | Endlessly | J J Hernandez |
| SHOW | 20-1 | 6 | Stay Hot | A Fresu |
| WILD CARD | 6-1 | 14 | Carsons Run | D Davis |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 5 | My Boy Prince | J Rosario |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 4-1 | 8 | Unquestionable | L Dettori |
| * EXACTA: 2,5,6,8,9,14/2,9 | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 2/6,9,14/5,6,8,9,14 | ||||
| COMMENTS: RIVER TIBER is going longer than 6 furlongs for the first time and should enjoy the extra runway. ENDLESSLY looks like a mile is the perfect distance as he has won three of three. STAY HOT could be a longshot that pays off as he drew off in the first go on grass despite running faster fractions and stretching out. CARSONS RUN improved in each of his starts and another move forward after some rest is expected. | ||||
| RACE #10 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET |
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| BEST BET: #2 GHOST OF MIDNIGHT | ||||
| PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
| WIN | 4-1 | 2 | Ghost of Midnight | A Fresu |
| PLACE | 7-5 | 3 | Hejazi | J J Hernandez |
| SHOW | 9-5 | 4 | Bus Buzz | E A Maldonado |
| WILD CARD | 6-1 | 6 | Elector | I Ortiz Jr. |
| ALTERNATE 1 | 20-1 | 7 | Ferociously | A Ayuso |
| ALTERNATE 2 | 12-1 | 5 | Man Child | L Dettori |
| * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX | ||||
| * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX |
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